Profile of the Dublin Region

Transcription

1 Profile of the Dublin Region Skills and Labour Market Research Unit (SLMRU), SOLAS 1

2 Introduction The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to be based on the shared understanding of the labour market they are operating in. Both sides represent the key players in relation to the local labour markets, one on the side of the demand for skills (employers) and one on the side of the supply of skills (education and training providers). The availability of labour market information is critical in ensuring that the engagement between the education and training providers and employers results in an evidence-based, well-informed dialogue about the issues regarding the supply and demand for skills and a mutual agreement on how best to resolve issues identified. The labour market information presented here is aimed at providing a starting point in relation to the evidence upon which the engagement should be based. It contains a selection of tables, charts and info-graphics on each region s economy (GVA, income, enterprise base), labour market indicators (employment rate, unemployment rate etc.), demand (employment trends, profile of recent hires, vacancies, immigration statistics, estimates of recruitment requirement by broad skill group) and supply (graduate output and unemployment). It also provides an overview of some issues identified through recent analysis of the labour market, including skill shortages and labour turnover. The data and analysis presented here has been prepared using the data held in the National Skills Database, which collates a wide range of datasets and models on demand and supply of labour at occupational level. This includes data from the Central Statistics Office, Department of Education and Skills, Department of Social Protection, Department of Jobs, Enterprise and Innovation and a number of models for labour market analysis developed by the SLMRU, including the Labour Market Transitions Model and Occupational Employment Projections Model. The information will be updated in line with the availability of updates of the underlying data sets. Skills and Labour Market Research Unit (SLMRU), SOLAS May 2017 regionalskills@solas.ie 2

3 Contents Regional profile GVA Incomes Active enterprises Medium-large employers Labour market indicators Demand Employment Hires Vacancies Employment permits to non-eea nationals Job announcements Employment projections Expansion, replacement and recruitment requirement Supply Education and training Live Register Job-ready job seekers Unemployment Issues identified Skill and labour shortages Recruitment Agency Survey Turnover 3

4 Gross Value Added (GVA) by region at basic prices (euro million) 90,000 80,000 70, ,000 50,000 40, ,000 20,000 10, Dublin South-West Mid-East South-East West Mid-West Border Midland Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP

5 Gross Value Added (GVA) at basic prices by region and sector GVA at basic prices by region and sector, 2014 (euro million) Sectoral distribution of regional GVA at basic prices, , % 90% 70,000 80% 60,000 70% 50,000 60% 50% 40,000 40% 30,000 30% 20,000 20% 10,000 10% 0% 0 Dublin South-West Mid-East South-East Mid-West West Border Midland Dublin South-East Midland Border Mid-East Mid-West West South-West Market & non-market services Manufacturing, building & construction Agriculture, forestry & fishing Market & non-market services Manufacturing, building & construction Agriculture, forestry & fishing Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP

6 70,000 GVA per person at basic prices (euro) 60,000 50, ,000 30,000 20, ,000 0 Dublin South-West Mid-West Mid-East West South-East Midland Border 2014 Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP

7 Indices of Gross Value Added (GVA) per person at basic prices by region (State = 100) Dublin State = 100 South-West Mid-West Mid-East West South-East Midland Border Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP

8 Disposable income per person by region, (euro) 26,000 24,000 22,000 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 Border State Dublin Mid-West Mid-East South-West South-East West Midland 10, % change % change % Deviation from State average (2014) Dublin 24,673 21,347 20,834 21, % -11.0% 14.5% State 22,504 19,190 18,536 19, % -14.8% Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP

9 Disposable income per person by county, percentage deviation from the State average, % -1.6% -1.7% -2.6% -3.4% -4.6% -5.0% -5.4% -5.4% -6.5% -6.8% -8.1% -8.4% -9.2% -9.5% -10.1% -10.3% -11.5% -11.9% -13.1% -14.2% -14.5% -15.1% 1.1% 0.3% 6.3% 14.5% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Dublin Limerick City and County Kildare Cork City and County Waterford City and County Wicklow Carlow Meath North Tipperary Wexford Kilkenny South Tipperary Galway City and County Sligo Louth Leitrim Westmeath Laois Kerry Clare Mayo Cavan Longford Offaly Monaghan Roscommon Donegal Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP

10 Number of active enterprises by region (private business economy), ,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Dublin South-West Mid-East Border West South-East Mid-West Midland Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO Business Demography 2014 Note: Private business economy covers NACE Rev. 2 sectors B to N (excluding activities of holding companies) 10

