Iraq Index Tracking Variables of Reconstruction & Security in Post-Saddam Iraq

Transcription

1 Iraq Index Tracking Variables of Reconstruction & Security in Post-Saddam Iraq January, 9 Michael E. O Hanlon Jason H. Campbell For more information please contact Jason Campbell at jhcampbell@brookings.edu

2 Tracking the Aftermath of the Surge TABLE OF CONTENTS Estimated Number of Iraqi Civilian Fatalities by Month, -Present Detailed Explanation of Iraqi Civilian Fatality Estimates by Time Period. Enemy-Initiated Attacks Against the Coalition and Its Partners, by Week Iraqi Military and Police Killed since January Current Disposition of U.S./Coalition Forces in Iraq, by Multi-National Division (MND)...7 Weapons Caches Found and Cleared in Iraq, January -Present NEW Multiple Fatality Bombings in Iraq Killed and Wounded in Multiple Fatality Bombings Multiple Fatality Bombings by Type Since January 7. 9 Detailed Breakdown of Deaths Associated with Multiple Fatality Bombings in Iraq Number of Multiple Fatality Bombings Targeting Civilians by Sectarian Group and Month 1 Number of Newly Displaced People Per Month in Iraq, Externally and Abroad Number and Current Status of Concerned Local Citizens (CLC s) in Iraq..11 Status of the Sons of Iraq by Location (With Monthly Pay) NEW..11 Progress of Political Benchmarks Agreed upon by the bush Administration and the Iraqi Government.1 Authors Political Benchmark Assessment...1 Security Indicators U.S. Troop Fatalities since Cause of Death for US Troops 1 American Military Fatalities by Category U.S. Troops Wounded in Action since British Military Fatalities since Non-U.S. & U.K. Coalition Military Fatalities since, Non-U.S. & U.K. Coalition Military Fatalities by Country since. 18 Non-Iraqi Civilian Casualties Killed Monthly since Journalists Killed in Iraq Nationalities of Journalists Killed in Iraq Circumstances of Journalist Deaths..19 Iraqi Civilians Killed by US Troops Foreign Nationals Kidnapped in Iraq since.... Iraqi Prison Population... 1 Estimated Number of Foreigners Illegally Crossing Into Iraq to Support the Insurgency, 7... Snapshot of Nationalities of Foreign Militants in Iraq Based on the Sinjar Raid, October Intended Work of Foreign Fighters Whose Biographical Data was Obtained in Sinjar Raid, by Nationality.. Attacks on Iraqi Oil and Gas Pipelines, Installations, & Personnel..... Coalition Troop Strength in Iraq.. Top Ten Non-U.S. Coalition Contributors of Military Personnel in Iraq..... Number of Daily Insurgent Attacks by Province. U.S. Military Fatalities Caused by Improvised Explosive Devices.6 Number of Explosively Formed Projectile (EFP) Attacks Against U.S. Troops by Month.6 Weekly Improvised Explosive Device (IED) Explosions, January -Present American Military Helicopters Downed in Iraq U.S. Army Troops Deployed to Iraq and Effects of Multiple Deployments on Instances of Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) Within Non- Commissioned Officer Ranks...8 U.S. Troops Deployed to Iraq and Afghanistan Deemed Medically Unfit for Combat, -7.8 Percentage of U.S. Active-Duty Personnel Who Have Served in Iraq or Afghanistan, 6 & Total Number of Internally Displaced Persons (IDP s) by Region of Current Residence as of April Governorate of Origin for Individuals Displaced Between February 6 and 7 9 Internally Displaced Persons in Iraq..... Migration Indicators... Refugees And Asylum Seekers Religion of IDP s Displaced Between February 6 and 7... Number of Iraqi Asylum Applications by Country, 6 and January to June 7..1 Robotic Systems Utilized by the U.S. Military in Iraq by Year NEW....1 Size of Iraqi Security Forces on Duty Iraqi Security Forces Operational Readiness, January -Present.... Index of Political Freedom Iraq s Rank in Reporters Without Borders Annual Index of Press Freedom, -8. UPDATED..... Iraq s Rank in Transparency International s Annual Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI).. Political Parties in Iraq Council Seats in New Iraqi Legislature..... Current Membership & Status of Iraqi Cabinet..6 Page

3 Economic & Quality of Life Indicators Fuel....7 Oil Revenue from Exports Electricity Nationwide Unemployment Rate... American Aid Appropriated, Obligated and Disbursed towards the Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund Gross Domestic Product Estimates and Projections, Consumer Price index Year-to-Year Percentage Change, -7 Annual Value of Iraqi Imports and Exports, -7 ($ billions) NEW.... Estimated Appropriations Provided for Operations Iraqi Freedom, FY -9 Bridge... 7 AND 8 (Thru ) Capital Budget Execution by Province. Estimated Amount of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Attracted in Iraq per Month Annual Tariffs Collected at Iraq s Zurbatiyah Border Crossing with Iran..... Telephone subscribers.. UPDATED... Trained Judges. Internet subscribers UPDATED. Media.... Doctors in Iraq....6 Number of Registered Cars 6 Education Indicators Enrollment Polling/Politics Iraq: Where Things Stand 7 7 January 1, 6: World Opinion Poll.org What the Iraqi Public Wants.....1

4 NOTE ON THE METHODOLOGY OF THE IRAQ INDEX: Although the footnotes to the Iraq Index document our sources in detail, it is worth noting here a few broad points. The majority of our information comes from the U.S. Government, though we must often analyze it and process it further to show trends over the full period since Saddam Hussein fell in. Some information comes from foreign journalists on the ground and from nongovernmental organizations; a very modest amount to date comes from Iraqi sources. Most tables and charts are straightforward representations of data as we obtain it from the above primary sources, with only modest further analysis and processing required. However, a few graphics, such as those on crime and unemployment rates, require more methodological work (and more assumptions) on our part and are as a result also perhaps somewhat less precise than most of the tables and charts. TRACKING THE AFTERMATH OF THE SURGE ESTIMATED NUMBER OF IRAQI CIVILIAN FATALITIES BY MONTH, MAY -PRESENT January- Signifies the start of a new calendar year January- January-6 January-7 January-8 NOTE ON THIS GRAPH: See subset graphs on following page for exact monthly figures and explanations regarding sources and methodologies for various time periods. NOTE ON OTHER CIVILIAN FATALITY ESTIMATE 1 : In its January 1, 8 issue, The New England Journal of Medicine published a study carried out by the Iraq Family Health Survey Study Group in which they estimated the number of violent civilian deaths in Iraq from through June 6. Based on a survey of 1,86 household clusters throughout Iraq, they estimated that there were 11, such deaths during this period. Though monthly totals were not made available, the estimated number of deaths per day were broken into various time periods as follows: -April, 18; -, 11; June -June 6, 16.

