PowerS picks $15. Auburn s defense swarmed Georgia RB Nick Chubb an Co in the Tigers (+2.5) upset over the No. 1 Bulldogs.

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1 PowerS picks $15 Volume 5 Issue 19 November 15-20, BP Sports, LLC FREE VIP Weekend for Newsletter Subs Starts on Nov 23rd! Week 12 CFB Best Bets Pg 3, Week 11 NFL Best Bets Pg 8 Week 11 News and Notes! For those of you that are new, in this section we ll recap what happened last week specifically, the misleading finals, the key injuries, the bad beats and the line moves. We ll include most of these recaps here, therefore you don t have to waste time reading about them in my game-by-game write-ups for the upcoming week. Without further adieu, here s a run down of what happened last week in the world of CFB. Week 10 Trends Favorites-Dogs Straight Up ATS Home-Away Straight Up ATS Totals (O/U) Over-Under Largest Favorites to Cover: Northern Illinois (-29) vs Ball St, North Texas (-24) vs UTEP, Ole Miss (-23.5) vs UL-Lafayette, W Michigan (-20.5) vs Kent St, LSU (-19) vs Arkansas, Biggest Money line Upsets: South Alabama +400 won vs Arkansas St as 12.5-point underdogs. Old Dominion +300 won at FIU as 10-point underdogs. North Carolina +290 won at Pittsburgh as 10-point underdogs. Stanford +225 won vs Washington as 7-point underdogs. UAB +210 won won at UTEP as 7-point underdogs. ATS Notables Underdogs are (52.6%) this season. UNDERS are (53.4%) this season. Dogs of more than 30 points are now ATS this season. Auburn s defense swarmed Georgia RB Nick Chubb an Co in the Tigers (+2.5) upset over the No. 1 Bulldogs. Best ATS teams so far: Georgia Tech is ATS. Rutgers, UAB and Wake Forest are all 8-2 ATS. Worst ATS teams so far: Florida St (0-8-1). Bowling Green, East Carolina and UTEP are all 2-8 ATS. Best OVER teams so far: Ole Miss games are 9-1 to the OVER this year. Arizona, Maryland, UCLA and UL-Monroe games are 8-2 to the OVER. Best UNDER teams so far: Miami (FL) games are 8-1 to the UNDER this season while Akron games are 9-2. Wyoming games are to the UNDER while Duke, Middle Tennessee, New Mexico, Purdue, South Alabama, TCU and Troy games are 8-2 to the UNDER. Bad Beats Colorado St (+6.5) led Boise St 28-3 in the first half and still led with just 2:00 left in the game. Boise St would get a TD, recover an onside kick, score another TD and forced OT. In the extra session, Boise St would win marking the only time all game whether it be regulation or OT, that the Broncos were covering. Florida St (+16.5) only trailed Clemson midway through the 4Q and were driving at the Clemson 40-yard line. However, the Noles would throw an interception and Clemson scored a TD to go up 10. On their next possession, the Noles would turn it over on downs at their own 28-yard line with just 2:06 left. Instead of taking a knee, Clemson scored a TD with less than a minute left to win VIP customers got a top totals play of the week on the UNDER (70) in the Louisiana Tech and Florida Atlantic game. With just under a minute left in the game and FAU up 42-23, head coach Lane Kiffin continued to run their offense instead of taking a knee. On 4th down and goal, FAU scored a TD with just :37 left to make the game go OVER by a single point. Misleading Finals Baylor (+7.5) lost vs Texas Tech but the Bears had first down and yard edges. Baylor was -3 TO s and Texas Tech got a 92-yard kick return TD and a 31-yard fumble return TD. Also Baylor was stopped on 4th and goal at the Texas Tech 1-yard line making it a very misleading loss. Utah (+1) lost to Washington St but had first down and yard edges. The Utes were done in by a remarkable 7 TO s. Recapping Our Best Bets Last Week Our 3H Duke (-3) on these pages last week lost outright to Army. It should be noted that Duke did hold Army to season lows in both rushing yards and yards per carry. Duke had a 14-8 first down and yard edge at halftime but trailed with a blocked punt TD for Army being the key play of the game. Our 3H Auburn (+2.5) won outright over Georgia with UGA actually scoring a TD on their first and last drives of the game. In between, it was total domination for Auburn. We also had a 2H Indiana (-9) on these pages that only covered by 1 point with Indiana scoring a TD late. However, the Hoosiers did have first down and yard edges in the game. We had a 2H Colorado (+13.5) on these pages last week and like many best bets this year came up were a right side loser. The first downs (23-23) and yards ( ) were even in the game but Colorado missed 2 FG s and were stopped on downs on 4th and goal at USC 3-yard line with 1 minute left. Some of you may have pushed the game as the line went to 14 on game day in some spots. Finally, our 2H Arizona St (+2.5) was actually a bad bet as the Sun Devils went to +3.5 on game day in some spots. It was 14-0 Arizona St early before a Pick 6 changed the momentum of the game. It was still tied at entering the 4Q, with the Sun Devils losing by a TD. Major Injuries Boston College QB Anthony Brown (knee) is out for the season. Connecticut QB Bryant Shirreffs (concussion) has been downgraded to doubtful vs Boston College. Idaho QB Matt Linehan (wrist) is questionable vs Coastal Carolina. Iowa St QB Kyle Kempt (undisclosed) is questionable vs Baylor. Nebraska QB Tanner Lee (concussion) is questionable vs Penn St. Syracuse QB Eric Dungey (foot) is questionable vs Louisville. TCU QB Kenny Hill (undisclosed) is questionable vs Texas Tech. Wyoming QB Josh Allen (shoulder) is questionable vs Fresno St. More Handicapping Service Records BP Sports NFL VIP H-rated plays and top leans: BP Sports College VIP H-rated plays and top leans: Sunday Night Owl Best