Work Session: BEX V Update Agenda Call to Order Work Session: BEX V Update Adjourn

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1 Board Special Meeting Work Session: BEX V Update Wednesday, March 28, 2018, 4:30 7:30pm Board Auditorium, John Stanford Center rd Avenue South, Seattle WA Agenda Call to Order 4:30pm Work Session: BEX V Update 4:30pm Adjourn 7:30pm* Special meetings of the Board, including work sessions and retreats, may contain discussion and/or action related to the items listed on the agenda. Executive sessions are closed to the public per RCW *Times given are estimated.

2 Seattle Public Schools BEX V Board Work Session March 28, 2018, 4:30-7:30 pm Auditorium, John Stanford Center for Educational Excellence rd Avenue South, Seattle, WA Agenda Welcome/Introductions (Eden Mack) Agenda Review (Flip Herndon) Meeting Outcomes Process Overview Board Timelines Policy 6910 Capital Levy Planning (Richard Best) Guidance/Principles Requirements- Facilities Master Plan Prioritization Guidance Guiding Principles Population and Enrollment Growth Planning for the Future: the City and Public Schools (City of Seattle-Jackie Kirn and Tom Hauger; Ashley Davies) Capacity Analysis for Elementary, Middle and High Schools (Becky Asencio) Facilities Assessments of Existing Schools and Support Facilities (Richard Best) Technology (John Krull) Levy Funding (Flip Herndon) Community Engagement/Communication Plan (Tom Redman) Next Steps/Way Forward (Flip Herndon) 4:30 pm 4:35 pm 4:50 pm 5:20 pm 5:50 pm 6:20 pm 6:30 pm 6:55 pm 7:10 pm 7:20 pm

3 Photos by Susie Fitzhugh Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. Building Excellence (BEX) V Capital Levy Planning Board Work Session Presentation March 28, 2018

4 AGENDA Welcome/Introductions Director Eden Mack, Operations Committee Chair Agenda Review/Meeting Outcome/Process Overview & Board Timelines Flip Herndon Policy 6910 Capital Levy Planning Guidance/Facilities Master Plan/Prioritization/ Guiding Principles Richard Best Population and Enrollment Growth - Planning for the Future: the City and its Public Schools Jackie Kirn & Tom Hauger w/city of Seattle; Ashley Davies Capacity Analysis for Elementary, Middle & High Schools Becky Asencio Facilities Assessments of Existing Schools and Support Facilities Richard Best Technology John Krull Levy Funding Flip Herndon Community Engagement/Communication Plan Tom Redman Next Steps/Way Forward Flip Herndon

5 MEETING OUTCOMES Establish Board Project Prioritization Guiding Principles Draft Board Action Report (BAR) for Board Introduction & Approval Confirm City of Seattle Anticipated Growth/Relationship to Student Enrollment Confirm Methodology for School Capacity Analysis Confirm Methodology for School & Support Facilities Assessments Introduce for Consideration Potential Technology Measures Introduce for Consideration Levy Funding Information Confirm Community Engagement Approach

6 PROCESS OVERVIEW & BOARD TIMELINES 2016: Began to Develop List of Potential Projects Based on Capacity & Assessment Criteria Sept. & Dec. 2017: School Board Work Session on BEX V Capital Levy Planning March 28, 2018: SPS Work Session on BEX V Capital Levy Planning April 2018: Community Meetings Discuss Capacity & Assessment Criteria and Guiding Principles May 2018: Project priority refinement reflecting community input, budget, scheduling and data May 2018: SPS Work Session: Discuss What We Heard, Refined Project List & Funding June 2018: Home Language Focus Groups June 2018: Complete Facilities Master Plan Update June 2018: SPS Work Session: Discuss Facilities Master Plan July/August 2018: Project Priority Refinement Aug. 2018: SPS Work Session on BEX V Capital Levy Project List & Funding Sept. 2018: Community Meetings to Present Levies & Feedback Sept. 2018: SPS Work Session on BEX V Capital Levy Finalize Project List & Funding Oct./Nov. 2018: Board Introduction: Staff Recommendations Operations & Capital Levies Oct/Nov. 2018: Operations & Capital Levies 2019 Public Hearing (between Intro. & Action) Oct./Nov. 2018: Board Action Operations & Capital Levies Feb. 2019: Special Election for Operations Levy and BEX V Capital Levy

7 POLICY 6901 CAPITAL LEVY PLANNING Introductory Statement: The Seattle School Board reaffirms it s commitment to prudent planning for investments of capital funds to assure a quality educational program for all students.

