The Monitor - January 2015 A Monthly Analysis of Trends in the Construction and Cement Industries

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U.S. Edition Vol 25 / No 1 Ed Sullivan > Chief Economist Group VP > esullivan@cement.org > (847) 972-96 Ralph Gozun > Market Intelligence Analyst > rgozun@cement.

1 U.S. Edition Vol 25 / No 1 Ed Sullivan > Chief Economist Group VP > esullivan@cement.org > (847) Ralph Gozun > Market Intelligence Analyst > rgozun@cement.org > (847) The - January 215 A Monthly Analysis of Trends in the Construction and Cement Industries Cement data for November 214 Focal Points U.S. Plant Information Summary Now Available According to the 213 Plant Information Summary, the U.S. cement industry operates 16 cement plants (99 clinker-producing and 7 grinding facilities). Other plant metrics covered in the Plant Information Summary include types of cement produced by plant, sources of raw material, and fuels used. Contact: Brian Schmidt (bschmidt@cement.org) Statistics at a Glance Portland Cement Consumption Nov-14 vs. Nov-13 = Masonry Cement Consumption Nov-14 vs. Nov-13 = Cement & Clinker Imports Nov-14 vs. Nov-13 = Mortgage Rates Nov-14 vs. Oct-14 = Housing Starts Nov-14 vs. Oct-14 = Nonresidential Construction Nov-14 vs. Oct-14 = Public Construction Nov-14 vs. Oct-14 = Executive Summary GDP (real, seasonally adjusted) grew 2.6% in the fourth quarter, after averaging nearly 4.8% in the previous two quarters. Without further revision, the entire 214 GDP grew at a rate of 2.4%, which had not been seen annually since 21 immediately following the recession. With the recent decline in oil prices and concurrent rise in the value of the dollar, consumer spending is playing a larger role on growth; however, this inevitably leads to greater import levels, which can cause net exports to become a drag on growth. Employment is trending in a positive direction as well. Despite a small moderation in growth for December, 214 saw over 2.5 million jobs created. The Conference Board Consumer Price Index ticked up in December, reflecting an increasingly positive mood about the job market and the economy as a whole. In January, consumer confidence surged its strongest level since 27 a possible indication of what to expect from the labor market in the coming month. Real seasonally adjusted U.S. construction spending was down 1.2% from year-ago levels in November and.4% from October. Nonresidential construction grew 1.2%, while residential activity fell 8.%. Public spending was up from November 213. Regional Summary Total Cement Consumption* November YTD Annual Percent Change New England 3.7% Middle Atlantic 3.8% East North Central 8.2% West North Central 5.2% South Atlantic 11.1% East South Central 3.5% West South Central 1.9% Mountain 6.4% Pacific 6.9% *Includes portland, blended, and masonry cement Portland cement consumption fell for the first time in a year (-.1%) from the same period the previous year, and -31.7% from October, bringing year-to-date growth to 7.9%. Masonry cement consumption was down 7.8% in November from 213 and -28.4% month-overmonth. Year-to-date masonry consumption was 4.9% above last year s level. Members can be added to the list by contacting econinfo@cement.org.

2 2 U.S. Cement Trends Legend: 12 Month Moving Average 3 Month Moving Average SAAR (Trend) Historical Annual Forecast Annual Data Through: November 215 Portland Cement (SAAR, MMT) Jan-7 Jan-8 Jan-9 Jan-1 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan Forecast Performance Portland Cement (MMT) Masonry Cement (SAAR, MMT) Forecast Performance Masonry Cement (MMT) Jan-7 Jan-8 Jan-9 Jan-1 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan Cement and Clinker Imports (SAAR, MMT) 5 Jan-7 Jan-8 Jan-9 Jan-1 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan Forecast Performance Cement and Clinker Imports Cement Intensity Ratio ( Tons per Real 29 Billion Construction Dollars) Jan-7 Jan-8 Jan-9 Jan-1 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Forecast Performance ( Tons per Real 29 Billion Construction Dollars)