Bets (excluding Week 1): Vegas Wise Guys Report: Steam Chasing Sharp $ (CFB/NFL): Vegas Wise Guys Report: Pros vs Joes Games of Week: Pros Northcoast Sports Executive Club (3H s and higher): (-22.3 units) Phil Steele ESPN Insider Bets Bets: Nationwide Football Newsletter Contest (Regular Season Only) We are happy to provide you with the records, standings and plays used from the Power Sweep (3H, 4H & Underdog), Gold Sheet (Key Releases), Power Plays (4.5H), Sports Reporter (Best & Super Bets), Winning Points (Best Bets & Preferred), Playbook (3-5H s), Pointwise (Ratings 1-4) and Powers Picks (1-4H s) College NFL College/NFL Combined Newsletter W L T % Net Newsletter W L T % Net Newsletter W L T % Net Gold Sheet % -1 Power Sweep % 8 Power Sweep % 6 Sports Reporter % -1 Gold Sheet % 2 Gold Sheet % 1 Power Sweep % -2 Sports Reporter % 0 Sports Reporter % -1 Playbook % -2 Powers Picks % -2 Pointwise % -8 Pointwise % -4 Pointwise % -4 Playbook % -8 Powers Picks % -9 Playbook % -6 Powers Picks % -11 Winning Points % -11 Power Plays % -2 Winning Points % -19 Power Plays % -7 Winning Points % -8 Power Plays % -9 Combined % -37 Combined % -12 Combined % -49

2 CFB/NFL Schedules Week 12 Nov 15th-20th CFB Wednesday, Nov 15th Line BP All Times Eastern 305 TOLEDO :00 p.m. ESPNU 306 BOWLING GREEN EASTERN MICHIGAN :00 p.m. CBS College 308 MIAMI, OH WESTERN MICHIGAN :00 p.m. ESP 310 NORTHERN ILLINOIS -9-8 NFL/CFB Thursday, Nov 16th Line BP All Times Eastern 311 TENNESSEE :25 p.m. NBC 312 PITTSBURGH BUFFALO :00 p.m. CBS College 314 BALL ST TULSA :30 p.m. ESPN 316 SOUTH FLORIDA Friday, November 17th Line BP All Times Eastern 317 MIDDLE TENNESSEE :00 p.m. CBS College 318 WKU UNLV :30 p.m. ESPN2 320 NEW MEXICO Saturday, November 18th Line BP All Times Eastern 321 RUTGERS :00 p.m. Big Ten 322 INDIANA KENTUCKY :30 p.m. CBS 324 GEORGIA CINCINNATI :00 p.m. CBS College 326 EAST CAROLINA GEORGIA TECH :30 p.m. 328 DUKE PITTSBURGH :20 p.m. 330 VIRGINIA TECH CENTRAL FLORIDA :00 p.m. ESPNU 332 TEMPLE NC STATE :30 p.m. ESPNU 334 WAKE FOREST SYRACUSE :30 p.m. ESPNU 336 LOUISVILLE MINNESOTA :00 p.m. Big Ten 338 NORTHWESTERN MARYLAND :00 p.m. FOX 340 MICHIGAN ST TEXAS :00 p.m. ESPN 342 WEST VIRGINIA OKLAHOMA :30 p.m. ESPN 344 KANSAS FRESNO ST :00 p.m. 346 WYOMING AIR FORCE :15 p.m. 348 BOISE ST HAWAII :00 p.m. 350 UTAH ST RICE :00 p.m. 352 OLD DOMINION CHARLOTTE :00 p.m. 354 SOUTHERN MISS MASSACHUSETTS :00 p.m. 356 BYU LOUISIANA TECH :00 p.m. 358 UTEP SOUTH ALABAMA :00 p.m. 360 GEORGIA SOUTHERN TCU :00 p.m. FOX Sports TEXAS TECH PURDUE :30 p.m. Big Ten 364 IOWA ARIZONA :00 p.m. Pac OREGON PK ILLINOIS :30 p.m. ABC 368 OHIO ST UAB :00 p.m. SEC Network 370 FLORIDA ARIZONA ST :00 p.m. Pac OREGON ST SMU :00 p.m. 374 MEMPHIS VIRGINIA :00 p.m. ABC 376 MIAMI, FL IOWA ST :30 p.m. 378 BAYLOR MISSISSIPPI ST :00 p.m. CBS 380 ARKANSAS MISSOURI :30 p.m. SEC Network 382 VANDERBILT UTAH :30 p.m. ESPN 384 WASHINGTON UL-MONROE :00 p.m. ESPN2 386 AUBURN KANSAS ST :30 p.m. ESPN2 388 OKLAHOMA ST SAN JOSE ST :30 p.m. SEC Network 390 COLORADO ST NEBRASKA :00 p.m. FOX Sports PENN ST LSU :00 p.m. ESPN 394 TENNESSEE NAVY :30 p.m. NBC 396 NOTRE DAME HOUSTON :00 p.m. 398 TULANE NEW MEXICO ST :00 p.m. 400 UL-LAFAYETTE COASTAL CAROLINA :00 p.m. 402 IDAHO ARMY :30 p.m. 404 NORTH TEXAS TEXAS ST :00 p.m. 406 ARKANSAS ST FIU :00 p.m. 408 FLORIDA ATLANTIC CONNECTICUT :00 Park CBS College 410 BOSTON COLLEGE MARSHALL :00 p.m. 412 UTSA PK TEXAS A&M :00 p.m. ESPN2 414 MISSISSIPPI MICHIGAN :00 p.m. FOX 416 WISCONSIN UCLA :00 p.m. ABC 418 USC CALIFORNIA :00 p.m. FOX 420 STANFORD NEVADA :30 p.m. CBS College 422 SAN DIEGO ST NFL Wk 11 Sunday, Nov 19th Line BP All Times Eastern 451 DETROIT :00 p.m. FOX 452 CHICAGO KANSAS CITY :00 p.m. CBS 454 N.Y. GIANTS TAMPA BAY :00 p.m. FOX 456 MIAMI BALTIMORE :00 p.m. CBS 458 GREEN BAY L.A. RAMS :00 p.m. FOX 460 MINNESOTA ARIZONA :00 p.m. FOX 462 HOUSTON JACKSONVILLE :00 p.m. CBS 464 CLEVELAND WASHINGTON :00 p.m. FOX 466 NEW ORLEANS BUFFALO NL 41 4:05 p.m. FOX 468 L.A. CHARGERS NL CINCINNATI :25 p.m. FOX 470 DENVER NEW ENGLAND :25 p.m. CBS 472 OAKLAND PHILADELPHIA :30 p.m. NBC 474 DALLAS Monday, November 20th Line BP All Times Eastern 475 ATLANTA :30 p.m. ESPN 476 SEATTLE

3 4H = BEST 3H = BETTER 2H = GOOD 1H = FAIR THE POWERS PACK 3H TEMPLE (+14) over Central Florida 3H UL-Monroe (+37) over AUBURN 2H Texas A&M (+3) over MISSISSIPPI 2H California (+16) over STANFORD 2H Virginia (+20) over MIAMI, FL Games in Rotation Order HOME TEAM IN CAPS Wednesday, November 15th Toledo 40 BOWLING GREEN 24. I-75 Rivalry game here with Toledo winning 7 straight in the series but were nearly upset at 31.5-point favorites last year. Toledo coming off a shocking blowout loss to Ohio last week that also saw them lose RB Swanson. Despite the loss, UT still controls their destiny in the MAC West and their offense should have success vs No. 125 defense allowing 505 ypg but the Falcons should have this game circled just like last season when they played one of their best games of the season. Slightest of leans on the home team. MIAMI, OH 24 Eastern Michigan 23. Miami has won 9 straight games in the series by 12 ppg. Eastern Michigan is on a 11-1 ATS run in road games but that one ATS loss came last week when they lost at Central Michigan The final was a bit misleading as the Eagles had 5 TO s (only -4 yds). However, they were knocked out of bowl contention. On the other side, the Redhawks saw the return of QB Ragland (244 yards and 3 TD s) in their win over Akron. While it s been a disappointing season, Miami can get back to bowl eligibility with wins in their final two games. We lean with the road team and the UNDER. NORTHERN ILLINOIS 