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Commissioning for Value Where to Look pack Birmingham and Solihull - STP area December 2016 Neurological April 2016

Contents Introduction to your Where to Look pack Supporting the STP process NHS RightCare and Getting it Right First Time (GIRFT) Your data Next steps and actions Further support and information Useful links The NHS RightCare programme NHS RightCare and Commissioning for Value 2

Introduction to your Where to Look pack What s in this pack? This pack contains data from the CCG Commissioning for Value Where to Look packs, published in October 2016, collated at STP footprint level. The data in this pack includes headline opportunities, improvement opportunity tables and slides showing how CCGs in each STP differ from their peers. An STP opportunity is the sum of all the equivalent opportunities of the CCGs in that area. They do not include negative opportunities or those which are statistically insignificant. Why your STP area should review it The information contained in this pack is personalised for each STP footprint area and can be used to help support local discussions about prioritisation to improve the value and utilisation of resources. By using this information each STP area will be able to ensure its plans focus on those opportunities which have the potential to provide the biggest improvements in health outcomes, resource allocation and reducing inequalities. Legal duties NHS England, Public Health England and CCGs have legal duties under the Health and Social Care Act 2012 with regard to reducing health inequalities; and for promoting equality under the Equality Act 2010. One of the main focuses for the Commissioning for Value series has always been reducing variation in outcomes. Commissioners should continue to use these packs and the supporting tools to drive local action to reduce inequalities in access to services and in the health outcomes achieved. 3

Supporting the STP process This pack has been created to align with the new Sustainability and Transformation Planning (STP) process. Local service leaders in every part of England are working together for the first time on shared plans to transform health and care in the diverse communities they serve. Commissioning for Value (CfV) supports CCGs and STP footprint areas by providing the most up to date data available. Expenditure data is from 2015/16. Outcomes data is the latest available at time of publication. The time period for each pathway on a page indicator is included on the chart. In addition the key indicators from the seven focus packs (originally published in April/May 2016) will be refreshed in the CfV online tools in early 2017. In the meantime, CCGs and local health economies will still be able to use the 2016 focus packs for further investigations as an indication of what to change. Unless a CCG has taken action along a particular pathway, their relative position is unlikely to have altered. 4

NHS RightCare and Getting it Right First Time (GIRFT) NHS RightCare and GIRFT are complementary programmes and should be used together to support the delivery of population healthcare improvement and financial sustainability. NHS RightCare s Commissioning for Value workstream supports improvement across systems by focusing on pathways of care from primary prevention to end of life care. Whilst supporting improvement in terms of access to and outcomes from the acute sector, Commissioning for Value has not focused in detail on hospital care. GIRFT provides detailed insight into variation in the acute system in a way that has not been available before. As such NHS RightCare and GIRFT collectively provide clinical improvement insight across the entire health care system. In 2017 NHS RightCare and GIRFT will be working closely together to support STPs and their local health economies. This will begin with a complementary set of analysis on orthopaedic pathways. This pack supports STP thinking on this collective agenda, including by highlighting opportunities for improvement such as by coordinating the reallocation of capacity in the acute system, something that can only be achieved together. See pages 9 and 10. 5

Headline opportunity areas for Birmingham and Solihull The number in the grey circles below represents how many CCGs within Birmingham and Solihull share a particular opportunity area out of 3 CCGs within the STP Spend & Outcomes Outcomes Spend 3 Genito Urinary 3 Genito Urinary 3 Circulation 3 Respiratory 3 Respiratory 3 Musculoskeletal 3 Neurological 2 Trauma and Injuries 3 Respiratory 2 Musculoskeletal 2 Endocrine 3 Neurological 2 Trauma and Injuries 1 Circulation 2 Endocrine These headline lists are based on the contributing CCGs which form the STP. The figure in the grey circle represents the number of times each programme appears in each individual CCG headline list. This is simply the number of CCGs in the STP with a common programme as a headline opportunity. It does not factor in the relative scale of each of the opportunities for this ranking. E.g. an STP with six CCGs may have all six CCGs with a cancer spend opportunity totalling 3m. In this example, cancer would rank above respiratory which appears in the list for five CCGs but has a total opportunity of 4m. This can be explored further in the detailed sections of this pack. 6

Which CCGs in Birmingham and Solihull - STP share headline opportunity areas? Spend & Outcomes Outcomes Spend Genito Urinary Respiratory Neurological Musculoskeletal Trauma and Injuries Genito Urinary Respiratory Trauma and Injuries Endocrine Circulation Circulation Musculoskeletal Respiratory Neurological Endocrine Birmingham Crosscity, Birmingham South and Central, Solihull Birmingham Crosscity, Birmingham South and Central, Solihull Birmingham Crosscity, Birmingham South and Central, Solihull Birmingham Crosscity, Solihull Birmingham Crosscity, Solihull Birmingham Crosscity, Birmingham South and Central, Solihull Birmingham Crosscity, Birmingham South and Central, Solihull Birmingham Crosscity, Solihull Birmingham South and Central, Solihull Birmingham South and Central Birmingham Crosscity, Birmingham South and Central, Solihull Birmingham Crosscity, Birmingham South and Central, Solihull Birmingham Crosscity, Birmingham South and Central, Solihull Birmingham Crosscity, Birmingham South and Central, Solihull Birmingham Crosscity, Birmingham South and Central 7

What are the potential lives saved per year? A value is only shown where the opportunity is statistically significant If the CCGs within the STP performed at the average of: Similar 10 CCGs Best 5 of similar 10 CCGs Cancer 66 Neurological Circulation Respiratory 5 Gastro Intestinal Trauma and Injuries 36 60 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Total Lives Saved The mortality data presented above uses Primary Care Mortality Database (PCMD) and is from 2012 to 2014. The potential lives saved opportunities are calculated on a yearly basis and are only shown where statistically significant. Lives saved only includes programmes where mortality outcomes have been considered appropria te. 8