11 Number of active enterprises (private business economy), Dublin, ,000 76,000 74,000 72,000 70,000 68,000 66, % change % change Dublin 70,743 76,956 75, % 7.0% State 244, , , % -2.4% Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO Business Demography

12 Number of persons engaged (private business economy), Dublin, , , , , , , , % change % change Dublin 674, , , % -7.7% State 1,511,920 1,288,017 1,334, % -11.7% Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO Business Demography 2014 Note: Private business economy covers NACE Rev. 2 sectors B to N (excluding activities of holding companies) 12

13 Number of active enterprises by sector, Dublin, ,000 Administrative activities 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 Professional, scientific & technical Real estate activities Financial & insurance activities Information & communication Accommodation & food Transportation & storage Wholesale & retail trade Construction Water supply, sewerage activities Electricity, gas, etc. supply Manufacturing 0 Dublin Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO Business Demography 2014 Mining & quarrying 13

14 Distribution of active enterprises by sector, Dublin, % Administrative activities 90% Professional, scientific & technical 80% Real estate activities 70% 60% 50% Financial & insurance activities Information & communication Accommodation & food Transportation & storage 40% Wholesale & retail trade 30% Construction 20% 10% 0% State Dublin Water supply, sewerage activities Electricity, gas, etc. supply Manufacturing Mining & quarrying Source: CSO, Business Demography

15 Distribution of active enterprises and persons engaged by company size, Dublin, 2014 Active enterprises Persons engaged Under and over Under and over Size class Dublin Under % % % % 250 and over 0.4% Source: CSO, Business Demography 2014 Size class Dublin Under 10 18% % % % 250 and over 47% 15

16 Distribution of persons engaged by sector, Dublin, % Administrative activities 90% Professional, scientific & technical 80% Real estate activities 70% Financial & insurance activities 60% Information & communication 50% Accommodation & food 40% Transportation & storage 30% Wholesale & retail trade 20% Construction 10% 0% State Dublin Water supply, sewerage activities Electricity, gas, etc. supply Manufacturing Mining & quarrying Source: CSO, Business Demography

17 Industrial activity, Dublin Industrial units by sector Gross output ( billion) in industrial units, by sector Traditional 10.0 Traditional 400 Modern Modern Source: SLMRU Analysis of CSO data (Census of Industrial Production, 2012) 17

18 Number of medium-large business by sector, Dublin, 2015 Sector Dublin Industry 180 Construction 36 Wholesale & retail 287 Transport 72 Accommodation & food 146 Information & communication 161 Finance etc. 151 Professional services 156 Admin & support 97 PAD 68 Education 139 Health 129 Other NACE 87 Total 1,709 Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data 18

19 100% Distribution of companies (medium-large) by sector, Dublin, 2015 Other NACE 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% Health Education PAD Admin & support Professional services Finance etc. Information & communication 30% 20% 10% 0% Dublin Ireland Accommodation & food Transport Wholesale & retail Construction Industry Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data 19

20 Employers: wholesale & retail (200 employees+), Dublin Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data 20

21 Employers: transport & storage (medium-large), Dublin Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data 21

22 Employers: finance & insurance (medium-large), Dublin Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data 22

23 Employers: information & communications* (medium-large), Dublin *excludes information services and TV production & broadcasting Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data 23

24 Labour market & associated indicators, Dublin Indicator / Statistic Dublin State Population (15-64) 889,800 3,018,600 Labour Force 670,200 2,195,600 Participation Rate 63.5% 60.1% Employment (15 and above) 629,900 2,048,100 *Target (if / where relevant) Employment Rate (20-64) 73.8% 71.2% *69%-71%; **75% Self-Employment 11% 16% Unemployment (15-74) 40, ,400 Unemployment Rate (15-74) 6.0% 6.7% Youth Unemployment Rate (15-24) 14.2% 15.2% Youth Unemployment Ratio (15-24) 5.9% 5.8% Long Term Unemployment Rate 3.0% 3.6% Early School Leavers (ESL) (18-24) 5% 6% *<8%; **<10% NEET (15-24) 10% 12% Tertiary Level Education (30-34) 62% 54% *>=60%; **>=40% Life Long Learning (LLL) participation rate 8.7% 6.7% *10% ; **15% Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data Q4 2016; *Ireland s NSS targets; **EU 2020 targets 24

