2008 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Ph.D., Political Science Dissertation: Intelligence-Policy Relations and the Problem of Politicization

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1 JOSHUA ROVNER Department of Political Science Southern Methodist University Carr Collins Hall, Second Floor 3300 University Blvd Dallas, TX Office: EDUCATION 2008 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Ph.D., Political Science Dissertation: Intelligence-Policy Relations and the Problem of Politicization 2002 Boston College M.A., Political Science Thesis: The Logic of Military Modernization 1998 University of California, San Diego B.A., Political Science ACADEMIC EMPLOYMENT Southern Methodist University John Goodwin Tower Distinguished Chair in International Politics and National Security Associate Professor, Department of Political Science Director of Studies, Tower Center for Political Studies Director, Policy and Law Program, Deason Institute for Cyber Security Acting Director, Tower Center for Political Studies ( ) U.S. Naval War College Associate Professor, Department of Strategy and Policy ( ) Assistant Professor, Department of Strategy and Policy ( ) Columbia University Adjunct Professor, School of International and Public Affairs Williams College Stanley Kaplan Postdoctoral Fellow, Department of Political Science 2006 College of the Holy Cross Lecturer, Department of Political Science Clark University Visiting Professor, Department of Government and International Relations 1

2 COURSES TAUGHT Undergraduate: American Foreign Policy Introduction to International Relations America and the World after 9/11 Intelligence and National Security Nuclear Weapons and World Politics Gateway to Global Policy Strategy Graduate: Strategy and Policy Strategy and War Nuclear Strategy Intelligence and Foreign Policy OTHER EMPLOYMENT MIT Seminar XXI Research Assistant 2004 Harvard University National Security Fellows Program Writing Coach 2003 RAND Corporation Research Associate 2001 Project on Defense Alternatives - Research Assistant PUBLICATIONS Book Fixing the Facts: National Security and the Politics of Intelligence (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 2011). Winner of the ISSS Best Book Award, presented by the International Studies Association; and the Edgar S. Furniss Book Award, presented by the Mershon Center for International Security Studies, Ohio State University. Strategy and Grand Strategy: The Meaning of Victory in War and Peace (in progress). Articles Recklessness or Restraint? Nuclear Weapons and Conventional War in Asia, under review. Less is More: The Future of the U.S. Military in the Persian Gulf, with Caitlin Talmadge, The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 37, No. 3 (Fall 2014), pp Hegemony, Force Posture, and the Provision of Public Goods: The Once and Future Role of Outside Powers in Securing Persian Gulf Oil, with Caitlin Talmadge, Security Studies, Vol. 23, No. 3 (July-September 2014), pp Delusion of Defeat: The United States and Iraq, , Journal of Strategic Studies, Vol. 37, No. 4 (August 2014), pp Intelligence in the Twitter Age, International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence, 2

3 Vol. 26, No. 2 (Summer 2013), pp Is Politicization Ever a Good Thing? Intelligence and National Security, Vol. 28, No. 1 (Spring 2013), pp Reprinted in Stephen Marrin, ed., Revisiting Intelligence and Policy Problems with Politicization and Receptivity (London: Routledge, 2014). The Heroes of COIN, Orbis, Vol. 56, No. 2 (Spring 2012), pp Campaign Tactics and American Grand Strategy in the Election of 2008, White House Studies, Vol. 9, No. 1 (Spring 2009), pp The Perils of Shallow Theory: Intelligence Reform and the 9/11 Commission, with Austin Long, International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence, Vol. 18, No. 4 (Winter ), pp Preparing for a Nuclear Iran: The Role of the CIA, Strategic Insights, Vol. 4, No. 11 (November 2005). Theories of Failure and Intelligence Reform: Evaluating the 9/11 Commission Report, with Austin Long, Breakthroughs, Vol. 14, No. 1 (Spring 2005), pp Book Chapters Cross-Domain Deterrence and the Peloponnesian War, in Jon R. Lindsay and Erik Gartzke, eds., Cross-Domain Deterrence (in review). After America: The Flow of Persian Gulf Oil in the Absence of U.S. Military Force in Charles Glaser and Rose Kelanic, eds. Crude Calculus: Reexamining the Oil Logic of America s Military Presence in the Persian Gulf (Washington, D.C.: Georgetown University Press, forthcoming). Questions about COIN after Iraq and Afghanistan, in Celeste Ward Gventner, et al., The New Counterinsurgency Era in Critical Perspective (London: Palgrave MacMillan, 2014). Strategy, keynote essay in Timothy J. Lynch, ed., Oxford Encyclopedia of American Military and Diplomatic History (New York: Oxford University Press, 2012), pp After Proliferation: Deterrence Theory and Emerging Nuclear Powers, in Toshi Yoshihara and James R. Holmes, eds., Strategy in the Second Nuclear Age: Power, Ambition, and the Ultimate Weapon (Washington, D.C.: Georgetown University Press, 2012). Intelligence and the Wars in Iraq, in Heather S. Gregg, Hy S. Rothstein, and John Arquilla, eds., The Three Circles of War: Understanding the Dynamics of Conflict in Iraq (Washington, DC: Potomac, 2010). Pathologies of Intelligence Producer-Consumer Relations, in Robert A. Denemark, ed., International Studies Association Compendium Project (Oxford: Blackwell, 2010). 3