5 DETAILED EXPLANATION OF IRAQI CIVILIAN FATALITY ESTIMATES BY TIME PERIOD MAY -DECEMBER June August October December January- February April June August October December January- February April June August October December Signifies the start of a new calendar year NOTE ON THIS GRAPH: In previous editions of the Iraq Index, attempts were made to distinguish between those civilian fatalities caused by acts of war and those caused by other violent means for this time period. These estimates have now been combined in order to provide a consistent comparison with subsequent years where it became evident that making such a distinction was not feasible. See endnote for more specific detail as to how these estimates were calculated. JANUARY-DECEMBER January- 6 February April June August October December NOTE ON THIS GRAPH: Our estimates from January-December 6 are based upon the numbers published in the UN Assistance Mission for Iraq, Human Rights Report: 1 June, 6 and subsequent reports. This data combines the Iraq Ministry of Health s tally of deaths counted at hospitals with the Baghdad Medico-Legal Institute s tally of deaths counted at morgues. JANUARY 7-PRESENT January-7 February April June August October December January-8 February April June August October December NOTE ON THIS GRAPH: Figures for January-August are approximations based on a graph presented by Gen. David Petraeus during Congressional testimony given on 1-11, 7 and reprinted in the U.S. Department of State s Iraq Weekly Status Report dated 1, 7. Updates for subsequent months have been provided by the U.S. Department of Defense.

6 ENEMY-INITIATED ATTACKS AGAINST THE COALITION AND ITS PARTNERS, BY WEEK IRAQI MILITARY & POLICE KILLED MONTHLY Monthly average / - 1/ February April June August October December February April June August October December February April June August October December February April June August October December Total June through January 9, 9: 8,887 1, Iraqi military and police were killed between June and January, according to Iraqi Minister of Interior Falah Hasan Al-Naqib. Iraqi Officers, Police Members Killed so Far Total 1,, Kuwait News Agency (KUNA) January,. Maj. Gen. Joseph Peterson, the top American police trainer in Iraq, noted through his spokesperson that 1,97 Iraqi police officers were killed and,6 wounded in. Eric Schmitt,, More MPs Will Help Train the Iraqi Police, New York Times, January 16,

7 CURRENT DISPOSITION OF U.S./COALITION FORCES IN IRAQ, BY MULTI-NATIONAL DIVISION (MND) 7 MND-BAGHDAD nd Brigade Combat Team, 1 st Infantry (Mechanized) Division (Khadimiyah/Mansour) rd BCT, 8 nd Airborne Division (Karradah/Jadeeda/part of Rusafa) MND-NORTH rd Armored Cavalry Regiment (ACR) (Ninawa Province) 1st Stryker BCT, th Infantry Division (Diyala Province) MND-CENTRAL nd BCT, 1 st Armored Division (South Baghdad Province/North Babil Province) nd BCT, th Infantry (Mechanized) Division (Qadisiyah Province) MND-WEST Regimental Combat Team 1, I Marine Expeditionary Force (East Anbar Province) 1 st BCT, th Infantry (Mechanized) Division (Bayaa/Dura) rd BCT, th Infantry (Mechanized) Division (Adhamiyah) rd BCT, th InfantryDivision (Salahuddin Province) 17 nd Infantry (Mechanized) Brigade (Babil and overwatch of mid-euphrates) th BCT, 1 st Cavalry Division (Overwatch for san/dhi Qar/Muthanna Provinces) RCT, I MEF (West Anbar Province) MND-SOUTHEAST th Armored Brigade (United Kingdom) (Basrah Province) AS OF: JANUARY 9 WEAPONS CACHES FOUND AND CLEARED IN IRAQ, JANUARY -PRESENT 8 MULTIPLE FATALITY BOMBINGS 9 7

8 Jan Jan- Jan Jan-7 Jan Jan-9 Total as of January 9, 9: 1,88 (of which at least 69 (6.6%) were suicide bombings) KILLED AND WOUNDED IN MULTIPLE FATALITY BOMBINGS August Feb- August Feb August Feb-6 August February August February August Killed Wounded Total as of January 9, 9: Killed: 17,6 Wounded:,88 NOTE ON MULTIPLE FATALITY BOMBINGS AND KILLED AND WOUNDED IN MULTIPLE FATALITY BOMBINGS TABLES: Included as data for these graphs are any bombings (including IEDs / roadside bombs) that caused at least three fatalities. The data on multiple fatality IED / roadside bombs are estimates and may have a margin of error of +/- one bomb and approximately five fatalities and five wounded. 8

9 MULTIPLE FATALITY BOMBINGS BY TYPE, SINCE JANUARY Jan-7 February April June August October December Jan-8 February April June August October December Jan-9 Roadside Other (e.g. Vests) Vehicle Suicide Bombings Total from January 1, 7 to January 9, 9 NOTE ON THIS GRAPH: The count of suicide bombings refers to the ratio of the total represented by the bar graph, and should not be double-counted. In most cases, Other refers to suicide vest bombs but can also refer to bombs that do not fit into the other two categories, such as those left in trash cans, under market stalls, etc. By definition, Roadside bombs cannot be carried out by a suicide attacker. DETAILED BREAKDOWN OF DEATHS ASSOCIATED WITH MULTIPLE FATALITY BOMBINGS IN IRAQ, SINCE JANUARY 7 1 Jan 7 Feb Mar Apr Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan 8 Feb Mar Apr Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan 9 CIVILIANS Shiite Sunni Kurd Indiscriminate Unknown CIVILIAN SUBTOTAL OFFICIALS Iraqi Security U.S./Coalition Iraqi Government OFFICIAL SUBTOTAL TOTAL NOTE ON THIS TABLE: Totals shown correlate directly with the reported deaths of the attacks illustrated in the above graph. This does not necessarily mean that each fatality was a member of that sectarian group, only that the bombing either targeted that group or occurred in an area in which that group was in the majority. 9

10 NUMBER OF MULTIPLE FATALITY BOMBINGS TARGETING CIVILIANS, BY SECTARIAN GROUP AND MONTH January 7 February *IND: Indiscriminate April June August October December January 8 February April June August 6 October December January 9 Unknown IND* Kurd Sunni Shiite Total from January 1, 7 to January 9, 9 NOTE ON THIS GRAPH: Iraqi civilians were the primary target for each multiple fatality bombing illustrated. Those classified as Shiite, Sunni or Kurd were bombings that either directly targeted that sectarian group or occurred in an area reported to be predominantly composed of that sectarian group. Indiscriminate bombings took place in areas of a mixed sectarian population and those classified as Unknown did not have the sectarian grouping or exact location reported. NUMBER OF NEWLY DISPLACED PEOPLE PER MONTH IN IRAQ, INTERNALLY AND ABROAD, JANUARY 7- PRESENT 1 MONTH DISPLACED PERSONS MONTH DISPLACED PERSONS January 7 ~9, April ~1, February ~9, ~1, ~9, April ~9, ~8, June ~6, ~6, August ~6, ~, October ~, ~, December ~, January 8 ~1, February ~1, ~1, 1

