Rethinking the Nuclear Terrorism Threat from Iran and North Korea
|
|
- George Newman
- 6 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Rethinking the Nuclear Terrorism Threat from Iran and North Korea A Presentation by Henry Sokolski Executive Director The Nonproliferation Policy Education Center 1718 M Street, NW, Suite 244 Washington, DC npec@npec-web.org; website: npec-web.org Made before a Symposium on Terrorism and Weapons of Mass Destruction Grinnell College October 31, 2005
2 Presumed Worst Worry: Iran and the DPRK Will Pass the Bomb on to Terrorists October 11, 2001Al Qaeda threat to New York could be followed by other Axis of Evil hand offs Iran, DPRK Justification for nuclear talks with DPRK and maintaining military and UNSC option for Iran is that they could sell their nuclear production to terrorists Need for Homeland Security Office to spend billions on first responders, install radiation detection capability at major seaports, airports and border crossings As US-Russian efforts to blend down and secure surplus nuclear weapons uranium (the nuclear terrorist material of choice) advance, odds Iran or DPRK may become source for terrorist uranium bomb increase
3 Alternative View: Terrorist Takeover of Pakistan, Nuclear 1914 At least As Worrisome More likely and terrifying than an Iranian or North Korean hand off of nuclear weapons or material to terrorists is the terrorist take over of an existing nuclear country e.g., Pakistan More likely and terrifying still is that Iran s and North Korea s example will continue to a.) distort a firm reading of the nuclear rules b.) encourage an incremental increase in the number of nuclear-ready states, and c.) lead to a Nuclear 1914, in which the least terrorist incident or political miscalculation could bring nuclear war Emphasis on conventional view is encouraging civilian nuclear and nuclear nonproliferation policies that may only increase the prospects of these alternative threats being reallized
4 Highly Enriched Uranium: Nuclear Terrorist Material of Choice
5 Plutonium Nuclear Weapon: A More Complicated Proposition
6 Bad News: Laws of Physics Unfriendly to Nuclear Detection Gamma rays from Plutonium are local Radiation from weapons uranium is minimal Detection of heavy masses with, protons, mueons, x-rays, produces high false alarm rate Shielding, deconstructing critical mass, further complicates detection
7 Good News: Iranian Nuclear Handoff to Terrorist Is Not Imminent Iran HEU will initially be rare and closely guarded by Iranian regime (only offers to share nuclear technology to date is with other states) Shias and Persians are distrustful of Arab Sunnis Much more controllable conventional, terrorist explosives are available Loss of Iranian state control of nuclear program is a bigger worry major new mission of Revolutionary Guards
8 Why DPRK Handoff Is Also Unlikely Have suggested nuclear sales but not to terrorist groups Risk of intelligence penetration of nuclear program (especially HEU production, which DPRK has yet to admit to) Alternative means to make cash (conventional arms sales, counterfeiting, drug trade) far less risky to continued Party rule and international reaction
9 Most Worrisome Terrorist Threat: Not State Nuclear Handoff, but a Terrorist Takeover of a Nuclear State Pakistan A.Q. Khan actively sympathetic to Taliban, could be elected president today 4 Senior Pakistani nuclear scientists discussed nuclear topics with Al Qaeda At least 2 assassination attempts on President Musharraf by military officers cooperating with Al Qaeda Pakistani intelligence service and retired military are very supportive of Taliban, Al Qaeda, and related groups
10 Worth Rethinking: State-based Nuclear Threats and Securing Nuclear Materials Terrorist takeover of state Penetration of state-run nuclear programs (e.g., Pakistan, Iran) Highlights need for states to secure nuclear weapons-related technology and materials
11 Good News: Progress on Reducing and Securing Some Nuclear Materials Global Threat Reduction Initiative and Cooperative Threat Initiative are making real progress in securing Russian materials and reducing HEU and HEU use
12 Bad News: Increased Civilian Nuclear Fuel Production Plutonium reprocessing and uranium enrichment plants and the fuels they can make can be quickly converted to make bombs None of these plants can be monitored to detect military diversions or theft in a timely manner Brazil and Iran are starting up new enrichment plants US planning new enrichment and reprocessing plants Japan is completing a large reprocessing plant
13 The Amount of Weapons-usable Civilian Plutonium Is Eclipsing Military Holdings
14 Do States Have a Right to Get to the Brink of Having an Arsenal? DPRK, Iran insists the answer is yes and are demanding recognition of this right South Africa, Brazil, India, Pakistan, Germany and most Non-aligned Movement states agree as does U.S. State Legal Division says France, Israel, Some US officials disagree
15 History, Legal Common Sense Say No NPT is a Nonproliferation Treaty NPT amendments of Spain and Mexico for a right to entire fuel cycle were rejected No perse prohibition or right Depends if safeguardable and economically imperative (article III and preamble of NPT)
16 Greatest DPRK, Iranian Nuclear Threat Ultimately May Be to the Nuclear Rules If DPRK, Iranian challenge to the rules sticks, all nations that openly declare their nuclear activities may come within days of having bombs, even if it is uneconomical, and withdraw from NPT with impunity US and others have only two options To give up and manage proliferation Toughen their reading of the rules to establish 5-year moratorium on net expansion of fuel making everywhere, and build consensus behind no new fuel making unless economical and in weapons states