8 POLICY 6901 CAPITAL LEVY PLANNING Policy Guidance/Important Principles: Capital projects shall be planned to match the district s educational needs in the short, intermediate and long term. Capital projects shall be based on enrollment projections, building capacity, building condition surveys, and the functional adequacy of current buildings to meet educational program needs. Investments shall be made to maintain and improve the physical condition and systems of buildings. Annual budgets should establish a regular, consistent budgeting mechanism to fund capital maintenance activities.

9 POLICY 6901 CAPITAL LEVY PLANNING Policy Guidance/Important Principles: Building and system designs shall be flexible to meet the changing needs of educational programs, be responsive to the urban context of schools, include advances in technology, and not tailored to the specific needs of any one program to the detriment of future flexibility. The Board strives to reduce district operating costs and carbon emissions by using designs that create conservation opportunities and minimize negative impacts on the environment, while considering the life cycle costs of the projects.

10 POLICY 6901 CAPITAL LEVY PLANNING Policy Requirements: The District shall prepare a facilities master plan to be approved by the School Board. The plan shall project future capital plans over at least a ten-year period and be updated every three years. The facilities master plan shall include an analysis of the following: - enrollment projections, - building capacity, - physical condition and functional adequacy of buildings, - capital costs and available revenues, - and available sites not currently used for school programs.

11 POLICY 6901 CAPITAL LEVY PLANNING Facilities Master Plan - Table of Contents: Introduction/Overview SPS Facilities Overview and Status in School Year Educational Specifications for Schools Population and Enrollment Growth: Trends and Projections Capacity Analysis Facilities Condition Report and Maintenance Needs Summary of Building/Maintenance Needs Next 10 Year Summary of Potential Funding Sources for Capital Projects List of Potential Prioritized Projects

12 POLICY 6901 CAPITAL LEVY PLANNING PROJECT PRIORITIZATION GUIDANCE (Policy 6901 notes: listed rough descending order of importance) : Projects should align with the district s mission and vision. Health, safety and security of students, staff, and public are important and must be protected. Capacity management needs must be met to assure that short, intermediate and long-term enrollment are matched with available space, taking into account costs and educational adequacy of facilities. Building condition scores for building systems, such as exterior, HVAC, plumbing, structural shall be considered. Educational adequacy of buildings shall be considered, focusing on raising student achievement. Planning will take into account past capital projects and future levy plans.

13 POLICY 6901 CAPITAL LEVY PLANNING GUIDING PRINCIPLES: As part of the levy planning process, the Board shall adopt Guiding Principles specific to each levy, to direct the staff in presenting proposals for levy projects. BEX IV Capital Levy Guiding Principles focused on: Health, safety and security Capacity Building condition

14 POLICY 6901 CAPITAL LEVY PLANNING BEX V CAPITAL LEVY GUIDING PRINCIPLES: Board Questions & Discussions

15 CITY/ENROLLMENT GROWTH City of Seattle PowerPoint Presentation

16 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Capacity Analysis Updates Since December 2017 BEX V Capital Levy Work Session Re-evaluated elementary school capacity accounting for K-3 class size reduction Trend data generated utilizing historic enrollment and Enrollment Planning 5-year enrollment projections Received updated 9-12 enrollment and resident projections from Enrollment Planning accounting for Board approved high school boundary revisions Re-evaluated 9-12 capacity with updated enrollment and resident projection information Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 14

17 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Aki Kurose MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Dunlap 0 portables Emerson 0 portables Graham Hill 3 portables Martin Luther King 1 portables Rainier View 6 portables Wing Luke 1 portable South Shore K-8 0 portables Middle School Aki Kurose 2 portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 15

18 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Aki Kurose Middle School Service Area ( ) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trend Aki Kurose MS Service Area Wing Luke K-5 Student Projections K-5 Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (56) % Surplus/(Shortage) 14% 16% 1% -3% 2% 1% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Aki Kurose Middle School Service Area ( ) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Aki Kurose MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) % Surplus/(Shortage) 18% 26% 27% 27% 22% 24% 27% 27% 28% 29% 30% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Aki Kurose MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 16