Coordinating the re-allocation of capacity Improving a population healthcare system to become high value and optimal requires significant change. It requires change in the practices and perspectives of all of the professions, people and partners engaged in the system. It requires change in how we engage with individual patients and how we engage with our local communities, so that we inform and then seek to understand their perspectives and their preferences. It requires change in how we operate and think about our organisational structures, plans and asset models. And, most importantly of all, it requires us to embrace, collectively and individually, the need to make these changes. Variation data, as contained in the suite of Commissioning for Value packs, highlights that in every health system in England, there exists a significant volume of overuse alongside significant underuse. Overuse leads to waste and harm. Underuse leads to a failure to prevent disease and inequity. Reducing both leads to a better and more sustainable system. In order to do this well, we must work together to coordinate the re-allocation of capacity from unwarranted activity to warranted activity, wherever in the system that may be. 9

Coordinating the re-allocation of capacity The next page highlights the potential overuse in bed days for your STP area, as implied by variation data for each of your constituent health economies. STP areas are able to use this information to focus on the opportunity to free up bed capacity, and ask the questions Is this current bed use adding value? and Where might we better use this capacity and resource?. In turn this will allow for discussion and consensus to be reached on where beds add more value if re-allocated for different use. It also allows for discussion and consensus on what current capacity a system could avoid the need for, if resources were re-allocated for non-bed use, to deliver optimal clinical pathways and systems. Avoiding the need for capacity, in this way, is a key component of delivering a sustainable healthcare system. Fully integrated care is very likely to be a key part of these discussions. Identifying together Where to Look and then designing optimal pathways and systems, that is, What to Change, by collectively answering the question What would we look like if we were doing the very best for our population?, is the optimal means of achieving this. 10

How different are we on bed days? A value is only shown where the opportunity is statistically significant If the CCGs within the STP performed at the average of: Similar 10 CCGs Lowest 5 of similar 10 CCGs Cancer Endocrine, nutritional & metabolic 1,622 5,276 1,942 Neurological 12,752 9,023 Circulation 1,964 6,998 Respiratory 14,759 12,050 Gastro Intestinal Musculo Skeletal 1,910 3,469 5,529 Trauma and Injuries 4,342 9,776 Genito Urinary 469 6,952 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 Bed Days The bed days data presented above uses Secondary User Services Extract Mart (SUS SEM) and is from financial year 2015/16. The calculations in this slide are based on admissions for any primary diagnoses that fall under the listed conditions (based on Programme Budgeting classifications which are in turn based on the World Health Organisation s International Classification of Diseases). This only includes admissions covered by the mandatory payment by results tariff and includes NHS England Direct Commissioning activity. These figures are a combination of elective and non -elective admissions. Length of stay is derived from admission and discharge date. Spells that have the same admission and discharge date (includin g planned day cases) have a length of stay in SUS as zero. These have been recoded as a length of stay of 1 day in order to capture the impact of these admissions on total bed days for a CCGs. 11

How different are we on spend on elective admissions? A value is only shown where the opportunity is statistically significant If the CCGs within the STP performed at the average of: Similar 10 CCGs Lowest 5 of similar 10 CCGs Cancer 657 2,212 Endocrine, nutritional & metabolic Neurological 135 552 404 Circulation 949 1,725 Respiratory Gastro Intestinal 393 502 Musculo Skeletal 1,410 5,612 Trauma and Injuries Genito Urinary 99 162 508 806 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 The spend data presented above uses Secondary User Services Extract Mart (SUS SEM) and is from financial year 2015/16. Total Difference ( 000s) The calculations in this slide are based on expenditure on admissions for any primary diagnoses that fall under the listed co nditions (based on Programme Budgeting classifications which are in turn based on the World Health Organisation s International Classification of Diseases). This only includes expenditure on admissions covered by the mandatory payment by results tariff and includes NHS England Direct Commissioning expenditure. CCGs can explore this expenditure in more detail using the Commissioning for Value Focus Packs. For example, Neurological expenditure contains Chronic Pain, and the focus pack breaks this down by different types of Pain. CCGs should consider whether these admissions should be considered alongside other programmes e.g. CVD, Gastrointestinal, Musculoskeletal problems 12

How different are we on spend on non-elective admissions? A value is only shown where the opportunity is statistically significant If the CCGs within the STP performed at the average of: Similar 10 CCGs Best 5 of similar 10 CCGs Cancer Endocrine, nutritional & metabolic 280 581 Neurological 6,148 3,047 Circulation Respiratory Gastro Intestinal 2,869 2,480 3,121 3,635 Musculo Skeletal 831 Trauma and Injuries Genito Urinary 267 1,990 2,118 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 Total Difference ( 000s) The spend data presented above uses Secondary User Services Extract Mart (SUS SEM) and is from financial year 2015/16. The calculations in this slide are based on expenditure on admissions for any primary diagnoses that fall under the listed co nditions (based on Programme Budgeting classifications which are in turn based on the World Health Organisation s International Classification of Diseases). This only includes expenditure on admissions covered by the mandatory payment by results tariff and includes NHS England Direct Commissioning expenditure. CCGs can explore this expenditure in more detail using the Commissioning for Value Focus Packs. For example, Neurological expenditure contains Chronic Pain, and the focus pack breaks this down by different types of Pain. CCGs should consider whether these admissions should be considered alongside other programmes e.g. CVD, Gastrointestinal, Musculoskeletal problems 13