17 Current Proliferation Seems Manageable
18 Future Proliferation: Ramp Up to Nuclear 1914?
Testimony before the House Committee on International Relations Hearing on the US-India Global Partnership and its Impact on Non- Proliferation
Testimony before the House Committee on International Relations Hearing on the US-India Global Partnership and its Impact on Non- Proliferation By David Albright, President, Institute for Science and International
More information1 Nuclear Weapons. Chapter 1 Issues in the International Community. Part I Security Environment Surrounding Japan
1 Nuclear Weapons 1 The United States, the former Soviet Union, the United Kingdom, France, and China. France and China signed the NPT in 1992. 2 Article 6 of the NPT sets out the obligation of signatory
More information1
Understanding Iran s Nuclear Issue Why has the Security Council ordered Iran to stop enrichment? Because the technology used to enrich uranium to the level needed for nuclear power can also be used to
More informationAchieving the Vision of a World Free of Nuclear Weapons International Conference on Nuclear Disarmament, Oslo February
Achieving the Vision of a World Free of Nuclear Weapons International Conference on Nuclear Disarmament, Oslo February 26 27 2008 Controlling Fissile Materials and Ending Nuclear Testing Robert J. Einhorn
More informationThe Iran Nuclear Deal: Where we are and our options going forward
The Iran Nuclear Deal: Where we are and our options going forward Frank von Hippel, Senior Research Physicist and Professor of Public and International Affairs emeritus Program on Science and Global Security,
More informationNuclear Physics 7. Current Issues
Nuclear Physics 7 Current Issues How close were we to nuclear weapons use? Examples (not all) Korean war (1950-1953) Eisenhower administration considers nuclear weapons to end stalemate Indochina war (1946-1954)
More informationDisarmament and International Security: Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Disarmament and International Security: Nuclear Non-Proliferation JPHMUN 2014 Background Guide Introduction Nuclear weapons are universally accepted as the most devastating weapons in the world (van der
More informationPhysics 280: Session 29
Physics 280: Session 29 Questions Final: Thursday May 14 th, 8.00 11.00 am ICES News Module 9 The Future Video Presentation: Countdown to Zero 15p280 The Future, p. 1 MGP, Dep. of Physics 2015 Physics/Global
More informationQuestion of non-proliferation of nuclear weapons and of weapons of mass destruction MUNISH 11
Research Report Security Council Question of non-proliferation of nuclear weapons and of weapons of mass destruction MUNISH 11 Please think about the environment and do not print this research report unless
More informationGREAT DECISIONS WEEK 8 NUCLEAR SECURITY
GREAT DECISIONS WEEK 8 NUCLEAR SECURITY Acronyms, abbreviations and such IAEA International Atomic Energy Agency ICBM Intercontinental Ballistic Missile NPT Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons Treaty
More informationThe Yale Journal of International Affairs recently spoke with three leading
P e r s p e c t i v e s Bombs Without Borders Perspectives on the Nuclear Proliferation Threat R o u n d t a b l e with J o h n Lauder J o n a t h a n Schell H e n r y Sokolsk i The Yale Journal of International
More informationSUB Hamburg A/ Nuclear Armament. GREENHAVEN PRESS A part of Gale, Cengage Learning. GALE CENGAGE Learning-
SUB Hamburg A/559537 Nuclear Armament Debra A. Miller, Book Editor GREENHAVEN PRESS A part of Gale, Cengage Learning QC? GALE CENGAGE Learning- Detroit New York San Francisco New Haven, Conn Waterville,
More informationMay 8, 2018 NATIONAL SECURITY PRESIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM/NSPM-11
May 8, 2018 NATIONAL SECURITY PRESIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM/NSPM-11 MEMORANDUM FOR THE SECRETARY OF STATE THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE THE ATTORNEY GENERAL THE SECRETARY OF ENERGY THE
More informationPanel Questions and Answers Regarding Nuclear Weapons and Nuclear Power
Panel Questions and Answers Regarding Nuclear Weapons and Nuclear Power By Henry Sokolski Executive Director The Nonproliferation Policy Education Center Washington, DC, USA for A World Without Nuclear
More informationBanning Ballistic Missiles? Missile Control for a Nuclear-Weapon-Free World
Banning Ballistic Missiles? Missile Control for a Nuclear-Weapon-Free World Jürgen Scheffran Program in Arms Control, Disarmament and International Security University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign International
More informationNUCLEAR ARMS CONTROL: THE END OF HISTORY?
