Major Military Programs From 2003, forward

Transcription

1

2 Panel Sponsored by:

3 Major Military Programs From 2003, forward Est. Total Cost Weapons System Type Prime Contractor Life Cycle Phase (Mil. $) F-35 Joint Strike Fighter Fighter Jet Lockheed Martin Developmental 148,400 V-22 Osprey Hybrid Helicopter/ Aircraft Transport Plane Boeing/Textron Developmental 20,100 Future Combat Systems Network-linked armored vehicles Boeing Developmental 92,000 Globalhawk Unmanned Reconnaissance Northrop Grumman Developmental 2,350 Missile Defense Missiles/Electronic Systems Systems Boeing, Lockheed M. Developmental 50,000 Northrop Grumman, Raytheon F/A -22 Fighter Fighter/Bomber Lockheed Martin Low-Rate Prod. 49,500 F/A-18 E/F Super Hornet Fighter Jet Boeing In-Production 35,700 F-15 Fighter/Bomber Boeing Mature In-Prod. N/A F-16 Fighter Jet Lockheed Martin Mature In-Prod. N/A

4 Weapons Systems Army Weapons Sytems Weapon Entered Manufacturer Army Individual & Crew-Served M-9 Pistol 1990 Beretta USA Weapons & Equipment Aircraft Black Hawk 1979 United Technologies (Stratford, CT) Helicopter General Electric (Lynn, MA) Air Defense Artillery Avenger 1989 Boeing (Huntsville, AL) AM General (South Bend, IN) Antiarmor Weapons Javelin 1996 A joint venture between Raytheon (Tuscon, AZ and Lockheed Martin (Orlando, FL) Indirect Fire Systems MLRS 1983 Lockheed Martin (Dallas, TX) Nuclear, Biol. & Chem. Nuclear, Biol. & Chem General Dynamics Land Systems (NBC) Defense Equipment Reconnaissance System (Detroit, MI; Anniston, AL) M93/M93A1 Henschel Wehrtechnik, Kassel, Germany Tracked Vehicles Abrams 1980 General Dynamics (Sterling Heights, MI Warren, MI; Muskegon, MI; Scranton, PA; Lima, OH; Tallahassee, FL) Wheeled Vehicles HEMTT 1982 Oshkosh Truck (Oshkosh, WI)

5 DARPA Research, Development, Test & Eval Program Defense Advanced Research FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005 Projects Agency - Programs ($) ($) ($) Defense Research Sciences 171, , ,729 Biological Warfare Defense 157, , ,533 Advanced Aerospace Systems 242, , ,067 Sensor and Guidance Technology 216, , ,117 Land Warfare Technology 164,634 81,513 63,121

6 Value of Arms Transfer Deliveries Cumulative Supplier Total U.S. U.K. France Russia Germany China Recipient Mil., ($) Mil., ($) Mil., ($) Mil., ($) Mil., ($) Mil., ($) Mil., ($) World Total 155,120 91,485 15,735 15,720 7,950 4,535 1,990 Developed Countries 83,855 60,830 2,270 9,050 1,315 3, Developing Counties 71,265 30,655 13,465 6,670 6,635 1,025 1,980 OPEC 41,200 17,860 12,055 5,105 1, NATO 36,320 26,215 2,080 1, ,

7 FY 2002 Authorized Defense Articles Authorized Weapon Sales by the U.S. License Value Country total, ($) Australia 537,458,921 Austria 9,172,181 Bulgaria 13,259,970 Canada 637,593,317 China 141,180 Colombia 66,572,148 Czech Republic 13,296,433 Egypt 517,353,149 Greece 370,596,230 Hong Kong 99,227,517 France 235,452,172 Germany 517,353,149 Hungary 1,009,405 Israel 990,227,404 Japan 3,046,914,144 Russia 10,842,509 Saudi Arabia 89,896,558 Turkey 311,306,638 UK 2,554,497,094

8 Expenditures in Billion of Dollars Annually Appropriated (or Discretionary) Programs Defense, Homeland Security, Domestic Programs other than and International Affairs* Homeland Security Adjusted for Adjusted for Expenditures ($) Inflation in2004, ($) Expenditures ($) Inflation in 2004, ($) *This Category includes Expenditures for the Reconstruction of New York

9 Funding Levels: Appropriated Programs Changes, measured as a Share of the Economy Defense, International Affairs, Domestic Programs other than Total, and Homeland Security*, as a Homeland Security, as a as a Share Share of GDP, (%) Share of GDP, (%) of GDP, (%) *This Category includes Expenditures for the Reconstruction in New York

