Transportation and warehousing

2016 SECTOR SPOTLIGHT NAICS 48-49 Transportation and warehousing Report Contents What is this industry sector? STATISTICS CANADA DEFINITION SECTOR STRUCTURE How does this sector stack up in Ottawa? OTTAWA DASHBOARD HIGHLIGHTS Sector Employment (Jobs) REGIONAL TRENDS (5-year Job Growth - Ottawa vs. Ontario vs. Canada) 2016 EMPLOYMENT A SUBSECTOR VIEW 2016 EMPLOYMENT SNAPSHOT INDUSTRY GROUPS JOB NUMBERS BY INDUSTRY GROUP (Past 5 years and 3-year outlook) KEY OCCUPATIONS IN THE SECTOR Sector Self-Employment SECTOR AT A GLANCE A CLOSER LOOK AT SHARE OF SELF-EMPLOYMENT Sector Business & Employer Counts SECTOR AT A GLANCE BUSINESS COUNTS AT INDUSTRY GROUP LEVEL Online Supply & Demand ONLINE JOB POSTINGS ONLINE JOB SEEKER PROFILES In the News JOB GAINS, JOB LOSSES, AND TRENDS/PROJECTIONS Sample Report Industry Summaries Note on geography: This report looks at data for the Ottawa Census subdivision. Census subdivision (CSD) is the general term for municipalities (as determined by provincial/territorial legislation). Local Employment Planning Council 2016 SECTOR SPOTLIGHT (Published August 2017) 1

What is this industry sector? STATISTICS CANADA DEFINITION This sector comprises establishments primarily engaged in transporting passengers and goods, warehousing and storing goods, and providing services to these establishments. The modes of are road (trucking, transit and ground passenger), rail, water, air and pipeline. These are further subdivided according to the way in which businesses in each mode organize their establishments. National post office and courier establishments, which also transport goods, are included in this sector. Warehousing and storage establishments are subdivided according to the type of service and facility that is operated. Many of the establishments in this sector are structured as networks, with activities, workers, and physical facilities distributed over an extensive geographic area. SECTOR STRUCTURE Below we show this sector s 11 subsectors (3-digit level), as well as the 4-digit level Industry Groups that will be explored in this report. SUBSECTOR NAICS 481 Air 4811 Scheduled air 4812 Non-scheduled air SUBSECTOR NAICS 482 Rail 4821 Rail SUBSECTOR NAICS 483 Water 4831 Deep sea, coastal and Great Lakes water 4832 Inland water SUBSECTOR NAICS 484 Truck 4841 General freight trucking 4842 Specialized freight trucking Local Employment Planning Council 2016 SECTOR SPOTLIGHT (Published August 2017) 2

SUBSECTOR NAICS 485 Transit and ground passenger 4851 Urban transit systems 4852 Interurban and rural bus 4853 Taxi and limousine service 4854 School and employee bus 4855 Charter bus industry 4859 Other transit and ground passenger SUBSECTOR NAICS 486 Pipeline 4861 Pipeline of crude oil 4862 Pipeline of natural gas 4869 Other pipeline SUBSECTOR NAICS 487 Scenic and sightseeing 4871 Scenic and sightseeing, land 4872 Scenic and sightseeing, water 4879 Scenic and sightseeing, other SUBSECTOR NAICS 488 Support activities for 4881 Support activities for air 4882 Support activities for rail 4883 Support activities for water 4884 Support activities for road 4885 Freight arrangement 4889 Other support activities for SUBSECTOR NAICS 491 Postal service 4911 Postal service SUBSECTOR NAICS 492 Couriers and messengers 4921 Couriers 4922 Local messengers and local delivery SUBSECTOR NAICS 493 Warehousing and storage 4931 Warehousing and storage Local Employment Planning Council 2016 SECTOR SPOTLIGHT (Published August 2017) 3

How does this sector stack up in Ottawa? OTTAWA DASHBOARD The graphic below ranks Ottawa s Top 12 sectors (based on # of jobs in 2016) and shows how Transportation and warehousing (NAICS 48-49) stacks up against the other sectors on a dashboard highlighting key local labour market information (LMI). HIGHLIGHTS 3% of Ottawa jobs are in Transportation and warehousing. Job growth in this sector over the past three years accounted for 9% of all job gains in Ottawa. Ottawa is 31% below the national average in terms of share of workers in this industry. 2016 average annual salary for jobs in this sector was $58,611. 13% of workers in this sector are self-employed. This sector accounts for 2% of all businesses in Ottawa and 2% of all employers (businesses with at least one employee). This sector accounted for 3% of all Ottawa online job ads in 2016, with the most ads posted by employers in Postal service. 33% of active online job seekers in this sector in Q4 2016 identified Trades, transport and equipment operators and related as the most recent occupation group in which they worked. Local Employment Planning Council 2016 SECTOR SPOTLIGHT (Published August 2017) 4

Sector Employment (Jobs) REGIONAL TRENDS (5-year Job Growth - Ottawa vs. Ontario vs. Canada) Region 2011 Jobs 2016 Jobs Change % Change Ottawa 16,156 19,795 3,639 22.5% Ontario 292,090 330,511 38,421 13.2% Canada 817,998 903,509 85,511 10.5% 2016 EMPLOYMENT A SUBSECTOR VIEW Local Employment Planning Council 2016 SECTOR SPOTLIGHT (Published August 2017) 5

