Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority

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Transcription:

Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority Rubén Hernández Gregorat, MEM, PE Executive Director February 26, 2010

Disclaimer Today s presentation includes certain statements that are not historical in nature but reflect forecasts and forward-looking statements, for example, statements regarding anticipated future financial and operating performance and results, including estimates for growth. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These statements are based on the Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority s current beliefs regarding future events, and are based upon a number of estimates and assumptions that are subject to significant uncertainties, many of which are outside the control of the Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority, Government Development Bank for Puerto Rico, the Government of Puerto Rico and its agencies and instrumentalities. This presentation is not an Official Statement and does not constitute an offer to sell or to purchase bonds, nor a solicitation of an offer to sell or to purchase bonds in the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, the United States, or in any jurisdiction where such offer, solicitation or sale may be unlawful. This presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or to participate in any particular trading.

Agenda 1 Introduction 2 Overview 3 Financial Situation 4 Management Initiatives 5 Major Projects 6 Concluding Remarks

Introduction Credit Quality Remains Stable Large and diverse revenue stream Traffic patterns have remained stable during recession Bondholders benefit from a gross revenue pledge, toll revision authority and adequate debt service coverage Management Initiatives Targeting Restoration of Fiscal Balance Authority has scaled back its capital spending to align it with available resources Successful implementation of expense efficiencies, as seen in FY2009 and first semester of FY2010 3

Agenda 1 Introduction 2 Overview 3 Financial Situation 4 Management Initiatives 5 Major Projects 6 Concluding Remarks

Overview of the Authority Mission Provide the people of Puerto Rico with the best roads and means of transportation Expedite the movement of people and goods Relieve congestion on interstate roads Assist in the continued economic development and growth of Puerto Rico Key Responsibilities Comprehensive responsibilities include planning, design, land acquisition, construction and major reconstruction of islandwide highway system Authority operates and maintains 174 miles of toll roads plus 33 miles of connecting roads and free expressways, and the Tren Urbano Operation of bus service in San Juan metropolitan area through private operators 5

Strategic Network with Few Competing Alternatives PR-22 (& Extension) PR-5 PR-20 PR-66 (Phase I & II) PR-52 Significant Corporate Facility Existing toll Toll road Road Future toll Toll road Road PR-53 (& Extension) The Authority s toll road network provides substantial benefits to travelers in terms of convenience, time, and safety over alternative free routes 6

Agenda 1 Introduction 2 Overview 3 Financial Situation 4 Management Initiatives 5 Major Projects 6 Concluding Remarks

Large and Diverse Revenue Base Pledged Revenues - FY2009 ($MM) Taxes $325.9 57% Tolls $206.5 36% DSRF Income $38.6 7% Toll Revenues by Road - FY2009 ($MM) PR-52 $76.7 37% PR-53 $17.4 8% PR-66 $19.7 10% PR-22 $85.7 42% PR-20 $2.7 1% PR-5 $4.2 2% Total = $571.0 Million* Total = $206.5 Million* Authority s revenues are diverse, including tolls generated on the island-wide system, petroleum products taxes, motor vehicle license fees and taxes on diesel and fuel oil 8 *Totals may not add up due to rounding

Toll Revenues Increased by 2.7% During First Semester of FY2010 Toll Revenues: Actual FY2005 2009 & Projected FY2010 2012 ($MM) 300 23.5% compound annual growth FY 2005-2007 -3% compound annual growth FY 2007-2009 2.6% projected compound annual growth FY 2010-2012 250 200 150 43% avg. toll increase Sept. 2005 $144 14 2 $190 1 2 19 3 78 $220 $213 4 $206 $212 $217 $223 2 5 5 4 3 21 4 4 3 3 3 20 17 18 19 19 17 20 19 20 20 20 84 80 77 79 80 82 3 100 60 50 68 86 92 87 86 88 91 93 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Proj. 2011 Proj. 2012 Proj. 9 PR-22 PR-52 PR-66 PR-53 PR-20 PR-5 Toll road usage in Puerto Rico has been modestly affected by the recession; of the $14 million decline during FY2009 and FY2008, $2 million is due to the 5-cent toll reduction in electronic toll lanes Revenues from toll facilities opened in 2006 (PR-66 and PR-5) have grown steadily and represented 11.6% of total revenues in FY2009 *Totals may not add up due to rounding