NUCLEAR ARMS CONTROL: THE END OF HISTORY? Dr. Alexei Arbatov Chairman of the Carnegie Moscow Center s Nonproliferation Program Head of the Center for International Security at the Institute of World Economy
More informationTopic 002: Nuclear Weapons Disarmament
Topic 002: Nuclear Weapons Disarmament "On October 25, 1962 (during the Cuban Missile Crisis) a security guard at an air base in Duluth, Minnesota, saw a shadowy figure scaling one of the fences enclosing
More informationI. Acquisition by Country
Unclassified Report to Congress on the Acquisition of Technology Relating to Weapons of Mass Destruction and Advanced Conventional Munitions, Covering 1 January to 31 December 2011 The Director of National
More informationAfrica & nuclear weapons. An introduction to the issue of nuclear weapons in Africa
Africa & nuclear weapons An introduction to the issue of nuclear weapons in Africa Status in Africa Became a nuclear weapon free zone (NWFZ) in July 2009, with the Treaty of Pelindaba Currently no African
More informationUS Aerospace Exports: The Case for Further Controls
US Aerospace Exports: The Case for Further Controls Henry Sokolski Executive Director The Nonproliferation Policy Education Center 1718 M Street, NW, Suite 244 Washington, D.C. 20036 npec@npec-web.org
More informationBiological and Chemical Weapons. Ballistic Missiles. Chapter 2
Section 2 Transfer and Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction Transfer and proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, such as nuclear, biological and chemical (NBC) weapons, or of ballistic missiles
More informationNuclear Terrorism: Threat Briefing How Serious is the Threat?
How Serious is the Threat? Nuclear Security Summit April 12-13, 2010 Nuclear terrorism is the most serious danger the world is facing. Mohamed ElBaradei, former director of the IAEA and winner of the 2005
More informationTHE NUCLEAR WORLD IN THE EARLY 21 ST CENTURY
THE NUCLEAR WORLD IN THE EARLY 21 ST CENTURY SITUATION WHO HAS NUCLEAR WEAPONS: THE COLD WAR TODAY CURRENT THREATS TO THE U.S.: RUSSIA NORTH KOREA IRAN TERRORISTS METHODS TO HANDLE THE THREATS: DETERRENCE
More informationHistorical Timeline of Major Nuclear Events
Historical Timeline of Major Nuclear Events Event Date: Event Title: Event Description: 08/13/1942 Manhattan Project Begins Manhattan Project officially begins. This secret US project that leads to the
More informationFY 2008 NNSA Budget Request Overview
Statement of Will Tobey Deputy Administrator for Defense Nuclear Nonproliferation National Nuclear Security Administration U.S. Department of Energy Before the Senate Armed Services Committee Subcommittee
More informationSeo-Hang Lee, Ph. D. President, Korea Institute for Maritime Strategy Professor Emeritus, KNDA
Review of NPT: Major Challenges to NPT & Nuclear Non-Proliferation Regime Seo-Hang Lee, Ph. D. President, Korea Institute for Maritime Strategy Professor Emeritus, KNDA Contents What is a nuclear weapon
More informationNegotiations relating to a fissile material cut-off
Negotiations relating to a fissile material cut-off treaty (FMCT) have begun despite the failure of the Conference on Disarmament (CD) in Geneva to establish a negotiating committee for that purpose. This
More informationA Global History of the Nuclear Arms Race
SUB Hamburg A/602564 A Global History of the Nuclear Arms Race Weapons, Strategy, and Politics Volume 1 RICHARD DEAN BURNS AND JOSEPH M. SIRACUSA Praeger Security International Q PRAEGER AN IMPRINT OF
More informationMontessori Model United Nations. First Committee Disarmament and International Security
Montessori Model United Nations A/C.1/11/BG-97.B General Assembly Eleventh Session Distr.: Upper Elementary XX September 2016 Original: English First Committee Disarmament and International Security This