4 Other Publications Response to a roundtable review of Joshua Rovner, Fixing the Facts: National Security and the Politics of Intelligence, in H-Diplo, Roundtable, Vol. III, No. 17 (July 2012). Intelligence, Policy, and the War in Iraq, CIPS Policy Brief, No.18 (University of Ottawa, Center for International Policy Studies, June 2012). AirSea Battle and Escalation Risks, Policy Brief, No. 12 (La Jolla, CA: UC San Diego Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, January 2012). Fixing the Facts or Missing the Mark? Intelligence, Policy, and the War in Iraq, Foreign Policy Research Institute, E-Note, October Dominoes on the Durand Line? Overcoming Strategic Myths in Afghanistan and Pakistan, with Austin Long, Foreign Policy Briefing, No. 92 (Washington, DC: Cato Institute, June 2011). Intelligence, in Mark E. Rushesfky, ed., Encyclopedia of Issues in U.S. Public Policy, (Farmington Hills, MI: Thompson-Gale Publishing, forthcoming). Correspondence: How Intelligent is Intelligence Reform? with Austin Long and Amy B. Zegart, International Security, Vol. 30, No. 4 (Spring 2006), pp Why Intelligence Isn t to Blame for September 11, MIT Center for International Studies, Audit of the Conventional Wisdom, No (November 2005). Encyclopedia of United States National Security, ed. Richard J. Samuels (Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 2005). Contributed articles on Coercive Diplomacy, Compellence, Guerilla Warfare, Information Warfare, Political Assassination, Psychological Warfare, Public Diplomacy, Special Forces, and Voice of America. Reviews Review of Michael S. Goodman, The Official History of the Joint Intelligence Committee (London, UK: Routledge, 2014), in H-Diplo, Volume VIII, No. 2 (2015). Introduction to roundtable review of Stéfanie von Hlatky, American Allies in Times of War: The Great Asymmetry (Oxford University Press, 2013), in H-Diplo, Vol. VII, No. 6 (2014). Review of Hal Brands, What Good is Grand Strategy? Power and Purpose in American Statecraft from Harry S. Truman to George W. Bush (Cornell University Press, 2014), in H-Diplo, Vol. VII, No. 2 (2014). Review of Paul Bracken, The Second Nuclear Age: Strategy, Danger, and the New Power Politics (New York, NY: Times Books, 2012), in H-Diplo, Vol. VI, No 8 (May 2014). 4