3 Consumption of Portland Cement November ( Metric Tons) Includes Blended Cement CENSUS DIVISIONS Current Month % CHANGE Year-To-Date % CHANGE STATES / /13 NEW ENGLAND % 1, , , % Connecticut % % Maine % % Massachusetts % % New Hampshire % % Rhode Island % % Vermont % % MIDDLE ATLANTIC % 5, , , % New Jersey % 1,35.3 1, , % E. New York % % W. New York % % New York Metro % 1, , , % Total New York % 2, , , % E. Pennsylvania % 1,31.8 1, , % W. Pennsylvania % % Total Pennsylvania % 2, , , % EAST NORTH CENTRAL % 9, , , % Chicago Metro % 1,19.9 1, , % Illinois Non-Metro % 1, , , % Total Illinois % 2, , , % Indiana % 1, , , % Michigan % 1, , , % Ohio % 2, , , % Wisconsin % 1, , , % WEST NORTH CENTRAL % 8, , , % Iowa % 1, , , % Kansas % 1, ,14.1 1, % Minnesota % 1, , , % Missouri % 1, , , % Nebraska % 1, , , % North Dakota % , % South Dakota % % SOUTH ATLANTIC 1, , , % 11, , , % Delaware % % Washington DC % % Florida % 3, , , % Georgia % 1, , , % Maryland % , % North Carolina % 1, ,8.13 1, % South Carolina % 1, , , % Virginia % 1, , , % West Virginia % % EAST SOUTH CENTRAL % 3, , , % Alabama % % Kentucky % % Mississippi % % Tennessee % 1, , , % WEST SOUTH CENTRAL 1, , , % 15, , , % Arkansas % % Louisiana % 1, , , % Oklahoma % 1, , , % N. Texas % 5, , , % S. Texas % 6, , , % Total Texas 1, , % 11, , , % MOUNTAIN % 6,74.8 6, , % Arizona % 1,55.4 1, , % Colorado % 1, , , % Idaho % % Montana % % Nevada % , % New Mexico % % Utah % 1, , % Wyoming % % PACIFIC % 9, , , % Hawaii % % N. California % 2, , , % S. California % 4, , , % Total California % 6, , , % Oregon % % Washington % 1, , , % UNITED STATES 6, , , % 71, , , % Alaska % % Puerto Rico % % 214 Figures are Preliminary Sources: U.S. Geological Survey 3

4 Consumption of Masonry Cement 4 November ( Metric Tons) CENSUS DIVISIONS Current Month % CHANGE Year-To-Date % CHANGE STATES / /13 NEW ENGLAND % % Connecticut % % Maine % % Massachusetts % % New Hampshire % % Rhode Island % % Vermont % MIDDLE ATLANTIC % % New Jersey % % E. New York % % W. New York % % New York Metro % % Total New York % % E. Pennsylvania % % W. Pennsylvania % % Total Pennsylvania % % EAST NORTH CENTRAL % % Chicago Metro % % Illinois Non-Metro % % Total Illinois % % Indiana % % Michigan % % Ohio % % Wisconsin % % WEST NORTH CENTRAL % % Iowa % Kansas % % Minnesota % % Missouri % % Nebraska % North Dakota South Dakota SOUTH ATLANTIC % % Delaware % 72% % 55% Washington DC % Florida % % Georgia % % Maryland % % North Carolina % % South Carolina % % Virginia % % West Virginia % % EAST SOUTH CENTRAL % % Alabama % % Kentucky % % Mississippi % % Tennessee % % WEST SOUTH CENTRAL % % Arkansas % % Louisiana % % Oklahoma % % N. Texas % % S. Texas % % Total Texas % % MOUNTAIN % % Arizona % % Colorado % % Idaho % Montana % Nevada % % New Mexico % % Utah Wyoming PACIFIC % % Hawaii % % N. California % % S. California % % Total California % % Oregon % Washington % UNITED STATES % 1, , , % 214 Figures are Preliminary Sources: U.S. Geological Survey