11 NUMBER AND CURRENT STATUS OF SONS OF IRAQ (SOI) IN IRAQ 1 BROAD FIGURES CURRENT NUMBER OF SOI s Officially Registered with the U.S. Military 99,89 Integrated into the Iraqi Security Forces ~, Vetted for possible Security Force positions, That have found other permanent employment ~1, That are Shiite ~18, (~%) AS OF: OCTOBER 8 STATUS OF SOI HANDOVER TO IRAQI GOVERNMENT LOCATION OF SOI GROUP(S) DATE OF TRANSFER NUMBER OF SOI s Baghdad and immediate vicinity October 1, 8 ~, Diyala Province January 1, 9 ~8, AS OF: JANUARY 9 NOTE ON THESE CHARTS: The majority of the estimated, volunteers that formed the Awakening Movement in Anbar province are NOT included in the above U.S. figures. The phrase Sons of Iraq, refers to Iraqi civilians who have volunteered to ally with U.S. forces in providing security against insurgents and militias at the local level. Thus far the Iraqi central government has been reluctant to integrate SOI s into official security forces. As a result, the U.S. military is launching a new civilian job corps to transition some SOI s from security to civil projects. STATUS OF THE SONS OF IRAQ BY LOCATION (WITH AVERAGE MONTHLY PAY) 16 LOCATION MEMBER TOTAL AVERAGE MONTHLY GROWTH RATE PAY (MAY-JULY 8) MND-Baghdad,6 $6-161 MND-North,69 $68,11 MND-West,867 $ MND-Central, $99-86 MND-Central South, $171 TOTALS 1,6 $9*,6 NOTE: MND stands for Multi-National Division and refers to the areas of operation as set forth by U.S.-Coalition forces. AS OF: JUNE 8 *Weighted average 11

12 PROGRESS OF POLITICAL BENCHMARKS AGREED UPON BETWEEN THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION AND THE IRAQI GOVERNMENT, AS WELL AS OTHER SIGNIFICANT POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS 17 Political Benchmark Current Status Potential Hurdles Oil Revenue Sharing February 7: Draft law passed in the Cabinet but not yet voted on in Parliament 7: During the week of 1, officials from the Kurdish Regional Government will arrive in Baghdad to discuss differences with centralgovernment authorities. Iraq Federation of Oil Unions has come out against the draft, as has the Iraqi National slate, led by former PM Ilyad al-allawi Reversing de-baathification 7: Iraqi VP Tariq al-hashemi announced that proposals for revising the law would be submitted to parliament during the week of 1. 7: Increased participation in fostering security by Sunni groups commonly known as Concerned Local Citizens has resulted in some de facto accommodations January 8: Iraqi Parliament passes a bill allowing for the reinstatement of low-level Baath Party members for certain government jobs. The legislation also allows for those former Baathists with high-level jobs to receive a pension. 7: Members of parliament loyal to Moqtada al-sadr vehemently objected to the latest proposed legislation approved by the Cabinet New election laws No progress thus far Schedule provincial elections Disbanding militias 7: PM Nouri al-maliki stated publicly that provincial elections would be held by the end of calendar year 7. 8: The Iraqi Parliament passed a provincial elections law that sets a deadline of January 1, 9 for their completion. This covers all provinces except Tamim (Kirkuk) where the ethnosectarian composition of the council will be decided at a later date. No political progress thus far, although Coalition and Iraqi security forces have engaged and detained militia members 8: The current provincial election law allows for % of all seats to go to women. However, the quotas for ethnic and religious minorities that were included in were not renewed. Plan of national reconciliation February 8: The Iraqi parliament passed an amnesty bill that will benefit thousands of mostly Sunni prisoners currently in Iraqi custody. This must now be approved by the presidency council. June 8: The Amnesty Law began implementation, 8. As of 1, nearly 17, detainees have been approved for release. Amending the Constitution to address Sunni concerns The parliament s constitutional reform committee voted on 1, 7, to submit a set of revisions to lawmakers the week of 1. However, the controversial issues of the rights of provinces to form powerful regions (similar to that of the Kurds) and references to Iraq s Arab identity are yet to be debated. AS OF:, 8 The benchmarks listed above were taken from a letter from Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice to Senator Carl Levin sent in January 7 as mentioned in Newsweek s April, 7 edition. 1

13 AUTHORS POLITICAL BENCHMARK ASSESSMENT BENCHMARK SCORE 8 Budget 1. Pension Law 1. Purging Extremists from Government 1. Provincial Powers Act 1. Provincial Election Legislation 1. Reformed De-Ba athification Legislation. Sons of Iraq Employment Program. Amnesty Law. Distribution of Federal Funding to Provinces. Kirkuk Referendum/Resolution. Hydrocarbons Law. TOTAL 7./11 NOTE ON THIS TABLE: Each category may receive a score of,. or 1 with the best possible score being 11. We accord a 1 for the pensions law, and for the 8 budget. We then estimate half points for six categories: passing of the reformed de- Baathification law (which may or may not work out as well as intended in the actual implementation), purging extremists from the government (which is going fairly well but largely at U.S. insistence and cajoling), hiring Sons of Iraq into the security forces (again, going well, but there is some interest from the Shia-led government in limiting the number of Sons of Iraq who can join security forces as opposed to gaining other types of government jobs), passing of the amnesty law (again, the law is promising, but implementation is key), central government sharing of money with the provinces (far better than before, but still needing to progress further), and passing of the provincial powers act (recently passed, but also recently vetoed, leaving it in some limbo). We accord the Iraqis for resolving Kirkuk, for creating a permanent hydrocarbons law, and for passing a provincial election law. 1

14 U.S. TROOP FATALITIES SINCE MARCH 19, SECURITY INDICATORS June December June December June December June December June December June December Total from 19, (start of major combat operations) through January 9, 9: Fatalities (all kinds):, Fatalities in hostile incidents:,6 Fatalities in non-hostile incidents: Fatalities (All)* Fatalities (non-hostile incidents) Start of New Calendar Year * In order to determine the monthly fatalities from hostile incidents, subtract the blue data point from the corresponding yellow data point. NOTE ON U.S. TROOP FATALITIES SINCE MARCH 19, TABLE: The daily Department of Defense casualty reports that we use for our monthly estimates on U.S troops killed doesn t make entirely clear when in a hour period casualties were incurred. Since the reports are published 1 AM daily, there is the possibility that our numbers for January and onwards are slightly off due to uncertainties about whether casualties occurred on the first and last day of each month. We have chosen to interpret the numbers in the casualty report as representing fatalities that occurred throughout the previous day. Total fatalities include seven civilians working for the Department of Defense. 1

