The Atomic Weapons Establishment: Present work and possibilities for the future

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The Atomic Weapons Establishment: Present work and possibilities for the future Nuclear Free Local Authorities 24 June 2016 Peter Burt Hashtag: #AltAWE

What we ll talk about What happens at AWE? Current work at AWE. The UK Trident nuclear warhead - and its replacement? Future possibilities for AWE in the event of closure of the Trident programme. Recommendations.

Atomic Weapons Establishment (AWE) Designs, manufactures, maintains, and decommissions UK's nuclear weapons. Key role in Trident programme. One of the UK's premier technological establishments.

Atomic Weapons Establishment Three sites in Berkshire: Aldermaston: research and manufacturing. Burghfield: warhead assembly and disassembly. Blacknest: arms control.

Atomic Weapons Establishment MoD has 25 year management contract with AWE Management Ltd. Consortium between Lockheed Martin, Serco, and Jacobs. 20 bn to be spent on AWE contract 2000-2025.

Nuclear Warhead Capability Sustainment Programme Aim: Ensure that UK maintains the capability to produce nuclear weapons into the middle of this century. Infrastructure construction and personnel recruitment. 1 bn per year over the remainder of this decade.

Nuclear Warhead Capability Sustainment Programme Minimal Parliamentary scrutiny. Infrastructure programme is reported to have been subject to delays and cost over-runs. 'Enhanced level of regulation' following safety issues. MoD contract review in 2016.

UK Trident Mark 4A warhead modification Programme to upgrade the current UK Trident warhead to the 'Mark 4A' programme. Parallel to US programme. Increased accuracy and destructive capability and extended life. Parliament has never been formally notified of the Mark 4A programme. Costs and timetable for the programme have not been disclosed.

Replacement Trident warhead? SDSR 2015: Work continues to determine the optimum life of the UK's existing warhead stockpile and the range of replacement options. Replacement warhead not required until late 2030s, possibly later.

Replacement Trident warhead? Studies currently underway at AWE to support the decision on whether to replace the current warhead and explore options for a potential future warhead. 85m spent to end of FY 2014-15.

A policy paradox Despite work underway at AWE to keep Trident in service for the forseeable future, government policy is committed to achieving a world without nuclear weapons. An inescapable consequence: At some time in the future nuclear weapons production and maintenance at AWE must cease.

AWE's economic impact National scientific resource with unique assets. 4,900 permanent staff. Major employer in West Berkshire / North Hampshire. 475m annual contribution to the local economy. Fears over an end to the Trident programme are a natural concern for those who depend on AWE for their livelihoods.

AWE and closure of the Trident programme Study examined alternatives for AWE's future in the event of a possible decision to end the Trident programme. Conclusions: Likelihood of outright closure of AWE is low. Warhead dismantling would take at least four years. Decommissioning of contaminated facilities likely to last into the 2040s - 2050s.

AWE and closure of the Trident programme Longer term: Radioactive wastes to be held securely at the site until at least 2070. AWE's expertise on disarmament verification and nuclear security likely to be retained by government. Prospects for AWE to move into civil sector markets are good: - Compatible with Regional Strategic Economic Plan (emphasis on technology sector and STEM skills). - Close links with universities.

Precedents Harwell nuclear research site. CBDE Porton Down. Both sites successfully converted to commercially viable enterprises undertaking diverse range of work. Core remaining within the government sector to manage legacy issues and maintain research expertise required by government.

Conclusions Jobs and economic benefits at AWE need not be lost in the short to medium term. AWE's skills and assets could be put to use pursuing civil sector business opportunities in the long term. But...

Conclusions Requires a willingness to engage with the issues. Early start needed on planning and preparation for a transition away from nuclear related work. Partnership approach: employer, staff and trade unions, central and local government.

Recommendations Defence Committee: Review work at Greater AWE as scrutiny part of review needed of for delivery work at of AWE broader as part Trident of oversight programme. of delivery of National broader Audit Trident Office: programme: Report on House delivery of of Commons NWCSP. Defence Committee. MoD: Publish costs, timetable, and National justification Audit for Office. Mark 4A programme. Parliament. Parliament: At appropriate decision point, debate whether to replace the UK Trident warhead.

Recommendations AWE and Thames Valley Berkshire LEP: Study scope Defence for using Committee: AWE's Review resources work for at commercial AWE civil as part purposes. of review of delivery of National broader study to Trident identify programme. the number and locations National of jobs Audit which Office: are dependent Report on on the Trident programme delivery of NWCSP. and outline possibilities for a move MoD: to civil Publish sector costs, work. timetable, and Government justification statement for accepting Mark 4A programme. responsibility Parliament: for workforce At appropriate at sites decision heavily dependent point, on Trident. debate whether to replace the Set up Defence UK Trident Diversification warhead. Agency to address economic and employment impacts of defence sector contraction.

Finally... Making an early start is important. This report aims to start the process of engagement and begin the preparation for a world without nuclear weapons.

Thank you. http/:nuclearinfo.org Report online at: http://tinyurl.comalternativeawe