More informationHOMELAND SECURITY PRESIDENTIAL DIRECTIVE-4. Subject: National Strategy to Combat Weapons of Mass Destruction
[National Security Presidential Directives -17] HOMELAND SECURITY PRESIDENTIAL DIRECTIVE-4 Unclassified version December 2002 Subject: National Strategy to Combat Weapons of Mass Destruction "The gravest
More informationImportance of Export Control & Japan s Export Control
Importance of Export Control & Japan s Export Control November 2014 Table of Contents 1. Importance of Export Control 2. International Export Control Regimes 3. Japan s Export Control 2 1. Importance of
More informationSafeguards and Nuclear Security: Synergies, bridges and differences. Anita Nilsson, Jean-Maurice Crete, Miroslav Gregoric
Safeguards and Nuclear Security: Synergies, bridges and differences Anita Nilsson, Jean-Maurice Crete, Miroslav Gregoric Safeguards and Nuclear Security Synergies, bridges and differences From Greek sunergia,
More informationNukes: Who Will Have the Bomb in the Middle East? Dr. Gary Samore. WCFIA/CMES Middle East Seminar Harvard University October 4, 2018
Nukes: Who Will Have the Bomb in the Middle East? Dr. Gary Samore WCFIA/CMES Middle East Seminar Harvard University October 4, 2018 I d like to thank Lenore Martin and the WCFIA/CMES Middle East Seminar
More informationODUMUNC 2014 Issue Brief for Security Council. Non-proliferation and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea
Non-proliferation and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea By: Kym Ganczak Graduate Program in International Studies, Old Dominion University Introduction: choices between acceptance and war Since
More informationA technically-informed roadmap for North Korea s denuclearization
A technically-informed roadmap for North Korea s denuclearization Siegfried S. Hecker, Robert L. Carlin and Elliot A. Serbin Center for International Security and Cooperation Stanford University May 28,
More informationLithtuania s International Obligations in the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Field
Conference Nuclear Power Safety Regulation Challenges to commemorate the 20 th anniversary of Lithuanian State Nuclear Power Safety Inspectorate (VATESI) Lithtuania s International Obligations in the Nuclear
More informationDefense-in-Depth in Understanding and Countering Nuclear and Radiological Terrorism
Defense-in-Depth in Understanding and Countering Nuclear and Radiological Terrorism Charles D. Ferguson President Federation of American Scientists Presentation to Countering Nuclear and Radiological Threats
More informationRadiological Terrorism: Introduction
Radiological Terrorism: Introduction The Four Faces of Nuclear Terrorism Acquisition of an intact nuclear weapon Crude nuclear weapon or Improvised Nuclear Device (IND) Attack against or sabotage of a
More informationThreats to Peace and Prosperity
Lesson 2 Threats to Peace and Prosperity Airports have very strict rules about what you cannot carry onto airplanes. 1. The Twin Towers were among the tallest buildings in the world. Write why terrorists
More informationGeneral Assembly First Committee. Topic A: Nuclear Non-Proliferation in the Middle East
General Assembly First Committee Topic A: Nuclear Non-Proliferation in the Middle East Above all else, we need a reaffirmation of political commitment at the highest levels to reducing the dangers that
More informationPolicy Responses to Nuclear Threats: Nuclear Posturing After the Cold War
Policy Responses to Nuclear Threats: Nuclear Posturing After the Cold War Hans M. Kristensen Director, Nuclear Information Project Federation of American Scientists Presented to Global Threat Lecture Series
More informationGAO. COMBATING NUCLEAR SMUGGLING Efforts to Deploy Radiation Detection Equipment in the United States and in Other Countries.