19 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Denny MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Arbor Heights 0 portables Concord Int l 0 portables Highland Park 0 portables Roxhill* 6 portables Sanislo 3 portables West Seattle 5 portables Stem K-8 0 portables Middle School Denny Int l 0 portables *Roxhill moves to E.C. Hughes Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 17

20 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Denny Middle School Service Area ( ) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trend Denny MS Service Area E. C. Hughes K-5 Student Projections K-5 Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (308) (307) (349) (415) (317) (311) (305) (299) (293) % Surplus/(Shortage) 3% 4% -14% -14% -16% -19% -14% -14% -14% -13% -13% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Denny Middle School Service Area ( ) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Denny MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (62) (52) (88) (132) (176) (220) (263) % Surplus/(Shortage) 21% 16% 8% 1% -5% -4% -7% -11% -15% -18% -22% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Denny MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 18

21 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Eckstein MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Bryant 0 portables Decatur 0 portables Green Lake 2 portables Laurelhurst 4 portables Sand Point 7 portables View Ridge 7 portables Wedgewood 7 portables Thornton Creek 0 portables Middle School Eckstein 1 portable Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 19

22 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Eckstein Middle School Service Area ( ) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trend Eckstein MS Service Area Thornton Creek Decatur K-5 Student Projections K-5 Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (192) (85) (465) (375) (329) (275) (385) (384) (383) (382) (380) % Surplus/(Shortage) -6% -3% -16% -13% -11% -10% -13% -13% -13% -13% -13% 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Eckstein Middle School Service Area ( ) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Eckstein MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (55) (42) (89) (107) (130) (125) (175) (200) (225) (251) (276) % Surplus/(Shortage) -6% -5% -10% -12% -14% -14% -19% -22% -24% -27% -30% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Eckstein MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 20

23 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Hamilton MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools B. F. Day 0 portables West Woodland* 7 portables John Stanford Int l 0 portables McDonald Int l 4 portables Middle School Hamilton 0 portables *10 Classroom addition to open Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 21

24 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Hamilton Middle School Service Area ( ) K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trend Hamilton MS Service Area West Woodland K-5 Student Projections K-5 Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (77) (64) (243) (232) (224) (229) (8) (9) (9) (10) (11) % Surplus/(Shortage) -3% -4% -16% -15% -15% -15% 0% 0% -1% -1% -1% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools * Assume Capacity for West Woodland addition is 220 SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Hamilton Middle School Service Area ( ) 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Hamilton MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (218) (1) (19) (16) (33) (5) (23) (19) (14) (10) (5) % Surplus/(Shortage) -22% 0% -2% -2% -3% -1% -2% -2% -1% -1% -1% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Hamilton MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 22

25 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Jane Addams MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools John Rogers* 5 portables Olympic Hills 0 portables Sacajawea 4 portables Cedar Park 8 portables Hazel Wolf K-8 0 portables Middle School Jane Addams 4 portables *Funding approved to begin replacement of John Rogers Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 23

26 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Jane Addams Middle School Service Area ( ) K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trend Cedar Park Jane Addams MS Service Area Oly. Hills K-5 Student Projections K-5 Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (115) (5) (24) (99) (138) (177) (216) (255) % Surplus/(Shortage) -9% 23% 2% 1% 0% -2% -6% -9% -11% -14% -16% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools * Assume Capacity for a new John Rogers building is 650 SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Jane Addams Middle School Service Area ( ) 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Jane Addams MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (69) (54) (104) (171) (235) (249) (321) (372) (423) (475) (526) % Surplus/(Shortage) -6% -5% -9% -15% -21% -22% -29% -33% -38% -42% -47% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Jane Addams MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 24

27 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Madison MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Alki 2 portables Fairmount Park 0 portables Gatewood 3 portables Genesee Hill 0 portables Lafayette 6 portables Pathfinder K-8 1 portable Middle School Madison 0 portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 25

28 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Madison Middle School Service Area ( ) K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trend Madison MS Service Area K-5 Student Projections K-5 Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (59) (27) (346) (374) (386) (408) (371) (370) (370) (369) (369) (369) % Surplus/(Shortage) -2% -1% -14% -16% -16% -17% -15% -15% -15% -15% -15% -15% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Madison Middle School Service Area ( ) 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Madison MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (17) (52) (123) (107) (169) (214) (258) (302) (346) % Surplus/(Shortage) 9% 8% -1% -5% -11% -9% -15% -19% -23% -26% -30% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings Madison MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 26