5 Review of Francis J. Gavin, Nuclear Statecraft: History and Strategy in America s Atomic Age (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 2012). Reviewed as part of a roundtable in H- Diplo, Volume XV, No. 1 (September 2013) Review of Stephen Marrin, The 9/11 Terrorist Attacks: A Failure of Policy Not Strategic Intelligence Analysis, and Scott Lucas, Recognising Politicisation: The CIA and the Path to the 2003 War in Iraq, both in Intelligence and National Security. Vol. 26, Nos. 2-3 (April-June 2011). Reviewed as part of a roundtable in H-Diplo, Vol. 3, No. 6 (2011). Review of Michael S. Gerson, No First Use: The Next Step for U.S. Nuclear Policy, International Security, Vol. 35, No. 2 (Fall 2010), pp. 7-47, in H-Diplo 6 (February 4, 2011). Introduction to roundtable review of Richard K. Betts, Enemies of Intelligence, H-Diplo, Volume IX, No. 15 (July 2008). Review of Mikkel Vedby Rasmussen, The Risk Society at War: Terror, Technology and Strategy in the Twenty-First Century (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2006), in The Journal of Politics, Vol. 69, No. 4 (November 2007), pp Review of Richard A. Posner, Uncertain Shield: The US Intelligence System in the Throes of Reform (Lanham, MD: Rowan and Littlefield, 2006), in The Journal of Strategic Studies, Vol. 29, No. 6 (December 2006), pp Commentary Searching for Strategy in Putin s Russia, War on the Rocks (online), September 13, Is Someone Politicizing Intelligence on ISIS? Political Violence at a Glance (online), August 28, Dealing with Putin s Strategic Incompetence, War on the Rocks (online) August 15, The Danger of Politicized Intelligence after a Nuclear Deal, Lawfare (online), May 10, Did the New Spooks on the Block Really Fix U.S. Intelligence? with Austin Long, Foreign Policy (online), April 27, An Intel Success: Tracking Iran s Nuclear Program, The National Interest, April 16, Why U.S. Intelligence is Right about Iran, The Washington Post, Monkey Cage blog, April 13, Why Did the United States Leak Its Own War Plan in Iraq? And Will It Work? with Caitlin Talmadge, The Washington Post, Monkey Cage blog, February 27, Hidden Victories, Lawfare (online), February 8,

6 Never Mind ISIS and Putin Asia matters more to U.S. strategy, Dallas Morning News, November 5, The Strategic Value of Threat Deflation, Lawfare (online), October 5, For America s Military, Less is More in the Middle East, The National Interest (online), September 10, For the U.S. Military, Less is More in the Persian Gulf, Dallas Morning News, September 9, What Ukraine means for how we study war, The Washington Post, Monkey Cage blog, August 4, Putin s Grand Strategy is Failing, The Washington Post, Monkey Cage blog, July 20, `Exclusive on NSA Surveillance Reveals Almost Nothing New, War on the Rocks (online), July 8, The Real Obama Doctrine? Muddling Through, The National Interest (online), June 3, What to Say to Russia, The National Interest (online), March 14, Putin s Crimea Blunder, The National Interest (online), March 6, Obama Sidesteps Phony NSA Debate, The National Interest (online), January 24, Reckless Reforms, with Austin Long, Foreign Policy (online), January 2, To Avoid Failure, You Must Recognize Success, Dallas Morning News, November 1, Three Paths to Nuclear Escalation with China, The National Interest (online), July 19, The Heroes of COIN, The National Interest (online), March 12, "After Proliferation: How to Deter Iran When it Goes Nuclear," The National Interest (online), November 21, "After Prevention: Prospects for Deterrence in the Wake of a Nuclear Strike on Iran," The National Interest (online), November 28, David Petraeus and the Afghanistan Report Card, The National Interest (online), October 18, Faulty Intelligence, Foreign Policy (online), June 23, Our Current Strategy in Afghanistan is Built on Strategic Myths, The National Interest (online), June 14, There s No Checklist for Counterinsurgency, with Tim Hoyt, Foreign Policy (online), November 18,

7 The Public Politics of Intelligence Reports, Boston Globe, September 28, 2006, p. A9. CONFERENCES ORGANIZED The United States and China: Strategy, Competition, and Innovation, Tower Center, SMU, November 5-6, Making Strategy under Budget Austerity: Regional Threats and Practical Responses, Tower Center, SMU, October 30-31, ISSS/ISAC 2010: The Annual Joint Meeting of the International Security Studies Section (ISA) and International Security and Arms Control Section (APSA), (program chair). Providence, RI, October 14-16, In from the Cold: Richard K. Betts and the Renaissance of Intelligence Studies, Williams College, Williamstown, MA, April 11-12, CONFERENCE PAPERS AND INVITED PRESENTATIONS Recklessness or Restraint? Nuclear Weapons and Conventional War in Asia Keio University, Tokyo, Japan, May MIT Security Studies Program, November ISSS/ISAC, Springfield, MA, October University of Indiana, Center on American and Global Security, September American Political Science Association, San Francisco, CA, September RMIT University, Melbourne, Australia, January Does the Internet Need a Hegemon? Harvard University, Belfer Center, March International Studies Association, Atlanta, GA, March International Studies Association, New Orleans, LA, February "Fixing the Facts: National Security and the Politics of Intelligence" 92nd Street Y, New York City, February Denver Council on Foreign Relations, January Mershon Center, Ohio State University, November Southern Methodist University, Tower Center, March 2013 Naval War College, Newport, RI, March 2013 Rhode Island Society of the Order of Founders and Patriots of America, March World Affairs Council of Northwestern Michigan, February Bells Lecture, Naval War College Museum, December International Association for Intelligence Education, May University of Ottawa, Centre for International Policy Studies, April Boston College, Clough Center and Dept. of Political Science, February University of Texas, Strauss Center, October Cato Institute, October American Political Science Association, September Princeton University, Center for International Security Studies, April

