FOUNDATIONS OF STRATEGIC THINKING

Transcription

1 FOUNDATIONS OF STRATEGIC THINKING Teacher: Etienne De Durand Academic year 2016/2017: Paris School of International Affairs Fall Semester BIOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION Etienne de Durand a intégré le ministère de la Défense en 2015 comme Délégué pour la politique et la prospective de défense au sein de la DGRIS (Direction générale des relations internationales et de la stratégie Direction stratégie de défense, prospective et contre-prolifération). Spécialiste des questions stratégiques et militaires, il a été chercheur puis directeur du centre des études de sécurité ( ) de l Institut français des relations internationales (Ifri). Etienne de Durand enseigne à l IEP de Paris et a enseigné à l université Lyon III, ainsi qu à Saint-Cyr Coëtquidan et à l Ecole de Guerre. En 2009, il a fait partie de l équipe d experts civils qui a contribué au rapport du général McChrystal sur l Afghanistan et a également participé aux travaux de la Commission du Livre Blanc de COURSE OUTLINE Session 1 The Nature of War September 8, 2017 General Presentation Violence and War The Anthropology of War The Causes of War Required reading: G. Blainey, The Causes of War, chap. 8 Foundations of strategic theory Session 2 The Clausewitzian Theory September 15, 2017 War and Policy/Politics Total War and Limited War Strategy as the Use, or Threat of Use, of Force

2 C. von Clausewitz, On War, Book I, chap. 1, 2 & 8; Book III, chap. 1; Book VIII, chap. 1-3; the 1827 Notes P. Paret, Clausewitz, Makers of Modern Strategy C. von Clausewitz, On War, the whole of Books I, III, and VIII Session 3 War and Strategy September 22, 2017 What Strategy Is and Is Not: the Core Concept and Its Derivatives Direct and Indirect Strategies The Principles of War The Levels of Strategy: from Grand Strategy to Tactics Beaufre, Introduction to Strategy, intro and chap. 1 B. Liddell Hart, Strategy, chap. 19sq E. Luttwak, The Logic of War and Peace, intro and chap. 1-3 W. Murray et al, Introduction: On strategy, The Making of Strategy C. von Clausewitz, On War, Books VI, chap. 1-5 and 26; Book VII, chap. 1-5 and 22 Session 4 Strategic Culture September 29, 2017 National Styles, Military and Strategic Cultures: History and Geography vs. Theory Western and Eastern Ways of War Strategic Culture as a Heuristic Tool C.S. Gray, «Strategy in the Nuclear Age», pp Iain Johnston, «Thinking About Strategic Culture», International Security Sun Ze, The Art of War B. Colson, «Culture stratégique», in Dictionnaire de stratégie T. Mahnken, US Strategic Culture, SAIC Strategy and Strategies: From Theory to Operations

3 Séance n 5 Strategy in Land Warfare: from Tactics to Operational Art October 6, ,000 Years of Warfare at a Glance Firepower in the Modern Era Maneuver and Attrition in the 20th Century C. Ardant du Picq, Battle Studies, Part I, chap. 3, Part II, chap. 1 Beaufre, Introduction to Strategy, chap. 2 B. Liddell Hart, Stratégie, in Chaliand, Anthologie mondiale de la stratégie, pp C. Bellamy, Evolution of Modern Land Warfare, chap. 1-3 C. Ardant du Picq, Battle Studies, whole book E. Luttwak, The Logic of War and Peace, Part III Séance n 6 Air and Naval Strategies October 13, 2017 Maritime vs. Continental Powers Overview of Naval Strategists and their Theories The Origins of Air Power Air Power Redux? E. Cohen, The U.S. Mystique of Air Power, Foreign Affairs Julian Corbett, The Green Pamphlet, excerpts T. Mahan, The Influence of Sea Power Upon History, excerpts R. Pape, Bombing To Win, chap. 2, and The Limits of Precision-Guided Air Power, Security Studies H. Coutau-Bégarie, Traité de stratégie, «la stratégie maritime théorique» G. Douhet, Command of the Air, excerpt B. Lambeth, NATO Air War in Kosovo John Warden, The Air Campaign Séance n 7 RMA and Military Transformation October 20, 2017