Job numbers, growth rate and forecast number of new jobs SUBSECTOR VIEW* NAICS Description 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 % Change (2011-2016) Forecast change (2016-2019) 485 Transit and ground passenger 3,710 3,780 4,048 4,677 5,033 5,153 39% 275 491 Postal service 4,463 4,706 5,240 5,666 4,652 4,699 5% 125 488 Support activities for 2,378 2,556 2,356 2,342 2,889 2,930 23% 102 492 Couriers and messengers 1,718 1,787 1,664 1,900 2,242 2,309 34% 156 484 Truck 2,078 2,059 1,923 2,059 2,250 2,259 9% 28 481 Air 1,289 1,522 1,617 1,725 1,716 1,757 36% 98 493 Warehousing and storage 446 415 354 490 578 597 34% 44 482 Rail 61 64 60 65 68 66 8% -3 487 Scenic and sightseeing 14 14 16 23 24 25 79% 1 483 Water 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0 486 Pipeline 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0 Source: EMSI Analyst 2016 (*EMSI recommends taking occupation data below 500 jobs with a grain of salt because of source data sampling sizes; occupation data is not considered rel iable where fewer than 100 jobs) Local Employment Planning Council 2016 SECTOR SPOTLIGHT (Published August 2017) 6

2016 EMPLOYMENT SNAPSHOT INDUSTRY GROUPS Source: EMSI Analyst 2016 Local Employment Planning Council 2016 SECTOR SPOTLIGHT (Published August 2017) 7

JOB NUMBERS BY INDUSTRY GROUP (Past 5 years and 3-year outlook) *only includes industry groups with more than 10 workers Job numbers, growth rate and forecast number of new jobs TOP TEN* NAICS Description 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 % Change (2011-2016) Forecast change (2016-2019) 4911 Postal service 4,463 4,706 5,240 5,666 4,652 4,699 5% 125 4881 Support activities for air 1,685 1,846 1,647 1,627 2,048 2,076 23% 71 4921 Couriers 1,470 1,529 1,434 1,664 1,919 1,984 35% 150 4851 Urban transit systems 1,505 1,686 1,930 1,953 1,924 1,934 29% 32 4853 Taxi and limousine service 1,119 887 812 1,201 1,552 1,614 44% 134 4811 Scheduled air 1,099 1,325 1,423 1,500 1,457 1,491 36% 81 4854 School and employee bus 949 1,032 1,137 1,331 1,347 1,390 46% 98 4841 General freight trucking 1,054 1,107 986 1,125 1,332 1,356 29% 55 4842 Specialized freight trucking 1,023 952 937 935 917 903-12% -27 4931 Warehousing and storage 446 415 354 490 578 597 34% 44 SECTOR TOTAL 16,150 16,897 17,274 18,939 19,441 19,795 23% 828 Source: EMSI Analyst 2016 (*EMSI recommends taking occupation data below 500 jobs with a grain of salt because of source data sampling sizes; occupation data is not considered reliable where fewer than 100 jobs) Local Employment Planning Council 2016 SECTOR SPOTLIGHT (Published August 2017) 8

KEY OCCUPATIONS IN THE SECTOR The job data shown thus far has focused on number of workers in your sector and its industry groups. Now we take a look at what these workers are doing by focusing on the key occupations in your sector. Top Ten Occupations (Sector job numbers and growth over past five years)* NOC Description Employed in Industry (2011) 7512 Bus drivers, subway operators and other transit operators Employed in Industry (2016) Change (2011-2016) % Change (2011-2016) % of Total Industry Jobs (2015) 1,984 2,093 109 5% 12% 7511 Transport truck drivers 1,689 1,726 37 2% 10% 1511 Mail, postal and related workers 1,220 1,149-71 -6% 7% 7513 Taxi and limousine drivers and chauffeurs 1,044 950-94 -9% 6% 1512 Letter carriers 619 869 250 40% 5% 7514 Delivery and courier service drivers 694 837 143 21% 4% 7305 1513 Supervisors, motor transport and other ground transit operators Couriers, messengers and door-to-door distributors 249 623 374 150% 4% 317 436 119 38% 3% 7534 Air transport ramp attendants 177 389 212 120% 2% 7452 Material handlers 445 358-87 -20% 2% Source: EMSI Analyst 2016 (*EMSI recommends ta king occupation data below 500 jobs with a grain of salt because of source data sampling sizes; occupation data is not considered reliable where fewer than 100 jobs) Local Employment Planning Council 2016 SECTOR SPOTLIGHT (Published August 2017) 9

Sector Self-Employment (2016) SECTOR AT A GLANCE A CLOSER LOOK AT SHARE OF SELF-EMPLOYMENT The chart below shows share of self-employment for the overall sector and for each industry group. Sector Ranking Share of workers self-employed in each industry group Source: EMSI Analyst 2016 Local Employment Planning Council 2016 SECTOR SPOTLIGHT (Published August 2017) 10