29 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS McClure MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Coe* 0 portables John Hay 4 portables Lawton 0 portables Queen Anne** 5 portables Catherine Blaine K-8 7 portables Middle School McClure 2 portables * 8 classroom addition to open ** 8 classroom addition to open Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 27

30 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for McClure Service Area (Queen Anne & Magnolia Areas), McClure Service Area K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) Funded Projects Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Queen Anne & Magnolia Areas Queen Anne & Magnolia McClure MS Service Area Coe Addition, Magnolia Addition K-5 Student Projections K-5 Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (233) (180) (562) (22) (119) (6) (56) (106) % Surplus/(Shortage) -10% -8% -29% -1% -5% 3% 3% 2% 0% -2% -4% 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for McClure Middle School Service Area ( ) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends McClure MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (28) (27) (47) (67) (88) (108) % Surplus/(Shortage) 10% 11% 8% 5% 4% -3% -3% -6% -8% -10% -13% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 28

31 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Meany MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Leschi 0 portables Lowell 0 portables Madrona 0 portables McGilvra 0 portables Montlake 6 portables Stevens 0 portables TOPS K-8 0 portables Middle School Meany 0 portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 29

32 BEX V BOARD WORK SESSION BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Meany Middle School Service Area ( ) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Meany MS Service Area Madrona K-5 Student Projections K-5 Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (97) (91) (81) (67) (120) (130) (140) (150) (160) % Surplus/(Shortage) 4% 11% -5% -5% -4% -3% -6% -6% -7% -7% -8% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools * Assume Capacity for a new Montlake/McGilvra building is Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Meany Middle School Service Area ( ) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Meany MS Service Area Meany 6-8 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) % Surplus/(Shortage) 1% 37% 29% 21% 23% 25% 18% 15% 12% 9% 6% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings Meany MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 30

33 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Mercer MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Beacon Hill Int l 0 portables Dearborn Park Int l 0 portables Hawthorne 0 portables Kimball 8 portables Maple 4 portables Van Asselt 0 portables Orca K-8 0 portables Middle School Mercer Int l 19 portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 31

34 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Mercer Middle School Service Area ( ) K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Mercer MS Service Area K-5 Student Projections K-5 Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) 42 (4) (372) (390) (334) (296) (333) (327) (321) (314) (308) % Surplus/(Shortage) 1% 0% -15% -16% -13% -12% -13% -13% -13% -13% -12% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools *Assume capacity for a new Kimball building 650 SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Mercer Middle School Service Area ( ) 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Mercer MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (290) (247) (316) (250) (236) (214) (271) (277) (282) (288) (293) % Surplus/(Shortage) -30% -25% -32% -26% -24% -22% -28% -28% -29% -30% -30% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings Mercer MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 32

35 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Robert Eagle Staff MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Daniel Bagley* Cascadia Greenwood Northgate Olympic View Brdview.-Thomson K-8 Licton Springs K-8 7 portables 0 portables 0 portables 5 portables 3 portables 1 portable 0 portables Middle School Robert Eagle Staff 0 portables *Modernization/Addition to open 2020 Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 33

36 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Eagle Staff Middle School Service Area ( ) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trend Eagle Staff MS Service Area Cascadia Licton Bagle Springs K-5 Student Projections K-5 Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (271) (300) (49) (80) (61) (62) (63) (65) (66) % Surplus/(Shortage) 1% 7% -12% -13% -2% -3% -2% -3% -3% -3% -3% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP and other auxiliary spaces in the main buildings excluding portables * Assume Capacity for a new Northgate building is 650 SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Eagle Staff Middle School Service Area ( ) 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Eagle Staff MS Service Area Licton Springs 6-8 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (49) (86) (122) (159) (195) % Surplus/(Shortage) 27% 18% 14% 13% 12% -5% -8% -12% -15% -19% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings Robert Eagle Staff MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 34

37 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Washington MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Gatzert 1 portable John Muir 2 portables Thurgood Marshall 3 portables Middle School Washington 10 portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 35