How different are we on spend on primary care prescribing? A value is only shown where the opportunity is statistically significant If the CCGs within the STP performed at the average of: Similar 10 CCGs Lowest 5 of similar 10 CCGs Cancer 362 Endocrine, nutritional & metabolic 2,646 3,466 Mental Health Problems 286 Neurological Circulation 1,636 1,408 Respiratory 2,587 Gastro Intestinal 500 Musculo Skeletal 933 Trauma and Injuries 199 Genito Urinary 725 832 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 Total Difference ( 000s) The prescribing data presented above uses Net Ingredient Cost (NIC) from epact.com provided by the NHS Business Services Auth ority and is from financial year 2015/16. Each individual BNF chemical is mapped to a Programme Budget Category and aggregated to form a programme total. The indicators ha ve been standardised using the ASTRO-PU weightings. Opportunities have been shown to the CCGs similar 10 and the lowest 5 CCGs. Prescribing opportunities are for local interpret ation and should be viewed in conjunction with the individual disease pathways. More detailed analyses of prescribing data, outlier practices, and time trends can be produced rapidly using the following re source: http://www.openprescribing.net 14

Improvement opportunities This table presents opportunities for quality improvement and spend differences for a range of programme areas. These are based on comparing the CCGs within Birmingham and Solihull STP to the best / lowest 5 CCGs. A quantified unit is only shown when the opportunity is statistically significant. Disease Area Spend 000 Quality Spend on elective and day-case admissions 2,869 Cancer and Tumours - Rate of bed days Spend on primary care prescribing 362 Mortality from all cancers under 75 years Breast cancer screening % first definitive treatment within 2 months (all cancer) Mortality from breast cancer under 75 years Bowel cancer screening Lower GI cancer detected at an early stage Mortality from colorectal cancer under 75 years Cancer & Tumours Successful quitters, 16+ Lung cancer detected at an early stage Mortality from all cancers all ages No. of patients, life-years, referrals, etc. 5,276 66 2,634 104 15 4,744 23 21 264 29 105 15

Improvement opportunities This table presents opportunities for quality improvement and spend differences for a range of programme areas. These are based on comparing the CCGs within Birmingham and Solihull STP to the best / lowest 5 CCGs. A quantified unit is only shown when the opportunity is statistically significant. Disease Area Spend 000 Quality Spend on elective and day-case admissions 2,674 Circulation - Rate of bed days Spend on non-elective admissions 3,121 Reported to estimated prevalence of CHD Spend on primary care prescribing 1,408 Reported to estimated prevalence of hypertension Patients with CHD whose BP < 150/90 Patients with CHD whose cholesterol < 5 mmol/l Patients with hypertension whose BP < 150/90 Mortality from acute MI under 75 years Patients with stroke/tia whose BP < 150/90 % stroke/tia patients on antiplatelet or anticoagulant Stroke patients spending 90% of their time on stroke unit Circulation Problems (CVD) Emergency readmissions within 28 days for stroke patients % patients returning home after treatment High-risk AF patients on anticoagulation therapy Reported to estimated prevalence of AF Patients who go direct to a stroke unit (quarter) Stroke patients treated by early supported discharge team (quarter) No. of patients, life-years, referrals, etc. 8,963 3,939 12,399 619 353 2,143 11 427 93 44 21 133 894 847 39 65 Endocrine, Nutritional and Metabolic Problems Spend on elective and day-case admissions Spend on non-elective admissions Spend on primary care prescribing 956 Endocrine - Rate of bed days 860 % diabetes patients whose cholesterol < 5 mmol/l 6,112 % diabetes patients whose HbA1c is <59 mmol/mol % diabetes patients whose blood pressure is <140/80 % of diabetes patients receiving all three treatment targets % patients receiving foot examination Retinal screening % diabetes patients attending structured education 3,564 1,102 314 3,518 473 619 2,863 260 16

Improvement opportunities This table presents opportunities for quality improvement and spend differences for a range of programme areas. These are based on comparing the CCGs within Birmingham and Solihull STP to the best / lowest 5 CCGs. A quantified unit is only shown when the opportunity is statistically significant. Disease Area Spend 000 Quality Spend on elective and day-case admissions 502 Gastro - Rate of bed days Spend on non-elective admissions 2,480 % 6+ week waits for a gastroscopy (4 month snapshots) Spend on primary care prescribing 500 Alcohol specific hospital admissions Emergency admissions for alcoholic liver disease condition (19+) Emergency admissions for Upper GI bleeds Reported Clostridium difficile cases % 6+ week waits for a colonoscopy (4 month snapshots) Rate of emergency colonoscopies Emergency admissions for gastroenteritis (0-4) Gastrointestinal Emergency admissions for gastroenteritis (5+) No. of patients, life-years, referrals, etc. 3,469 730 175 19 105 55 594 8 110 422 Genitourinary Spend on elective and day-case admissions Spend on non-elective admissions Spend on primary care prescribing 968 Genitourinary - Rate of bed days 2,386 Reported to estimated prevalence of CKD 1,557 Patients on CKD register with a BP of 140/85 or less Patients on CKD register treated with an ACE-1 or ARB Creatinine ratio test used in last 12 months % home dialysis undertaken % of patients on RRT who have a transplant 7,421 3,987 1,829 221 1,193 83 205 17

Improvement opportunities This table presents opportunities for quality improvement and spend differences for a range of programme areas. These are based on comparing the CCGs within Birmingham and Solihull STP to the best / lowest 5 CCGs. A quantified unit is only shown when the opportunity is statistically significant. Disease Area Spend 000 Quality % of delivery episodes where mother is <18 Flu vaccine take-up by pregnant women Live and still births <2500 grams Breastfeeding initiation (first 48 hrs) Infant mortality rate Emergency gastroenteritis admissions rate for <1s Emergency LRTI admissions rate for <1s Maternity & Reproductive Health % receiving 3 doses of 5-in-1 vaccine by age 2 A&E attendance rate for <5s Emergency admissions rate for <5s Unintentional & deliberate injury admissions for <5s % of children aged 4-5 who are overweight or obese Neonatal Mortality and Stillbirths % receiving 1 dose of MMR vaccine by age 2 No. of patients, life-years, referrals, etc. 39 1,341 228 169 40 41 192 476 3,908 2,817 76 220 43 893 Spend on primary care prescribing 286 People with mental illness and or disability in settled accomodation 587 Mental Health Problems (all) 18