15 CAUSE OF DEATH FOR US TROOPS 19 Month IED s Car Bombs Mortars/Rockets RPG s 1 Helicopter Losses* Other Hostile Non-Hostile* (%) (%) (%) (%) 8 (1.%) (76.9%) 7 (1.8%) 6 April (%) (%) (.1%) (.%) 8 (1.8%) 1 (.%) 18(.%) 7 (%) (%) (%) (%) 7 (18.9%) 6 (16.%) (6.9%) 7 June (%) (%) (%) (1.%) (%) 1 (6.6%) 1 (.%) (8.%) (%) (%) 9 (18.8%) (%) 1 (1.%) (1.7%) 8 August 7 (%) (%) (%) (.7%) (%) 7 (%) 19 (.%) 6 (19.%) (%) (6.%) (6.%) 1 (.%) 8 (.8%) 1 (8.7%) 1 October 1 (9.%) (%) (9.1%) (.%) (%) 1 (1.8%) 11 (%) (.%) (%) 1 (1.%) 1 (1.%) 9 (7.6%) 8 (9.8%) 1 (1.8%) 8 December 18 (%) 1 (.%) (%) (%) (%) (1%) 1 (7.%) January (.6%) (6.%) (8.%) 1 (.1%) 1 (9.8%) (8.%) 1 (.1%) 7 February 9 (%) (%) (1%) (%) (1%) (1%) (%) 19 (6.%) (%) (7.7%) (%) (%) 1 (.1%) 17 (.7%) April (16.%) 1 (7.%) 7 (.1%) 1 (1.%) (1.%) 71 (.9%) 9 (6.6%) 1 1 (6.%) (.%) 1 (1%) (.%) (%) (1.%) 18 (.%) 8 June 1 (8.6%) (.8%) 7 (16.7%) 1 (.%) (%) 1 (.7%) (11.9%) 17 (1.%) (.7%) 7 (1%) (.7%) (%) 16 (9.6%) 1 (18.%) August 16 (.%) (%) (%) (6.1%) (%) (%) 9 (1.6%) 66 1 (18.8%) 11(1.8%) (%) (.%) (%) 7 (6.%) 11 (1.8%) 8 October 1 (18.8%) 19 (9.7%) (.1%) (6.%) (.1%) 19 (9.7%) 6 (9.%) 6 18 (1.1%) 6 (.%) (.9%) (.9%) (%) 9 (67.9%) 1 (8.8%) 17 December 1 (19.%) (.8%) 1 (1.%) (%) (.8%) 1 (6.9%) 1 (16.7%) 7 January 9 (7.1%) (.8%) (.8%) 8 (7.%) (.8%) 11 (1.%) (18.7%) 17 February (.1%) 1 (1.7%) 1 (1.7%) (%) (%) 1 (.9%) 16 (7.6%) 8 1 (7.1%) 7 (%) 1 (.9%) (%) (%) 1 (8.6%) (11.%) April (8.%) 7 (1.%) (9.6%) (.8%) (%) 1 (.1%) 6 (11.%) (1.%) 1 (1.%) 6 (7.%) (.%) (.%) 1 (17.%) 1 (16.%) 8 June 6 (6.%) 8 (1.%) (.6%) (.8%) (.6%) 18 (.1%) 9 (11.%) 78 6 (66.7%) (.7%) (.6%) (%) (%) (7.%) 9 (16.7%) August (7.1%) 7 (8.%) 1 (1.%) (%) (%) 7 (1.8%) 1 (11.8%) 8 7 (7.%) (%) (.1%) (%) (%) (6.1%) 7 (1.%) 9 October 7 (9.%) (.1%) 7 (7.%) (%) (%) 11 (11.%) 19 (19.8%) 96 (7.6%) 6 (7.1%) (%) (%) (.%) (8.6%) 1 (1.%) 8 December (61.8%) (.%) (.9%) 1 (1.%) (.9%) 9 (1.%) 9 (1.%) 68 January 6 (8.7%) (.8%) (%) 1 (1.6%) 1 (1%) 1 (16.1%) 11 (17.7%) 6 February 6 (6.%) (.6%) 1 (1.8%) (%) (%) 7 (1.7%) 9 (16.%) 1 (8.7%) 1 (.%) (9.7%) 1 (.%) (%) 9 (9%) (16.1%) 1 April (9.%) 1 (1.%) 1 (1.%) 1 (1.%) (.6%) 1 (19.7%) 11 (1.%) 76 6 (.%) (.9%) (%) (%) (.8%) 17 (.6%) 1 (1.%) 69 June (.1%) (%) 1 (1.6%) (%) (%) (7.7%) (6.6%) 61 1 (8.8%) (6.9%) (%) 1 (.%) (%) 1 (.%) (11.6%) August 9 (.6%) (%) (%) (%) (.1%) 9 (.6%) (7.7%) 6 9 (.%) (.6%) 1 (1.%) 1 (1.%) (%) 6 (6.1%) 11 (1.%) 7 October (9.1%) (%) (%) 1 (.9%) (%) 6 (.%) 7 (6.6%) 16 8 (.%) (%) (%) (%) (.9%) (1.%) 8 (11.%) 7 December 68 (6.7%) (%) 1 (.9%) 1 (.9%) (.%) (.%) 1 (1.7%) 11 January 7 (.%) (%) (.%) (%) 1 (16.9%) 7 (.%) (6.%) 8 February (.9%) (.%) (.%) (%) 9 (11.1%) (.7%) 1 (1.%) 81 (61.7%) (%) (.%) (%) (%) 19 (.%) 1 (1.%) 81 April 6 (7.7 %) (%) 1 (1.%) 1 (1.%) (%) (.7%) 8 (7.7%) 1 8 (6.1%) (%) (%) (%) (1.6%) 6 (8.6%) 6 (.8%) 16 June 8 (7.%) (%) (%) (.%) (%) 1 (.7%) 8 (7.9%) 11 (.%) (%) (.%) (.%) 1 (1.%) 19 (.8 %) 1 (1.%) 8 August (8.1%) (%) (%) (.8%) 19 (.6%) (.6%) 9 (1.7%) 8 6 (9.%) 1 (1.%) (%) (.%) (%) 1 (19.7%) (.8%) 66 October (.6%) (%) (.%) (%) (%) 7 (18.%) 9 (.7%) 8 6 (7.%) (%) (%) (%) (%) 6 (16.%) (19.%) 7 December 9 (9.1%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (1.7%) 9 (9.1%) January 8 (7.%) (%) (%) 1 (.%) (%) 11 (7.%) (1.%) February 17 (8.6%) (%) (%) 1 (.%) (%) 7 (.1%) (1.8%) 9 6 (66.7%) (%) (7.7%) 1 (.6%) 1 (.6%) 6 (1.%) (.1%) 9 April 9 (.8%) (%) (.8%) (.8%) (%) 8 (1.%) 1 (19.%) 1 (6.%) (%) (%) (1.%) (%) 1 (.%) (1.1%) 19 June 1 (8.%) (%) (%) (%) (%) 9 (1.%) 6 (.7%) 9 (.1%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (.%) (.%) 1 August 7 (.%) (%) 1 (.%) (%) (%) (17.%) 11 (7.8%) (16.%) (%) (%) (%) 7 (8.%) (16.%) 1 (.%) October (1.%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (.7%) 7 (.%) 1 (11.8%) (%) (%) (%) (11.8%) (9.%) 8 (7.1%) 17 December 1 (7.1%) (1.%) (1.%) (%) (%) (1.%) 7 (.%) 1 January (.%) (%) (%) (%) (6.7%) 1 (6.7%) 7 (6.7%) 1,6 Total 1,7 (.%) 1 (.%) 19 (.%) 1 (.%) 1 (.1%) 1, (9.6%) 696 (16.%) NOTE ON CAUSE OF DEATH DETAIL TABLE: Through January 9, 9: Helicopter losses include deaths caused by both non-hostile helicopter accidents and helicopters downed by hostile fire. The Non-Hostile Causes data then does not include non-hostile helicopter losses. 1 Total