29 Western Michigan 21. NIU is on a 16-4 ATS run in the series and had won 7 in a row prior to losing last year. NIU is tied with Toledo at 5-1 a top the MAC West but the Rockets own the tie-breaker due to their headto-head win over the Huskies a couple weeks ago. NIU comes in off a blowout win over Ball St. Meanwhile, Western Michigan got 3 defensive TD s vs Kent St last week making their blowout win a bit misleading. We don t see too much value here but if you had to get involved, we d lean dog and UNDER. Thursday, November 16th Buffalo 37 BALL ST 17. Ball St has won 9 of the last 10 series meetings. The Cardinals are ATS in their last 8 games and have lost their 6 games by an average of 42.7 ppg. On the other side, the Bulls have welcomed back the return of QB Jackson as he s thrown for 360 ypg the last two weeks and they still have a shot at bowl eligibility (tough game vs Ohio on deck). Even though our power ratings say back Ball St, we will pass on the side as David Malinksy of Point Blank has pointed out that the Cardinals have failed to cover the spread by 155 points over the last 6 weeks, the worst count for such a sampling since spreads were being recorded! SOUTH FLORIDA 43 Tulsa 21. USF comes in off a bye but prior had failed to cover the spread in 3 straight games as their normally reliable offense has begun to slow down. Meanwhile Tulsa has been one of the biggest disappointments in CFB this season at 2-8 SU. Their defense is allowing 38 ppg and 548 ypg but will USF be looking ahead to the showdown vs UCF next week? Pass. Friday, November 17th Middle Tennessee 31 WESTERN KENTUCKY 30. Since coming back from injury, MT QB Brent Stockstill has a 6-to-1 TD-to-INT ratio and the Blue Raiders have pulled off a pair of wins. On the other side, the first season under Mike Sanford has been a disappointment as the Hilltoppers are just ATS and still haven t qualified for a bowl (at FIU next week). Last week they trailed Marshall but got the cover thanks to a couple of late scores. Slight with the home dog here. Unlv 28 NEW MEXICO 27. While New Mexico is out of bowl contention this season, UNLV can get to bowl eligibility with wins in their final two games. The Rebels are coming off a 10-point loss to BYU as the money was all on the Cougars in that game (Sunday Night Owl customers won with BYU). On the other side, has New Mexico given up on their season? Sure looked like it last week when they trailed Texas A&M 48-0 in the second quarter. We re leaning with the road dog here who has covered all 4 road games this year. Saturday, November 18th INDIANA 31 Rutgers 19. Last week, we won a 2H Indiana (-9) over Illinois on these pages that only covered by 1 point with Indiana scoring a TD late. However, the Hoosiers did have first down and yard edges in the game. On the other side, Rutgers got another cover this time as a large underdog to Penn St. The Knights are now 8-2 ATS on the season but need to win out to get to a bowl just like Indiana here. While the two teams have the same record, note that Indiana is +32 ypg on the season while Rutgers is -100 ypg. Hence why the Hoosiers are laying doubles here and that s where our slight lean is. GEORGIA 38 Kentucky 17. Last week UGA actually scored a TD on their first and last drives of the game. In between, it was total domination for Auburn as we easily cashed a 3H on these pages in UGA s loss. Despite the loss, the Bulldogs still control their destiny in the CFB playoff. On the other side, the Wildcats had a nice bounce back effort in their blowout win over Vanderbilt. We pass on the side and lean with the OVER here. Cincinnati 31 EAST CAROLINA 28. After last week s OT loss to Tulane, East Carolina is on a ATS run dating back to last season and we re guessing that Scottie Montgomery could be on the way out after only two years (what a horrific error it was to fire Ruffin McNeill a couple years ago). On the other side, it s also been a tough season for Luke Fickell as the Bearcats will also be sitting at home for the holidays after their loss to Temple at home last week. We re passing on the side and leaning with the UNDER here. Georgia Tech 24 DUKE 21. Obviously our 3H Duke (-3) on these pages last week lost outright to Army. It should be noted that Duke did hold Army to season lows in both rushing yards and yards per carry. Duke had a 14-8 first down and yard edge at halftime but trailed with a blocked punt TD for Army being the key play of the game. On the other side, Georgia Tech moved to ATS dat- 3 ing back to last season after their outright upset over Virginia Tech. Note that Duke is facing an option teams for a second straight week and has had a ton of success defending here Also totals players note that Duke games have went UNDER the total in 8 straight games. Lean on home team. VIRGINIA TECH 31 Pittsburgh 16. Obviously, VT s loss to Miami, FL a couple of weeks ago was a major red flag that this Virginia Tech team was OVERRATED due to playing a weak schedule and last week, they proceeded to get upset at Georgia Tech (shame on us for not having the Yellow Jackets on our VIP updates). On the other side, Pitt will most likely be sitting at home for the holidays (Miami on deck) as they lost as a near double-digit favorite at home to a then 1-8 North Carolina team last week. Pitt is on a 6-2 SU/ATS run in the series, but we haven t seen the buy sign for either team here. Pass. 3H (Temple plus the points) Ucf 33 TEMPLE 24. This time of year the noose begins to tighten on a lot of these highly ranked teams and UCF has now failed to cover in 3 straight games despite remaining unbeaten. These unbeaten teams also pay a point