25 Employment by sector (persons and % change), Dublin 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10, % 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% 2016 Q4 y-o-y change (%) Q4'11-Q4'16 change (%) Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data * Numbers in agriculture are too small to report 25

26 Manufacturing employment by technological intensity, Dublin, Q High technology 16,800 40% 14,200 33% Medium-high technology Medium-low-technology 7,500 18% 3,900 9% Low-technology Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data 26

27 Employment by occupation, Dublin, Q Professionals 134,400 Associate Professional & Technical Administrative/Secretarial Elementary Occupations Managers, Directors and Senior Officials Skilled Trades Sales/Customer Services Caring, Leisure & Other Services Process, Plant & Machine Operatives 95,700 72,900 66,800 63,400 57,000 48,800 45,700 34, , , ,000 Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data 27

28 Recent job hires, 2016 Recent hires by region, 2016 Recent hires by sector, Dublin, 2016 Wholesale & retail Border Accomodation & food Midland Health & social work 13% 10% 8% 10% 9% 5% 35% 10% West Dublin Mid-East Mid-West South-East 4% 5% 4% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 18% 8% 9% 12% Professional Industry Financial Construction Administrative & support Information & communication Arts, ents & other services Education South-West Transport & storage Other Source: SLMRU Analysis of CSO QNHS data 28

29 70% Recent job hires, Dublin, % 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Lower sec or less Higher sec or FET Third level Managers Professionals Associate Prof Admin Skilled Trades Services Sales Operatives Elementary Full-time Part-time Source: SLMRU Analysis of CSO QNHS data 29

30 DSP Jobs Ireland vacancies, ,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10, * West South-East South-West Mid-West Mid-East Midland Border Dublin Source: DSP Jobs Ireland; *2016 refers to Jan-Jun only 30

31 DSP Jobs Ireland vacancies, Dublin, 2016* 45% 11% 25% 19% Fingal Dun Laoghaire - Rathdown South Dublin Dublin City 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1, * 2016* Source: DSP Jobs Ireland; *refers to Jan-Jun only 31

32 DSP Vacancies by occupation, Dublin, 2016 Dublin City Fingal Dún Laoghaire-Rath South Dublin Managers Hotel front office/restaurant mgr. Store managers/ HR managers Professionals Higher ed lecturers/tefl teachers Auditors/accountants, nurses Civil/site/structural engineers Software developers Nurses TEFL teachers Nurses Video games testers Quantity surveyors Auditors/accountants Associate prof Sales & marketing exec/fundraisers Tech support (with languages) Interpreters Recruitment consultants Tech support (with languages) Field sales agents Fundraisers Field sales agents Fundraisers Sales exec/fundraisers Admin Office administrator/receptionists Bookkeeper/payroll admin Office administrators Office administrators Office administrators Skilled trades Chefs Electricians, carpenters Maintenance fitters/mechanics Chefs Electricians, carpenters Steel erectors, mechanics Chefs Mechanics Chefs Electricians Personal services Care workers, childcare workers Hairdressers/beauticians Beauticians/nail technicians Care workers Childcare workers Airport check-in agents Care workers Childcare workers Care workers Sales Retail assistants Stock-taker Retail assistants Stock-taker Retail assistants Retail assistants Operatives Drivers (rigid, artic, HGV) Teleporter drivers, delivery drivers Scaffolders Mobile/tower crane operators Drivers (rigid, artic, HGV) Baggage handlers Other drivers (machine, teleporter, reach truck) Groundworkers Drivers (rigid, artic, HGV) Coach drivers General operatives Elementary Security guards Cleaners Kitchen assist., waiters, bar staff, Construction labourers Warehouse operatives Cleaners Kitchen assistants Security guards Cleaners Security guards Kitchen assistants Waiters Cleaners Warehouse operatives Kitchen assistants Security guards 32

33 Overall vacancies 5% 3% 4% 12% 4% 5% 66% IrishJobs.ie vacancies, Dublin, 2016 Border Midland West Dublin Mid-East Mid-West South-East South-West Vacancies by sector 9% 9% 7% 10% 15% 17% 33% Professional activities Financial activities Information & communications Administrative Health & social work Wholesale & retail trade Other Vacancies by occupation 3% 2% 4% 2% 7% 6% 30% 15% 31% Managers Professionals Associate professionals Administrative Skilled Trades Personal Services Sales & customer service Operatives Elementary Source: IrishJobs.ie 33

