Shaping the RAN and RAAF for Seamless Integration

Transcription

1 Shaping the RAN and RAAF for Seamless Integration AVM John Blackburn (Reserve) Williams Foundation Fellow My Task: How can we address the stove-piped nature of our capability projects? Would a comprehensive Joint CONOPS help? What is a possible roadmap to progress Air/ Sea Integration?

2 Shaping the RAN and RAAF for Seamless Integration AVM John Blackburn (Reserve) Williams Foundation Fellow I will address: How are we building our future force? / Lessons from history An Air/Sea Roadmap?... Next Steps?

3 The Plan Jericho Program of Work Plan Jericho Narrative Design CONOPS Gap Analysis Top-down design meets bottom-up innovation. Innovation Program of Work Time lag to rectify gaps? Reactive Integration after the fact = Operational Risk Jericho Experiments Jericho Dawn ++

4 Future Requirements / Concepts Defence White Paper Concept FJOC? Concept of Operations (CONOPS) Guidance for future Capability Decisions

5 Future Requirements / Concepts Defence White Paper Concept FJOC? Concept of Operations (CONOPS) Guidance for future Capability Decisions

6 Future Requirements / Concepts Defence White Paper Spiral of Stagnation Concept FJOC? Concept of Operations (CONOPS) The OODA loop exceeds the posting / reorganisation cycle time Defence reorganisations work on a big bang model we don t prototype and experiment... we just try to implement a theoretical large-scale change model Guidance for future Capability Decisions

7 Future Requirements / Concepts Defence White Paper Concept NCW (circa 2002) NETWORKED LEVEL NCW goals Concept of Operations (CONOPS) RPDE Intent TIME Guidance for future Capability Decisions

8 Future Requirements / Concepts Defence White Paper Concept FJOC? Concept of Operations (CONOPS) 80,000 Pages Guidance for future Capability Decisions

9 Future Requirements / Concepts Defence White Paper An integrated force needs to be designed integrated not just integrated after the fact... Defence cannot do this alone Guidance for future Capability Decisions Concept FJOC? Concept of Operations (CONOPS) Project Project Project Project Guidance for future Capability Decisions Industry Partnering Study 4th Gen Model?

10 DISTRIBUTED CONTROL NODES Turning the Kill Chain into Kill Webs DCN? ADM Manazir USN KC30 DCN DCN? Comms/Data Gateways P8 E7 Network redundancy Common DCN Functionality? ABM Functions Distributed fusion / correlation DCN AWD DCN LHD MROC / ROC

11 Future Requirements / Concepts Defence White Paper Concept FJOC? Concept of Operations (CONOPS) Can we avoid the Spiral of Stagnation yet again? given a 4th Gen Business Model?... we need to be smart designers as well as smart buyers Guidance for future Capability Decisions

12 An integrated force needs to be designed integrated not just integrated after the fact. INTEGRATION LEVEL INTEGRATED FORCE DESIGN Integrated Force Design Concept Demonstrator

13 An integrated force needs to be designed integrated not just integrated after the fact. INTEGRATION LEVEL The Joint Approach Study The drivers for this move towards joint include the need for greater efficiency, the desire for finer control INTEGRATED... ever increasing FORCE DESIGN range of missions... My view the driver is that an Integrated Force will possess a superior warfighting capability in the extended battlespace and will result in lower operational risk Integrated Force Design is not just a process, it is about the warfighting outcome Integrated... What Force is the Design integrated Concept force Demonstrator narrative in Defence?

14 Bottom up innovation drives a top-down design A 5th Gen CONOPS Approach? Future Requirements / Concepts Acquisition / Contracting / sustainment models to support a Defence - Industry partnering approach?? Future CONOPS in a wider range of scenarios?? Complex scenarios are good for testing a force not for designing one Risk trade off Acquisition versus Future Operations? Force Characteristics Explored in Vignettes Gap Analysis Future Gap Analysis Current Future Ops options Where is operational innovation evident? New Projects? Project Changes? Technology potential Start with what is known in part

15 Where to next? - DIIP Extract Substantial investments are proposed to strengthen our platforms, command, control, communications, computing and intelligence (C4I) systems, sensors and advanced weapons. Defence will develop systems, sensors and networks to deliver effective air and space situational awareness around Australia and in deployed locations. A new, more sophisticated (C4I) system will also be required to be able to fuse information from multiple sources. This will enable coordination of forces and more timely operational response, including an ability to support the more comprehensive situational awareness required for capabilities such as integrated air and missile defence. The ADF s enhanced integrated air and missile defence C4I architecture will have the flexibility for further enhancement to handle more complex threats that may emerge in future.

16 IAMD CONOPS INTEGRATED FORCE DESIGN IAMD PROGRAM GUIDANCE ADJACENT CONOPS / GUIDANCE CONCEPT DEMONSTRATOR? Space Projects AIR 6500 LAND 19-7 SEA 5000 SEA 4000 SEA 1000 GAP Projects? Enabling Capabilities Acquisition / Sustainment Models

17 How can Defence and Industry+ work together as partners in the force design process? IAMD CONOPS Williams Foundation intends to run a Force Integration Study, focussed on the IAMD Program as an exemplar, to explore a new partnership model / method with Industry+ and Defence to address: Capability Guidance and Design Acquisition and Contracting models Capability Implementation in a 5 th Gen capability Environment Study not constrained by 4 th Gen thinking / contracting model Progress report at Williams Foundation Seminar in March 2017 The March 2017 seminar theme will be Integrated Force Design Intent to contribute to Integrated Force Design thinking and to try to help break the spiral of stagnation in a shared design process. Space Projects AIR 6500 LAND 19-7 SEA 5000 SEA 4000 SEA 1000 Enabling Capabilities Acquisition / Sustainment Models GAP Projects?

18 Williams Foundation March 2017 Seminar Integrated Force Design The hypotheses the seminar will explore could include: If we don t design the integrated force we are committed to after-market integration We can t build and operate an integrated force using business models developed for acquiring stand-alone, stove-piped capabilities. If we over-complicate the design process we will stall our efforts and get the same results we have had over the past 20 years stove-piped capabilities. Design is about more than just platforms and systems it is about how we design, acquire, operate and sustain an integrated force in a more complex interconnected global context. We have to change... and operate as an integrated team if the Strategic Centre fails in this arena, we all fail and incur unnecessary operational risk in future operations... It is about the combat outcomes we must achieve.

19 Shaping the RAN and RAAF for Seamless Integration AVM John Blackburn (Reserve) Williams Foundation Fellow How are we building our future force? Lessons from history if we choose to learn them Would a comprehensive Joint CONOPS help? I don t think it is achievable... An Air/Sea Roadmap?... Prove of concept start by building a part of the Integrated force Roadmap e.g. IAMD Next Steps let s protoype the integrated force approach...