GAO For Release on Delivery Expected at 2:00 p.m. EDT Tuesday, June 21, 2005 United States Government Accountability Office Testimony Before the Subcommittees on the Prevention of Nuclear and Biological
More informationWilliam Tobey September 18, 2017
Cooperative Threat Reduction and the 2017 Threat Environment NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES WORKSHOP ON COOPERATIVE THREAT REDUCTION PROGRAMS FOR THE NEXT 10 YEARS AND BEYOND William Tobey September 18,
More informationStatement by Ambassador Linton F. Brooks Administrator of the National Nuclear Security Administration U. S. Department of Energy Before the
Statement by Ambassador Linton F. Brooks Administrator of the National Nuclear Security Administration U. S. Department of Energy Before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee U. S. Senate June 15, 2004
More informationCombating Nuclear Smuggling
Combating Nuclear Smuggling Breakout Panel #6: Coping with Megaterrorism Threats Second Moscow International Nonproliferation Conference Moscow, Russia September 19, 2003 Dori Ellis Director, International
More informationCRS Report for Congress
CRS Report for Congress Received through the CRS Web Order Code RS22125 April 26, 2005 Summary NPT Compliance: Issues and Views Sharon Squassoni Specialist in National Defense Foreign Affairs, Defense,
More informationCOMMUNICATION OF 14 MARCH 2000 RECEIVED FROM THE PERMANENT MISSION OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA TO THE INTERNATIONAL ATOMIC ENERGY AGENCY
XA0055097 - INFCIRC/584 27 March 2000 INF International Atomic Energy Agency INFORMATION CIRCULAR GENERAL Distr. Original: ENGLISH COMMUNICATION OF 14 MARCH 2000 RECEIVED FROM THE PERMANENT MISSION OF
More informationOverview of Safeguards, Security, and Treaty Verification
Photos placed in horizontal position with even amount of white space between photos and header Overview of Safeguards, Security, and Treaty Verification Matthew R. Sternat, Ph.D. Sandia National Laboratories
More informationSection 6. South Asia
Section 6. South Asia 1. India 1. General Situation India is surrounded by many countries and has long coastlines totaling 7,600km. The country has the world s second largest population of more than one
More informationUNITED STATES AND INDIA NUCLEAR COOPERATION
UNITED STATES AND INDIA NUCLEAR COOPERATION VerDate 14-DEC-2004 11:51 Jan 05, 2007 Jkt 059139 PO 00401 Frm 00001 Fmt 6579 Sfmt 6579 E:\PUBLAW\PUBL401.109 APPS16 PsN: PUBL401 120 STAT. 2726 PUBLIC LAW 109
More informationForeign Policy and Homeland Security
Foreign Policy and Homeland Security 1 Outline Background Marshall Plan and NATO United Nations Military build-up and nuclear weapons Intelligence agencies and the Iraq war Foreign aid Select issues in
More informationCRS Issue Brief for Congress
Order Code IB10091 CRS Issue Brief for Congress Received through the CRS Web Nuclear Nonproliferation Issues Updated January 20, 2006 Carl E. Behrens Resources, Science, and Industry Division Congressional
More informationGlobal Risk of Nuclear Terrorism
Volume 3 Number 1 Volume 3, No. 1: March 2010 Journal of Strategic Security Article 3 Global Risk of Nuclear Terrorism Emily Diez Akribis Group and the Center for Terrorism and Intelligence Studies Terrance
More informationNorth Korea has invited Hecker to visit its nuclear facilities on several other occasions to provide confirmation of certain nuclear activities.
Arms Control Today Peter Crail North Korea unveiled a large uranium-enrichment pilot plant to a visiting team of former U.S. officials and academics Nov. 12, complicating efforts to denuclearize the Korean
More informationThank you for inviting me to discuss the Department of Defense Cooperative Threat Reduction Program.
Testimony of Assistant Secretary of Defense Dr. J.D. Crouch II Before the Senate Armed Services Committee Subcommittee on Emerging Threats March 6, 2002 COOPERATIVE THREAT REDUCTION PROGR\M Thank you for
More informationSSUSH23 Assess the political, economic, and technological changes during the Reagan, George H.W. Bush, Clinton, George W.