34 IrishJobs.ie vacancies by occupation, Dublin, 2016 Job title Managers Professionals Associate prof Admin Sales & customer Finance, HR, procurement IT: software developer/engineer, systems analyst, solutions architect Business/financial: project manager, financial accountant/controller, risk manager Industry: process engineer, development technologist Health: registrars (anaesthesia, psychiatric, cardiology), nurses (staff, theatre, clinical, psychiatric) Claims officer (with languages e.g. German, French, Spanish, Arabic); fund accountants Data analyst Technical support executive Helpline officers (with languages)/ IT support technicians Marketing/brand managers Payroll manager Accounts assistant Administrator Client services officer/ customer services representative (with languages) Sales/deli assistants Telesales 34

35 Employment permits Employment permits by region, New employment permits, Dublin, ,000 7,000 South-West Dublin 6,000 5,000 South-East Mid-West State 4,000 Mid-East 3,000 West Information & communications 2,000 Midland Health & social work Industry 1,000 Border Arts, ents, rec & other service Financial activities Dublin Accommodation & food Other Source: DJEI 35

36 Job announcements, Dublin, Industry Manufacturing Plusvital, Biopharma Engineering, Alter Pharma, Mallinckrodt, Genomics Medicine Ireland, Paragon, IdentiGEN, Takeda, Nuritas, Alexion Pharma Finance OSG, Deloitte, EY, DMS Governance, Touchtec, Deutsche Bank, KPMG, TPGS, MDO Management, Evo Payments Services Maxol, Fish Shack, Next Generation Dublin, Johnson Hana International, Zevas Communications, FBD Hotels, Grant Thornton Ireland, Monsoon Consulting, Voxpro, Tickets.ie, Siro, INDEED, Inside Sales Construction Microsoft, FBD Hotles, Dublin Airport, Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Mallinckrodt ICT Microsoft, Brown Bag, Qstream, Amazon, Datalex, Fleetmatics, Arkphire Kaseya, PTC, SAP Ireland, Exaxe, SoftwareOne, Wrike, Fenergo, Tenable, Version 1 Integrity360, Smartfrog, Cloudbeds, Overcast, Tech Mahindra, Nostra, BrowserStack, Ricoh, VE Interactive, Kaspersky Lab, Fitbit, Cubic Telecom, MacStadium, Linkedin, Ricoh Microsoft, Convergys Retail JD Sports, Iceland, JoeDuffy Group, Domino's Pizza, Camile Thai, Harvey Norman, Liffey Valley, Pennys,Chopped Source: SLMRU analysis 36

37 Employment Projections to , ,000 Dublin 600, , , , , ,000 South-West Mid-East South-East Border West Mid-West Midland Source: Employment Projections 2020, SOLAS 37

38 Employment Projections by sector, Dublin 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10, Agriculture High tech manuf. Food processing Trad.manuf. Construction Wholesale & retail Transport Accom. and food ICT Financial services Professional services Other market services PAD Education Health Source: Employment Projections 2020, SOLAS 38

39 Estimated annual replacement and expansion demand 2017, Dublin 95,000 75,000 55,000 35,000 15,000-5,000 Agriculture High tech manuf. Source: SLMRU projections Food processing Trad.manuf. Construction Wholesale & retail Transport & communication Accom. and food ICT Financial services Professional services Remaining Replacement Expansion Other market services PAD Education Health 39

40 Estimated annual replacement, expansion and recruitment requirement, Dublin Replacement Expansion Recruitment requirement Agriculture <1,000 <1,000 <1,000 High tech manuf. 1,300 <1,000 2,000 Food processing <1,000 <1,000 <1,000 Trad. manuf. 1,100 <1,000 1,300 Construction 2,000 2,700 4,700 Wholesale & retail 9,000 1,700 10,700 Transport & communication 1,500 1,400 2,900 Accommodation & food 6,600 1,000 7,600 ICT <1,000 2,200 2,700 Financial services 2,300 1,400 3,700 Professional services 3,100 1,200 4,300 Other market services 5,700 1,000 6,700 PAD 1,200 <1,000 1,500 Education 2,700 <1,000 3,000 Health 4,900 <1,000 5,600 Total 43,200 13,900 57,100 Source: SLMRU projections 40