10 U.S. Aerospace & Defense Companies Ranked by Current Market Cap Name SIC Code State Current Market Cap Total Assets Sales Growth UNITED TECHNOLOGIES CORP 3724 CT 46,001,810,000 34, BOEING CO 3721 IL 33,075,379,990 53, LOCKHEED MARTIN CORP 3721 MD 21,266,860,000 26, GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP 3720 VA 18,348,570,000 16, NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP 3721 CA 18,216,880,000 33, RAYTHEON COMPANY 3812 MA 13,280,000,000 23, ROCKWELL COLLINS INC IA 5,748,515,000 2, GOODRICH CORP 3728 NC 3,367,938,000 5, ALLIANT TECHSYSTEMS INC 3483 MN 2,246,677,000 2, UNITED DEFENSE INDS INC 3790 VA 1,739,819,000 1, TITAN CORP 3663 CA 1,615,152,000 1, ARMOR HOLDINGS INC 3842 FL 959,044, CURTISS-WRIGHT CORP 3590 NJ 975,281,

11 U.S. Aircraft Orders & Deliveries Regional Narrow-Wide- Regional Narrow- Wide- Jets Body Body Total Jets Body Body Total F , ,070 F , ,107 F , ,092 F , ,132 F , ,089 F , F F F F E2002 (77) , , ,117 F-Forecast, E-Estimate

12 Leading Global Defense Contractors Ranked by Defense Revenues, (Mio, $) 2002 Revenues Mil, $ Defense as Defense Total % of Total 1. Lockheed Martin 23,337 26, Boeing 22,033 54, Raytheon 15,291 16, BAE Systems 15,036 19, Northrop Grumman 12,178 17, General Dynamics 9,800 13, Thales 7,653 11, EADS 6,290 31, Finmeccanica 3,894 8, Honeywell 3,800 24, United Technologies 3,600 28, L-3 Communications 3,581 4, Science Applications Intern. 3,045 5, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries 2,903 21, General Electric Co. 2, ,

13 Nuclear Weapons Capability Acknowleded Unacknowledged Seeking Abandoned Britain Israel Iran South Africa China North Korea Belarus France Kazakhstan India Ukraine Pakistan Russia United States

14 Share of U.S. Overseas Stationing Costs Paid by Selected Allies, 2000 Percentage Contribution ($, Mio.) Saudi Arabia Japan 79 5,003 Kuwait Qatar Republic of Korea Oman Italy Other NATO Germany 21 1,211 Bahrain 18 21

15 U.S. Stationed Military Personnel & Bilateral Cost Sharing

16 U.S. Stationed Military Personnel & Bilateral Cost Sharing, NATO, Dec U.S. Stationed Bilateral Cost Military Personnel Sharing, ($, Mil.) Belgium 1, Canada 161 NA Czech Republic 14 NA Denmark France 65 NA Germany 70,126 1,211.3 Greece Hungary Italy 11, Luxembourg Netherlands Norway Poland 17 NA Portugal Spain 1, Turkey 2, United Kingdom 11,

17 U.S. Stationed Military Personnel & Bilateral Cost Sharing, Dec U.S. Stationed Bilateral Cost Pacific Allies Military Personnel Sharing, ($, Mil.) Japan 40,025 5, Republic of Korea 36,

18 U.S. Stationed Military Personnel & Bilateral Cost Sharing, Dec Gulf Cooperation U.S. Stationed Bilateral Cost Council (GCC) Military Personnel Sharing, ($, Mil.) Bahrain 1, Kuwait 4, Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia 5, United Arab Emirates

19 Largest Armed Forces 2003 Estimated Active Forces Army Navy Air Total China 1,700, , ,000 2,340,000 US 471, , ,600 1,365,800 * India 1,100,000 53, ,000 1,303,000 North Korea 950,000 46,000 86,000 1,082,000 Russia 348, , ,600 1,004,100** South Korea 560,000 60,000 63, ,000 Pakistan 550,000 22,000 40, ,000 Turkey 495,000 54,600 60, ,700 Iran 325,000 18,000 45, ,000*** Vietnam 412,000 42,000 30, ,000 * Includes 169,800 Marine Corps ** Includes Strategic Deterrent Forces, Paramilitary, National Guard, etc. *** Includes 125,000 Revolutionary Guards

20 World Military Expenditure

21 Military Defense Budgets Countries with the largest Defense Budgets, 2003 Country Budget, ($) US 291,200,000,000 Japan 45,600,000,000 UK 34,500,000,000 Russia 29,000,000,000 France 27,000,000,000 Germany 23,300,000,000 Saudi Arabia 18,700,000,000 Italy 16,000,000,000 India 15,900,000,000 China 14,500,000,000