16 AMERICAN MILITARY FATALITIES BY CATEGORY MARCH 19, JANUARY, 9 Category Total fatalities as of January, 9:,1 Gender Male:,111 Female: 11 Age Younger than : 1,7 -: 1, -: 1,68 1-: 1 Older than : 7 Component Active:,8 Reserve: 6 National Guard: 68 Military service Army:,9 Marines: 1,8 Navy: 96 Air Force: 8 Coast Guard: 1 Officers/Enlisted Officer: E-E9: 1,8 E1-E:, Race/Ethnicity American Indian or Alaska Native: 1 Asian: 8 Black or African American: Hispanic or Latino: Multiple races, pending or unknown: 6 Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander: 9 White:,1 U.S. TROOPS WOUNDED IN ACTION SINCE MARCH , Jan Jan- Jan Jan Jan-8 Jan-9 Total from 19, through January 9, 9: 1, The daily Department of Defense casualty reports that we use for our monthly estimates on U.S troops wounded does not make it entirely clear when in a -hour period casualties were incurred. Since the reports are published at 1AM daily, there is possibility that our numbers for January and onwards are slightly off due to uncertainties about whether casualties occurred on the first or the last of each month.

17 BRITISH MILITARY FATALITIES SINCE MARCH 19, Mar Jan Total through January 9, 9: Jan Jan Jan Jan-8 Jan.-9 NON-U.S. & U.K. COALITION MILITARY FATALITIES SINCE MARCH 19, Mar- 1 8 Jan- 7 Jan- Total through January 9, 9: Jan Jan.-7 Jan-8 Jan.-9 17

18 NON-U.S. COALITION TROOP FATALITIES BY COUNTRY SINCE MARCH 19, U.K Italy Poland Ukraine Bulgaria Spain Denmark El Salvador Slovakia Georgia Latvia Romania Australia Estonia Netherlands Thailand Czech Republic Hungary South Korea Kazakhstan Azerbaijan Total through January 9, 9: 1 NON-IRAQI CIVILIANS KILLED SINCE MAY Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan-8 Jan-9 Total through January 9, 9: 1 NOTE ON NON-IRAQI CIVILIANS KILLED IN IRAQ: Total includes two contractors whose dates of death are unknown at this time and are thus not included on the above chart. This list is incomplete and does not include an additional contractors that were killed up until December 1,. Since we do not know during which month these deaths occurred they are not represented in the graph above. As of,, there were more than, foreign (non-iraqi) private military contractors in Iraq. 6, of these are in armed tactical roles. Peter W. Singer, Outsourcing War, Foreign Affairs,. 18

19 JOURNALISTS KILLED IN IRAQ Total 16 NATIONALITIES OF JOURNALISTS KILLED IN IRAQ 9 Iraqi 11 European 1 American Other Arab Countries All Others Total 16 CIRCUMSTANCES OF JOURNALIST DEATHS Murder 9 Crossfire or other acts of war Total 16 NOTE ON JOURNALIST DEATHS: A broader tally of journalist deaths that includes media workers such as drivers and interpreters, as well as non-hostile but war-related deaths, finds 168 total fatalities. 1 IRAQI CIVILIANS KILLED BY US TROOPS Average of 7 per week January 6 per week August 6 1 per week NOTE ON IRAQI CIVILIANS KILLED BY US TROOPS: The military has recently announced that an average of one Iraqi civilian per day was killed in escalation of force incidents alone in. Josh White, Charles Lane and Julie Tate, Homicide Charges Rare in Iraq War; Few Troops Tried for Killing Civilians, Washington Post, August 8, 6. 19

20 FOREIGN NATIONALS KIDNAPPED IN IRAQ SINCE MAY Month Foreigners Kidnapped Developments* Date of capture unknown 1 killed October 1 1 released Dec. April killed, released, 1 escaped 1 killed June killed, 1 escaped 6 killed, 1 released, 1 rescued, 1 escaped August 1 killed, 1 released 1 killed, released, 1 rescued October 7 killed, released 1 killed, 1 released December January 1 1 released February 1 8 released released April 7 6 released 1 killed, 1 rescued June 6 killed August killed, 1 released 1 killed, 6 released October 1 released 11 1 killed, released December 1 killed, 1 released January 6 released February 1 6 released 1 killed, 1 released, rescued April 1 released June 6 killed 1 August 1 released October 1 1 escaped, killed December January 7 1 killed February 1 released April June August October December January 8 February 1 1 released April June August October December January 9 Total through January 9, killed, 17 released, escaped, 6 rescued, 89 unknown NOTE ON FOREIGN NATIONALS KIDNAPPED IN IRAQ TABLE:*Developments: This category shows activity in the status of hostages, but does not necessarily apply to hostages kidnapped during the same month. Please see footnote for more information.

21 IRAQI PRISON POPULATION Peak prison population in 1, June,,7 (of which 9 are foreign nationals), (whereof are women, 6-7 are juveniles and 1-1 are foreign nationals) October, 8, January 7,87 June 1,78 1, August - 1, October 1, 1, held by American troops plus an additional 1, held by Iraqi authorities December ~ 1, in US / Allied custody January 6 1, in US custody February 1,767 in US / Allied custody -April ~ 1, in US / Allied custody ~1, in US / Allied custody June ~1, in US custody, ~1, held by Iraqi authorities -December ~1, in US custody January 7 ~ 1, in US custody February ~ 1, in US custody ~ 17, in US custody ~, in Iraqi custody April ~ 18, in US custody ~ 19, in US custody June- ~ 1, in US custody August ~, in US custody ~ 7, in Iraqi custody ~, in US custody October ~ 6, in US custody ~,8 in US custody December ~ 6, in US custody ~, in Iraqi custody January 8 ~, in US custody February ~, in US custody ~, in US custody April ~, in US custody ~, in Iraqi custody ~, in US custody ~ 7, in Iraqi custody June 1,68 in US custody (18,8 Camp Bucca/,1 Camp Cropper) -August ~1, in U.S. custody (18, Camp Bucca/, Camp Crocker) ~18,9 in U.S. custody ~6, in Iraqi custody October ~17, in U.S. custody ~16, in U.S. custody December ~1,8 in U.S. custody January 9 1,1 in U.S. custody ~, in Iraqi custody NOTE ON IRAQI PRISON POPULATION TABLE: JANUARY 9: According to U.S. military figures, a total of 8,9 prisoners were released in 7. In 8, a record 18, prisoners were released. Moving forward, the U.S. will begin releasing 1, detainees per month into Iraqi custody beginning February 1, 9, in accordance with the security agreement that went into effect January 1, 9. 1