spread premium and we feel that is the case here. On the other side, it looks like the buy sign is officially on for the Owls in the first year under head coach Geoff Collins. The Owls have now covered 5 of their last 6 games and have played their best ball of the season in each of the last two weeks (+115 ypg in last 5). A lot of the success in recent weeks is due to QB Nutile (803 passing yards filling in for injured starter). Nutile recently said we would rather die out there than let our seniors downs. Temple is 9-1 ATS as home dogs of 10 or more points. Will UCF get caught looking ahead to next week s showdown vs rival USF? We think so! N.C. State 31 WAKE FOREST 30. In a remarkable turnaround, the Wake Forest offense loses its best play maker in WR Dortch and then in the last two weeks stuns ND with 587 yards and 37 points and last week put up 64 points and 734 yards on Syracuse in their come-from-behind win (closed game on a 43-5 run!). On the other side, NC State in a tough situational spot at BC found a way to get a 3-point win. This game means a lot for bowl positioning in the ACC and we think it goes down to the wire one of the more entertaining games of the day. Lean on the dog. LOUISVILLE 41 Syracuse 30. Remarkably, Louisville is 0-9 ATS in their final home game since Last week the Cardinals coming off a bye beat Virginia to get to bowl eligibility. On the flip side, the Orange blew a lead vs Wake Forest getting outscored a 43-5 to close the game. The Orange allowed a school-record 734 yards in that one and need to win their final two games to get to bowl eligibility (BC on deck). We d really like the Cuse here if QB Dungey were healthy (as of press time he is?). NORTHWESTERN 27 Minnesota 20. Where did that performance come from? The Gophers finally Rowed the Boat in Big Ten play last week as they hammered Nebraska. The Gophers had a remarkable 340 rushing yard edge (QB Croft 183 rush yards). Now Minnesota needs to win one of their final two games to get to bowl eligibility here but it won t be easy with Wisconsin on deck. On the other side, Northwestern has won 5 straight (3 in OT) and have their sights on a possible New Year s Day bowl (lowly Illinois on deck). We re not getting too involved here. We pass on the side and lean OVER. MICHIGAN ST 31 Maryland 13. What frame of mind will Michigan St be in after they were handed their worst loss in 15 years last week at the hands of Ohio St. Keep in mind, this is a young team with depth issues and had just played 6 straight one-possession games prior. Speaking of banged up, for what seems like the 10th year in a row, the Terps are having major cluster injuries at the QB spot. Last week they had to start a 4th string 5 8 walk-on in their loss to Michigan (Terps did have the yard edge). We lean with Sparty here. WEST VIRGINIA 26 Texas 24. Texas head coach Tom Herman is 14-1 ATS as an underdog dating back to his days as OC at Ohio St. However, the lone ATS loss did come in his last game in that roll as they fell at TCU Are the Horns running out of gas? After a stretch where they went ATS, they ve played arguably their two worst games since the opener including having some trouble with lowly Kansas last week. On the other side, VIP customers won one of the top totals plays of the week on the UNDER in the West Virginia/Kansas St game as the Mountaineers got a win. Texas needs to win to get to bowl eligibility as we lean with the dog. Oklahoma 49 KANSAS 14. Will Oklahoma keep Baker Mayfield in the game long enough to pad his Heisman lead? The Jayhawks have showed some life in recent weeks with easy covers vs Kansas St and Texas. Meanwhile, Oklahoma is in a bit of a flat spot off big games vs Oklahoma St and TCU and have a sneaky good West Virginia team and also the Big 12 title game on deck. Lean UNDER.. WYOMING 21 Fresno St 20. Wyoming is on a 6-1 SU/7-0 ATS run in their last 7 games. Last week they covered their 9th straight game vs Air Force as they beat the Falcons outright VIP customers won a star-rated pick with the Pokes. On the other side, it s been an ultra-successful first season for Fresno St head coach Jeff Tedford as the Bulldogs control their destiny in the West division. This is a tricky spot for them coming off a trip to the Islands and to the elevation. We d like Wyoming here but with their QB Josh Allen s status up in the air, we re passing for now. BOISE ST 34 Air Force 20. Last week the Falcons lost outright at home to Wyoming as their season is now on the brink as far as getting to bowl eligibility. On the other side, the Broncos have really turned their season around with 6 straight wins but last week got an extremely fortunate win and cover in OT over Colorado St as they trailed 28-3 at one point. Boise St is just ATS in their last 14 home games. Since 2011, Boise St is also just 1-11 ATS vs option teams (Air Force and New Mexico) and the Falcons have pulled 3 straight outright upsets over Boise. We lean with the Falcons here. Follow Brad on