Improvement opportunities This table presents opportunities for quality improvement and spend differences for a range of programme areas. These are based on comparing the CCGs within Birmingham and Solihull STP to the best / lowest 5 CCGs. A quantified unit is only shown when the opportunity is statistically significant. Disease Area Spend 000 Quality New cases of depression which have been reviewed Assessment of severity of depression at outset Completion of IAPT treatment (quarter) IAPT: % referrals with outcome measured (6 months) IAPT: % 'moving to recovery' rate (quarter) IAPT: % achieving 'reliable improvement' (quarter) Mental Health Problems (common) Emergency hospital admissions for self harm IAPT: % waiting <6 weeks for first treatment (6 month snapshots) No. of patients, life-years, referrals, etc. 468 92 833 59 90 128 427 31 Mental Health Problems (severe) Physical health checks for patients with SMI % Service users on CPA (end of quarter snapshot) Mental health hospital admissions People subject to mental health act (quarter) People on CPA in employment (end of quarter snapshot) Excess under 75 mortality rate in adults with serious mental illness % adults on CPA in settled accommodation (end of quarter snapshot) % of EIP referrals waiting >2 wks to start treatment (Incomplete) (5m) % of EIP referrals waiting <2 wks to start treatment (Complete) (5m) 1,015 1,309 185 161 52 81 284 20 4 19

Improvement opportunities This table presents opportunities for quality improvement and spend differences for a range of programme areas. These are based on comparing the CCGs within Birmingham and Solihull STP to the best / lowest 5 CCGs. A quantified unit is only shown when the opportunity is statistically significant. Disease Area Spend 000 Quality Mental Health Problems (dementia) % dementia deaths in usual place of residence (65+) % short stay emergency admissions aged 65+ with dementia Dementia diagnosis rate (65+) Rate of emergency admissions aged 65+ with dementia % of dementia patients with care reviewed No. of patients, life-years, referrals, etc. 177 566 1,352 978 69 Musculoskeletal System Problems (Excludes Trauma) Spend on elective and day-case admissions Spend on non-elective admissions Spend on primary care prescribing Spend on admissions relating to fractures where a fall occurred 7,022 MSK - Rate of bed days 831 % osteoporosis patients 50-74 treated with Bone Sparing Agent 933 % patients 75+ years with fragility fracture treated with BSA 996 Hip replacement, EQ-5D Index, average health gain Knee replacement, EQ-5D Index, average health gain Hip fractures in people aged 65+ Hip fractures in people aged 65-79 Hip fractures in people aged 80+ % fractured femur patients returning home within 28 days 7,439 15 77 182 209 115 30 44 185 Neurological System Problems Spend on elective and day-case admissions Spend on non-elective admissions Spend on primary care prescribing 135 Neurological - Rate of bed days 9,195 Emergency admission rate for children with epilepsy aged 0 17 years 1,636 Patients with epilepsy on drug treatment and convulsion free, 18+ 21,775 103 305 Note: Spend on admissions relating to fractures where a fall occurred is a sub-set of Trauma and Injuries non-elective spend and is not included in the spend for overall MSK non-elective admissions. This indicator as well as Rates of hip fractures, Emergency readmissions to hospital within 28 days for patients: hip fractures and % patients returning to usual place of residence following hospital treatment for fractured femur appear in the quality section of the improvement opportunities table for both Trauma & Injuries and MSK table. This is due to it being in the Trauma & Injury pathway as well as the Osteoporosis pathway. Opportunities for these five indicators have only contributed to the headline; Spend, Outcomes (and hence Spend and Outcomes ) for MSK only. 20

Improvement opportunities This table presents opportunities for quality improvement and spend differences for a range of programme areas. These are based on comparing the CCGs within Birmingham and Solihull STP to the best / lowest 5 CCGs. A quantified unit is only shown when the opportunity is statistically significant. Disease Area Spend 000 Quality Spend on elective and day-case admissions 393 Respiratory - Rate of bed days Spend on non-elective admissions 6,505 Mortality from asthma all ages Spend on primary care prescribing 2,587 Reported to estimated prevalence of COPD % of COPD patients with a record of FEV1 % of COPD patients with review (12 months) % patients (8yrs+) with asthma (variability or reversibility) Respiratory System Problems % asthma patients with review (12 months) Emergency admission rate for children with asthma, 0-19yrs % of COPD patients with a diagnosis confirmed by spirometry No. of patients, life-years, referrals, etc. 26,810 5 6,914 915 713 889 1,931 429 186 Trauma & Injuries Spend on elective and day-case admissions Spend on non-elective admissions Spend on primary care prescribing Spend on admissions relating to fractures where a fall occurred 607 Trauma and injuries - Rate of bed days 1,990 Mortality from accidents all ages 199 Injuries due to falls in people aged 65+ 996 Unintentional and deliberate injury admissions, 0-24yrs All fracture admissions in people aged 65+ Hip fractures in people aged 65+ Hip fractures in people aged 65-79 Hip fractures in people aged 80+ % fractured femur patients returning home within 28 days 14,118 97 1,151 149 439 115 30 44 185 21