150 100 Full Effect of Expense Reduction Initiatives Will be Seen in FY2010 (22% Reduction) Operating and Capitalized Expenses: Actual FY2005 2009 & Projected FY2010 ($MM) 400 11.2% compound annual growth FY 2005-2009 350 $289 $297 300 $264 3 18 14 8 250 12 6 $209 100 103 200 45 103 118 103 116 111 $319 35 21 112 $249 18 83 101 106 22% projected decline in FY 2010 50 0 46 40 51 62 51 42 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Proj. Operations & Maintenance Capitalized Expenses ATI (Tren Urbano and Metrobus) Electronic Tolling Other Expense increases from FY2005 2009 were primarily due to Tren Urbano and Autoexpreso; excluding ATI and Electronic Tolling FY2009 Other expenses are a one-time expense related to a lawsuit ($35 million accrued legal claims); excluding other expenses, total operating and capitalized expenses declined by 3% in FY2009 Actual expenses for the first semester of FY2010 are in line with projections 10 *Totals may not add up due to rounding

FY2010 Expense Reduction Driven by Successful Implementation of Initiatives During FY2009 Expense efficiency initiatives implemented during second semester of FY2009 Cancellation of professional services contracts completed on June 30, 2009 Elimination of vacant positions, reduced trust positions by 30% and substantially reduced overtime Amendments to service contract of the Tren Urbano Reduction of approximately $21 million in O&M and capitalized expenses in FY2009 Total operating and capitalized expenses for FY2010 are projected at approximately $249 million, a 22% decrease from FY2009 Full effect of expense reductions implemented during FY2009 will be reflected in FY2010 Further management initiatives are under way to achieve other substantial expense reductions in FY 2010 11

Results of First Semester of Fiscal Year 2010 (Net Improvement of $11.9 Million) Revenues FY 2009 FY 2010 Difference ($MM) Jul - Dec Jul - Dec $ % Gasoline 87.6 87.8 0.2 0.2% Diesel Oil 8.7 5.9-2.8-32.4% Vehicle License Fees 15.5 14.8-0.7-4.6% Toll Roads 103.0 105.8 2.8 2.7% Petroleum Tax 50.8 47.9-2.9-5.7% Interest Earned 20.4 19.5-1.0-4.7% Train Fares 5.5 5.6 0.0 0.9% Impact Fees & Other 6.9 2.2-4.6-67.4% Total 298.4 289.4-9.0-3.0% Total revenues experienced modest decline of 3% during the first semester of FY2010 as compared to the same period of FY2009 Decline in revenues was more than offset by a reduction in expenses Operating & Capitalized Expenses FY 2009 FY 2010 Difference ($MM) Jul - Dec Jul - Dec $ % Toll Road O&M 26.0 19.7-6.4-24.5% Capitalized Expenses 52.7 43.8-8.9-16.9% ATI 44.6 45.0 0.5 1.0% ATM 0.2 0.0-0.2-100.0% Electronic Tolling 6.9 3.2-3.7-53.8% Other 11.4 9.4-2.1-18.0% Total 141.9 121.0-20.8-14.7% Substantial reduction of almost 15% in capitalized and operating expenses achieved during first six months of FY2010 as compared to the same period of FY2009 12 *Totals may not add up due to rounding

The Authority Continues to Maintain Adequate Debt Service Coverage Levels for Bondholders Current Ratings (S&P / Moody s): Highway Revenue Bonds BBB+ / Baa2 Sr. Transportation Revenue Bonds BBB / Baa3 Sub. Transportation Revenue Bonds BBB- / Baa3 ($MM) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 1968 Resolution Proj. FY2010 Toll Revenues 202.9 193.5 186.8 188.9 Gas Tax, Diesel and Gas Oil Tax, License Fees 231.2 226.8 224.6 220.9 Investment Income 9.6 8.5 7.7 7.8 1968 Resolution Pledged Revenues 443.7 428.8 419.0 417.6 1968 Resolution Debt Service 124.9 129.0 129.9 136.9 1968 Resolution Coverage Ratio 3.6x 3.3x 3.2x 3.1x 1998 Resolution Excess 1968 Resolution Revenues 318.7 299.7 289.1 280.7 Petroleum Products Tax 102.8 99.0 101.3 100.3 PR-66 Tolls 17.1 19.2 19.7 20.4 Investment Income 14.2 18.8 16.1 21.7 1998 Resolution Pledged Revenues 452.8 436.8 426.2 423.1 1998 Resolution Senior Debt Service 206.4 227.0 242.7 269.9 1998 Resolution Senior Coverage Ratio 2.2x 1.9x 1.8x 1.6x 1998 Resolution Subordinate Debt Service 28.3 30.4 30.3 30.3 Debt Service on Interim Financing 13.7 16.0 25.7 21.3 1998 Resolution Senior & Sub Coverage Ratio 1.8x 1.6x 1.4x 1.3x Aggregate Income 577.7 565.8 556.1 560.0 Aggregate Debt Service 373.4 402.4 428.6 458.5 13 Aggregate Coverage Ratio 1.5x 1.4x 1.3x 1.2x