4 UTAH ST 34 Hawaii 20. Hawaii is on a ATS run in their last 8 games as it has been a disappointing second season for head coach Rolovich. The push did come in their last game as they lost by 10 at home to Fresno St. On the other side, Utah St head coach Matt Wells can secure his job with a win here as the Aggies have had a solid bounce back season. They come in off a bye and need just one win for bowl eligibility. We feel they take advantage of the elevation and climate differences here. OLD DOMINION 31 Rice 22. ODU might finally have some confidence as the Monarchs have won 2 straight games pulling the outright upset at FIU last week as double-digit underdogs. At 4-6, they can still make it back to a bowl game. There will be no bowl for Rice as the Owls are 1-9 SU/3-7 ATS and you have to wonder if this will be the last season for head coach Bailiff who overall has done a solid job here. We re passing for now. SOUTHERN MISS 34 Charlotte 17. Charlotte did win by 11 last year as 19-point underdogs so we expect Southern Miss to be a bit motivated here. The Eagles are bowl eligible at 6-4 SU but have failed to cover in each of their last 3 games after a 6-1 ATS start. On the other side, Charlotte is a bottom 5 team at 1-9 SU but has shown some life in recent weeks covering 5 of their last 6 games. We;re not getting too involved here on the side as we lean with the OVER. BYU 27 Massachusetts 24. After starting the season 0-8 ATS, the Cougars have now covered 3 straight games after last week s win over UNLV when all the late game day money poured in on them (game closed at pick at many shops after BYU opened +4.5). With the top 2 QB s out, the Cougars went to true frosh Cricthlow at QB (14 of 22 for 160 yards). On the other side, UMass has also closed the season strong as after an 0-6 SU start, they ve gone 3-1 SU/ATS in their last 4 games. Last week they beat Maine in Fenway Park. This is UMass final game of the season so we expect an all-out effort. Pass. Louisiana Tech 31 UTEP 14. Last week, VIP customers got a really bad beat on our top totals play of the weekend (see page 1) as La Tech lost at FAU The Bulldogs at 4-6 SU need to win their final two games to get to bowl eligibility and it looks like the markets are accounting for that extra motivation here with the line. There will certainly be no bowl for the winless Miners who are 0-10 SU/2-8 ATS this season and after the one-game up-tick with interim head coach Mike Price, UTEP has failed to cover their last 4 games. We re passing. South Alabama 24 GEORGIA SOUTHERN 20. We do have a significant rooting interest here as South Alabama can go OVER their season win total with a win here (Jags were our No. 4 season win total best bet in Summer issue). It s tough to trust USA as a favorite as they ve already lost outright in that role twice this year but made up for it with a pair of huge outright upsets as double-digit underdogs including last week beating Arkansas St (+12) as they benefited from +5 TO s. On the other side, Georgia Southern is now just playing the season out at 0-9 SU /2-6-1 ATS with an interim coach. Pass. Tcu 34 TEXAS TECH 27. Texas Tech comes in off a very misleading 2-TD win over Baylor as they were out-fd d and outgained Texas Tech was +3 TO s and the Red Raiders got a 92-yard kick return TD and a 31-yard fumble return TD. The Red Raiders need to win one of their final 2 games to get to a bowl and most likely save Kingsbury s job. On the other side, TCU is coming off a blowout loss at Oklahoma as their playoff hopes went up in smoke. Normally we would like TCU in this spot but with injury concerns at QB (Hill is?) and RB (Anderson out for season), we re passing here. IOWA 24 Purdue 17. Iowa probably should have been crushed by more than 24 points last week to Wisconsin as the Hawkeyes two TD s came via Pick 6 and their offense only managed 5 first downs and 66 total yards. Remarkable considering they had just put up 55 points on Ohio St the week prior. The reality is Iowa is a mediocre team that is actually -82 ypg in Big Ten play this year while their opponent Purdue is actually only -2 ypg in Big Ten play. The Boilers need to win out to get to a bowl so expect a max effort here. Pass. OREGON 38 Arizona 37. Oregon comes in off a bye here and the feeling is their QB Justin Herbert could return to this game (hasn t played since September 30th). He better if the Ducks have any chance of keeping pace with a red-hot Arizona offense that has scored 45 or more points in 5 of their last 6 games and last week rolled over Oregon St with a school-record 534 rushing yards (9.7 ypc). QB Tate has been the star and remarkably the Wildcats are averaging 349 rushing ypg (7.3 ypc). Kind of a free roll here as if Justin Herbert plays for Oregon, he is probably worth 7 points to the line and the Ducks will flip to favorite. OHIO ST 48 Illinois 10. Believe it or not, if the Crimson Tide win out (therefore eliminating Georgia and Auburn from playoff contention) and if the Buckeyes win out (therefore eliminating Wisconsin), there is a good chance OSU can get back to the playoffs (Clemson/Miami loser most likely out). Last week, OSU finally played up to their potential with a blowout win over Michigan St and we wouldn t be surprised if Meyer went for style points here even with Michigan on deck. Bucks can name their score vs a young Illini team. Pass on side, lean OVER. FLORIDA 31 Uab 20. Checking with our preseason power ratings we had Florida favored by more than 40 points in this game but now we ve seen a huge adjustment from both teams. First, UAB has clearly overachieved at 7-3 SU/8-2 ATS (season win total was only 2.5) as Bill Clark should be up for National Coach of the Year awards in UAB s first season back. On the other end of the spectrum is Florida who is 3-6 SU/1-6-2 ATS, won t be going to a bowl game this year and have an interim coach. Not sure we see any value here as UAB is clearly getting respect in the market place. Pass. Arizona St 34 OREGON ST 24. Last week we had a 2H Arizona St (+2.5) over UCLA on these pages and it was actually a bad bet as the Sun Devils went to +3.5 on game day in some spots. It was 14-0 Arizona St early before a Pick 6 changed the momentum of the game. It was still tied at entering the 4Q, with the Sun Devils losing by a TD. However, we re