22 Top 15 Countries in Military Expenditure Ranking in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) $ Terms, 2002 Rank Country Size ($, Bil.) 1 USA China India Russia France UK Japan Germany Saudi Arabia Italy South Korea Turkey Brazil Iran * Pakistan 14.2 Total Top *The Figure for Iran is for 2001

23 Percent Change, Year Ago U.S. - National Defense Expenditures and Gross investment

24 Military Expenditure Growth Fiscal Year 2004 Expenditures for defense, international affairs, and homeland security are estimated to grow by 11.4 % in 2004, relative to the 2003 levels Expenditures for defense, international affairs, and homeland security is expected to grow by 0.22 % of GDP in 2004

25 GDP & Defense Spending NATO Allies, 2001 GDP Defense Spending NATO Allies Total ($,Bil.) Per capita ($) Total ($,Bil.) % of GDP Belgium , Canada , Czech Republic , Denmark , France , Germany , Greece , Hungary , Italy , Luxembourg , Netherlands , Norway , Poland , Portugal , Spain , Turkey , United Kingdom , United States ,

26 GDP & Defense Spending Pacific Allies, 2001 GDP Defense Spending Pacific Allies Total ($,Bil.) Per capita ($) Total ($,Bil.) % of GDP Japan 4, , Republic of Korea ,

27 GDP & Defense Spending Selected Countries, 2002 Selected GDP, (2002 ) Defense Spending (2002) Countries Total ($, Bil.) Per capita ($) Total ($, Bil.) % of GDP China 1,300 1, India Vietnam ('98) 2.5 ('98) Pakistan 68.8 ('03) ('03)

28 GDP & Defense Spending Gulf Cooperation Council, 2001 Gulf Cooperation GDP Defense Spending Council (GCC) Total ($,Bil.) Per capita ($) Total ($,Bil.) % of GDP Bahrain , Kuwait , Oman , Qatar , Saudi Arabia , United Arab Emirates ,

29 GDP & Defense Spending Selected Countries Selected GDP, (2002 est.) Defense Spending Countries Total ($, Bil.) Per capita ($) Total ($, Bil.) % of GDP Egypt , ('99) 4.1 ('99) Iran , ('00) 9.0 ('00) Israel , ('02) 8.75 ('02) Syra , ('00) 3.9

30 Aerospace & Defense Operating Profit Margins, in Percent Large Commercial Aircraft Business & Regional Aircraft MRO Jet Engines Military Weapons Rocket Launch & Satellite Making

31 US Navigational Instruments Mfg. Employment, Ths

32 US Aerospace Product & Parts Mfg. Employment, Ths

33 NATO Participation: In most recent U.S. Multilateral and U.N. Operations Country U.N. Non-U.N. Total U.S Belgium Canada Czech Republic Denmark France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland U.N.= U.N. operations in which the U.S. participated with other NATO allies Non-U.N.= U.S. non-u.n. coalitions that included NATO allies

34 NATO Participation: In most recent U.S. Multilateral and U.N. Operations Country U.N. Non-U.N. Total Italy Luxembourg Netherlands Norway Poland Portugal Spain Turkey United Kingdom U.N.= U.N. operations in which the U.S. participated with other NATO allies Non-U.N.= U.S. non-u.n. coalitions that included NATO allies

35 Aircraft provided in Balkan Operations Operation Name DENY ALLIED Country Flight, (%) FORCE, (%) U.S Belgium N/A 1.3 Canada N/A 1.7 Denmark N/A 0.8 France Germany Greece N/A N/A Iceland N/A N/A Italy Luxembourg N/A N/A Netherlands Norway Portugal N/A 0.3 Spain Turkey U.K NAEWF

36 NATO Enlargement 29 March 2004: 7 New Members join NATO On 29 March 2004, Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia formally became members of NATO by depositing their instruments of accession with the United States Government. - NATO OTAN 2004

37 NATO Enlargement 29 March 2004: 7 New Members join NATO The fifth round of NATO enlargement may not be the last. At present, three countries - Albania, Croatia and the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia - are members of NATO s Membership Action Plan (MAP), designed to assist aspiring partner countries meet NATO standards and prepare for possible future membership. - NATO OTAN 2004

38 Estimates of Iraq s Intern. Obligations Amount in Billion of Dollars Gulf War Reparations and Compensation Individuals and Families 27 Kuwait 69 Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Syria, Turkey, Israel and Jordan 36 Europe and the United States 24 Other Governments 43 Subtotal 199 Foreign Debt Gulf States and Kuwait 47 Other Countries 34 Accumulated Interest 47 Subtotal 128 Pending Contracts Russia 52 Others 5 Subtotal 57

