This Brief is Classified: NORAD and USNORTHCOM Theater Strategy Robert J. Felderman Brigadier General, USA Deputy Director, Plans, Policy & Strategy
Purpose The QDR emphasizes the need for a campaign planning construct to meet emerging planningrelated requirements: Ability to shift from responsive action to early preventive measures to stop problems from becoming conflicts or crisis Ability to holistically organize, integrate, and prioritize wide array of steady state operations and activities Ability to better address early preventive measures across the range of a combatant command s responsibilities and missions The NORAD and USNORTHCOM Theater Strategy, as part of the campaign planning construct, captures the broad, overarching ends, ways and means to be detailed in the campaign plan 2
Strategy Development International (SPP) Domestic (CS, TSC) Adversaries (Challenge) Influence N-NC Vision 2020 Operationalize Shape NC Mission Analysis N-NC/J5 Advisory Group GEF National Policy National Strategy Family of Plans NORAD CONPLAN 3310 NORAD and USNORTHCOM Theater Strategy Operationalized Vision Enduring Ends, Changing Ways, Evolving Means Bridge to Theater Campaign plan 3
Strategy to Plan The NORAD and USNORTHCOM Theater Strategy incorporates the vision and articulates long-term goals, clear themes and messages for the detailed and executable campaign plan The campaign plan provides: a vehicle to ensure a combatant commander s activities and operations across an AOR or functions are integrated and synchronize to convey clear and consistent messages to both our friends and allies The Guidance for Employment of the Force The campaign plan is the centerpiece of the planning construct and should be the first plan a commander brings to the SecDef for review under the Adaptive Planning in-progress review (IPR) process 4
National Strategy Guides Contingency Plans National Strategy Operation Planning Crisis Planning NSHS NSHS NORAD NORAD NSS NSS NMS NMS HSPD HSPD 8 8 NRF NRF BDD BDD NIMS NIMS UCP UCP JSCP JSCP STRAT STRAT PLANS PLANS STRAT STRAT PLANS PLANS STRAT STRAT PLANS PLANS GEF GEF STRAT STRAT TCP TCP CON CON PLANS PLANS CON CON PLANS PLANS CON CON PLANS PLANS CON CON PLANS PLANS CON CON PLANS PLANS STANDING EXORDs PSMAs EXORDs OPORDs ESTMs RFFs 5
Where Does the Campaign Plan Fit? Contingency Plans Level of Military Effort Theater Campaign Plan Seizing the Initiative Activities Dominating Activities Stabilizing Activities Enabling Civil Authority Activities Theater Campaign Plan Shaping Deterring Activities Shaping Shaping Activities Theater Shaping Global Shaping Theater Campaign Plan Shape Phase 0 Deter Phase I Seize the Initiative Phase II Dominate Phase III Phases Stabilize Phase IV Enable Civil Authority Phase V Shape Phase 0 6
Theater Campaign Plan Environment (U) Civil Support Level of Effort Homeland Defense Theater Campaign Plan -- Phase 0 Time Phase I Phase II Phase III Phase IV Phase V 7
Planning Challenges Legal authorities in the Homeland Homeland Defense Deterrence a key component Integrating the Instruments of National Power Integrated Planning System in development Response oriented Supporting the supporting Federal agency Response times are short Expectations of the American public are high 8
Civil Support Planning Challenges Who is Primary Federal Agency? What type of response is required? When will incident happen? Where is support required? How do we best support? How do we provide the support necessary/requested not a moment too soon but not a second too late? Level of USNORTHCOM response dependent on local, tribal, State and Federal responses 9
Civil Support Planning Solutions Contingency plans that provide a framework based on what we know Coordination and initial assessment Scalable C2 Tiered response Phased operation Adaptive planning and execution process provides response based on specific incident Coordination points across mission partners Process to refine CONPLAN as details become available Success of USNORTHCOM response dependent on flexibility and coordination with mission partners 10
IPS Background Direction for the Integrated Planning System (IPS) set forth in Annex I, National Planning, to Homeland Security Presidential Directive 8, National Preparedness). The purpose of the IPS is to further enhance the preparedness of the United States by formally establishing a standard and comprehensive approach to national planning. The IPS is the first step in standardizing homeland security planning. 11
IPS Purpose IPS is meant to provide guidance for conducting planning in accordance with the Homeland Security Management System (HSMS), described in the National Strategy for Homeland Security of 2007. The Strategy calls for a national effort to create and transform homeland security principles, systems, structures and institutions across four key pillars of homeland security: Prevent and disrupt terrorist attacks Protect the American people, our critical infrastructure, and key resources Respond to and recover from incidents that do occur Continue to strengthen the foundation to ensure our longterm success 12