not afraid to back to them here vs a Oregon St team that s lost 8 straight games and is playing out the season with an interim coach. The Sun Devils need a win to get to bowl eligibility and we think they win by double-digits here. MEMPHIS 45 Smu 30. Memphis still has an opportunity to play in a big bowl game as the highest ranked Group of 5 champion. The Tigers come in off a bye while SMU is coming off a pair of tough losses. Last week the Ponies trailed Navy but SMU rallied to tie it at only to lose on a last-second FG by 3 (SMU allowed 559 rushing yards). How much will they have left in the tank here? Also note that in the last 3 meetings Memphis has won by a combined score of We lean with the home team. 2H (Virginia plus the points) MIAMI 34 Virginia 19. This is a great situational spot for Virginia. You have a Miami team fresh off a pair of big primetime performances vs Virginia Tech and Notre Dame on prime time. The Canes have finally got the respect in the polls at No. 2 in the AP and No. 3 in the CFB playoff poll. Miami already has clinched the Coastal Division and will play Clemson in a few weeks. Also the Canes have shown a propensity to play to the level of their competition with near outright losses as big favorites vs Syracuse and North Carolina. Also what will the crowd be like here? Give the Canes fans credit for showing vs VT/ND but we re thinking an early Noon start will have the stands half empty at kickoff. We re backing the underrated Cavs who are bowl eligible. Iowa St 34 BAYLOR 27. Baylor comes in off a very misleading 2-TD loss to Texas Tech last week. In the game, Baylor had first down and yard edges. However Baylor was -3 TO s and the Red Raiders got a 92-yard kick return TD and a 31-yard fumble return TD. Iowa St also had a misleading loss as they allowed the game s final 14 points vs Oklahoma St in a defeat. The Cylcones lost QB Kempt (check status) and 4th string Noland threw a late INT in the end zone (other than that Noland did play well). We lean with the home team and thankfully got in on an early double-digit number. Also lean OVER. Mississippi St 34 ARKANSAS 23. With the firing of Arkansas AD Jeff Long on Wednesday, Bielema s days are most likely numbered. The Hogs most likely need to win their final two games to save his job but are up against it vs a Mississippi St team that just gave Alabama all they could handle last week (MSU blew a Q lead in final seconds). The question is will the Bulldogs have a hangover effect after such a big effort? We re passing. Missouri 40 VANDERBILT 30. We actually bet Missouri to go UNDER their season win total of 6.5. Mizzou started the season 1-5 SU and we needed the Tigers to just lose one more game on the season. That doesn t look like it s going to happen as Mizzou has covered 6 straight games and won 4 straight all in blowout fashion. Their offense is humming averaging 54 ppg and 589 ypg the last 4 weeks and should have a field day vs a Vandy D allowing 46 ppg in SEC play. On the other side, Vanderbilt is heading in the opposite direction especially after a blowout loss at home to Kentucky last week. Only one way to go here. Lay it if you play it! WASHINGTON 31 Utah 17. Last week Utah (+1) lost to Washington St but had first down and yard edges. The Utes were done in by a remarkable 7 TO s. That gives us some value here vs a Washington team that saw their playoff hopes go up in smoke last week as they lost outright on the Farm to Stanford. They also lost control of the Pac-12 North division as they need to win their final 2 games and hope Stanford loses to Cal. We lean with the Utes here as head coach Whittingham is on a 7-0 ATS run as a double-digit underdog. 3H (ULM plus the points) AUBURN 48 UL-Monroe 20. We feel this is the biggest sandwich spot of any CFB game this year. You have Auburn off a blowout win over then No. 1 Georgia last week (thank you very much as we easily cashed a 3H on the Tigers) and on deck is No. 1 Alabama in the Iron Bowl. The Tigers are 0-3 ATS prior to Alabama the last 3 years and are just 2-10 ATS laying 20 or more points. Meanwhile, you have a ULM team that is fresh off a bye and perfectly capable of pulling the back door cover as their offense is averaging 37 ppg and 487 ypg. Finally, 30-or more point underdogs this year have gone ATS (73%)! OKLAHOMA ST 41 Kansas St 23. Kansas St has covered 5 of the last 6 meetings and they are in their largest underdog role since 2011 when they were +21 at Oklahoma St and only lost by 7. The Wildcats come in off a loss to West Virginia and need to win one more game to get to bowl eligibility. Oklahoma St is off a pair of shootout games vs Oklahoma and Iowa St and were fortunate to get a win last week (scored last 14 points in final 6 minutes). Lean on the big dog. COLORADO ST 48 San Jose St 17. Colorado St is in off one of the worst bad beats of the entire CFB season as they (+6.5) led 28-3 vs Boise St and still led by 14 very late in the 4Q. Boise scored a TD late, recovered the onside kick, scored another TD and then won it by 7 in OT. It was the only time all game Colorado St was trailing ATS wise. San Jose St meanwhile had a somewhat misleading blowout loss to Nevada as the Wolf Pack got 3 non-offensive TD s. I guess we should expect considering San Jose has turned the ball over 39 times this year! The Spartans have lost 9 straight games and are ATS. No interest. PENN ST 41 Nebraska 14. Nebraska is in their largest underdog role since 2004 when they were +30 at Oklahoma and lost It is deserved considering how bad the Huskers looked last week vs Minnesota in a blowout loss. The Huskers allowed 409 rushing yards to the Gophers and Penn St RB Barkley should have a much-needed bounce back performance after getting shut down multiple times in recent weeks. Nebraska head coach Mike Riley is on the way out and the Huskers QB Tanner Lee is in concussion protocol. Meanwhile, Penn St head coach James Franklin isn t afraid to run up the score. 4