SSUSH23 Assess the political, economic, and technological changes during the Reagan, George H.W. Bush, Clinton, George W. Bush, and Obama administrations. a. Analyze challenges faced by recent presidents
More informationIssue Brief for Congress Received through the CRS Web
Order Code IB10091 Issue Brief for Congress Received through the CRS Web Nuclear Nonproliferation Issues Updated June 7, 2002 Carl E. Behrens Resources, Science, and Industry Division Congressional Research
More informationNonproliferation and Disarmament Regime THE ROLE OF
Nonproliferation and Disarmament Regime THE ROLE OF INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS Agenda What is the nonproliferation and disarmament regime? International treaties and agreements Regional & bilateral treaties
More informationUninventing the Bomb?
Uninventing the Bomb? 1 It is often argued that nuclear weapons cannot be uninvented and we must therefore learn to live with them and the threat they pose But things get uninvented all the time, mostly
More informationPROSPECTS OF ARMS CONTROL AND CBMS BETWEEN INDIA AND PAKISTAN. Feroz H. Khan Naval Postgraduate School
PROSPECTS OF ARMS CONTROL AND CBMS BETWEEN INDIA AND PAKISTAN Feroz H. Khan Naval Postgraduate School Outline Introduction Brief Overview of CBMs (1947-99) Failure of Strategic Restraint Regime (1998-99)
More informationNPT/CONF.2015/PC.I/WP.12*
Preparatory Committee for the 2015 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons * 20 April 2012 Original: English First session Vienna, 30 April-11 May 2012
More informationAPPENDIX 1. Fissile Material Cutoff Treaty A chronology
APPENDIX 1 Fissile Material Cutoff Treaty A chronology compiled by Lauren Barbour December 1946: The U.N. Atomic Energy Commission s first annual report to the Security Council recommends the establishment
More informationA/55/116. General Assembly. United Nations. General and complete disarmament: Missiles. Contents. Report of the Secretary-General
United Nations General Assembly Distr.: General 6 July 2000 Original: English A/55/116 Fifty-fifth session Item 74 (h) of the preliminary list* General and complete disarmament: Missiles Report of the
More informationInternational Nonproliferation Regimes after the Cold War
The Sixth Beijing ISODARCO Seminar on Arms Control October 29-Novermber 1, 1998 Shanghai, China International Nonproliferation Regimes after the Cold War China Institute for International Strategic Studies
More informationRestraining a Nuclear-Ready Iran: Seven Levers Report of NPEC s Competitive Strategies Working Group September 13, 2004 [DRAFT]
Restraining a Nuclear-Ready Iran: Seven Levers Report of NPEC s Competitive Strategies Working Group September 13, 2004 [DRAFT] Overview When it comes to Iran s nuclear program, most U.S. and allied officials
More informationCHAPTER 1 GETTING READY FOR A NUCLEAR-READY IRAN: REPORT OF THE NPEC WORKING GROUP. Henry Sokolski
CHAPTER 1 GETTING READY FOR A NUCLEAR-READY IRAN: REPORT OF THE NPEC WORKING GROUP Henry Sokolski OVERVIEW When it comes to Iran s nuclear program, most U.S. and allied officials are in one or another
More information1. INSPECTIONS AND VERIFICATION Inspectors must be permitted unimpeded access to suspect sites.