Agenda 1 Introduction 2 Overview 3 Financial Situation 4 Management Initiatives 5 Major Projects 6 Concluding Remarks

Management Initiatives That Have Been Implemented to Ensure Fiscal Balance Cancel or postpone contracts in the capital plan that are in the design or planning stages and are funded by local funds Reduces future bond issuance Projects could be completed in the future, depending on available funding Maximize federal funds by amending existing laws By complying with federal laws on drinking age, open containers, repeat offenders, and suspended licenses would increase federal funding Law 192 (reduced blood alcohol level allowed for minors from.08% to.02%) was approved on December 22, 2009 and resulted in additional $11.5 million of federal funds received annually, which increase the Authority s capital improvement program by up to $14.4 million Open containers law is currently under legislative review ($3.4 million of federal funds) Annual reduction of $13.5 million in ATI expenses beginning in FY2010 due to modifications to the Tren Urbano management contract 15

Management Initiatives in Process of Implementation Organizational restructuring completed by December 31, 2009 represents savings of $7.5 million per year Additional measures are in process of implementation Reduce toll leakage Modernizing tolling equipment to reduce toll leakage should result in ~$15-20 million in savings per year Successful implementation of Autoexpreso has reduced congestion and improved service; 40% of all toll transactions are now collected electronically Metrobus II Authority is evaluating alternatives under Law 148 with a decision expected by June 2010 Participation of private sector to take over existing and new bus routes that will reduce operations and maintenance expenses 16

Capital Improvement Program Designed to Optimize Use of Available Funds FY 2010-14 CIP Investments ($MM) 17 Improvements to Project Delivery Value-engineering reviews help to reduce project costs Minimizing change orders: Construction contracts awarded only after all right-of-ways have been obtained. Helps reduce time impact claims Better up-front utility coordination, particularly with PREPA, avoids delays that added to project costs More realistic schedules CIP has been adjusted downward reflecting reduced availability of revenues for capital purposes Current 5 year plan is approximately $1.1 billion and focuses on optimal CIP investments Approximately $300 million in investments are scheduled for FY2010 More manageable project list with 60 projects pared down from over 95 projects previously Roadway Construction, Bridges, Safety & Signing 812.6 75% FY 2010 CIP Investments ($MM) Roadway Construction, Bridges, Safety & Signing 200.6 66% ARRA 145.8 14% ARRA 73.3 24% Enhancements 11.0 1% Tren Urbano 28.1 3% Design & Enviromental 37.0 3% Right of Way 41.8 4% Enhancements 4.9 2% Tren Urbano 8.5 3% Design & Enviromental 8.0 3% Right of Way 7.0 2%

The Authority was Highly Ranked by FHWA for Its Management of ARRA Funds Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) The Authority has identified 22 projects to be funded by ARRA funds 15 projects are under construction, 6 are in bidding process, and one is in design phase $5.9 million in ARRA funds have been spent through January 2010 Federal Transportation Authority (FTA) $40.8 million in ARRA funds for Authority s transportation projects Projects Funded by ARRA ($MM) Type Est. Cost Local Match Bid Released Islandwide Pavement Rehabilitation 1 FHWA 55.4 0.8 42.1 Mayaguez West Bypass PR-102, Stage 3 FHWA 15.5 1.4 15.5 Replacement of Bridge No. 763, PR-2, Aguadilla FHWA 7.4 0.1 7.4 Conversion to Expressway PR-2, Stage 6, Phase II, Ponce FHWA 25.7 0.0 25.7 Landslide Correction, Highway PR-173 Cidra FHWA 0.4 0.0 0.4 Bearing Repairs Bridge No. 1875, Martinez Nadal Expressway, PR-20, Guaynabo FHWA 0.6 0.0 0.6 Environmentally Friendly Bus Acquisition for MBA FTA 22.5 n/a n/a Environmentally Friendly Bus Acquisition for Tren Urbano Feeder System FTA 2.6 n/a n/a Operating Assistance for Tren Urbano FTA 1.2 n/a n/a Power Saving, Ticket Vending Improvements and Security Cameras for Tren Urbano FTA 2.0 n/a n/a Preventive Maintenance for Tren Urbano FTA 2.2 n/a n/a Purchase of Buses for Metrobus I, Metrobus II and Metrobus Express FTA 6.0 n/a n/a Municipal Transit Projects FTA 4.3 n/a n/a Total 145.8 2.3 91.8 1 The project that is in design phase is included under Estimated Cost but not under Bid Released. 18 *Totals may not add up due to rounding

