SELECTING THE WAY OF MEASURING THE PRICE EVOLUTION USING THE METHOD OF INDICES

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1 SEECTING THE WAY OF MEASURING THE RICE EVOUTION USING THE METHOD OF INDICES Mha GHEORGHE Aac The ce dce hae a log hoy ad a lage aey of ue fom he adume of he wage eo ad ayme cluded a log-em coac he defl ao of aggegae Naoal Accou o he elaoao of ecoomc olce. Hag def ed he uoe of he dex we`ll hae o chooe he age dex ad he calculao fomula h oeao eg caed ou aed o he oeed ce ad o he uay ad ualy wegh. I he acal acce he ce dex ofe calculaed y aggegag he elemeay dce ug he weghed ahmec mea ug aual wegh fom a eod ha eou o he efeece eod. I h uao he ueo aou he ole mac of he wegh udae (y ce) o he eeao of ce dce ecome legmae alo he ueo aou he fl uece of ug h aoach o meaug he ce chage. We ca ge a ole awe o h ueo ug he owe ad Youg dce oduced y he Coume ce Idex eaoal maual. Key wod: flao ce dce coume ce weghg yem efeece eod cue eod udae. *** The e of amg fo a age dex moa fo a lea wo eao. Amg fo a deal age lead o a ee efeece fo he calculao of he fuue dexe. I eceay o e a meauale age ha ale o uafy he alue of ay acal doo: he dffeece ewee wha effecely meaued ad wha hould e meaued. Ee he age dex cao e calculaed eal me ca e comled afewad whe he eceay daa ecome aalale. ole age fo meaug he fl ao Whe he ma uoe of he dex meaug he flao o he ue ce chage ca e agued ha he deal dex could e a ake- Rea Româă de Sacă. 8 /

2 ye oe of h ye: ( ) o. The dex of h ye meaue he ao ewee he exedue o he ame ake ( ) fom wo dffee me eod amely ş. Th eece dex kow he ecalzed leaue a a oweye dex. If he owe dex ecome a aeye-ye dex ( ) o f he he dex a aache dex:. ( ) The owe dex ca e egaded a a geeal defo of he akeye dex a log a o eceay o make efeece o a ecfc eod fo he codeed uae he eleced ake. A mmedae ueo ae aou how he uae he euao efeg o he owe dex ae choe. A oou eoe hould e ha hee uae mu e a eeeae a ole fo he eod ha he dex wll e coeg. I ca e aumed ha a good emao of he eeeay ge y ome cea ye of uay aeage fom oh he al eod ad he fal eod. Thee ae ome ye of dce ha ae ug uay aeage fo he aggegao o dffee leel. The e kow ae he Walh ş Mahall-Edgewoh dexe. The Walh dex.. I 83 Joeh owe ulhed a udy o agculue commece face deelog he coce of a ce dex a a moeay alue chage of a cea e o ake of good ad ece h aoach ll eg ue.. Alfed Mahal (84-94) ad Fac Ydo Edgewoh (845 96) moa ecoom. Romaa Sacal Reew. 8 /

3 Rea Româă de Sacă. 8 / W / / / / / w / whee ad eee he wegh ( ) he eod ad eecely. The Mahall-Edgewoh dex. ME ME whee eee he alue he oh eod ad. Coeuely oh Walh dex ad he Mahall-Edgewoh dex ae ecal cae of he owe dex. If he he owe ecome

4 Romaa Sacal Reew. 8 / a Walh dex ad he cae whe he he owe dex ecome a Mahall-Edgewoh dex. The Walh dex kow he acal leaue a a uelae dex ad o ae he Fhe ad he To dexe. The oo of a uelae dex ca e defed ug he axomac aoach whch mle he eece dexe ae u o ecfc mahemacal e aalyzg he oee. The Walh dex comaed o he Fhe ad To 3 dexe ha a feaue ha moa fom a accal o of ew: ca e calculaed a a weghed ahmec mea of he ce ao. The Walh dex ca e calculaed y he aggegao of he elemeay dexe ug he wegh he oal exedue. Ohe oo fo defg he age dex may ex; he owe dex calculao fomula ha ue he uae fom he efeece eod eg a oou oluo. I` emaed ha acce he owe dex hould e exeed alue wegh em y decly ug he uae: o ude. The ce ao a a elemeay leel ae aggegaed y ug a hyd of he alue wegh (he uae fom he me eod exeed y he ce he eod). The hyd wegh ca e calculaed y ug he mehod of udag (hough ce) of he alue he eod o he alue he eod.. The Walh dex mee 6 of he e of he axomac aoach. The oly dex meeg all he e he Fhe dex. The aeye ad aache dce ae o he ecod lace wh 7 e me u he fac ha hey do` mee oe of he mo moa e he oe efeg o wchg he eod make hee wo dce o e uec o eee lmao. Ig Fhe ( ) wa a Ameca ecoom fom he eoclacal chool. 3 The Tö dex heoy ha ee aued o eo Tö (936).