IPS Fundamental Concepts Understanding several key fundamental concepts is important to ensure effective use and implementation of the IPS: The IPS has been developed recognizing that homeland security planning is based on coordination and synchronization rather than command and control The IPS applies to Federal departments and agencies with a role in homeland security when conducting scenario-based planning State, local, and Tribal governments are encouraged to comply with IPS by using the Comprehensive Preparedness Guide The IPS establishes a process for developing Federal plans The IPS is not designed to solve every planning problem 13
IPS Structure National Planning Scenarios Strategic Guidance Statements Federal Strategic Plans Federal CONPLANs V E R T I C A L Regional, State, Tribal, Local Plans Developed by DHS Focused on risk-based planning Grouped into eight scenario sets Outlines strategic priorities, broad national objectives Describes the envisioned end state Defines mission, roles, authorities, and responsibilities Establishes mission-essential tasks Describes the process for integrating and synchronizing existing Federal capabilities to accomplish the mission-essential tasks Describes how Federal capabilities will be integrated into regional, State, Tribal, and local plans Federal Agency OPLANs Developed by Federal agency heads Details resources, assets, and personnel needed to implement strategic guidance Provides a full description of the concept of operation including roles, tasks, responsibilities, integration, and actions HORIZONTAL INTEGRATION Tactical Plans Developed by federal agency head Identifies individual task & actions Supports the objectives of the OPLAN USNORTHCOM CONPLANs Component supporting plans
IPS Scenario Sets Scenario Sets Explosives Attack Bombing Using Improvised Explosives Devices National Planning Scenarios Scenario 12: Explosives Attack Bombing Using Improvised Explosive Device (IED) Nuclear Attack Radiological Attack - RDD Biological Attack with annexes for different pathogens Chemical Attack - with annexes for different agents Natural Disasters with different annexes for different disasters Scenario 01: Nuclear Detonation Improvised Nuclear Device (IND) Scenario 11: Radiological Attack Radiological Dispersal Devices (RDD) Scenario 02: Biological Attack Aerosol Anthrax Scenario 04: Biological Attack Pneumonic Plague Scenario 13: Biological Attack Food Contamination Scenario 14: Biological Attack Foreign Animal Disease (FAD) Scenario 05: Chemical Attack Blister Agent Scenario 06: Chemical Attack Toxic Industrial Chemicals (TIC) Scenario 07: Chemical Attack Nerve Agent Scenario 08: Chemical Attack Chlorine Tank Explosion Scenario 09: Natural Disaster Major Earthquake Scenario 10: Natural Disaster Major Hurricane Cyber Attack Pandemic Influenza Scenario 15: Cyber Attack Scenario 03: Biological Disease Outbreak Pandemic Influenza 15
IPS Plans & DOD Planning DHS Strategic Guidance Statement DHS & Federal Interagency Planning Federal Strategic Plan Federal Interagency CONPLAN Federal Agency OPLAN Agency, State, Regional Tactical Plan Level of Detail Increases DOD & USNORTHCOM Planning Strategic Guidance USNORTHCOM CONPLAN Functional Component Cdr OPLAN OPORD Contingency Planning to Crisis Action Planning 16
N-NC Long, Near, Current Planning This is what we should do Command Executive Group Prioritize Planning Efforts and Provide Direction/Guidance NORAD-USNORTHCOM Battle Staff Long Term Planning Near Term Planning Current Operations and Exercises Future Plans Center (FPC/J5) Campaign Plan OPLANS CONPLAN Long-Term Exercise Development J7 Hand Off Future Ops Center (NC FOC/J35) Hand Off Future Ops Center (N FOC/J35/J33) Based on Emerging Situation: -Adjust OPORD,OPLAN -Update Estimate -Refine CCIR, ROE/RUF -Prepare RFFs -Issue Orders (EXORD -Develop DP, DST, branch plans, and contingencies Near-Term Exercises (NC J37) Regular synchronization must occur between long, near, and current ops/ex leadership to ensure unity of effort. Hand Off NC J33 NJ33 N2C2 -Synchronize and coordinate current operations and exercises. -Monitor/assess/direct actions for short terms events. -Receive and send reports. -Participate (and when required) lead current ops planning efforts. -(when required) issue MODs and FRAGORDs -Monitor CCIR, DP, DST and 17 recommend adjustments.
Crisis Action Planning WO Executive Direction 1 Situational Understanding WO Commander s Assessment CDR s Assessment 2 Mission WO Analysis & Running Estimate Define the problem 3 4 Course of Action Development Solutions Submit 5 Receive CDR s Estimate (MA + COA + RFF) CJCS EXORD Drives CJCS EXORD Authority 6 NC EXORD Intent/Orders/Guidance 7 Monitor Situation 8 (Running Estimate) Maintain S/A WARNORD (WO) Used to inform subordinates & parallel planning Modification (MOD) Updates: Situation Authorities Intent/Guidance Tasks NC MOD to NC EXORD CJCS MOD to CJCS EXORD Publish MOD SecDef Approval (if Req d) MOD CYCLE Situation Changes Process Requests (MAs/RFAs RFFs) Goal: Rhythmic Daily MOD 18