39 Int. Financial Assistance for Iraq Projected, Billions of Dollars, 2004 to 2007 Grants Loans Total Source United States Japan World Bank to to 5.0 International Monetary Fund to to 4.3 European Union and Associated States Saudi Arabia and Kuwait Others 0 to to

40 Risk Spread, 9-11 and Iraq Basis Points Congress authorized use of force in Iraq Sep.11, Bush s Speech at the UN about Iraq 2002 Saddam statue toppled. 2003

41 Dollar Per Euro 1.30 Decline of the Dollar 9-11 and Iraq Sep.11, 2001 Bush s Speech at the UN about Iraq Congress authorized use of force in Iraq Saddam statue toppled. 2003

42 Decline of the Dollar 9-11 and Iraq Yen Per Dollar Congress authorized use of force in Iraq Sep.11, Bush s Speech at the UN about Iraq 2002 Saddam statue toppled. 2003

43 Iraq Defense Views President George W. Bush, 2004 America s commitment to freedom in Iraq is consistent with our ideals, and required by our interests. Iraq will either be a peaceful, democratic county, or it will again be a source of violence, a haven for terror, and a threat to America and to the world.

44 Iraq Defense Views Michael Smerconish, WPHT, Philadelphia, 2004 We haven t caught him (Osama bin Laden). Close doesn t count. We are capturing, we re killing a large number of terrorists and terrorist affiliates, which is a good thing, and it keeps them from killing more innocent men, women and children.

45 IRAQ Defense Views Defense Department Operational Briefing, 2004 The vast majority of the 25 million Iraqi people want freedom for their country. What we are witnessing today in Iraq is a power-play between those who favor terrorism and a return to oppression, and those determined to have freedom and self-government.

46 View on Counterterrorism British Prime Minister Tony Blair, 10 Sept Terrorism and weapons of mass destruction combine modern technology and political or religious fanaticism. If unchecked they will, as September 11 showed us, explode into disorder and chaos.

47 Terrorist Groups Terrorist Group Short Name Home Base al Qaeda al Qaeda Afghanistan Abu Sayyaf Group ASG Philippines Self-Defense Forces of Colombia AUC Colombia Communist Party of Nepal-Maoist CPN-M Nepal Revolutionary People's Liberation Party/Front DHKP/C Greece National Liberation Army ELN Colombia Basque Fatherland and Liberty ETA Spain Salafrist Group for Preaching and Combat GSPC France Islamic Resistance Movement Hamas West Bank & Gaza Party of God Hizballah Lebanon

48 Total International Terrorist Attacks Africa Asia Eurasia Latin America Middle East North America Western Europe

49 Total International Terror Casualties Africa 28 5, Asia ,281 Eurasia Latin America Middle East North America ,091 0 Western Europe

50 The Dynamic Nature of Terrorist Groups Factors that influence terrorist groups' capabilities Organizational Tools Operational Tools Ideology Command and control Leadership Weapons Recruitment pools Operational space Publicity Training Intelligence Technical expertise External weapon sources Sanctuary Money Deception skills

51 The Dynamic Nature of Terrorist Groups Anti-U.S. rhetoric and/or a stated goal of destabilizing important U.S. partners Association with another terrorist group that seeks to target U.S. citizens and institutions Explicitly anti-western ideology Targeting U.S. citizens and/or property to pursue a local agenda Specifically focusing attacks on U.S. targets - RAND Corporation, 2004

52 U.S. Strategy for the War on Terrorism Officials had for years been thinking about: Terrorism, Defense policy in the post-cold-war world, the spread of weapons of mass destruction and problem states such as Iraq, Iran, Libya and North Korea Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Douglas J. Feith, 2004

53 U.S. Strategy for the War on Terrorism Terrorism as crime, terrorism as war For years Americans were hit by terrorists. In the 1990s, Americans died and were injured in the: First World Trade Center bombing, Bombing of Khobar Towers in Saudi Arabia, Destruction of the U.S. s East Africa embassies and Bombing of the USS Cole in Yemen. Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Douglas J. Feith, 2004

54 U.S. Strategy for the War on Terrorism The Enemy Who is the enemy? The enemy is not a state or group of states. The enemy is a far-flung network of terrorist organizations and their state and non-state sponsors. Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Douglas J. Feith, 2004

55 U.S. Strategy for the War on Terrorism The U.S. strategy in the war on terrorism is to organize and help lead international efforts to deny terrorist groups systematically what they need to operate and survive, including: Safe havens, Leadership, Finances, Weapons (especially WMD), Ideological support and access to targets. Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Douglas J. Feith, 2004