22 ESTIMATED NUMBER OF FOREIGNERS ILLEGALLY CROSSING INTO IRAQ TO SUPPORT THE INSURGENCY, 7 6 JANUARY-MAY 8-9 per month JUNE-AUGUST -6 per month SEPTEMBER-APRIL 8 - per month MAY-JUNE - per month JULY ~ per month SEPTEMBER 1- per month SNAPSHOT OF NATIONALITIES OF FOREIGN MILITANTS IN IRAQ BASED ON SINJAR RAID, OCTOBER 7 7 Tunisia,, % Yemen, 8, 8% Algeria,, 7% Egypt,, 1% Jordan, 11, % Syria, 9, 8% Libya, 11, 19% Morocco, 6, 6% Other, 1, % Saudi Arabia,, 1% NOTE ON THIS GRAPH: Figures obtained from a computer confiscated in a raid by coalition forces in October 7 in Sinjar, Iraq, on the border with Syria. Of the nearly 7 records of foreign fighters found, 9 included the nation of origin. All are believed to be affiliated with Al-Qaeda and to have entered Iraq through Syria between August 6 and August 7. Based on these findings, U.S. officials estimate that 9% of the suicide bombings carried out in Iraq are done so by foreign nationals. This is up from previous estimates of 7%. 8

23 INTENDED WORK OF FOREIGN FIGHTERS WHOSE BIOGRAPHICAL DATA WAS OBTAINED IN THE SINJAR RAID, BY NATIONALITY 9 COUNTRY SUICIDE BOMBERS FIGHTERS OTHER TOTAL Saudi Arabia Libya Morocco Syria Algeria 1 6 Yemen Tunisia 1 1 TOTAL NOTE ON THIS TABLE: Figures obtained from a computer confiscated in a raid by coalition forces in October 7 in Sinjar, Iraq, on the border with Syria. Of the nearly 7 records of foreign fighters found, 9 included the nation of origin. Of these, 67 also included the intended work of the insurgent. ATTACKS ON IRAQI OIL AND GAS PIPELINES, INSTALLATIONS & PERSONNEL Jun- August October December Feb- April 7 1 Total through 7, 8: 69 June August October December Feb- April June August October December Feb-6 April June August October December 8 1 February April June August October December February

24 COALITION TROOP STRENGTH IN IRAQ SINCE MAY 1 Month Active U.S. troops in Iraq Reserve (includes National Guard) Total Other coalition troops in Iraq (excluding U.S. & Iraqi forces) - ~1, ~8, 1,, Total international troop strength in Iraq 17, June ~16, ~, 1, 1, 171, ~1, ~, 19, 1, 17, August ~11, ~, 19,, 161, ~1, ~9, 1,, 16, October ~1, ~9, 11,, 16, N/A N/A 1,,9 16,9 December ~8, ~6,6 1,, 16, January - N/A N/A 1,,6 17,6 February N/A N/A 11,, 19, N/A N/A 1,, 1, April N/A N/A 17,, 16, N/A N/A 18,, 16, June 89,7 8, 18,, 161, N/A N/A 1,, 16, August 8, 6, 1,,7 16,7 8,8, 18,,6 16,6 October 8,8, 18,, 16, 8,8, 18,, 16, December 8,8, 18,, 17, January- 9, 6, 1,, 17, February N/A N/A 1,, 18, N/A N/A 1,, 17, April N/A N/A 1,, 16, N/A N/A 18,, 161, June N/A N/A 1,, 18, N/A N/A 18,, 161, August N/A N/A 18,, 161, N/A N/A 18,, 16, October N/A N/A 1,, 17, N/A N/A 16,, 18, December N/A N/A 16,, 18, January-6 N/A N/A 16, 1, 17, February N/A N/A 1,, 1, N/A N/A 1,, 1, April N/A N/A 1,, 1, N/A N/A 1,, 1, June N/A N/A 16,9 19, 16,9 N/A N/A 1, 19, 19, August N/A N/A 18, 19, 17, N/A N/A 1, 18, 16, October N/A N/A 1, 17, 161, N/A N/A 1, 18, 18, December N/A N/A 1, 1, 1, January-7 N/A N/A 1, 1,6 16,6 February N/A N/A 1, 1,1 19,1 N/A N/A 1, 1, 1, April N/A N/A 16, 1,196 19,196 N/A N/A 19,7 1,11 161,81 June N/A N/A 17, 11, 168, N/A N/A 16, 11,8 171,8 August N/A N/A 16, 11,68 17,68 N/A N/A 168, 1,79 18,79 October N/A N/A 171, 11,668 18,668 N/A N/A 16, 11,89 17,89 December N/A N/A 16, 1,961 17,961 January-8 N/A N/A 17, 1,6 167,6 February N/A N/A 17, 9,89 166,89 N/A N/A 1, 9,97 16,97 April N/A N/A 1, 9,97 16,97 N/A N/A 1, 9,97 19,97 June N/A N/A 18, 9,7 17,7 N/A N/A 18, 9,7 17,7 August N/A N/A 18, 7, 1, N/A N/A 18, 7,1 1,1 October N/A N/A 18, 6,8 1,8 N/A N/A 18, 6, 1, December N/A N/A 1, 6, 11, January-9 N/A N/A 1,, 17, NOTE ON TABLE: All numbers are end of month estimates or latest data available for the current month. N/A= Not available.

25 TOP NON-US COALITION CONTRIBUTORS OF MILITARY PERSONNEL IN IRAQ Coalition Country Military Personnel in Iraq As of (date) United Kingdom,1 December 6, 8 South Korea December 6, 8 Italy December, 6 Poland, 8 Australia 1, 8 Georgia August 11, 8 Romania 6 February, 7 Denmark December, 7 Total Non-U.S. Coalition Troops ~, January, 9 NOTE ON THIS TABLE: According to the U.S. State Department s Iraq Weekly Status Report dated December, 8, the UNmandated coalition will cease to exist as of December 1, 8. The following countries have been invited to remain by the government of Iraq and plan to do so for at least part of 9: the United Kingdom, Australia, Estonia and Romania. NUMBER OF DAILY INSURGENT ATTACKS IN IRAQ BY PROVINCE Province Feb- June Aug - Jan 6 Feb- 6 - Aug 6 Aug- Nov 6 Number of Attacks per Day Nov 6-Feb 7 Feb- Apr Nov 7 Dec 7- Feb 8 Feb- 8 Cumulative Average Baghdad % Al Anbar % Salah ad Din % Diyala % Ninawa % Al Tamim % Al Basrah % Babil % san % Al Qadisiyah % Dhi Qar % Wasit % Karbala % Al Muthanna % An Najaf % Arbil % As Sulaymaniyah % Dahuk % TOTAL NOTE ON CHART: Exact dates of analysis for each column are as follows: February 1-June, ; August 9, -January, 6; February 11-1, 6; -August, 6; August 1-1, 6; 11, 6-February 9, 7; February 1-, 7; -, 7; 1-1, 7. % of Total