5 Lsu 31 TENNESSEE 14. Ever since the loss to Troy, LSU has been playing some fine football as they are 4-1 SU/4-0-1 ATS. Here they take on a down-trodden Tennessee team with interim coach Brady Hoke as the Vols fired Butch Jones after last week s embarrassing loss to Missouri. That game was tied at before Missouri closed on a 33-0 run (Vols allowed 443 yards rushing). Not sure how well Hoke is liked in the locker room considering this is his first year on staff. We re passing. NOTRE DAME 37 Navy 21. Big emotional let down for Notre Dame here off the blowout loss at Miami, FL last week that ended their playoff hopes. Not sure Navy is the opponent you want to see when you could have questionable focus (Stanford is on deck for the Irish). The Middies are fresh off a thrilling win over SMU (Navy did lead at one point). We would love to recommend Navy more here but both of their QB s Abey (questionable) and Perry (doubtful) are banged up. Houston 31 TULANE 20. Houston does come in off a bye and that will be key considering Tulane runs a form of the option and the Cougars also have Navy on deck. It s been a so-so first season for head coach Applewhite but wins in their final 2 games would go a long ways. On the other side, Tulane is off an OT win over East Carolina and must win out to get to a bowl. We re passing here. New Mexico St 31 UL-LAFAYETTE 28. New Mexico St is trying to end the nation s longest bowl drought (haven t been to one since 1960) and at 4-5 are coming off a bye and will most likely be favored in each of their last 3 games. ULL has been a disappointment this year at 4-5 but also can get to a bowl with a win here and next week vs lowly Georgia Southern. Lean on the dog and the UNDER. IDAHO 31 Coastal Carolina 20. This is the last home game for Idaho as a FBS team and probably the last chance they have if they have any legitimate bowl hopes as well. We need Idaho to win 2 more games as we had them as one of our best bet season win totals in the summer. The Vandals come in off a bye and should be able to have success vs a 1-9 Coastal Carolina team making a very long and unique trip and playing a 10th straight week. Slight lean on the home team. NORTH TEXAS 30 Army 29. Army is on a ATS run in games played in the state of Texas as most of their players are from there (23 this year). These two teams played last year as North Texas pulled the big upset in the first game while taking home the cash in the second (Army won the bowl meeting straight up in OT). Is this a letdown spot for North Texas after clinching the West Division title? Last week we faded Army and while the Cadets were held to a season-low rush yards, they pulled the outright upset over Duke. Slight lean on the dog here. ARKANSAS ST 41 Texas St 17. Arkansas St suffered a shocking loss to South Alabama last week (-5 TO s) as the Sun Belt race is wide open again. The Red Wolves had been 20-1 SU in conference play prior. While it may not show in the final W/L record, Texas St is improved this year and is off 3 decent performances. We expect Arkansas St to get a bounce back win but look for the Bobcats to take home the cash as the huge dog. FLORIDA ATLANTIC 37 Fiu 24. Arguably the biggest Shula Bowl game ever matching up two bowl eligible teams and two new coaches in Kiffin and Davis. FIU might have been caught looking ahead to this game last week as they fell (-10) at home to Old Dominion. Meanwhile, FAU has won 6 straight games (Owls OVER 4 was our No. 1 season win total) and are off a blowout win over La Tech last week. The dog has covered in 7 of the last 8 meetings and that s where our lean is. Boston College 34 Connecticut Park. The Eagles did play here a couple of years ago vs ND. Last week Boston College lost QB Brown and that hurt their chances of getting to bowl eligibility as they fell by 3. The Eagles are still ATS in their last 7 games. On the other side, the Huskies have covered 4 of their last 5 and have been respectable as huge dogs the last couple of games in losses to USF and UCF. We re leaning with the big dog here. Marshall 24 UTSA 23. Last week Marshall was up but they ended up getting back-doored vs WKU. On the other side, UTSA is now 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games and need to win one of their final two games to get to a bowl this year (at La Tech on deck). The Roadrunners have now lost 4 games as a chalk this year after getting beat by UAB last week. This game goes down to the wire. Updated College Football Power Ratings for Week 12 Rank Team Pre 11/14 1 Alabama Oklahoma Ohio State Auburn Clemson Georgia Penn State Wisconsin Miami (FL) Oklahoma State Notre Dame USC Washington TCU LSU Michigan Stanford Mississippi State Washington State NC State Texas UCF Virginia Tech Georgia Tech Wake Forest Louisville Missouri Iowa State Arizona West Virginia Florida State USF Michigan State Rank Team Pre 11/14 34 Iowa South Carolina Memphis Northwestern Utah Texas A&M Boise State Boston College Kansas State Indiana Arizona State Houston Texas Tech UCLA Kentucky Syracuse Oregon Colorado Purdue Ole Miss Minnesota California San Diego State Toledo Virginia Duke Pittsburgh Florida Navy Colorado State Florida Atlantic Vanderbilt Ohio H Texas A&M 34 OLE MISS 31. Last week Texas A&M called off the dogs vs New Mexico as they led 48-0 in the second quarter (gives us some