How to read your STP pathways The following slides provide a more detailed look at 19 'Pathways on a page' for each CCG within the STP. The intention of these pathways is not to provide a definitive view, but to help commissioners explore potential opportunities. These slides help to understand how performance in one part of the pathway may affect outcomes further along the pathway. Each row in the matrix represents a CCG in your STP area and how it compares to its similar 10 CCGs across that pathway. The similar 10 CCGs are not necessarily in the same STP. These Pathways on a Page allow an STP to examine which programmes have common opportunities for several CCGs across the entire pathway, or for part of a pathway (such as primary care or detection) for several CCGs. Therefore, STPs may find it useful to scan the charts both horizontally and vertically. The key to the right shows how to interpret the coloured squares and arrows. The STP opportunities underneath each indicator name sum the CCG opportunities benchmarked against the average of the best 5 CCGs, unlike the coloured squares which benchmark against the average of the similar 10 CCGs. Opportunities are calculated for all RAG-rated indicators except for the stated exceptions. p q r s tu r s r s tu CCG is statistically significantly HIGHER CCG is statistically significantly LOWER CCG HIGHER but not statistically significant CCG LOWER but not statistically significant CCG is equal to benchmark CCG WORSE/HIGHER but not statistically significant CCG WORSE/LOWER but not statistically significant CCG BETTER/HIGHER but not statistically significant CCG BETTER/LOWER but not statistically significant CCG is equal to benchmark CCG is statistically significantly WORSE CCG is statistically significantly BETTER CCG has no published data for this indicator or value is suppressed due to small numbers 22

Breast cancer pathway 2015 2010 2012-14 2015/16 2014/15 2015/16 2014/15 2015/16 2006-2013 2015/16 2013 2012-14 2013 (2011) Deprivation Breast cancer prevalence Incidence of breast cancer Obesity prevalence, 16+ Breast cancer screening Primary care prescribing spend Urgent GP referrals (breast cancer) % first definitive treatment within 2 months (all cancer) Emergency presentations for breast cancer Elective spend Breast cancer detected at an early stage <75 Mortality from breast cancer 1 year survival (breast) STP opportunity (to Best 5) Birmingham Crosscity Birmingham South and Central Solihull 2,634 Ppl. 104 Pats. 15 Lives p r s q r p r p r p q q r s q q s q r s r q r s q p p s p r s r Note: We do not calculate potential opportunities for emergency presentations and one-year survival rates owing to missing information in published data. 23

Lower gastro-intestinal cancer pathway 2015 2010 2012-14 2015/16 2014/15 2014/15 2015/16 2006-2013 2015/16 2015/16 2013 2012-14 2013 (2011) Deprivation Colorectal cancer prevalence Incidence of colorectal cancer Obesity prevalence, 16+ Bowel cancer screening Urgent GP referrals (colorectal cancer) % first definitive treatment within 2 months (all cancer) Emergency presentations for colorectal cancer Elective spend Non-elective spend Lower GI cancer detected at an early stage <75 Mortality from colorectal cancer 1 year survival (colorectal) STP opportunity (to Best 5) Birmingham Crosscity p p and Central p q Solihull q r Birmingham South 4,744 Ppl. 104 Pats. r q q r q r s s s s q p r 83K 23 Pats. 21 Lives p r s p r r s r p s s s Note: We do not calculate potential opportunities for emergency presentations and one-year survival rates owing to missing information in published data. 24

Lung cancer pathway 2015 2010 2012-14 2015/16 2015/16 2014/15 2014/15 2015/16 2006-2013 2015/16 2015/16 2013 2012-14 2013 (2011) Deprivation Lung cancer prevalence Incidence of lung cancer Smoking prevalence, 18+ Obesity prevalence, 16+ Successful quitters, 16+ Urgent GP referrals (lung cancer) % first definitive treatment within 2 months (all cancer) Emergency presentations for lung cancer Elective spend Non-elective spend Lung cancer detected at an early stage <75 Mortality from lung cancer 1 year survival (lung) STP opportunity (to Best 5) Birmingham Crosscity p r and Central p q Solihull q r Birmingham South 264 Ppl. 104 Pats. s q q q s q s r q s q p q q 29 Pats. q s s s q r s s r r r Note: We do not calculate potential opportunities for emergency presentations and one -year survival rates owing to missing information in published data. 25

Severe mental illness pathway April 2016- April 2016-2015/16 Q4 2015 2012 2015/16 2015/16 2014/15 2015/16 Q2 2015/16 Q4 2015/16 Q4 2014/15 August 2016 August 2016 (Year End) Deprivation Estimate of people with a psychotic disorder People with SMI known to GPs: % on register Primary care prescribing spend Physical health checks % of EIP referrals waiting <2 wks to start treatment (Complete) % of EIP referrals waiting >2 wks to start treatment (Incomplete) New cases of psychosis served by Early Intervention teams People treated by Early Intervention Teams People on Care Programme Approach % Service users on CPA Mental health hospital admissions 2015/16 Q2 2015/16 Q2 2015/16 Q2 People subject to mental health act People on CPA in employment % adults on CPA in settled accommodatio n STP opportunity (to Best 5) Birmingham Crosscity p p p q r r q q q q r r and Central p p p q s r q p p q s Solihull q p q q s s s r p r r s Birmingham South 1,015 Pats. 4 Pats. 20 Pats. 1,309 Pats. 185 Adm. 161 Ppl. 52 Ppl. 284 Ppl. Note: There is variation in the quality of care coordination under CPA, meaning CCGs have not been ranked better/worse than their similar peers for these indicators. However, because it is recommended that more users should be offered CPA support, opportunity figures have been provided for % service users on CPA. 26