26 U.S. MILITARY FATALITIES CAUSED BY IMPROVISED EXPLOSIVE DEVICES 9 8% 8 7% 7 6% 6 % 8 % IED Fatalities % Total Fatalities January January- 68 January-6 January-7 Jan-8 Total through January 9, 9: 1,7 (.% of all fatalities) 7 1 Jan-9 % % 1% % ADDITIONAL STATISTICS CONCERNING IED S : *The Army reports that IED s are responsible for 8% of all soldier casualties (deaths and injuries) *Despite the enemy deploying twice as many IED s as a year ago, casualties have remained steady, with less then 1% causing casualties *This is because U.S. troops are now detecting and successfully disarming approximately % of IED s *The Pentagon is requesting an additional $6. billion for its Joint Improvised Explosive Device Defeat Organization (JIEDDO) *Explosively Formed Projectiles (EFP s), the most lethal type of IED, make up only % of all IED s found in Iraq but account for a very large percentage of U.S. soldiers killed by IED s, according to Col. Barry Shoop, chief scientist for the JIEDDO NUMBER OF EXPLOSIVELY FORMED PROJECTILE (EFP) ATTACKS AGAINST U.S. TROOPS BY MONTH 6 MONTH NUMBER OF EFP ATTACKS December 6 6 April 7 6 ~6 99 August 78 October < 8 < 1 NOTE ON THIS TABLE: EFP s are technologically advanced IED s capable of penetrating armored vehicles. U.S. officials have asserted that because of the sophistication needed to correctly produce them, EFP s are manufactured in Iran and smuggled into Iraq. 6

27 WEEKLY IMPROVISED EXPLOSIVE DEVICE (IED) EXPLOSIONS, JANUARY -PRESENT 7 AMERICAN MILITARY HELICOPTERS DOWNED IN IRAQ Jan- Jan- Jan-6 7 Jan-7 Jan-8 Jan-9 Total through January 9, 9: 71 NOTE ON AMERICAN MILITARY HELICOPTERS DOWNED IN IRAQ TABLE: Of the 67 helicopters downed in Iraq since, at least 6 were downed by enemy fire. Of the three January 6 crashes, two are still being investigated. One was shot down by enemy fire and is included above. We have counted one of the others as being downed by enemy fire as well, given the available evidence. Hostile fire is suspected in the 6 crash, but it has not been confirmed and therefore not counted as such. 6 crash is still under investigation.

28 U.S. ARMY TROOPS DEPLOYED TO IRAQ AND EFFECT OF MULTIPLE DEPLOYMENTS ON INSTANCES OF POST-TRAUMATIC STRESS DISORDER (PTSD) CASES WITHIN NON-COMMISSIONED OFFICER RANKS 9 Total Number of U.S. Army Troops Deployed to Iraq Since 1, More than Once 197,+ Three or More Times, Percentage of Non-Commissioned Officers Suffering from Symptoms of PTSD After First Deployment 1% Second Deployment 18.% Third or Fourth Deployment 7% NOTE ON THESE TABLES: The study was based on,9 anonymous surveys and additional interviews from members of frontline units in combat brigades, and not those assigned primarily to safer operating bases. U.S. TROOPS DEPLOYED TO IRAQ OR AFGHANISTAN DEEMED MEDICALLY UNFIT FOR COMBAT, - 7 1,8 8,996,97 6 8,67 7 9,1 PERCENTAGE OF U.S. ACTIVE-DUTY MILITARY PERSONNEL WHO HAVE SERVED IN IRAQ OR AFGHANISTAN, 6 & ALL PERSONNEL* % 7% ARMY At least one tour 8% 68% More than one tour % 1% MARINES % 6% NAVY 7% % AIR FORCE % % *Includes Army, Marines, Navy, Air Force and Coast Guard NOTE: Currently an additional 1% of all military personnel are training and will soon become eligible to deploy. 8

29 TOTAL NUMBER OF INTERNALLY DISPLACED PERSONS (IDP S) BY REGION OF CURRENT RESIDENCE AS OF APRIL 7 PROVINCE IDP S IN RESIDENCE SULAYMANIYAH,76 ERBIL,716 DAHUK 18, KARBALA 16, BAGHDAD 1, MAYSAN 1,16 BASRAH 1,68 DIYALA 8, NINEWA 76,6 ANBAR 71,76 NAJAF 66,86 SALAH AL-DIN 6,196 BABIL 6,8 WASIT 61,98 DHI QAR 7,6 QADISIYAH, MUTHANNA 1,8 KIRKUK 1,9 TOTAL 1,97,8 GOVERNORATE OF ORIGIN FOR INDIVIDUALS DISPLACED FROM FEBRUARY 6 TO JUNE Dahuk Erbil Sulaymaniyah Ninewa Kirkuk Anbar Baghdad Diyala Salah al-din Babil Basrah Qadisiyah Karbala san Muthanna Najaf Dhi Qar Wassit 9

30 INTERNALLY DISPLACED PERSONS IN IRAQ Since April, 8, 1,, 6,, 7,7, 8,77, NOTE: Numbers are cumulative, but DO NOT include those displaced prior to (approximately 1 million). MIGRATION INDICATORS August 8 Iraqi Refugees living abroad.-. million Iraqi Refugees in Syria million Iraqi Refugees in Jordan,, Iraqi Refugees in Egypt, Lebanon, Iran 1, 1, Iraqi Refugees in the Gulf States, NOTE: Not all Iraqis refugees fled because of the current war. REFUGEES AND ASYLUM SEEKERS 6-66, 889, 6 1,8, 7,, NOTE: Figures in the above table are cumulative. NOTE ON ALL DISPLACED IRAQIS: According to the International Organization of Migration only about 78,18 of the estimated.1 million Iraqis uprooted from their homes- less than 1%- had returned by 1, 8. 7 RELIGION OF IDP S DISPLACED BETWEEN FEBRUARY 6 AND NOVEMBER 7 8 Christian % Sunni Muslim % Shia Muslim 6% NOTE ON THIS GRAPH: Approximately.1% is classified as Yazidi, Sabean Mandean or Unknown.

31 NUMBER OF IRAQI ASYLUM APPLICATIONS BY COUNTRY, 6 AND JANUARY TO JUNE 8 9 COUNTRY 6 7 JANUARY-JUNE 8 SWEDEN 8,91 18,9,696 NETHERLANDS,766, 1,6 GERMANY,6,171 1,961 GREECE 1,1,7 688 UNITED KINGDOM 1,,7 7 NORWAY 1, 1,7 96 SWITZERLAND BELGIUM DENMARK 7 1,69 18 AUSTRIA FINLAND IRELAND SLOVAKIA CANADA AUSTRALIA CYPRUS 1 UNITED STATES 7 1 FRANCE TOTAL 1,719 9,1 8,98 ROBOTIC SYSTEMS UTILIZED BY THE U.S. MILITARY ON THE GROUND IN IRAQ, BY YEAR 6 1, 1, 1, 1, 9, 8, 6,,,,, NOTE ON THIS GRAPH: Figures depicted are as of year end. The 7 figure is an estimate made in consideration of the figures provided for 6 and 8. 1