38 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Washington Middle School Service Area ( ) K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Washington MS Service Area K-5 Student Projections K-5 Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (62) (40) (161) (149) (112) (137) (98) (81) (64) (47) (30) % Surplus/(Shortage) -5% -3% -16% -14% -11% -13% -10% -8% -6% -5% -3% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Washington Middle School Service Area ( ) 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Washington MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (192) % Surplus/(Shortage) -21% 21% 27% 28% 25% 27% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Washington Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 36

39 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Whitman MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Adams Loyal Heights North Beach Viewlands Whittier Salmon Bay K-8 4 portables 0 portables 8 portables 12 portables 0 portables 0 portables Middle School Whitman 14 portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 37

40 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Whitman Middle School Service Area ( ) K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capacity Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Whitman MS Service Area Loyal Heights Webster K-5 Student Projections K-5 Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (619) (640) (419) (473) (157) (178) (232) (276) (320) (364) (408) % Surplus/(Shortage) -34% -35% -20% -22% -6% -7% -9% -11% -13% -15% -16% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings * Operational Capacity: capacity includes the main buildings and use of 24 portables and auxiliary spaces * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Whitman Middle School Service Area ( ) 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Whitman MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (57) (2) (49) (96) (143) (191) % Surplus/(Shortage) -5% 21% 17% 12% 7% 5% 0% -4% -8% -12% -17% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Whitman MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 38

41 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Southeast Attendance Area High School Capacity SPS High School Projections & Capacity ( ) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Rainier Beach 9-12 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) % Surplus/(Shortage) 38% 34% 35% 38% 37% 39% 29% 27% 24% 22% 19% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables SPS High School Projections & Capacity ( ) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Franklin 9-12 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) % Surplus/(Shortage) 11% 8% 10% 10% 7% 7% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 39

42 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Southwest Attendance Area High School Capacity SPS High School Projections & Capacity ( ) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends West Seattle 9-12 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (4) % Surplus/(Shortage) 22% 20% 23% 14% 9% 0% 7% 6% 4% 2% 0% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables SPS High School Projections & Capacity ( ) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Chief Sealth Int'l 9-12 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (2) % Surplus/(Shortage) 15% 21% 25% 13% 7% 0% 14% 14% 15% 16% 16% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 40

43 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Option/Service High School Capacity High School SPS High School Projections & Capacity ( ) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Cleveland 9-12 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) % Surplus/(Shortage) 13% 12% 9% 11% 12% 12% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables High School SPS High School Projections & Capacity ( ) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Center School 9-12 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) % Surplus/(Shortage) 26% 24% 25% 24% 21% 20% 29% 31% 34% 36% 38% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 41

44 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Central Attendance Area High School Capacity SPS High School Projections & Capacity ( ) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Garfield 9-12 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (122) (180) (175) (194) (114) (19) (149) (158) (168) (177) (187) % Surplus/(Shortage) -8% -11% -11% -12% -7% -1% -9% -10% -11% -11% -12% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables SPS High School Projections & Capacity ( ) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Lincoln 9-12 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) % Surplus/(Shortage) % 29% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Meany MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 42

45 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Northeast Attendance Area High School Capacity SPS High School Projections & Capacity ( ) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Roosevelt 9-12 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) 4 (121) (219) (29) (5) 110 (33) (36) (39) (42) (45) % Surplus/(Shortage) 0% -7% -13% -2% 0% 6% -2% -2% -2% -2% -3% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables SPS High School Projections & Capacity ( ) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Nathan Hale 9-12 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (51) (93) (64) (104) (148) (160) (149) (160) (172) (184) (195) % Surplus/(Shortage) -5% -8% -6% -9% -14% -15% -14% -15% -16% -17% -18% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Note There is insufficient data for Lincoln to develop a trend. The enrollment projection for is expected to continue. Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 43

46 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Northwest Attendance Area High School Capacity SPS High School Projections & Capacity ( ) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Ballard 9-12 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (192) (276) (369) (236) (181) (136) (302) (330) (359) (387) (415) % Surplus/(Shortage) -12% -17% -23% -15% -11% -8% -19% -21% -22% -24% -26% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables SPS High School Projections & Capacity ( ) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Ingraham Addition 9-12 Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (109) (146) (140) (22) (39) (112) (185) (258) (331) % Surplus/(Shortage) -9% -12% -12% 9% 6% -1% -2% -7% -11% -15% -19% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 44