8 MIT Lincoln Laboratories, May Syracuse University, Maxwell School, December Strategy and Grand Strategy in the Middle East University of Denver, Korbel School, January World Affairs Council of Dallas-Fort Worth, January National Security in the Next Administration Dallas Women s Club, January Carleton University/National Defence/CSIS, Ottawa, December Hegemony, Force Posture, and the Provision of Public Goods: The Once and Future Role of Outside Powers in Securing Persian Gulf Oil ISSS/ISAC, Austin, TX, November American Political Science Association, August SMU Tower Center, October ISSS/ISAC, Washington, DC, October Intelligence-Policy Relations and India s Nuclear Program: ISSS/ISAC, Springfield, MA, October Nuclear Proliferation Education Center, Washington, D.C., July 2015; November Grand Strategy after the Cold War, Gilder Lehman Institute, Dallas, TX, July Privacy in Free Society, (symposium participant), Liberty Fund, Washington, D.C., May Strategy, Grand Strategy, and the Vietnam War, International Studies Association, New Orleans, LA, February Cross-Domain Deterrence and the Peloponnesian War UC San Diego, November ISSS/ISAC, Austin, TX, November American Political Science Association, Washington, DC, August America Abroad: Examining U.S. Foreign Policy and Current World Crises Hatton Sumners Foundation, Dallas, TX, November Political Science Symposium, SMU, September The Way Forward: Reform and the Future of Intelligence, University of Texas, October Debating the Obama Administration s Foreign Policy, Alexander Hamilton Society, SMU, October Cybercrime and Cyberattacks, North Texas Crime Commission Cybercrime Summit, Dallas, TX, October The Heroes of COIN TEDxSMU, April U.S. Air War College, October ISA-New England, Providence, RI, November International Studies Association, March

9 Intelligence in the Twitter Age International Studies Association, March American Political Science Association, August-September International Studies Association, April Strategy and SIGINT: Putting the NSA Controversy in Context, SMU Tower Center, November Air Sea Battle and the Danger of Nuclear Escalation, Alexander Hamilton Society, Washington, D.C., November "Fixing the Facts: National Security and the Politics of Intelligence," Mershon Center, Ohio State University, November Why American Foreign Policy Should Not Promote International Religious Freedom, Alexander Hamilton Society, University of Dallas, November Diplomacy, Alliances and War: Anglo-American Perspectives on History and Strategy in the September 11th Era (workshop participant), Clements Center, University of Texas, November Delusion of Defeat: The United States and Iraq, , ISSS/ISAC, Washington, DC, October New Approaches to Intelligence Analysis, (panel chair and discussant), ISSS/ISAC, Washington, DC, October "Nuclear Scholars Research Initiative Workshop," (workshop participant), Woodrow Wilson Center/University of Texas joint conference, October "Intelligence and the 'Surge' in Iraq," American Political Science Association, August-September After Proliferation: Deterrence Theory and Emerging Nuclear Powers MIT Lincoln Laboratories, May International Studies Association, March ISSS/ISAC, October American Political Science Association, September "Carnegie Cult of the Irrelevant Project: Meeting #1, (workshop participant), Carnegie Corporation/University of Notre Dame/University of Texas joint conference, February Security and Stability in the Gulf: Is a Hegemon Required? George Washington University, Institute for Security and Conflict Studies, December Comments on U.S. Policy during the Nixon-Kissinger Era, Triangle Institute for Security Studies, Duke University, November Deterring a Nuclear Iran: Two Scenarios George Washington University, Inst. for Security and Conflict Studies, September