41 Education and training providers, Dublin FET Providers Dublin City ETB Dublin and Dun Laoghaire ETB Higher Education Providers Private HE providers (not included in data) Trinity College Dublin Dublin Business School University College Dublin Griffith College Dublin City University Hibernia College Royal College of Surgeons Other private providers National College of Art & Design St. Patrick s College Drumcondra Mater Dei Institute Tallaght Institute of Technology Blanchardstown Institute of Technology Dublin Institute of Technology Dun Laoghaire Institute of Art and Design 41

42 Junior Cert & Leaving Cert sits, Dublin, 2012 and 2016 Source: State Examinations Commission 42

43 Destination of school leavers, Dublin Dublin City DL- Rathdown Fingal South Dublin National Total Cohort 5,485 2,425 2,740 3,085 54,825 Of which enrolled in Higher education 34% 55% 39% 39% 44% Second level/fet 31% 21% 29% 29% 28% Total education/training 65% 76% 69% 69% 72% Of those remaining Social welfare activity 10% 3% 5% 7% 10% Employment activity 12% 8% 12% 12% 12% Labour market participation 22% 11% 17% 20% 22% Other (emigration, work abroad) * * * * 18% Source: DES School Completers What Next? (2016) 43

44 FET Awards data limited (to QQI awards) No awards data for other awarding bodies City & Guilds ICS (ECDL) Vendor certification (e.g. Microsoft, Cisco etc) Incomplete enrolment data Confined to PLC enrolments Other data refers to both places/learners and calendar/academic years; an estimate of volume of learning is not possible 44

45 Apprenticeship: new registrations, Dublin, 2016 City of Dublin Dublin DunLaoghaire Construction Brick and Stonelaying 2 8 Carpentry and Joinery Painting and Decorating 5 6 Pipefitting 2 Plastering 7 Plumbing Stonecutting and Stonemasonry Wood Manufacturing and Finishing 3 5 Electrical Aircraft Mechanics 3 22 Electrical Electrical Instrumentation 1 2 Electronic Security Systems 5 4 Industrial Electrical Engineering Instrumentation Refrigeration 14 8 *Part of this ETB is located in another region 45

46 Apprenticeship: new registrations, Dublin, 2016 (ctd) City of Dublin Dublin DunLaoghaire Engineering Farriery Industrial Insulation 1 1 M.A.M.F Metal Fabrication 6 10 Sheet Metalworking 11 3 Toolmaking 2 1 Financial Services (Insurance Practice) Motor Agricultural Mechanics 1 Construction Plant Fitting 1 8 Heavy Vehicle Mechanics 38 6 Motor Mechanics Vehicle Body Repairs 8 7 Printing & Paper 1 1 Grand Total Source: Solas *Part of this ETB is located in another region 46

47 PLC enrolments, Dublin, ,000 12,000 9,000 6,000 3, Source: DES Academic year (e.g refers to 2015/2016 academic year) 47

48 PLC enrolments by field of study, Dublin, ,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, Source: DES Academic year (e.g refers to 2015/2016 academic year) 48

49 QQI (FET) major awards, Dublin, ,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2, Source: QQI 49

50 QQI (FET) major awards* by field & level, Dublin, ,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, NFQ 6 NFQ 5 NFQ 4 NFQ 1-3 Source: QQI *Excludes fields where value is less than 5 50

51 Higher education awards, Dublin, 2011/ /16 30,000 25,000 23,711 24,293 26,082 26,782 26,215 20,000 15,000 10,000 5, / / / / /16 Source: HEA 51

52 Higher education awards by field and level, Dublin 2015/2016 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 NFQ 9/10 NFQ 8 NFQ 7 NFQ 6 Source: HEA 52

53 HE awards (all levels) by detailed field science, Dublin, 2015/ Biological sciences n.e.c. Biochemistry Environment Physical sciences n.e.c. Chemistry Earth sciences Physics Maths & statistics Other science Source: HEA 53

54 HE awards (all levels) by detailed field engineering & construction, Dublin, 2015/16 0 Engineering (n.e.c) Chemical eng Electricity & energy Electronics Mechanics & metal Motor vehicles etc. Manufacturing (n.e.c) Food processing Materials Construction n.e.c. Architecture Civil engineering Engineering & manufacturing Construction Source: HEA 54

55 HE awards (all levels) by detailed field ICT, Dublin, 2015/16 0 ICT n.e.c. Computer use Database and networks Software Other ICT Source: HEA 55