5 5 Production of Portland Cement November ( Metric Tons) Includes Blended Cement CENSUS DIVISIONS Current Month % CHANGE Year-To-Date % CHANGE STATES / /13 NEW ENGLAND & MID ATLANTIC % 4,99. 5,69.1 5, % Maine and New York % 1, , , % Pennsylvania % 3,56.6 3,45.3 3, % EAST NORTH CENTRAL % 7, ,78.8 8, % Illinois % 1, ,64.4 1, % Indiana % 2,265. 2, , % Michigan and Wisconsin % 3, ,41.7 3, % Ohio % % WEST NORTH CENTRAL 1,135. 1, , % 12, , , % Iowa, Nebraska, South Dakota % 3,71.2 3,81.1 3, % Kansas % 1,611. 1, , % Missouri % 7, , , % SOUTH ATLANTIC¹ % 1, , , % Florida % 3, ,51.4 4, % Georgia, Maryland,Virginia, W. Virginia % 4, , ,982.2.% Puerto Rico % % South Carolina % 2, , , % EAST SOUTH CENTRAL % 5,16.9 5,11.6 5, % Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi, TN² % 5,16.9 5,11.6 5, % WEST SOUTH CENTRAL 1, % 11, , , % Arkansas and Oklahoma % 1,89.5 1, , % Texas, northern % 4, ,34.4 4, % Texas, southern % 5,231. 5, , % MOUNTAIN AND PACIFIC 1,297. 1, , % 15, , , % Arizona and New Mexico % 1,427. 1, , % California % 8,18. 8, , % Colorado and Wyoming % 2, , , % Idaho, Montana, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, Washington % 3,76.4 3, , % Foreign % 5,944. 5, , % UNITED STATES¹ 6, , , % 73, , , % Note: figures include cement produced from imported clinker ¹ Total excludes Puerto Rico ² USGS series definition change 214 Figures are Preliminary Sources: U.S. Geological Survey

6 6 U.S. Cement and Clinker Imports By Port of Entry November ( Metric Tons) CENSUS DIVISIONS Current Month % CHANGE Year-To-Date % CHANGE STATES / /13 NEW ENGLAND % % Boston, MA Portland, ME % % Providence, RI St. Albans, VT % % MIDDLE ATLANTIC % 1, , , % Baltimore, MD % % Buffalo, NY % % New York, NY % % Ogdensburg, NY % % Philadelphia, PA % % SOUTH ATLANTIC % % Charleston, SC % Norfolk, VA % % Savannah, GA % % Wilmington, NC % % FLORIDA >999% % Miami, FL >999% % Tampa, FL % GULF COAST % ,17.7 1, % Houston-Galveston, TX % ,81.5 1, % Mobile, AL % New Orleans, LA >999% % Port Arthur, TX MEXICAN BORDER % % El Paso, TX % % Laredo, TX % % Nogales, AZ CALIFORNIA % % Los Angeles, CA % % San Diego, CA % % San Francisco, CA % % NORTHWEST % 1,3.6 1, , % Portland, OR % % Seattle, WA % ,68.3 1, % CANADIAN BORDER % % Great Falls, MT % Pembina, ND % % GREAT LAKES % 1,61.9 1, , % Chicago, IL % % Cleveland, OH % % Detroit, MI % % Duluth-Minneapolis, MN % Milwaukee, WI OFFSHORE % % Anchorage, AK % % Honolulu, HI % % San Juan, PR >999% % Virgin Islands % TOTAL U.S % 6, ,68.4 7, % Includes: Clinker, White, Portland, Aluminous, and Other Hydraulic Cement Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, International Trade Division