47 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS High School Capacity Central/North Analysis SPS High School Projections & Capacity ( ) - Central/North High Schools Total High School Ballard, Garfield, Ingraham, Nathan Hale, and Roosevelt Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (470) (816) (967) (403) (348) (227) (671) (797) (922) (1048) (1173) % Surplus/(Shortage) -7% -11% -13% -5% -5% -3% -9% -10% -12% -14% -15% SPS High School Projections & Capacity ( ) - Central/North High Schools Total High School Ballard, Garfield, Roosevelt Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends Student Projections Right-sized Capacity Surplus/(Shortage) (310) (577) (763) (459) (300) (45) (484) (525) (566) (606) (647) % Surplus/(Shortage) -6% -12% -16% -9% -6% -1% -10% -11% -11% -12% -13% Note There is insufficient data for Lincoln to develop a trend. The enrollment projection for is expected to continue, with Lincoln at full capacity of Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 45

48 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Capacity Assessment Priority Schools Elementary & K-8 Schools: Adams (1), Alki, Coe (2), John Hay, John Muir, Lafayette, North Beach, Olympic View, Roxhill, Viewlands, Wedgewood, West Seattle, West Woodland, Downtown Elementary School Middle Schools: Madison, Mercer International, High Schools: Ballard, Garfield, Ingraham, Nathan Hale, Roosevelt, Downtown High School Notes: (1) Assumes Webster opens as an elementary school (2) Funded 2018 Legislative Request Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 46

49 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS NEXT STEPS: Utilize information from School Planning Technical Team to further evaluate capacity Monitor enrollment projections Evaluate options to address capacity issues using Board adopted guidelines Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 47

50 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS CAPACITY ANALYSIS: Board Questions & Discussions

51 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Facilities Condition Assessment - Life Cycle Planning Educational Adequacy Site Playground Equipment Field Envelope Site Playground Equipment Field Envelope Security Intercom Roof Electrical HVAC line Boiler Fire Floor Int. Arch. Finishes (paint, carpet, etc.) Site Playground Equipment Field Envelope Site Playground Equipment Field Envelope Roof Seismic Electrical HVAC Boiler Plumbing Fire Floor Int. Arch. Finishes (paint, carpet, etc.) Exterior Doors Exterior Windows Site Playground Equipment Field Envelope NEW MODERNIZE? REPLACE? INTERMEDIATE IMPROVEMENTS SYSTEMS MODERNIZATION INTERMEDIATE IMPROVEMENTS FULL MODERNIZATION YEAR YEAR YEAR YEAR

52 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Prior Facilities Condition Assessments Facilities Condition Assessment by MENG Educational Adequacy Assessment by MENG OSPI Study & Survey Year by MENG Structural Evaluation by PCS PSC provided an expanded analysis of seismic building data which expanded/updated costs and identified priorities based on their 2009 structural evaluation Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 50

53 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Facilities Condition Assessment Source Document: Meng Analysis 2014 Building Condition/Educational Adequacy Assessment Ranked Every School and Support Facility Criteria: - Educational Adequacy Assessment (25%) - Facility Condition Assessment (25%) - Building Maintenance & Repair Ranking (25%) - Facilities Department Assessment (25%) - Department of Technology Services Assessment

54 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Facilities Condition Assessment Priority Schools Elementary & K-8 Schools: Alki, Rogers, North Beach, Montlake, Salmon Bay Monroe, Northgate, McGilvra, Roxhill, Lafeyette, Schmitz Park, Kimball, Sacajaweja, Louisa Boren STEM K-8 Middle Schools: Whitman, Washington, Mercer International, Aki Kurose, McClure High Schools: Ingraham, Rainier Beach, Franklin, Lincoln Service Schools: North Queen Anne (Cascade Parent Partnership),

55 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS NEXT STEPS: Updating Facilities Master Plan Updating facilities assessment information Evaluate existing playgrounds Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 53

56 BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Questions & Discussions

57 BEX V Information Technology (IT) March 2018

58 Accountability Quarterly Program Report Maps technology plan aligned to district strategy, goals, and Formula for Success Presented to CFO and Deputy Superintendent Transparency and accountability of levy funds Available at 56

59 Customer Satisfaction for 41,800 support tickets this school year 57

60 Engagement Met with District Leaders Initial contacts and meetings CBO s City of Seattle Community Technology Advisory Board Community members Labor partners 58