10 Defense Intelligence Agency, June Cato Institute, March ISA-New England, November ISSS/ISAC, October If not COIN, What? University of Texas, Strauss Center for Law and Diplomacy, June Calibrated Deterrence and the Navy, Chief of Naval Operations Executive Panel, May Deterrence in an Era of Parity, State Department/Williams College joint conference on foreign policy in the Nixon administration, March Three Questions about Strategy, Escuela de Inteligencia y Contrainteligencia, Bogota, Colombia, February Three Questions about Intelligence, Escuela de Inteligencia y Contrainteligencia, Bogota, Colombia, February AirSea Battle and Escalation Risks, University of California Institute on Global Conflict, UC San Diego, September Evaluating Intelligence Reform, (roundtable), American Political Science Association, September Dominoes on the Durand Line? Overcoming Strategic Myths in Afghanistan and Pakistan, Cato Institute, June Is Politicization ever a Good Thing? International Studies Association, March Public Opinion and Strategic Choice in War, (panel chair and organizer), American Political Science Association, September Intelligence, Policy, and Public Opinion in the Vietnam War, American Political Science Association, September Comments on Competitive Strategies in History, Developing Competitive Strategies conference, U.S. Naval War College, August Neoclassical Realism and Intelligence, International Studies Association, February International Relations Theory and Intelligence Studies (panel chair and organizer), International Studies Association, February Politically Biased Intelligence: Causes and Consequences, International Studies Association, February Intelligence and Strategy in the Vietnam War: Two Episodes, U.S. Naval War College, June Pathologies of Intelligence Producer-Consumer Relations, International Studies Association, March

11 Intelligence-Policy Relations and the Problem of Politicization, Naval Postgraduate School, January Intelligence-Policy Relations and the War in Iraq, University of South Carolina, December Is War between China and the U.S. Inevitable? Williams College, International Studies Colloquium, September What will it take to Save Darfur? Williams College, International Studies Colloquium, April FELLOWSHIPS AND AWARDS 2014 NSF Award #SES , Exploring Trade-offs in Cyber Offense and Defense Through the Lenses of Computer and Political Science, co-pi, $210, Edgar S. Furniss Book Award, Mershon Center, Ohio State University 2012 ISSS Best Book Award, International Studies Association 2008 Lucian Pye Award for Outstanding Dissertation in Political Science, MIT Stanley Kaplan Postdoctoral Fellowship, Williams College 2006 Moody grant, Lyndon B. Johnson Foundation 2001 Research grant, Bradley Institute for the Study of Politics, Boston College SERVICE AND PROFESSIONAL ACTIVITIES Reviews Editor: The Journal of Strategic Studies, Board Memberships: Executive Board, International Security and Arms Control Section (APSA), ; Board, JNO. E. Owens Memorial Foundation, Member: American Political Science Association, International Studies Association, Dallas Committee on Foreign Relations Chair: Kenneth N. Waltz Prize for Best Ph.D. Dissertation in International Security (APSA), PhD Advising: Matteo Faini (Princeton University) Faculty Advisor: Columbia University School of International and Public Affairs Capstone Program, 2013; Alexander Hamilton Society of SMU,

12 Referee: International Security, Security Studies, The Journal of Strategic Studies, International Studies Quarterly, International Studies Perspectives, World Politics, Intelligence and National Security, Political Psychology, Presidential Studies Quarterly, Terrorism and Political Violence, Journal of Global Security Studies, Naval War College Review, International Relations of the Asia-Pacific, Cornell University Press, Oxford University Press, Stanford University Press, Cambridge University Press, University of Chicago Press, Polity Press, International Studies Association Compendium Project, Kenneth N. Waltz Prize for Best Ph.D. Dissertation in International Security (APSA), Grawemeyer Book Award. University committees: The Jack C. and Annette K. Vaughn Foreign Service and International Affairs Internship selection committee, 2013-, The Colin Powell Faculty Fellowship Committee, 2014-, Tower Center Postdoctoral Fellow Selection Committee (chair), 2013-, Tower Center Latino Politics Postdoctoral Fellow Selection Committee (chair), Dedman College Tenure and Promotion Committee, Tower Center Faculty Advisory Board, 2013-, Tower Scholars Faculty Advisory Board, REFERENCES Barry R. Posen Ford Professor of Political Science Massachusetts Institute of Technology Director, MIT Security Studies Program Office: Francis J. Gavin Frank Stanton Chair in Nuclear Security Policy Studies Professor of Political Science Massachusetts Institute of Technology Office: (617) James McAllister Professor of Political Science Director, Kaplan Program in Foreign Policy Williams College Office: Richard K. Betts Leo A. Shifrin Professor of War and Peace Studies and Arnold A. Saltzman Professor of War and Peace Studies Director of the Saltzman Institute of War and Peace Studies Columbia University Office: (212)

13 Timothy Hoyt John N. Brown Chair in Counterterrorism Professor of Strategy and Policy U.S. Naval War College Office: (401)