Agenda 1 Introduction 2 Overview 3 Financial Situation 4 Management Initiatives 5 Major Projects 6 Concluding Remarks

Strategic Initiatives Public-Private Partnerships Concessions of PR-22, PR-52 and PR-66 toll roads Brownfield and greenfield opportunities Debt reduction Surface Transportation Infrastructure Bus rapid transit (BRT) San Juan light rail system 20

PR-22 José de Diego Highway Objective Establish a long-term concession agreement for PR-22 (José de Diego Highway) A concession may provide more efficient operations while expanding capacity for capital improvements The Authority has the long-term objective of completing a high-capacity comprehensive beltway around Puerto Rico Background PR-22 is Puerto Rico s most traveled highway, representing 41% of HTA toll revenues It spans 52 miles (83.7 kilometers) from east to west in northern Puerto Rico Consists of one continuous route from the City of San Juan to the city of Arecibo, serving 12 municipalities with an estimated population base of 1.2 million Runs through a prominent pharmaceutical and manufacturing corridor Some areas of this highway see average annual daily traffic in excess of 200,000 21

PR-52 Luis A. Ferré Highway Objective Establish a long-term concession agreement for PR-52 (Luis A. Ferré Highway) Background PR-52 is Puerto Rico s longest toll road, representing 37% of HTA toll revenues It spans 67 miles (108 kilometers) from northeast to southwest in Puerto Rico Consists of one continuous route from the City of San Juan (metro population of 2.4 million) to the city of Ponce, the second largest city in Puerto Rico Quasi monopoly route running North to South due to lack of alternative routes Contains 9 toll plazas and ramps, including Caguas Norte toll plaza, currently the highest tolled and highest revenue making toll plaza in the system PR-52 serves 15 municipalities with an estimated population base of 1.2 million 22

PR-66 Roberto Sánchez Vilella Expressway Objective Establish a hybrid long-term concession agreement that integrates the brownfield and greenfield components Better serve economic activity in the eastern region Facilitate connectivity to southeastern part of the Island Background The only expressway to the eastern region of the Island Has the widest bridges in Puerto Rico Runs parallel to PR-3, which suffers traffic lights and congestion Saves between 25 minutes to 1 hour of travel time relative to PR-3 23

Surface Transportation Infrastructure Improving surface transportation will lead to increased economic development by: Reducing congestion and improving travel times and mobility Enhancing access to currently underserved areas Promoting new development and redevelopment of areas near mass transit network BRT Bayamón / Toa Baja Estimated cost: $50 million; Phase: Design BRT San Juan / Caguas Estimated cost: $365 million; Phase: Design BRT San Juan / Carolina Estimated cost: $400 million; Phase: Planning San Juan Light Rail System Estimated cost: $365 million; Phase: Planning 24

Agenda 1 Introduction 2 Overview 3 Financial Situation 4 Management Initiatives 5 Major Projects 6 Concluding Remarks

Concluding Remarks The highway and transportation system is essential to the economic well-being of Puerto Rico Diversified sources of revenues Authority s revenues are a strong mix of gasoline taxes, petroleum taxes, vehicle license fees and toll revenues from island-wide system of roads Bondholders benefit from a gross revenue pledge Adequate debt service coverage Successful implementation of expense reduction initiatives 14.7% decrease during 1 st semester of FY2010 vs. FY2009 CIP refocused on strengthening the strategic network Selected major projects are under way to strengthen network and partner with private sector to help achieve fiscal balance and a better road system 26

Disclaimer Today s presentation includes certain statements that are not historical in nature but reflect forecasts and forward-looking statements, for example, statements regarding anticipated future financial and operating performance and results, including estimates for growth. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These statements are based on the Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority s current beliefs regarding future events, and are based upon a number of estimates and assumptions that are subject to significant uncertainties, many of which are outside the control of the Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority, Government Development Bank for Puerto Rico, the Government of Puerto Rico and its agencies and instrumentalities. This presentation is not an Official Statement and does not constitute an offer to sell or to purchase bonds, nor a solicitation of an offer to sell or to purchase bonds in the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, the United States, or in any jurisdiction where such offer, solicitation or sale may be unlawful. This presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or to participate in any particular trading.