7 7 U.S. Cement and Clinker Imports By Country of Origin November -YTD ( Metric Tons) SOURCE % CHANGE /12 African Continent >999% Australia, New Zealand Austria Belgium, Luxembourg Brazil Canada 3, ,23.4 3, ,4. 3, , % Caribbean >999% Central America China, Taiwan , % Colombia >999% Denmark % Peru, Ecuador, Chile Finland France % Germany % Greece % Indonesia Italy % Japan % Mexico % Netherlands % Norway Middle East % Philippines Republic of Korea , , , , % Romania Russia, Former Republics Spain,Portugal % Sweden % Switzerland Thailand % Trinidad Turkey,Cyprus % United Kingdom % Venezuela Yugoslavia, Bulgaria,Croatia % TOTAL U.S. 6, , ,1.2 6, ,68.5 7, % Includes: Clinker, White, Portland, Aluminous, and Other Hydraulic Cement Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, International Trade Division

8 8 Economic Indicators N Jul 14 Aug 14 Sep 14 Oct 14 Nov 14 N Nov 13 NATIONAL STATISTICS Industrial Production (%ch) Capacity Utilization Rate Unemployment Rate Consumer Price Index (%ch) Wholesale Price Index (%ch) U.S. Dollar (Trade weighted index) FINANCIAL MARKETS (%) 3 Month Treasury Bill Year Government Bond Mortgage Commitment Rate HOUSING MARKETS Total Housing Starts (Mils.) Single Family Multifamily Northeast Region North Central Region South Region West Region Total Housing Permits (Mils.) Single Family Multifamily Existing Home Sales (Mils.) New Home Sales (Mils.) Northeast Region Nortcentral Region South Region West Region New Housing Supply (Inventory in Months) Housing Affordability Index (Composite Index, Base=1) GENERAL CONSTRUCTION INDICATORS Construction Employment (,SA) Construction Supplies Production (% ch) New Orders (Bils. of $) Unfilled Orders (Bils. of $) Note: Data is seasonally adjusted annual rate unless otherwise indicated

9 9 Construction Put-in-Place N (Real 29$) Jul 14 Aug 14 Sep 14 Oct 14 Nov 14 Nov 13 Total Residential Buildings New Housing Single Family Multifamily Improvements Nonresidential Buildings Manufacturing Office Lodging Health Care Religious Education Commercial Public Utility & Other Farm Nonresidential Miscellaneous Public Construction Buildings Highway & Street Public Safety Conservation Sewage & Waste Disposal Water Supply Percent Change - Year Ago Jul 14 Aug 14 Sep 14 Oct 14 Nov 14 Nov 13 Total 1.1%.1%.%.1% -1.2% 3.9% Residential Buildings -2.6% -6.% -7.4% -6.6% -8.% 7.7% New Housing 6.4% 4.8% 6.3% 8.7% 7.2% 14.8% Single Family 1.8%.8% 2.6% 5.8% 5.3% 11.5% Multifamily 31.6% 26.3% 25.4% 22.9% 16.3% 33.5% Improvements -16.5% -22.9% -28.4% -3.1% -31.6% -1.6% Nonresidential Buildings 7.5% 9.1% 12.9% 11.7% 1.2% 7.6% Manufacturing 1.9% 1.4% 2.9% 24.2% 18.7% -1.5% Office 13.5% 15.8% 17.% 15.7% 11.6% 16.7% Lodging 8.% 7.% 12.8% 1.3% 5.5% 35.% Health Care -8.6% -7.1% -7.1% -8.2% -3.6% -6.5% Religious -2.2% -3.4% -3.3% -9.8% -5.3% -5.% Education -7.6% -3.1% -1.1% -6.7% 3.2% -4.7% Commercial 15.1% 17.8% 18.8% 15.5% 12.3% 18.9% Public Utility & Other 1.3% 8.% 1.5% -2.4% -6.5% 5.6% Farm Nonresidential -8.2% -6.8% -7.1% -7.2% -7.8% -.4% Miscellaneous -2.4%.1% -2.8% 1.8% -.9%.7% Public Construction -1.5% -1.4%.7% 1.2% 2.4% -4.3% Buildings -4.7% -3.5%.4% -2.2% -1.8% -1.2% Highway & Street -.6% -1.1%.6% 4.6% 6.7% 2.7% Public Safety 1.1% -3.5% -7.7% -.6% -13.5% 1.3% Conservation 23.9% 27.% 3.2% 28.9% 22.1% -.8% Sewage & Waste Disposal 5.6%.5% -1.4%.5% 11.9% -7.8% Water Supply -6.1% -2.2% -.7% -4.1% -4.4% 3.6% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Economic Analysis, PCA