5 Calculag fomula ued o a egula a The mo feue uao ha whe he mohly dex ha o e calculaed - fo examle - fo he moh followg he al eod ul he mome T. The eod ewee ad T ca e oe yea o loge deedg o how ofe he wegh ae udaed. The dagam elow how he uao whe he fomao aou he alue dcao codeed fo uldg he wegh aalale a cea eod whch o o he eod of efeece fo he dex. Wegh` efeece eod ce` efeece eod Cue eod k eod T I h cae he uao comlcaed y he fac ha mo ofe - he wegh` efeece eod ecede ad loge ha he ce` efeece eod. Uually he wegh efe o a eod of a yea whle he comaed ce ae colleced mohly oe a yea whch ex o he yea of efeece fo he wegh. Mo acal offce he wold f o all of hem calculae he coume ce dce y ug he weghed ahmec mea of he elemeay dce. Sag fom h ` emaed ha eey aoal acal offce gog o decde whehe he wegh hae o e udaed fom he eod whe he houehold` exedue ae aalale o he ce` efeece eod o hey hould e ued whou ay adume. The deco deed o oh he age dex ad o accal ad emcal eao. Udag he wegh he owe dex By he udag aoach he wegh ae ough o he ame eod a he efeece ce. If a acal offce decde o udae he wegh he he dex hey ge owe-ye oe whch defed a a dex wh fxed uae ha meaue he alue of he ame (aual) ake of good ad ece fom oe eod o aohe. The udaed wegh ae e y mullyg he exedue aalale a elemeay leel he eod y he dex of he eod a aga he eod a he ame leel. A ce dex calculaed y ug he udaed aual wegh meaue he chage fom a moh o aohe of he oal co of a aual ake of good ad ece. Uually he efeece yea of he wegh ecede he ce` efeece eod y a lea wo yea. The owe dex y o mea a aeye dex akg o codeao ha he efeece eod of he wegh ad of he ce eecely ae o he ame. Rea Româă de Sacă. 8 /

6 Romaa Sacal Reew. 8 / Whe he wegh ae aached o oe yea ad he ce ae mohly oe ` mole o calculae ee eoecely a aeye ce dex. The owe dex ca e exeed a a ao of wo aeye dce oe of hem eg calculaed fo he eod fom o whle he ohe oe calculaed fo he eod fom o. o I eul fom h euao ha he owe dex calculaed fo he eod ewee ad wll ode he ame oceual chage a he oe meaued y he ao of he wo aeye dce. The ce chage fom oe moh o aohe ca e meaued decly y he owe dex y udag he wegh of he aual eod a aga o he efeece moh ake o codeao fo he ce. Comag he owe ad aeye dce The uual aeye ce dex ewee he moh ad ca e defed y ug he ce ad uae of oh he efeece moh ad he cue moh: whee ad ;. The uay dex aeye Q whch comae he uae fom he yea wh he coeodg uae fom he moh - y he ce he moh how elow:

7 Rea Româă de Sacă. 8 / Q whee ;... The elao ewee he owe dex o whch ue he uae he yea a wegh fo he comao of he ce he moh wh hoe he moh ad he coeodg aeye dex whch ue he uae he moh a wegh fo he comao of he ce he moh wh hoe he moh a follow: Q o. I follow ha he owe ce dex ha ue he uae he yea a wegh o eual he aeye dex ha ue he uae he moh a wegh lu he ao ewee he coaace * * ad he uay dex aeye of he moh comaed o he yea Q. Alhough he g ad he alue of he coaace em * * ae acually a emcal ueo we`ll how hee a few eaoale eucao o he coeco ewee he wo dce: If he coaace em zeo he owe ce dex cocde wh he aeye ce dex If h coaace egae he owe dex wll e lowe ha he aeye dex