32 SIZE OF IRAQI SECURITY FORCES ON DUTY 61 Month General Police Capabilities National Guard Iraqi Armed Forces Border Patrol Total Iraqi Security Forces 7, 9, N/A N/A 7, 9, June N/A N/A N/A N/A, N/A N/A, August, 67, 7,17 7,,,7, October,,7 7 6, 66,8 68,8 1,7 9 1, 9,8 December 71,6 1, 1,9 99,6 January 66,9 19,8 1,1 1, 18,8 February 77,1 7,9, 18, 1, 7,,6,,6 1,991 April 8,16,1,67 18,77 1, 9,8,87,99 16,97 1,71 June 8,789 6,9 7,116 18,18 1,17 1, 6,9 7,7 19,89 9,88 August,9 7,9 6,88 1,1 91,68,1 6,96 7,77 1,1 98,78 October,78 1,61 6,861 18,18 11,998 9,, 6,1 1,9 11,6 December,71,11 1, 1,67 118,9 January 8,96 6,87 1,796 1,786 1,7 February 8,7 trained and equipped 9,689 operational N/A 11,761 Trained and Effective: General Myers:, Senator Biden:, 18, 8,7 67,8 N/A 11,618 Trained and Effective: Lt. Gen Petraeus:, off-the-cuff April 86,98 7,11 N/A 19,9 91,6 76,971 N/A 168,7 June 9,88 7,791 N/A 168,67 9,8 79,1 N/A 17,9 6, in Army in level I and II August 11, 81,9 N/A 18,9 1, 87,8 N/A 19,1 ~, in Army in level I and II , 1, N/A 11, October ~, in level I and II 6 11, 1, N/A 1, December 118, 1,7 N/A,7 January 6 1, 16,9 N/A 7, February 1,6 18, N/A,1 ~6, MOD forces and 8, MOI forces in Level I and II 6 1,8 11,7 N/A, April 18,7 11, N/A,7 1, 117,9 N/A 6,6 June 18, 116,1 N/A 6,6 1, 11,1 N/A 69,6 August 167,9 1,1 N/A 98, 176, 11,6 N/A 7,8 October 18,8 11,6 N/A 1, 188, 1,7 N/A, December 188, 1,7 N/A, January 7 188, 1,7 N/A, February 188,6 1,9 N/A,18 19, 16, N/A 9,8 April 19, 19,8 N/A,1 19, 1, N/A 8,7 June 19, 18,9 N/A,1 19, 18,9 N/A,1 August 19, 16, N/A 9,7 19, 16, N/A 9,7 October 19, 16, N/A 9,7 * 8,89 191,1 N/A 9,6 December 1,9 19, 1,1 9,678 January 8 1,6 19, 1,1 1,779 February,1 197, 7,99, 1,9,77 8,, April 1,9,77 8,, 1,7 6,6,7 78, June 1,7 6,6,7 78, 8,78,91,177 1,6 August 8,78,91,177 1,6 9,16 8,87,7 1, October 9,16 8,87,7,1 6,786 6,67,886 8,79 December 61,61 67,7 6,67 6,7 NOTE ON IRAQI SECURITY FORCES ON DUTY TABLE: *As of 7, figures on Iraqi Security Forces are provided by Iraq s Ministries of Defense and Interior and not Coalition figures. Due to this, the figures now reflect the number of authorized and assigned personnel as opposed to those successfully trained by Coalition forces. Care should be taken when evaluating the quality of MOI forces as there have been various reports of Iraqi police units dominated by sectarian interests.

33 IRAQI SECURITY FORCE OPERATIONAL READINESS, JANUARY -PRESENT 66 Definitions of Operational Readiness Assessment (ORA) Levels: ORA LEVEL 1: capable of planning, executing, and sustaining counterinsurgency operations ORA LEVEL : capable of planning, executing, and sustaining counterinsurgency operations with Iraqi security force or coalition force assistance ORA LEVEL : partially capable of conducting counterinsurgency operations in conjunction with coalition units ORA LEVEL : forming and/or incapable of conducting counterinsurgency operations

34 INDEX OF POLITICAL FREEDOM 67 Israel 8. Lebanon 6. Morocco. Iraq. Palestine. Kuwait.9 Tunisia.6 Jordan. Qatar. Egypt. Sudan. Yemen. Algeria.1 Oman. Bahrain.8 Iran.8 United Arab Emirates.7 Saudi Arabia.8 Syria.8 Libya. NOTE ON INDEX OF POLITICAL FREEDOM TABLE: Each country is scored on a 1-point scale, with 1 being the lowest score and 1 the highest. Indicators of freedom include election of head of government, election of parliament, fairness of electoral laws, right to organize political parties, power of elected representatives, presence of an opposition, transparency, minority participation, level of corruption, freedom of assembly, independence of the judiciary, press freedom, religious freedom, rule of law and property rights. IRAQ S RANK IN REPORERS WITHOUT BORDERS ANNUAL INDEX OF PRESS FREEDOM, YEAR SCORE RANK NUMBER OF COUNTRES SURVEYED (T) 166 NOTE ON INDEX OF PRESS FREEDOM TABLE: The ratings are based on a questionnaire with criteria for assessing the state of press freedom in each country. It includes every kind of violation directly affecting journalists (such as murders, imprisonment, physical attacks and threats) and news media (censorship, confiscation issues, searches and harassment). In addition to taking into account abuses attributable to the state, those carried out by armed militias, clandestine organizations or pressure groups are also considered. The lower the score attained, the higher the degree of press freedom in that respective country. Although there is no specific information given regarding how the overall score was compiled, the top-rated countries for 7 received an overall score of.7, with the median receiving a score of.. The overall average score for the Index was 1.. IRAQ S RANK IN TRANSPARENCY INTERNATIONAL S ANNUAL CORRUPTION PERCEPTIONS INDEX (CPI) 69 YEAR RANK NUMBER OF COUNTRIES SURVEYED (T) (T) (T) (T) 1 (T): Indicates years Iraq s score tied with one or more other country. NOTE ON THIS CHART: The CPI is a composite index that draws on 1 expert opinion surveys. It scores countries on a scale from zero to ten, with zero indicating high levels of perceived corruption and ten indicating low levels of perceived corruption. Due to a lack of reliable data, Iraq was not included in the CPI survey for the years 1 and.

35 POLITICAL PARTIES IN IRAQ 7 Registered for December elections Over COUNCIL SEATS BY COALITION/PARTY IN IRAQI COUNCIL OF REPRESENTATIVES 71 As of 7 Coalition Total Seats Designation Parties Leaders United Iraqi Alliance 8 Shiite Religious Coalition Kurdistan Coalition Kurdish Secular Coalition Iraqi Accordance Front Sunni Religious Coalition Includes SIIC, Dawa Includes KDP, PUK Includes Iraqi Islamic Party Includes Abdul Aziz Hakim, Ibrahim Jafari Includes Jalal Talabani Includes Adnan Dulaimi, Khalaf Elayan, Tariq Hashimi Sadrist Movement Moqtada al-sadr Virtue Party (Fadhila) 1 Muhammad Yaqubi National Iraqi List Shiite / Sunni Various Ayad Allawi Secular Coalition Other Other Iraqi National Dialogue Front (11), Islamic Union of Kurdistan (), Liberation and Reconciliation Bloc (), Message Carriers (), Mithal Alousi List for the Iraqi Nation (1), Iraqi Turkoman Front (1), Yezidi Movement for Progress and Reform (1), Al Rafadeen List (1)