What Kind of Entrepreneurial Future?
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1 What Kind of Entrepreneurial Future? Council of State Governments: Entrepreneurship Days in the Capitol Dane Stangler, Kauffman Foundation Phoenix, AZ, March 24,
2 Overview Entrepreneurial directions for United States o Boom o Drift Where Arizona stands What Arizona can do
3 New Business Creation, Startups/100,000 People Number of Startups Number of Startups (right axis) Per 100,000, Prime Age (left axis) Per 100,000, Working Age (left axis) Source: US Census Bureau
4 Possible Future: Entrepreneurial Boom Lower Barriers Technological Progress New Producer Society
5 Lower Barriers to Starting and Experimenting Reinventing Small Business
6 Technological Leaps
7 Low-volume customization New Producer Society Low-volume standardization High-volume standardization (e.g. Ford) High-volume customization (e.g. lean production) Mass personalization See Peter Marsh, New Industrial Revolution; Chris Anderson, Makers.
8 Possible Future: Entrepreneurial Drift Demographics Innovation Jobs? Labor Force
9 The Demographic Bulge Moves On 68 Working Age Population (15-64), Share of Total Source: Census Bureau
10 Innovation Leads to Jobs? technological unemployment
11 Fate of Workers? Source: Jacobson and Occhino, FRB Cleveland; Wall Street Journal
12 Where Arizona Stands
13 Falling Entrepreneurship: Startups as % of Total Firms 20.00% 18.00% 16.00% 14.00% 12.00% 10.00% 8.00% 6.00% Nevada Utah Arizona Colorado National New Mexico 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% Source: US Census Bureau
14 Post-Recession Rebound? Startup Funding Deals in Arizona Total # deals (left axis) # deals 1+ firms (left axis) # deals startups (left axis) Source: Crunchbase
15 High-Growth Firms in Arizona Arizona Total Phoenix-Mesa-Glendale, AZ Tucson, AZ Yuma, AZ Prescott, AZ Flagstaff, AZ Show Low, AZ Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ Not in an MSA Nogales, AZ Source: Inc magazine, Inc.com.
16 Thumbtack Survey of Small Business Friendliness in Arizona Category Grade Overall friendliness C+ Ease of Starting a Business B- Regulations B Health and Safety B+ Employment, Labor, Hiring B- Tax code B Licensing B- Environmental B Zoning B Training and Networking Programs C+ Source: Thumbtack and Kauffman:
17 What Arizona Can Do (and Is Doing) Entrepreneurial Experimentation Let Entrepreneurs In Let Entrepreneurs Compete Human Capital Pipeline
18 Entrepreneurial Experimentation in Arizona
19 Occupational and Professional Licensing: Promote Entry and Competition
20 Immigration and Entrepreneurship 0.70% Kauffman Index of Entrepreneurial Activity Rate of Entrepreneurial Activity 0.60% 0.50% 0.40% 0.30% 0.20% 0.10% 0.00% Native-Born Immigrant
21 High-Tech Immigrant Entrepreneurs, 2010 Source: Painter, et al, Lessons for U.S. Metro Areas: Characteristics and Clustering of High-Tech Immigrant Entrepreneurs, Kauffman Foundation, March 25, 2014.
22 Immigrant High-Tech Entrepreneurs, Source: Painter, et al, Lessons for U.S. Metro Areas: Characteristics and Clustering of High-Tech Immigrant Entrepreneurs, Kauffman Foundation, March 25, 2014.
23 High-tech Immigrant Entrepreneurs in Phoenix In 2011, Phoenix had: o Others: 7.3 high-tech immigrant entrepreneurs per 10,000 people o San Jose = 33.7 o Seattle = 12.2 o Austin = 9.8 o Houston = 9.6 o Denver = 7.0 o Philadelphia = 5.7 Growth, o +3.0 In 2011, Phoenix had: o Others: 37.9 high-tech US-born entrepreneurs per 10,000 people o Austin = 64.6 o Denver = 62.0 o Seattle = 61.8 o San Jose = 50.7 o Philadelphia = 34.7 o Houston = 29.0 Growth, o -5.7 Source: Gary Painter, et al, Lessons for U.S. Metro Areas: Characteristics and Clustering of High-Tech Immigrant Entrepreneurs, Kauffman Foundation, March 25, 2014.
24 Non-compete Agreements: Allow Entrepreneurs to be Entrepreneurs Most entrepreneurs, especially high-growth, have prior industry experience They leave a job to start their company
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