Common mental health disorders pathway 2015 2011 2014/15 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 Q4 2015/16 Q4 Oct 2015 - Mar 2016 Oct 2015 - Mar 2016 2015/16 Q4 2015/16 Q4 Deprivation % population with LLTI or disability Estimated prevalence of CMHD (% 16-74 pop) Depression prevalence 18+ New cases of depression which have been reviewed Antidepressant prescribing IAPT referrals: Rate aged 18+ IAPT: Rate beginning treatment IAPT: % waiting <6 weeks for first treatment IAPT: % referrals with outcome measured IAPT: % 'moving to recovery' rate IAPT: % achieving 'reliable improvement' STP opportunity (to Best 5) Birmingham Crosscity p q and Central p r Solihull q q Birmingham South 468 Pats. q q q q q q s q q q 31 Pats. 59 Pats. 90 Pats. 128 Pats. r s r Note: It isn t possible to robustly calculate an opportunity of number of additional people who should be referred into IAPT. 27

Dementia pathway 2014 2015/16 2015/16 Sep 2015 Aug 2016 2015/16 2015/16 2014/15 2014/15 2014/15 2014 2014 % physically inactive adults Smoking prevalence, 18+ Hypertension prevalence, 18+ Dementia prevalence 65+ Dementia diagnosis rate (65+) % new dementa diagnosis with blood test % dementia patients with care reviewed Ratio of Inpatient Service Use to Recorded Diagnoses Rate of % short stay emergency emergency admissions aged admissions aged 65+ with dementia 65+ with dementia 65+ mortality with dementia % dementia deaths in usual place of residence (65+) STP opportunity (to Best 5) Birmingham Crosscity s q and Central s s Solihull q p Birmingham South 1,352 Ppl. 69 Pats. q q r p q p r p q s r r 978 Adm. 566 Adm. 177 Deaths r s s r 28

Heart Disease pathway 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2013/14 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2012-14 2012-14 CHD prevalence Hypertension prevalence, 18+ Reported to estimated prevalence of CHD Reported to estimated prevalence of hypertension Smoking prevalence, 18+ Obesity prevalence, 16+ % CHD patients whose BP < 150/90 % CHD patients cholesterol < 5 mmol/l % hypertension patients whose BP < 150/90 Primary care prescribing spend Elective spend Non-elective spend <75 Mortality from CHD <75 Mortality from acute MI STP opportunity (to Best 5) Birmingham Crosscity q q and Central q q Solihull s q Birmingham South 3,939 Ppl. 12,399 Ppl. 619 Pats. 353 Pats. s q q s r r s p q s s 2,143 Pats. 827K 11 Lives s p q r s s p p r s r 29

Stroke pathway Jan-Mar Jan-Mar 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2016 2016 Jan-Mar 2016 2009/10-11/12 2014/15 2012-14 Stroke or TIA Prevalence, 18+ Smoking prevalence, 18+ Obesity prevalence, 16+ Reported to estimated prevalence of AF % stroke/tia patients whose BP < 150/90 % stroke/tia patients on antiplatelet or anticoagulan t High-risk AF patients on anticoagulati on therapy Primary care prescribing spend % who go direct to a stroke unit % who receive thrombolysis Patients 90% of time on stroke unit Elective spend Non-elective spend % treated by early supported discharge team Emergency readmission s within 28 days % patients returning home after treatment <75 Mortality from stroke STP opportunity (to Best 5) Birmingham Crosscity s q q s q s and Central r r r Solihull p p q s r r Birmingham South 847 Ppl. 427 Pats. 93 Pats. 894 Pats. 39 Pats. 44 Pats. 236K 65 Pats. 21 Adm. 133 Pats. q s s r q q r r r r s q s s s r s s s r s r s 30

Diabetes pathway 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2014/15 2015/16 2013/14 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 Diabetes prevalence, 17+ Obesity prevalence, 16+ % diabetes patients cholesterol < 5 mmol/l % diabetes patients HbA1c is <59 mmol/mol % diabetes patients whose BP < 140/80 % of diabetes patients receiving all three treatment targets % patients receiving foot examination Retinal screening % diabetes patients attending structured education Primary care prescribing spend Non-elective spend STP opportunity (to Best 5) Birmingham Crosscity r q and Central p r Solihull p q Birmingham South 1,102 Pats. 314 Pats. 3,518 Pats. 473 Pats. 619 Pats. 2,863 Pats. r s s s s s 260 Pats. 158K p s p r q 31

Renal pathway 2015/16 2015/16 2014/15 2014/15 2014/15 2015/16 2014/15 2015/16 2015/16 2012-14 2014 2014 Reported CKD prevalence Reported to estimated prevalence of CKD % CKD patients whose BP < 140/85 % on CKD register with hypertension & proteinuria treated with ACE-I or ARB Creatinine ratio test used in last 12 months Primary care prescribing spend Nephrology first outpatient attendance rate Elective spend Non-elective spend Acceptance rate for renal replacement therapy % home dialysis undertaken % of patients on RRT who have a transplant STP opportunity (to Best 5) Birmingham Crosscity q s and Central p r Solihull q s Birmingham South 3,987 Ppl. 1,829 Pats. 221 Pats. 1,193 Pats. q q q r r q q r r q p q 819K 83 Pats. 205 Pats. s p r r s s s s s 32

COPD pathway 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2012-14 COPD Prevalence Reported to estimated prevalence of COPD Smoking prevalence, 18+ % COPD patients diagnosis confirmed by spirometry % of COPD patients with a record of FEV1 % of COPD patients with review (12 months) Primary care prescribing spend Non-elective spend <75 mortality from bronchitis, emphysema and COPD STP opportunity (to Best 5) Birmingham Crosscity Birmingham South and Central Solihull q q q 6,914 Ppl. 186 Pats. 915 Pats. 713 Pats. 956K q q r s r q p r p s s 33