10 1 Annual Construction Put-in-Place N (Real 29$) YTD¹ Total Residential Buildings New Housing Single Family Multifamily Improvements Nonresidential Buildings Manufacturing Office Lodging Health Care Religious Education Commercial Public Utility & Other Farm Nonresidential Miscellaneous Public Construction Buildings Highway & Street Public Safety Conservation Sewage & Waste Disposal Water Supply Percent Change - Year Ago YTD¹ Total -8.2% -14.6% -1.4% -4.2% 6.4% 1.9% 1.9% Residential Buildings -26.8% -26.7% -1.3% 1.5% 13.9% 12.% -1.2% New Housing -33.% -39.3% -3.4% -3.9% 24.2% 23.4% 7.9% Single Family -37.2% -4.8% 8.6% -4.6% 21.1% 21.2% 4.7% Multifamily -6.6% -32.8% -47.7% 1.7% 46.7% 36.6% 25.1% Improvements -1.9% -2.7% 1.2% 7.6% 3.4% -2.% -15.1% Nonresidential Buildings 3.9% -22.3% -28.3% -3.7% 1.5% 3.9% 7.7% Manufacturing 24.7% 4.7% -27.7% -4.2% 14.9% 3.5% 1.9% Office.5% -32.3% -32.2% -3.7% 14.1% 7.5% 15.6% Lodging 25.9% -24.8% -53.9% -25.6% 26.7% 22.9% 11.7% Health Care 3.6% -.8% -8.5% -4.% 3.3% -8.% -9.4% Religious -6.3% -1.3% -11.3% -2.3% -12.3% -12.3% -9.% Education 6.5% -15.2% -2.1% 2.% 12.9% -.9% -5.3% Commercial -1.6% -42.3% -28.3% 6.% 5.2% 7.1% 13.% Public Utility & Other 9.8%.4% -14.% -7.6% 18.9% -12.5% 11.9% Farm Nonresidential 28.% -15.8% -5.7% 8.7% 4.5% -4.7% -9.9% Miscellaneous 2.1% 2.6% -4.8% -9.8%.1% 5.6%.5% Public Construction 2.3% -.5% -3.8% -8.% -6.8% -6.4% -1.6% Buildings 2.4% -1.7% -6.8% -6.8% -9.2% -11.4% -5.4% Highway & Street 2.4% 1.9%.% -7.1% -2.1% -1.1% 2.% Public Safety 23.7% 6.4% -19.5% -9.8% -4.6% -1.4% -5.8% Conservation -6.8% 1.4% 21.9%.3% -18.6% -8.4% 21.9% Sewage & Waste Disposal -3.2% -2.9% 2.3% -16.6% -6.1% -3.%.9% Water Supply -.7% -7.2% -3.2% -11.8% -9.7% 2.7% -7.7% 1 Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Economic Analysis, PCA