Sector Business & Employer Counts (June 2016) SECTOR AT A GLANCE BUSINESS COUNTS AT INDUSTRY GROUP LEVEL Code Description 1-4 5-9 10-19 20-49 50-99 100-199 200-499 500+ None Total 4853 Taxi and limousine service 10 4 4 3 2 0 0 0 1,080 1,103 4841 General freight trucking 69 10 9 10 9 0 0 0 205 312 4921 Couriers 18 4 10 4 1 3 1 0 170 211 4842 Specialized freight trucking 42 22 12 9 3 3 0 0 91 182 4884 4922 Support activities for road Local messengers and local delivery 18 8 6 5 0 1 0 0 48 86 11 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 65 81 4931 Warehousing and storage 11 4 5 3 0 3 0 0 33 59 4881 4854 4812 N/A Support activities for air School and employee bus Non-scheduled air ALL OTHER INDUSTRY GROUPS IN THIS SECTOR 8 2 3 4 1 2 3 1 22 46 1 0 2 5 0 2 0 0 32 42 4 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 28 36 22 10 10 12 8 1 3 3 80 149 Source: EMSI Analyst 2016 Local Employment Planning Council 2016 SECTOR SPOTLIGHT (Published August 2017) 11

Online Supply & Demand (2016) ONLINE JOB POSTINGS A Closer Look at Skill Level Required in Job Postings (Sector vs. Ottawa overall) The chart below shows skill level requirements for jobs posted in this sector versus those posted for all Ottawa sectors. Source: Vicinity Jobs 2016 Local Employment Planning Council 2016 SECTOR SPOTLIGHT (Published August 2017) 12

ONLINE JOB SEEKER PROFILES In October 2016, Ottawa Employment Hub subscribed to newly published data providing insight into local labour supply. This information is only available from October 2016 onward so we provide below the data for Q4 2016. The numbers shown reflect Job Profiles that were either added or updated within a 30-day span by job seekers living in Ottawa between October and December 2016. A Closer Look at Occupations of those with Active Job Profiles The chart below shows number of job seeker profiles by occupation group most recently worked in. Source: Vicinity Jobs 2016 Local Employment Planning Council 2016 SECTOR SPOTLIGHT (Published August 2017) 13

In the News Highlights TRENDS/PROJECTIONS Jul 2017 Inside Higher Ed Is Online Education a Jobs Engine? According to the chief economic strategist at the Progressive Policy Institute, the e-commerce industry created 397,000 jobs in the United States between 2007 and 2017, many of which were in warehousing. However, these findings are not conclusive, as it is difficult to assign job creation directly to the growth of e-commerce, as it is not always clear what tasks employees of Amazon or Google or other tech companies are assigned. Nor is it certain that warehouse job creation will not plateau, as productivity around online shipping grows as the sector grows, and as warehouses themselves become more automated. Jun 2017 The Brookings Institution Will robots make job training (and workers) obsolete? Workforce development in an automating labor market Author finds that an old middle consisting of production and clerical jobs for workers with high school or less education is being at least partially replaced by a new middle set of jobs in health care, advanced manufacturing, information technology, /logistics and many services that pay reasonably well but require some postsecondary education. Instead of a surplus of workers, employers in these sectors actually have some difficulty filling existing middle-wage jobs, which runs counter to what we would expect if robots were quickly and easily replacing workers in them. Mar 2017 Ottawa Business Journal What the 2017 federal budget means for Ottawa Hyped as the so-called innovation budget, the Liberals spending plan includes a pledge to spend $950 million, which includes $800 million announced in last year s budget, on economic clusters focused on advanced manufacturing, agri-food, clean technology, digital technology, health/bio-sciences and clean resources, as well as infrastructure and. Sep 2016 CBC News Are robots coming for our jobs? Highlights a new Forrester research report that predicts that in just five years, robots will steal six per cent of U.S. jobs, forecasting that "a disruptive tidal wave will begin" by 2021. It predicts the biggest impact will occur in, logistics, customer service and consumer services. Local Employment Planning Council 2016 SECTOR SPOTLIGHT (Published August 2017) 14

Sample Report Industry Summaries Below is a sample report that can be requested for any industry at the 3- or 4-digit (subsector or industry group) level. Some of these may also be available on the Labour Market Ottawa web portal. Industry Summary for Postal service 3,961-11.2% Regional Trends Jobs (2016) % Change (2011-2016) 74% above National average Nation: -0.7% Region 2011 Jobs 2016 Jobs Change % Change Ottawa 4,463 3,961-502 -11.2% Ontario 29,329 28,086-1,243-4.2% Canada 71,817 71,305-512 -0.7% Top Occupations Employed by this Industry Description Employed in Industry (2016) % of Total Jobs in Industry (2016) Mail, postal and related workers 1,085 27.4% Letter carriers 864 21.8% Delivery and courier service drivers 205 5.2% Supervisors, mail and message distribution occupations 166 4.2% Postal and courier services managers 131 3.3% Source: EMSI Analyst 2016 Local Employment Planning Council 2016 SECTOR SPOTLIGHT (Published August 2017) 15