value). The A&M offense looks much better with Starkel at QB who missed most of the season due to injury. On the other side, Ole Miss benefited from ULL suspending several players on game day. Not sure you can trust an Ole Miss defense that has allowed at least 34 points and 417 yards in every SEC game so far. We re taking the Aggies outright! WISCONSIN 23 Michigan 17. The only ranked vs ranked matchup this weekend. The Wolverines have 3 straight wins all by 3 TD s or more as their defense remains elite while their offense has started to find their ground game. The question is whether or not Harbaugh will trust redshirt frosh Peters in opening up the play book here. On the other side, the unbeaten Badgers could have won by more than 24 points last week over Iowa as they allowed just 5 first downs and 66 yards (Hawkeyes got 2 Pick 6 s ). Wisconsin is playing with added pressure and we look for an old school Big Ten grinder here. Slight lean on the UNDERDOG. USC 42 Ucla 28. Last week we didn t have great fortune fading either of these teams on these pages. UCLA fell behind Arizona St 14-0 but a Pick 6 changed that game and we fell by 7 (non-cover by 4 points). On the other side, we lost by a 0.5-pount fading USC which Colorado missed a couple of FG s and also got stopped at the goal line late. USC is playing a 12th straight week but will have a bye prior to the Pac-12 Championship game. Not sure we ve seen the killer instinct from USC in the last two games vs Arizona and Colorado that makes us want to back them here laying a huge number vs an arch rival. We re not getting too involved although note that UCLA head coach Jim Mora is on a ATS run in his last 13 games away from home. 2H (Cal plus the points) STANFORD 34 California 21. Great situational spot here for Cal as the Bears come in off a bye while Stanford is in a Washington/ Notre Dame sandwich. Yes, Stanford needs a win here and a Washington win in the Apple Cup to get to the Pac- 12 title game but we re wondering if they re 100% here off a pair of physical close games vs those Washington schools. While Cal is on a 0-5 SU/ ATS run in the series, there is a new sheriff in town in head coach Wilcox and with an improved D (allowing 14 ppg and 86 ypg less than last year) and a much more balanced offense, the Bears match up better with Stanford than recent meetings. SAN DIEGO ST 38 Nevada 20. San Diego St comes in fresh off a bye and while the Aztecs might not be able to win their side of the Mountain West division this year, they can show their still the best team. They certainly did that prior to the bye as they owned a rushing yard edge in their wins over Hawaii and San Jose St. Nevada, meanwhile has shown improvement from Game No. 1 under first year head coach Norvell as the Wolf Pack have covered 4 of their last 5 games. However, they have a big rivalry on deck vs UNLV, which is a much more winnable game. Lean on the home team. Rank Team Pre 11/14 67 Army North Carolina Arkansas Baylor Tennessee Northern Illinois Nebraska Arkansas State SMU Maryland Troy Fresno State Rutgers Temple Eastern Michigan Marshall Wyoming Central Michigan Oregon State Appalachian State Air Force North Texas Western Michigan Southern Miss Miami (OH) Utah State Western Kentucky Middle Tennessee Tulane UAB UTSA New Mexico State Massachusetts Biggest Movers Since Preseason Rank Team Pre 11/14 Team Pts 100 Illinois UCF BYU Louisiana Tech UAB Buffalo Florida At Tulsa Purdue Nevada Fresno St Cincinnati Arizona FIU UNLV North Texas Akron Mississippi St New Mexico Wake Forest Georgia State Iowa St Hawaii Buffalo South Alabama UL-Monroe Oregon St Old Dominion Ga Southern UL-Lafayette UTEP Connecticut Nebraska Bowling Green North Carolina Idaho East Carolina W Kentucky Kansas Arkansas Rice Tulsa Texas State Baylor Georgia Southern Tennessee Coastal Carolina Charlotte Florida Kent State San Jose St UTEP BYU San Jose State Ball St Ball State Florida St -17.0

6 Updated College Football Records: Straight Up, ATS and Over/Under Straight-Up Against The Spread Over/Under Team Ov Home Away Overall Home Away Overall Home Away Air Force Akron Alabama Appalachian St Arizona State Arizona Arkansas Arkansas State Army Auburn Ball State Baylor Boise State Boston College Bowling Green Buffalo BYU California Central Florida Central Mich Charlotte Cincinnati Clemson Coastal Carolina Colorado Colorado State Connecticut Duke East Carolina Eastern Mich Florida Atlantic Florida Florida Intl Florida State Fresno State Georgia Ga Southern Georgia State Georgia Tech Hawaii Houston Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Iowa State Kansas Kansas State Kent State Kentucky LSU Louisiana Tech Louisville Marshall Maryland Massachusetts Memphis Miami (FL) Miami (OH) Michigan State Michigan Middle Tenn Minnesota Mississippi Mississippi State Straight-Up Against The Spread Over/Under Team Ov Home Away Overall Home Away Overall Home Away Missouri Navy Nebraska Nevada New Mexico New Mexico St NC State North Carolina North Texas Northern Illinois Northwestern Notre Dame Ohio Ohio State Oklahoma Oklahoma State Old Dominion Oregon Oregon State Penn State Pittsburgh Purdue Rice Rutgers San Diego State San Jose State SMU South Alabama South Carolina South Florida Southern Miss Stanford Syracuse TCU Temple Tennessee Texas A&M Texas Texas State Texas Tech Toledo Troy Tulane Tulsa UAB UCLA UL-Lafayette UL-Monroe UNLV USC Utah State Utah UTEP UTSA Vanderbilt Virginia Virginia Tech Wake Forest Washington Washington St West Virginia W Kentucky Western Mich Wisconsin Wyoming CFB VIP Late Phone/ Service (Includes Every CFB H-Rated Play): Just $249 Call ! Mention Special Code: Page 6 6