61 IT - Levy Priorities* Student Learning: Classroom Technology & Support District Systems: Finance, HR, School Operations, Communications, & Data Infrastructure & Security 59 *Under Consideration

62 District Systems Data Student Learning Infrastructure Equitable Access Safety, Security & Privacy Improved Systems Budget High Quality Teachers & Leaders MTSS Systems talking to each other EOG College & Career Ready 60

63 All Students All Schools All Staff Families CBO s And Applied with an Equity Lens 61

64 Student Learning & Classroom Technology Initiatives* Classroom Technology Hardware and Software o Instructional Technology/AV in non-modernized classrooms o Student devices all schools with standard of new schools o Academic software Staff Technology o Certificated Admin and Staff Computers Technology Services Support o Instructional Support o Professional Development: Instructional Improvement o Technology Support 62 *Under Consideration

65 District Systems* Business and Student Data Systems o Student management systems o Finance and Accounting SAP support & upgrade o HR systems recruiting & onboarding, Employee Portal o Operations - transportation, professional development Data and Business Intelligence o Assessment and reporting o Data tools and visualization o Data Management and governance Collaboration and Engagement o Web, communication, and collaboration 63 *Under Consideration

66 Technology Infrastructure* Infrastructure Support and Service Software and Hardware Licensing & Support Data Security compliance, privacy, safety Physical Security cameras, access controls Network Modernization wireless, internet Data Center servers, storage Cloud 64 *Under Consideration

67 BEX V Priorities Infrastructure, Security Student Learning and Support District Systems 65 *Under Consideration

68 66

69 FY IT Budget $45,000,000 FY $40,000,000 $35,000,000 $30,000,000 $25,000,000 85% Capital $20,000,000 $15,000,000 $10,000,000 $5,000,000 $0 BEX IV BTA III BTA IV General Fund 67

70 BTA IV Capital Levy Categories 68

71 Next Steps More community and staff engagement Community Meetings Establish Priorities Prioritize projects Document project costs Others per Board request 69

72 70

73 HISTORICAL BEX IV LEVY FUNDING INFORMATION Current BEX III Tax Rates per $1,000/AV: 2012 BEX III ($490M over 6 years/$81.7m per year) = $.70 (current level) 2013 BEX III ($490M over 6 years/$81.7m per year) = $.70 (current level) Comparison of 2014 to 2019 Tax Rates per $600M and $750M: BEX Current $.70 $.70 $.70 $.70 $.70 $.70 BEX $600M $.84 $.83 $.82 $.80 $.78 $.77 BEX $750M $1.05 $1.04 $1.02 $1.00 $.98 $.96

74 LEVY FUNDING Similar Tax Levy Rate 2018: Levy Year Assessed Value BEX Levy Rate Notes 2018 $213,501,606,186 $115,816,667 $ $243,189,011,312 $115,816,667 $0.48 AV decrease based on avg 2020 $277,004,451,064 $150,264,594 $ $315,521,928,788 $150,264,594 $ $359,395,263,014 $150,264,594 $ $409,369,185,758 $150,264,594 $ $466,291,984,048 $150,264,594 $ $531,129,899,249 $150,264,594 $0.28

75 COMMUNICATIONS AND ENGANGEMENT TIMELINE Community Outreach: April 2018: Community Meetings Discuss Capacity & Assessment Criteria /Board Guiding Principles May 2018: Community Input/Feedback Summary to Board/Planning Team June 2018: Home Language Focus Groups Meetings June 2018: Community Input/Feedback Summary to Board/Planning Team Sept. 2018: Community Meetings to Present Recommended Levies Scope Oct. 2018: Community Input/Feedback Summary to Board/Planning Team Oct./Nov. 2018: Levies 2019 Public Hearing between Board Intro and Action Oct./Nov. 2018: News release on School Board Action Dec. 2018: A Report to the Community Brochure Distributed to Community Jan. 2019: Levies Information 2019 Brochure Distributed/Posted Feb. 2019: News Release on Election Outcome

76 NEXT STEPS/WAY FORWARD Activities through May 2018: Continue Facilities Master Plan Update Continue Master Planning Efforts Analyze & Prioritize Capacity and Facilities Assessment Projects Continue Programmatic Environmental Impact Statement Continue to Identify Building Systems Repairs & Replacements Continue to Identify One-Off Projects Continue to Identify Technology Projects Continue to Identify Academic Projects Complete Project Specific Cost Estimates Continue Transition Planning Continue Equity Analysis Assessment Implement Communications and Community Engagement Plan Continue Fiscal Assessment Review Progress with Board Directors: May 2018