As negotiators close in on a nuclear agreement Iran, Congress must press American diplomats to insist on a good deal that eliminates every Iranian pathway to a nuclear weapon. To accomplish this goal,
More informationPart III: Nonproliferation
Part III: Nonproliferation Preventing the spread of nuclear weapons and associated technology has proven to be a partly attainable yet frustratingly elusive goal. Since the detonation of the first atomic
More informationNATO MEASURES ON ISSUES RELATING TO THE LINKAGE BETWEEN THE FIGHT AGAINST TERRORISM AND THE PROLIFERATION OF WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION
NATO MEASURES ON ISSUES RELATING TO THE LINKAGE BETWEEN THE FIGHT AGAINST TERRORISM AND THE PROLIFERATION OF WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION Executive Summary Proliferation of WMD NATO s 2009 Comprehensive
More informationNaval Nuclear Propulsion: Assessing Benefits and Risks
Naval Nuclear Propulsion: Assessing Benefits and Risks Charles D. Ferguson, Ph.D. President, Federation of American Scientists Briefing to the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey
More informationChapter 4 The Iranian Threat
Chapter 4 The Iranian Threat From supporting terrorism and the Assad regime in Syria to its pursuit of nuclear arms, Iran poses the greatest threat to American interests in the Middle East. Through a policy
More information2017 Washington Model Organization of American States General Assembly. Crisis Scenario Resolution. General Committee
2017 Washington Model Organization of American States General Assembly Crisis Scenario Resolution General Committee CREATING A TEAM OF IAEA EXPERT INVESTIGATORS TO REVIEW THE USE OF NUCLEAR TECHNOLOGIES
More informationIran and the NPT SUMMARY
FRANÇOIS CARREL-BILLIARD AND CHRISTINE WING 33 Iran and the NPT SUMMARY Since the disclosure in 2002 of its clandestine nuclear program, Iran has been repeatedly found in breach of its NPT Safeguards Agreement
More informationUNIVERSITY SCHOLARS 203 SECT 01 (2005_06_WINTER-UNIV_203_01) > COURSE INFORMATION
UNIVERSITY SCHOLARS 203 SECT 01 (2005_06_WINTER-UNIV_203_01) > COURSE INFORMATION Course Information Objectives This seminar will address the political issues, as well as the science and technology associated
More informationTowards a European Non-Proliferation Strategy. May 23, 2003, Paris
Gustav LINDSTRÖM Burkard SCHMITT IINSTITUTE NOTE Towards a European Non-Proliferation Strategy May 23, 2003, Paris The seminar focused on three proliferation dimensions: missile technology proliferation,
More informationArms Control and Proliferation Profile: The United Kingdom
Fact Sheets & Briefs Updated: March 2017 The United Kingdom maintains an arsenal of 215 nuclear weapons and has reduced its deployed strategic warheads to 120, which are fielded solely by its Vanguard-class
More informationSecuring Nuclear Materials: The 2010 Summit and Issues for Congress
Securing Nuclear Materials: The 2010 Summit and Issues for Congress Mary Beth Nikitin Specialist in Nonproliferation April 27, 2011 Congressional Research Service CRS Report for Congress Prepared for Members
More informationEstablishing Nuclear Security Infrastructure for a Nuclear Power Programme
Establishing Nuclear Security Infrastructure for a Nuclear Power Programme D. Jinchuk Office of Nuclear Security Department of Nuclear Safety and Security International Atomic Energy Agency Outline Nuclear
More informationTERRORISM, WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION AND THE CRISIS OF NON-PROLIFERATION REGIMES
TERRORISM, WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION AND THE CRISIS OF NON-PROLIFERATION REGIMES DISCUSSION POINTS PREPARED FOR THE ISODARCO WINTER COURSE 8 15 JANUARY 2006 S. BATSANOV INTRODUCTION This paper addresses
More informationPhysics/Global Studies 280: Session 17
Physics/Global Studies 280: Session 17 Plan for This Session Question Next session, Thursday, 2-3.20pm, March 16 th : Midterm Exam in 103 Talbot Lab Multiple Choice (partial credit) + Essay Question Office
More informationProliferation Control Regimes: Background and Status
Proliferation Control Regimes: Background and Status Mary Beth Nikitin, Coordinator Analyst in Nonproliferation Paul K. Kerr Analyst in Nonproliferation Steven A. Hildreth Specialist in Missile Defense
More informationSecuring the Bomb 2008
Securing the Bomb 2008 MATTHEW BUNN PROJECT ON MANAGING THE ATOM BELFER CENTER FOR SCIENCE AND INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS HARVARD KENNEDY SCHOOL HARVARD UNIVERSITY COMMISSIONED BY THE NUCLEAR THREAT INITIATIVE
More informationSecuring Nuclear Materials: The 2012 Summit and Issues for Congress
Securing Nuclear Materials: The 2012 Summit and Issues for Congress Mary Beth Nikitin Specialist in Nonproliferation March 7, 2012 CRS Report for Congress Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress
More informationWeapons and Motivations
