Soho Alcohol Recovery Centre: An Economic Evaluation

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Transcription:

Soho Alcohol Recovery Centre: An Economic Evaluation 7th November 2012 David Murray BSc MSc FFPH Director PHAST Dr James Jarrett BA MA PhD Public Health Economist, PHAST

Contents 1. PHAST 2. Context 3. Project Overview 4. What Is SARC? 5. Project Scope 6. Project Findings 7. Conclusions

PHAST Public Health Consultancy c400 projects & training programmes Over 100 Associates Increasing UK scope: NHS, Local Authorities, Private Sector, Charities International work: Australia, Sri Lanka, Gambia Social Enterprise: Surplus to charity UK & Internationally

Context Drink-related health problems could account for up to 12% of total NHS hospital spending Around 3bn In 2011/12 London Ambulance Service handled 66,254 emergency alcohol incidents 181 patients every single day c6% LAS calls

Soho Alcohol Recovery Centre Client: Central London Borough Council Partners: PCT & LAS Context: Internal pilot service evaluation PHAST: Health economic analysis Output: NHS net-cost analysis report NHS field-hospital in central Soho Walk-in centre Staffed by LAS Basic clinical care for safe recovery from excess alcohol with a clinical protocol Integrated with LAS booze bus & 999 Patient selection for SARC by LAS 999 staff - assessment against clinical protocol as A&E alternative

Alternative Treatment Pathways Small proportion of SARC patients require transfer to A&E. IN IN Negligible proportion of SARC patients may be admitted to hospital Small proportion of A&E patients may be admitted to hospital (LOS 1 day). A &E SARC OUT A proportion of A&E patients leave before being treated. Hospital

Project Scope Assessment Of the costing methods currently included in the draft evaluation report Advice Advise on further development of methods in terms of scope & robustness. Costing Provide revised net NHS costing using available data & evidence, including Comment To comment on the contracting & funding implications.

Assessment & Advice Following our review of existing client costing methods: Considered actual LAS staffing costs as opposed to the adoption of the LAS service/staffing price. Considered alternative staffing scenarios, including skill mix, staff numbers, & addition of an alcohol advisor. Verified A&E costs. Added potentially avoided hospital admissions.

Costing The model provided for SARC and A&E: Total cost of caring for the cohorts of patients over different time horizons. Total cost and cost per patient for various SARC staffing scenarios. Threshold analysis for cost-minimisation - A&E vs. SARC - SARC staffing scenarios

Relevant Costs Accident and Emergency Patients can go to either: Soho Alcohol Recovery Centre (SARC) Where the following direct costs are accrued A&E Attendance Hospital Admission Admission Length of Stay Accommodation/Security Consumables Staff Scenario 1 or Scenario 2 or Scenario 3 or Scenario 4 Ambulatory Transfers to A&E

Resources Used Average patients / 8hrs 15 SARC Average patients /12 nights Average patients transferred from SARC to A&E Average patients leaving A&E before treatment Average A&E patients admitted to hospital Unit Source Notes 180 PHAST (15 X 12 nights) 3.6 (c2%) 54 (30%) 7.2 (4%) SARC St. Mary s (7) St. Mary s (7) Assumed patients do not incur cost A&E cohort only Average length of stay for admitted patients 1 day St. Mary s (7)

Alternative Staffing Scenarios Scenario 1 (7) Scenario 2 (5) 1 Team Leader 3 Paramedics 2 EMTs 1 Alcohol Worker 1 Team Leader 1 Paramedics 2 EMT 1 Alcohol Worker Scenario 3 (6) Scenario 4 (7) 1 Team Leader 1 Paramedic 4 EMTs 1 Alcohol Worker 1 Team Leader 2 Paramedics 2 EMTs 1 Alcohol Worker

Project Findings

A&E vs. SARC Staffing Scenario Costs 15 PATIENTS PER NIGHT A&E SARC (Staff Scenario SARC (Staff Scenario 2) SARC (Staff Scenario 3) SARC (Staff Scenario 4) Per Patient 89 116 92 104 117 Per Night 1,338 1,736 1,379 1,558 1,756 Per Month 16,051 20,834 16,550 18,692 21,069 Per Year 192,607 250,004 198,604 224,304 252,830 30 PATIENTS PER NIGHT Per Patient 89 62 50 56 62 Per Night 2,675 1,847 1,490 1,668 1,866 Per Month 32,101 22,162 17,879 20,020 22,398 Per Year 385,214 265,945 214,545 240,245 268,771

Staffing Scenario Costs At 20 patients per night, all but Staffing Scenario 4 become cost saving when compared to the A&E setting. Staffing Scenario 4 is 46p more expensive per patient at this level of throughput. Staff Scenario 2 looks to be the most cost saving of the scenarios. This is most likely due to the low staff numbers in this scenario (5, compared to 6 staff in scenario 3, and 7 staff in scenarios 1 and 4). Staffing Scenario 2 becomes cost saving at 16 patients, Staffing Scenario 3 becomes cost-saving at 18 patients, Staffing Scenario 1 becomes cost saving at 20 patients, and Staffing Scenario 4 becomes cost saving at 21 patients.

SARC vs. A&E :Per Patient Costs Staffing Scenario 1 Staffing Scenario 2 Staffing Scenario 3 Staffing Scenario 4 15 115.74 (+) 91.95 (+) 103.84 (+) 117.05 (+) 20 88.65 (-) 70.80 (-) 79.73 (-) 89.63 (+) 25 72.40 (-) 58.12 (-) 65.26 (-) 73.18 (-) 30 61.56 (-) 49.66 (-) 55.61 (-) 62.22 (-) (+ more than A&E, - less than A&E)

SARC vs. A&E Costs The A&E scenario per patient cost ( 89) is less than the unit cost ( 97.50) because of the assumption that some patients leave before being treated and are not billed for. At baseline (15 patients per night), SARC is more expensive than A&E regardless of the staffing scenario. Near the maximum capacity treated in the pilot (30 patients) per night the SARC scenario is considerably less expensive than the A&E scenario.

Conclusion: NHS Cost SARC has the potential to be a cost-saving, or at very least costneutral intervention for the NHS. The exact net NHS cost impact depends on identifying the optimal staffing scenario and ensuring adequate patient throughput.

Conclusion: Other Impacts Improved efficiency of booze bus operation, through shorter journeys & turn-around times. Focused & more appropriate treatment of alcohol needs in a specialist setting. Freed capacity in A&E to deal with other & potentially more serious emergency health care needs. Potential reductions in A&E waiting times. Improvement of A&E care environment for both patients & staff by reduction in the numbers of intoxicated patients. Reduction in crime & disorder, & burden on police & other staff, due to more rapid response to needs of intoxicated people. Collection of licensing intelligence. londonambulance.nhs.uk/news/alcohol-related_calls.aspx

Acknowledgements With grateful thanks to Central London Borough Council, the primary care trust and London Ambulance staff who assisted with this project Thank You