77 THANK YOU. Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 75

78 Planning for the Future: the City and its Public Schools Joint City- Seattle Public Schools Planning Technical Team

79 School Planning Technical Team The School Planning Technical Team (Team) was convened in February 2018 to respond to the focus on school capacity planning as identified in the Public Process Partnership Agreement signed November 2017: Work collaboratively to address school planning capacity needs. The Parties both prioritize the values of equity and inclusion in planning processes, design and function of new facilities and school capacity planning to meet the needs of students, families and the community. City is committed to be an active partner with SPS to implement an efficient and reasonable planning, permitting, and construction process. SPS and the City will jointly form technical teams for visioning, joint planning, siting, interrelationships among facilities, and design.

80 Seattle s Comprehensive Plan City adopts Comprehensive Plan as required by state law at least every 8 years Plan identifies places where growth should occur Plan identifies zoning and infrastructure needed to accommodate next 20 years growth SPS provides data on future school needs for the plan

81 Locating growth in the city 20-year growth estimates are handed down to the City from Puget Sound Regional Council and King County City plans to distribute growth based on Urban Village Strategy: Sets 20-year growth estimates for new housing (primarily multifamily) and jobs Concentrates housing and job growth near public investments in transit, transportation and other infrastructure

82 Where housing has been added Since 1994 Plan over 75% of new housing has gone into urban centers and villages Single-family houses make up less than 10% of new housing units 90% of new housing units are in multifamily buildings, typically with fewer children Actual Distribution of Housing Growth (67,000 Housing Units) Outside Urban Centers and Villages, 24% Residential Urban Villages, 18% Hub Urban Villages, 14% Urban Centers, 44%

83 Seattle growth in housing units 8,753 6,966 7,435 6,756 6,487 6,174 3,403 3,816 3,959 3,650 3,301 3,118 2,699 2,881 2,560 1,983 2,092 2,211 1,170 1,123 3,661 2,159 2, Year Growth during 20-year monitoring period for 1994 Comprehensive Plan: 67,000 housing units Housing growth determined by economic cycles. Sources: OPCD analysis of building permit data maintained by Seattle Department of Construction and Inspections. Note: Growth refers to new units minus demolished units.

84 Future Housing Growth The 2016 Comprehensive Plan estimates at least an additional 70,000 housing units by 2035 Plan calls for 84% of future housing to be in urban centers and urban villages 21,000 permitted housing units currently in the pipeline Anticipated Distribution of Housing Growth in Seattle Current 20-Year Planning Period Outside Urban Centers and Villages, 16% Residential Urban Villages, 18% Hub Urban Villages, 16% Urban Centers, 50%

85 8 SPS Growth Projections Enrollment Planning produces three types of projections annually: 10-year residents projections: all students residing in and enrolled in the district, informs 5 and 1-year projections 5-year school projections: used for capacity management and includes assumptions about future planning 1-year school projections: Expected October headcount, birth data, attendance area growth/shrinkage, program and service placement, school choice trends and seat availability, non-resident students

86 9 SPS Inputs for Projections SPS uses a model in creating projections that takes into account a variety of factors as listed below: Birth data Rates of returning students (cohort progression) Attendance area growth/shrinkage Program and service placement School choice trends and seat availability Non-resident students Additional external factors: Municipal and regional planning projects, housing availability and affordability, and the regional unemployment rate In fall 2015, SPS in partnership with Integrated Economics published a report that made greater use of housing market demand when modeling enrollment. Housing data made enrollment projections more accurate for some attendance areas, and less accurate for others, but overall there were not significant differences in the models.

87 Housing growth & SPS enrollment growth

88 SPS Enrollment

89

90 Conclusions Student enrollment is anticipated to grow as population increases Student enrollment is somewhat correlated to housing growth Relationship of housing growth to enrollment varies over time and by area of the city City s expected growth will increase student enrollment

91 Next steps for School Planning Technical Team collaboration Build on each other s expertise Share data about number and type of housing units permitted by location Compare observations about demographic trends Share information about significant future planning initiatives, major development projects Prepare a joint annual planning report in December

92 Thank You! Questions?