Asthma pathway 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2012-14 Asthma Prevalence % patients (8yrs+) with asthma (variability or reversibility) % asthma patients with review (12 months) Primary care prescribing spend Non-elective spend Emergency admission rate for children with asthma, 0-19yrs Mortality from asthma all yrs STP opportunity (to Best 5) Birmingham Crosscity Birmingham South and Central p p Solihull q s 889 Pats. 1,931 Pats. 438K 429 Adm. 5 Lives q q r q s s s r 34

Lower gastro-intestinal pathway 2015/16 2013/14-2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 (Snapshots for 4 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 months) 2013/14-2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2012-14 Smoking prevalence, 18+ Obesity prevalence, 16+ Reported Clostridium difficile cases Rate of hemorrhoid surgery % hemorrhoid surgeries which are day cases Rate of colonoscopies % 6+ week waits for a colonoscopy Primary care prescribing spend Elective spend Non-elective spend Rate of emergency colonoscopies Diverticular disease - Emergency admissions Gastroenteritis emergency admissions (0-4) Gastroenteritis emergency admissions (5+) <75 mortality from gastrointestina l disease STP opportunity (to Best 5) Birmingham Crosscity q q s q s q q q s and Central s r q s q q q r s Solihull p q s r q q q s r Birmingham South 55 Cases 594 Cases 605K 8 Pats. 110 Adm. 422 Adm. s Note: Colonoscopies are one of 15 key diagnostic tests which the NHS Constitution states less than 1% of patients should wait more than 6 weeks for. CCGs which achieve good performance compared to their peers may still be missing this target. CCGs are therefore advised to examine their waiting list times in greater detail, which are available at: https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/diagnostics-waiting-times-and-activity/monthly-diagnostics-waiting-times-and-activity/ 35

Upper gastro-intestinal pathway 2015/16 2015 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 (Snapshots for 4 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 (Provisional) months) Smoking prevalence, 18+ Obesity prevalence, 16+ Alcohol specific hospital admissions Rate of bariatric surgery Rate of gastroscopies Rate of gastroscopies (<40) % 6+ week waits for a gastroscopy Primary care prescribing spend Elective spend Non-elective spend Rate of emergency gastroscopies 2015/16 2015/16 2012-14 Upper GI bleeds - Emergency admissions Peptic ulcerations - Emergency admissions <75 mortality from gastrointestinal disease STP opportunity (to Best 5) Birmingham Crosscity Birmingham South and Central Solihull q s p 175 Adm. 730 Ppl. 369K 105 Adm. q p q q q q r p q q r q q q p r q q p r s s s s r s s Note: Gastroscopies are one of 15 key diagnostic tests which the NHS Constitution states less than 1% of patients should wait more than 6 weeks for. CCGs which achieve good performance compared to their peers may still be missing this target. CCGs are therefore advised to examine their waiting list times in greater detail, which are available at: https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/diagnostics-waiting-times-and-activity/monthly-diagnostics-waiting-times-and-activity/ 36

Liver disease pathway 2015/16 2015 (Provisional) 2011/12-2015/16 2011/12-2015/16 2015/16 2013/14-2015/16 2015/16 2012-14 2012-14 Obesity prevalence, 16+ Alcohol specific hospital admissions Rate added to liver transplant waiting list Liver transplant rate Non-elective spend Admissions for hep C related end-stage liver disease/hcc Alcoholic liver disease - Emergency admissions Liver cancer incidence <75 mortality from liver disease STP opportunity (to Best 5) Birmingham Crosscity Birmingham South and Central Solihull q r q 175 Adm. 167K 19 Adm. p p q r s r s r r r s s r r s Note: Many cases of liver cancer are linked to cirrhosis. Cirrhosis is commonly caused by heavy and harmful drinking, hepatit is C and the build-up of fat inside the tissue of the liver. Liver cancer incidence is therefore related to a number of other indicators in the pathway, meaning CCGs have been rat ed better/worse than their similar peers. However, to be consistent with other cancer incidence indicators, a quantified opportunity figure has not been provided. 37

Osteoporosis and fragility fractures pathway 2013/14-2013/14-2013/14-2014/15 2013/14 2015 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2014/15 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2014/15 2015/16 2015/16 GP registered pop >75 Rate of DEXA scan activity Primary care prescribing spend - bisphosphonat es Hip fractures in people aged 65+ Hip fractures in people aged 65-79 Hip fractures in people aged 80+ Mean length of stay for hip fractures Mean length of stay for hip fractures 65+ Elective spend Non-elective spend Spend on fracture admissions after a fall occurred % fractured femur patients returning home within 28 days Hip fracture emergency readmissions 28 days % osteoporosis patients 50-74 treated with Bone Sparing Agent % patients 75+ years with fragility fracture treated with BSA STP opportunity (to Best 5) Birmingham Crosscity p p q r r r p r r s and Central q s q s s s p p p r r s r Solihull p p q r r s p p p r s s s r s Birmingham South 115 Adm. 30 Adm. 44 Adm. 118K 996K 185 Pats. 15 Pats. 77 Pats. 38

Osteoarthritis pathway 2012/13 2012/13 2012/13 2012/13 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2014/15 2014/15 2015/16 2015/16 2014/15 2014/15 2009/10-11/12 % people (over 45) who have hip osteoarthritis (total) % people (over 45) who have knee osteoarthritis (total) % people (over 45) who have hip osteoarthritis (severe) % people (over 45) who have knee osteoarthritis (severe) Rate of hip replacements Rate of knee replacements Primary care prescribing spend Pre-treatment EQ-5D Index (hips) Pre-treatment EQ-5D Index (knees) Elective spend Non-elective spend EQ-5D Index health gain (hips) EQ-5D Index health gain (knees) Hip replacement emergency readmissions 28 days STP opportunity (to Best 5) Birmingham Crosscity s s and Central s s r r s s p r p s q q r s r r Solihull s q s s p p q p r Birmingham South 46K 182 QALYs 209 QALYs p s s s p r r s p s s 39