8 If he coaace oe he owe dex wll e hghe ha he aeye dex. Fom a coceual o of ew he owe dex clea eough ad aume ha he uae ae coa oe he ee eod fom he yea u o he mome whe he udae ake lace (eod T). If he coume doe` eod o he ce chage y he uuo of good ad ece he owe dex ca e egaded a a uelae dex. Fom a ecoomcal o of ew h dex ue moale ad he owe dex calculaed fo he eod fom o wll mo oale e hghe ha he aeye dex fo he ame eod calculaed y ug he wegh fom he eod. Y Ug he ogal wegh he Youg dex If he aual wegh ae` udaed we code a Youg dex: ( ) whee The calculao of he Youg dex ca e ufed he uao whe he exedue meaued he eod whch he ame fo he wegh a good emao fo he aeage of he exedue cued dug he eod fom o. If he coume ha a omal uuo eoe u he mac of he eoe doe` affec he wegh of he exedue a a elemeay leel he Youg dex ca e egaded a a uelae dex. The Youg dex a fxed wegh dex ad o a fxed uae dex h meag ha doe` meaue he uyg co chage of a fxed ake of good ad ece lke he cae of he owe dex. Fom a ecoomcal o of ew he ue of he Youg dex eue he exece of a uuo elacy a a elemeay leel fom he eod o he eod u o fom he eod o he eod. The dffeece ewee he owe ad Youg dce: o ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )( ) Y. I follow ha he owe dex allow a gge wegh o hoe elemeay dce whoe ce hae ee aed aoe he aeage of he eod fom o ad coeely malle wegh o he elemeay dce whoe ce hae ee aed elow he aeage of he ame me eod. I. Romaa Sacal Reew. 8 /

9 he uao whe o log-em ex fo he ce he owe dex hghe ha he Youg dex. Comag he Youg ad aeye dce Thee ae cae whe he acal offce ad he ue of he acal daa egad he Youg dex defed eale hee a eg a aoxmao of he aeye dex. Tha why eeg o comae he wo dce: Y Y ( ) ( ) The Youg dex ( Y ) deoaece ezulă eual he aeye dex ( ) lu he coaace ewee he dffeece of he wegh fom he yea ad he moh ad he elae ce deao a aga he aeage alue. A legmae ueo ae: Wha hae o he exedue` wegh he cae of a oduc whoe ce ceaed? The awe o h ueo deed o he elacy of he demad oeed he cae of he eece oduc. Cocluo Choog he way of eg he weghg yem fluece oh he ce dce eeao ad he meaug of he oceual chage of he ce. If he acal offce ue he ce udag mehod fo he wegh ode o meaue he ce chage wo moh ca e ad ha he dex we ge a owe-ye oe. The eul mla o he ao of wo mohly aeye-ye dce. If he elae uae ed o ema coa ad f he coume doe` eod o he elae ce chage y elacg oduc he owe dex ca e codeed a uelae dex. If he wegh ae` ce udaed ad he mohly ce comao caed ou y ug he ogal wegh he dex a Youg-ye oe. I h cae f he coume elace he oduc whou chagg he exedue wegh he he Youg dex a good emao of he uelae dex. I he cae of a log-em ce ceag edecy he owe dex wll e hghe ha he Youg dex. Becaue he Youg dex aoe o Rea Româă de Sacă. 8 /

10 ome exe he uuo effec whle he owe dex doe` we ca ay ha he adoal edecy of oeemao he cae of he aeye dex dmhed y ug he Youg dex. Fo ehe log me eod o fo eod whe moa ucual chage hae o fo eod wh uuual ce moeme ecommedale ha he wegh hould o e auomacally ce udaed. The oeal eo of he weghg yem geeaed y he ce udag mehod ca e aoded y he feue udae of he wegh ad y educg he me ga ewee he efeece eod of he wegh ad he efeece eod of he ce. Blogahy - IO/IMF/OECD/UNECE/Euoa/The Wold Bak - Coume ce dex maual: Theoy ad acce Geea Ieaoal aou Offce 4 - Dewe W. E. (c) The Coume ce Idex ad Idex Nume uoe Joual of Ecoomc ad Socal Meaueme Dewe W.E. (a) Hamozed Idexe of Coume ce: The Coceual Foudao Sw Joual of Ecoomc ad Sac Aghelache C. Caau I. (3) Idcao macoecoomc. Calcul ş aalză ecoomcă Edua Ecoomcă Bucueş - Voeagu V. (7) Sacă: aze eoece ş alcaţ Edua Ecoomcă Bucueş - Aghelache C. (8) Taa de acă eoecă ş ecoomcă Edua Ecoomcă Bucueş - Voeagu V. Aghelache C. Muţ C. (8) Sele de m ulzae ca aeco ale oceelo ocace Smozo Ieaţoal Maagemeul ş efomaţa ecoomcă: Edua Afex Bucueş Romaa Sacal Reew. 8 /

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