4 From Military Revolutions to the Revolution in Military Affairs Information War: Debunking the Myth Military Transformation: Promises, Achievements, and Limits S. Biddle, Allies, Air Power, and Modern Warfare, International Security B. Posen, Command of the Commons, International Security E. Cohen, A Revolution in Warfare, Foreign Affairs E. de Durand, «Révolution dans les affaires militaires», Hérodote Unconventional Warfare and Its Strategies Session 8 Nuclear Conundrum and Doctrinal Cycles November 10, 2017 The Nuclear Revolution Vulnerability and Credibility Warfighting vs. Arms Control The French Case: Deterrence and Non-Use Beaufre, Introduction to Strategy, chap. 3 B. Brodie, The Absolute Weapon, excerpt M. Quinlan, Deterrence T. Schelling, Manipulation of Risk and Commitment, Arms and Influence Wohlstetter, The Delicate Balance of Terror Robert Jervis, The Illogic of American Nuclear Strategy, chap. 1, 3, 5-6 C.S. Gray, K. Payne, Victory Is Possible L. Poirier, Des stratégies nucléaires, excerpt: «Dissuasion et puissance moyenne» Glenn Snyder, Deterrence and Defense, excerpt of intro Session 9 Deterrence Today and Tomorrow November 17, 2017 Proliferation, Counter-Proliferation and Missile Defense Implications for Deterrence

5 D. Gormley, The Path to Deep Nuclear Reductions, Proliferation Paper M. Quinlan, How Robust is India-Pakistan Deterrence?, and India-Pakistan Deterrence Revisited, Survival S. Sagan, The Perils of Proliferation, International Security V. Utgoff, Missile Defense and American Ambitions K. Waltz et S. Sagan, The Spread of Nuclear Weapons, chap. 3 K. Waltz, The Spread of Nuclear Weapons: More May Better, Adelphi Papers Session 10 Irregular Warfare November 24, 2017 Small Wars and Guerillas Revolutionary Warfare: Origins and Variations Counterinsurgency Now and Then Beaufre, Introduction to Strategy, chap. 4 G. Chaliand, «Introduction», Stratégies de la guérilla Mack, Why Big Nations Lose Small Wars, World Politics S. Ferdi, «Les débuts de la guerre d Algérie» V.N. Giap, «Guerre du peuple et art militaire» in Chaliand, Stratégies de la guérilla Mao, «De la guerre prolongée», in G. Chaliand, Mao, stratège révolutionnaire, pp Session 11 Asymmetric War December 1, 2017 Irregular, Asymmetric, or Hybrid Wars? Terrorism as Tactic and as Strategy S. Atran, The Moral Logic and Growth of Suicide Terrorism, Washington Quart C. Gray, Irregular Enemies and the Essence of Strategy, SSI M. Mazarr, The Folly of Asymmetric War, Washington Quarterly S. Metz, Learning from Iraq H. Münkler, «Les guerres nouvelles» R. Pape, The Srategic Logic of Suicide Terrorism

6 R. Smith, The Utility of Force, chap. 7 B. Jenkins et W. Laqueur, in R. Art, The Use of Force, pp , Q. Liang, Unrestricted Warfare M. Manwaring, Shadows of Things Past J. Record, External Assistance, Parameters M. Van Creveld, The Transformations of War, excerpt (in French) Session 12 Is Strategy Still Possible? December 8, 2017 War, Military Power and International Influence From Procurement to Crisis Management: the Business of Defense War and Politics in Contemporary Democracies: the Impracticality of Grand Strategy Required reading: Hew Strachan, The Lost Meaning of Strategy, Survival