Unit II Weapons and Motivations Our understanding of the WMD terrorism threat requires a recognition of how different types of chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear (CBRN) weapons have different
More information1 Nuclear Weapons. Section 2 Transfer and Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction
Transfer and Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction The transfer and proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMDs), such as nuclear, biological and chemical (NBC) weapons, and ballistic missiles
More informationMISSILE NONPROLIFERATION
MISSILE NONPROLIFERATION AND MISSILE DEFENSE HENRY SOKOLSKI Since the terror attacks on September 11, 2001, almost every aspect of U.S. and international security has undergone some level of public review,
More informationThe Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty: History and
Published on Arms Control Association (http://www.armscontrol.org) Arms Control Today > December 2003 > The Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty: History and Current Problems > The Nuclear Nonproliferation
More informationBeyond Trident: A Civil Society Perspective on WMD Proliferation
Beyond Trident: A Civil Society Perspective on WMD Proliferation Ian Davis, Ph.D. Co-Executive Director British American Security Information Council (BASIC) ESRC RESEARCH SEMINAR SERIES NEW APPROACHES
More informationS E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 04 ASTANA SIPDIS STATE FOR SCA/CEN, EUR/RUS, ISN, NSC FOR MCFAUL, DONNELLY
VZCZCXRO9078 RR RUEHBI RUEHCI RUEHDBU RUEHFL RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHLH RUEHNEH RUEHNP RUEHPW RUEHROV RUEHSL DE RUEHTA #1541/01 2611112 ZNY SSSSS ZZH R 181112Z SEP 09 FM AMEMBASSY ASTANA TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC
More informationNuclear Nonproliferation Policy in the 101st Congress
s>«order Code'IB89084 Nuclear nproliferation Policy in the 101st Congress Updated October 11, 1990 by Warren H. Donnelly Senior Specialist, ENR CONTENTS SUMMARY ISSUE DEFINITION BACKGROUND AND ANALYSIS
More informationNuclear Fears after Ukrainian Crisis
Valdai Papers #02 October 2014 Nuclear Fears after Ukrainian Crisis Oleg Barabanov Richard Weitz One of the global security consequences of the current Ukrainian crisis is the visibly raising nuclear
More informationRethinking the Foundations of the National Security Strategy and the QDR Seminar Series 20 May 2009 Dr. Lewis A. Dunn
Rethinking the Foundations of the National Security Strategy and the QDR Seminar Series 20 May 2009 Dr. Lewis A. Dunn Science Applications International Corporation 21 st Century Deterrence Challenges
More informationSection 6. South Asia
Section 6. South Asia 1. India 1. General Situation India is surrounded by many countries and has long coastlines totaling 7,600km. The country has the world, s second largest population of more than one
More informationNuclear Security Regime in Indonesia
Nuclear Security Regime in Indonesia Suharyanta Nuclear Energy Regulatory Agency (BAPETEN) Counter Terrorism CBRNE An ASEAN Perspective Jakarta, 11 December 2013 Outline Introduction Scope of nuclear security
More informationAnalysis of Fiscal Year 2018 National Defense Authorization Bill: HR Differences Between House and Senate NDAA on Major Nuclear Provisions
Analysis of Fiscal Year 2018 National Defense Authorization Bill: HR 2810 Differences Between House and Senate NDAA on Major Nuclear Provisions A. Treaties: 1. Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty
More informationNote No. 15/2008 NEW YORK
Note No. 15/2008 The Permanent Mission of Australia to the United Nations presents its compliments to the Security Council Committee established pursuant to resolution 1540 and has the honour to refer
More informationCRS Report for Congress
Order Code RS22072 Updated August 22, 2005 CRS Report for Congress Received through the CRS Web The Iran Nonproliferation Act and the International Space Station: Issues and Options Summary Sharon Squassoni
More informationSecurity Council. United Nations S/RES/1718 (2006) Resolution 1718 (2006) Adopted by the Security Council at its 5551st meeting, on 14 October 2006
United Nations S/RES/1718 (2006) Security Council Distr.: General 14 October 2006 Resolution 1718 (2006) Adopted by the Security Council at its 5551st meeting, on 14 October 2006 The Security Council,
More informationAlso this week, we celebrate the signing of the New START Treaty, which was ratified and entered into force in 2011.
April 9, 2015 The Honorable Barack Obama The White House Washington, DC 20500 Dear Mr. President: Six years ago this week in Prague you gave hope to the world when you spoke clearly and with conviction
More informationGrading Progress on 13 Steps Toward Disarmament
Grading Progress on 13 Steps Toward Disarmament Sharon Squassoni Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment Nonproliferation Program Summary thi At the May 2009 Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) Preparatory
More information