56 Live Register, , ,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 West Border Midland Dublin Mid-East Mid-West South-East South-West 20, Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data 56

57 Live Register, Dublin, , ,000 80,000 60,000 Dublin 40,000 20, Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data 57

58 Live Register by county and age, Dublin, , % 60,000 90% 80% 50,000 70% 40,000 60% 30,000 Dublin 50% 40% >25 <25 20,000 30% 10,000 20% 10% 0 <25 >25 0% Dublin Ireland Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data 58

59 Live Register by gender, Dublin, % % Dublin 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% Ireland Dublin % % % 0 Male Female 0% Male Female Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data 59

60 Live Register by gender, Dublin, Female Male Dublin 2016 Dublin ,000 40,000 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data 60

61 Live Register, Dublin, Live Register (Persons) Live Register Stayers (Persons) M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M10 61

62 Live Register, Dublin Live Register Joiners (Persons) Live Register Leavers (Persons) 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5, M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M10 62

63 Job-ready job seekers, Dublin, April ,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Source: DSP 63

64 Job-ready job seekers by occupation, Dublin, April ,000 24,000 22,000 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Dublin Elementary Operatives Sales Services Skilled trades Admin Assoc. Prof. Professionals Managers Source: DSP 64

65 100% 90% 80% Job-ready job seekers, occupational composition, Dublin, April 2017 Elementary Operatives 70% Sales 60% Services 50% Skilled trades 40% Admin 30% 20% 10% 0% Dublin Ireland Assoc. Prof. Professionals Managers Source: DSP 65

66 Job-ready job seekers, by education, Dublin, April ,000 22,000 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Dublin NFQ9/10 NFQ8 NFQ7 NFQ6 LC Junior Cert Primary Source: DSP 66

67 Job-ready job seekers, occupational composition, Dublin, April % 90% NFQ9/10 80% NFQ8 70% 60% NFQ7 50% NFQ6 40% 30% 20% LC Junior Cert 10% 0% Dublin Ireland Primary Source: DSP 67

68 Unemployment, Dublin, Q Approximately 40,000 unemployed persons a half were seeking a job for at least 12 months three-in-five (60%) were male a quarter had no previous employment experience Age: 20% were younger than 25; youth unemployment rate was 14% Education: almost 30% had attained at most lower secondary education Sector: wholesale & retail and industry accounted for the largest shares of unemployed Occupation: majority were previously employed in elementary occupations Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data 68

69 Unemployment by education, Dublin, Q % 27% Lower secondary and below Upper secondary 9% FET 10% Third level non degree 33% Third level degree and above Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data 69

70 Unemployment by age, Dublin, Q ,000 10,000 5, and above Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data 70

71 Skills Shortages, Ireland, 2016 Professionals/associate professionals ICT (software developers, cloud, databases/big data, testing, security, technical support, networking and infrastructure) Engineering (production, process, quality, validation, product design/development, electronic, electrical, mechanical and chemical) Science (analytical development chemist, formulation scientist, microbiologist, QC analyst/validation technician) Business & finance (risk, compliance, accounting, business intelligence, data analytics) Health (doctors, nurses, radiographers, niche area specialists (e.g. prosthetists, radiation therapists, audiologists), managers) Construction (construction and quantity surveyors with BIM (building information modelling), CAD), project managers) Clerical (multilingual financial clerks in fund accounting/administration, credit controllers, payroll specialists) Skilled trades (chefs, tool making, welding (TIG, MIG), butchers/de-boners, steel-erectors, curtain wallers, glaziers, steelfixers, steel erectors, pipelayers, shuttering carpentry, shift managers and supervisors) Sales (technical sales, multilingual customer support) Operatives (CNC, drivers (fork lift and special vehicle)) Retention issues (care, chefs, butchers/de-boners, elementary) Source: National Skills Bulletin, SLMRU 71

72 Labour market transitions: Turnover key points Turnover defined as either inter or intra occupational movement of persons in employment Turnover typically higher at the lower end of the skill scale, but some exceptions Occupations with estimated high turnover rates: general clerks, sales assistants, food operatives, care workers, elementary occupations (e.g. hospitality, cleaning, construction labourers), but also some higher skilled (e.g. computer programmers, financial accounts managers, sales accounts & business development managers) Implication for employees: employment conditions, career path and job security Implication for employers: difficulty in attracting and retaining staff Up-skilling / re-skilling Source: National Skills Bulletin, SLMRU 72