Trauma and injury pathway 2015/16 2012/13 2015/16 2013/14-2015/16 2013/14-2015/16 2013/14-2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2015/16 2014/15 2014/15 2012-14 Injuries due to falls in people aged 65+ Unintentional and deliberate injury admissions, 0-24yrs All fracture admissions in people aged 65+ Hip fractures in people aged 65+ Hip fractures in people aged 65-79 Hip fractures in people aged 80+ Primary care prescribing spend Elective spend Non-elective spend % fractured femur patients returning home within 28 days Hip fracture emergency readmissions 28 days Mortality from accidents all yrs STP opportunity (to Best 5) Birmingham Crosscity Birmingham South and Central Solihull 1,151 Adm. 149 Adm. 439 Ppl. 115 Adm. 30 Adm. 44 Adm. r q q r r s s s q p r r r s q q 1990K 185 Pats. 97 Lives r s s s s r 40

Maternity and early years pathway 2014/15 2015/16 2014/15 2010-14 2014/15 2013 2012-14 2014/15 2014/15 2014/15 2014/15 2015/16 2010/11-2014/15 2012/13-2014/15 2014/15 2012/13-14/15 % of delivery episodes where mother is <18 Flu vaccine take-up by pregnant women Smoking at time of delivery % of low birthweight babies (<2500g) Breastfeeding initiation (first 48 hrs) Neonatal Mortality and Stillbirths Infant mortality rate Emergency gastroenteriti s admissions rate for <1s Emergency LRTI admissions rate for <1s % receiving 3 doses of 5-in- 1 vaccine by age 2 A&E attendance rate for <5s Emergency admissions rate for <5s Unintentional & deliberate injury admissions for <5s % of children aged 4-5 who are overweight or obese % receiving 1 dose of MMR vaccine by age 2 Hospital admissions for dental caries (1-4 yrs) STP opportunity (to Best 5) r s Solihull s r s Birmingham Crosscity Birmingham South and Central 39 Cases 1,341 Cases 228 Cases 169 Cases 43 Lives 40 Lives 41 Adm. r r r r r r r s 192 Adm. 476 Cases 3,908 Pats. 2,817 Adm. 76 Adm. 220 Cases 893 Cases r s 41

Next steps and actions STP areas can take the following steps now: Identify the priority programmes in your locality and compare against current improvement activity and plans Look at the focus packs on the NHS RightCare website for those areas which are a priority for your locality Engage with clinicians and other local stakeholders, including public health teams in local authorities and commissioning support organisations and explore the priority opportunities further using local data Refer to the pages on coordinated re-allocation of capacity and discuss the wider opportunities highlighted in this pack as part of the STP planning process and consider STP wide action Revisit the NHS RightCare website regularly as new content, including updates to tools to support the use of the Commissioning for Value packs, is regularly added Discuss next steps with your local NHS RightCare Delivery Partner. If you don t know who your Delivery Partner is, please email rightcare@nhs.net 42

Further support and information The Commissioning for Value benchmarking tool, explorer tool, full details of all the data used, and links to other useful tools are available on the NHS RightCare website. Links are shown on the next page. The NHS RightCare website also offers resources to support local health economies in adopting the Commissioning for Value approach. These include: Focus packs for the highest spending programmes covered in this pack Online videos and how to guides Case studies with learning from other CCGs If you have any questions or require any further information or support you can email the Commissioning for Value support team direct at: england.healthinvestmentnetwork@nhs.net 43

Useful links NHS RightCare website: https://www.england.nhs.uk/rightcare Commissioning for Value packs and products: https://www.england.nhs.uk/rightcare/intel/cfv/ NHS RightCare casebooks: https://www.england.nhs.uk/rightcare/resources/ Five Year Forward View: https://www.england.nhs.uk/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/5yfv-web.pdf NHS shared planning guidance for 2017/18-2018/19: https://www.england.nhs.uk/ourwork/futurenhs/deliver-forward-view/ 44

How have the potential opportunities been calculated? The potential opportunity at CCG level highlights the scale of change that would be achieved if the CCG value moved to the benchmark value of the average of the Best 5 or Lowest 5 CCGs in its group of similar 10 CCGs. Generally, where a high CCG value is considered worse then it is calculated using the formula: Potential Opportunity = (CCG Value Benchmark Value) * Denominator The denominator is the most suitable population data for that indicator eg CCG registered population, CCG weighted population, CCG patients on disease register etc. The denominator is also scaled to match the Value. So if the CCG Value and Benchmark Value are given in per 1,000 population then the denominator is expressed in thousands, ie 12,000 becomes 12. For an indicator, adding the statistically significant opportunities from the CCG packs gives the opportunity for the STP presented in this pack. 45

The NHS RightCare programme The NHS RightCare programme is about improving population-based healthcare, through focusing on value and reducing unwarranted variation. It includes the Commissioning for Value packs and tools, the NHS Atlas series, and the work of the Delivery Partners. The approach has been tested and proven successful in recent years in a number of different health economies. As a programme it focuses relentlessly on value, increasing quality and releasing funds for reallocation to address future demand. NHS England has committed significant funding to rolling out the RightCare approach. All CCGs are now working with an NHS RightCare Delivery Partner. We have also aligned Delivery Partners to STP footprints to better support the system. For more information visit: https://www.england.nhs.uk/rightcare 46

NHS RightCare and Commissioning for Value Commissioning for Value is a partnership between NHS RightCare and Public Health England. It provides the first phase of the NHS RightCare approach - Where to Look. The approach begins with a review of indicative data to highlight the top priorities or opportunities for transformation and improvement. Value opportunities exist where a health economy is an outlier and will most likely yield the greatest improvement to clinical pathways and policies. Phases two and three then move on to explore What to Change and How to Change. 47