11 Single Family/Multifamily Building Permits 11 November -YTD CENSUS DIVISIONS Single Family % CHANGE Multifamily % CHANGE STATES ( of Units) (Number of Units) / /13 NEW ENGLAND % 16,512 17,562 17,32-1.4% Connecticut % 15,75 17,123 16, % Maine % % Massachusetts % % New Hampshire % % Rhode Island % % Vermont % % MIDDLE ATLANTIC % 1,764 2,73 3, % New Jersey % % New York % % Pennsylvania % 1,19 1,849 2,17 14.% EAST NORTH CENTRAL % 2,987 2,666 2, % Illinois % % Indiana % % Michigan % % Ohio % % Wisconsin % 1, % WEST NORTH CENTRAL % 2,777 2,458 2, % Iowa % % Kansas % % Minnesota % % Missouri % % Nebraska % % North Dakota % % South Dakota % % SOUTH ATLANTIC % 7,222 6,689 5, % Delaware % % Washington DC % % Florida % >999% Georgia % 2,21 2,88 1, % Maryland % % North Carolina % % South Carolina % 2,85 1,47 1, % Virginia % % West Virginia % 1, % EAST SOUTH CENTRAL % % Alabama % % Kentucky % % Mississippi % % Tennessee % % WEST SOUTH CENTRAL % , % Arkansas % % Louisiana % % Oklahoma % % Texas % % MOUNTAIN % 6,378 6,324 7, % Arizona % 4,74 4,55 4,5 -.1% Colorado % % Idaho % 98 1, % Montana % % Nevada % % New Mexico % % Utah % % Wyoming % , % PACIFIC* % 1,793 4,47 4, % California % % Hawaii % % Oregon % 1,773 3,998 4, % Washington % >999% UNITED STATES* % 4,97 43,952 44, % N b * Excludes Alaska Source: U.S. Census Bureau

12 12 Portland Cement Consumption (Percent Change - 214/213) November Year-to-Date U.S. = 7.9% N Mountain West North Central East North Central New England Middle Atlantic District of Columbia Pacific West South Central East South Central South Atlantic -5.1% and below -.1% to -5.% + to 5.% +5.1% and above Construction Materials Indicators Nov-14 Oct-14 Sep-14 Aug-14 Jul-14 Nov-13 Industrial Production (Index 1997=1) Cement & Concrete Products % Change.6% -1.7%.3%.% 3.5% -- Cement % Change --.3% 4.% -2.3% 4.% -- Iron & Steel Products % Change -3.% 1.7% 2.% -3.% 2.7% -- Construction Steel % Change -14.4% 3.% 4.4% -3.3% 9.3% -- Producer Price Index (Year-Year % Change) Lumber and Wood Clay Products Steel Mill Products Asphalt Paving Mixtures Concrete Products Ready-Mixed Concrete Source: Federal Reserve Board, Bureau of Labor Statistics

13 13 Member Companies Alamo Cement Company American Cement Company, LLC Argos USA Corporation Ash Grove Cement Company Buzzi Unicem USA Inc. CalPortland Capitol Aggregates, Ltd. CEMEX Ciment Quebec, Inc. Continental Cement Drake Cement LLC Essroc Cement Corp. Federal White Cement Ltd. GCC of America, Inc. Lafarge North America Inc Lehigh Hanson, Inc. Mitsubishi Cement Corporation The Monarch Cement Company National Cement Company, Inc. Phoenix Cement Company (Salt River Materials Group) St. Marys Cement, Inc. (Canada)/VCNA St. Marys Cement, Inc. (U.S.)/VCNA Suwannee American Cement/VCNA Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. Titan America LLC As of Market Intelligence Group Edward J. Sullivan, Chief Economist & Group Vice President Dave Zwicke, Director of Economics Old Orchard Road Andrew Moss, Sr. Market Intelligence Analyst Skokie, Illinois Brian Schmidt, Sr. Market Intelligence Analyst Fax Joseph T. Chiappe, Sr. Market Intelligence Analyst Ralph Gozun, Market Intelligence Analyst Karen A. Arneson, Market Intelligence Specialist The may not be electronically redistributed or reproduced, in whole or in part, without authorization of the Portland Cement Association. 214 Portland Cement Association

Online Job Demand Up 106,500 in November, The Conference Board Reports

Online Job Demand Up 106,500 in November, The Conference Board Reports News Release For further information: Frank Tortorici (212) 339-0231 Gad Levanon (212) 339-0317 June Shelp (212) 339-0369 For Immediate Release 10:00 AM ET, Wednesday, December 2, 2009 Release #5390 Online