Recent developments and challenges in the internationalisation of business R&D. Bernhard Dachs, Georg Zahradnik, AIT

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Transcription:

Recent developments and challenges in the internationalisation of business R&D Bernhard Dachs, Georg Zahradnik, AIT

Topic of the talk Internationalisation of business R&D: research and development activities (R&D) of firms performed outside their home countries In the last 30 years it has emerged from a very minor issue to a driving force of change in national innovation systems Patel/Pavitt, JIBS 1991: Research and development despite globalisation of production and sales - remains far from being globalized

R&D by foreign-owned firms is increasing Inward BERD in bn EUR and share of total BERD, 2001-2013 120.000 30% Total ex US US Percentage of total BERD 100.000 25% billion EUR, current prices 80.000 billion EUR, current prices 60.000 40.000 20% 15% 10% Share of of total BERD 20.000 5% 0 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 0% Includes: AT, BE, CA, CZ, FI, FR, DE, HU, IE, IL, JP, NL, NO, PL. SK., SI, ES, SE, CH, UK, US Source: OECD, Eurostat, national statistical offices, own calculations 3

What is new in the internationalisation of business R&D? Changes in funding regimes for business R&D The rise of services in R&D internationalisation R&D internationalisation in emerging economies

Changes in funding regimes and R&D internationalisation Tax incentives are currently offered by 30 of the 35 OECD countries and a number of non-oecd countries (OECD STI Scoreboard 17). 22 out of 35 countries increased the share of tax incentives in the policy mix 100 % Tax incentive share of government support for R&D, 2015 Tax incentive share of government support for R&D, 2006 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 OECD STI Scoreboard 2017, page 157 5

R&D tax incentives and MNEs The literature usually assumes that public funding has only a minor effect on the location decisions of R&D by MNEs The difference is that R&D tax credits favour large R&D spenders No upper ceiling in many countries, Costs of applying for and administering R&D funding are considerably lower, Opportunities to shift R&D costs between countries Income-based tax incentives for R&D (patent boxes) may be particularly appealing for MNEs with multiple R&D locations Fiscal incentives to R&D have a significant and positive effect on the amount of inward BERD (Poti and Spallone, 2016) The new all-purpose investment incentive to attract and retain FDI? - Bellak and Leibrecht (2016) 6

The role of services in R&D internationalisation FDI and R&D internationalisation is dominated by high-tech sectors: pharmaceuticals, chemicals, automotive, electronics, machinery These sectors are still very important; However, since the crisis of 2008/09, growth of R&D internationalisation is fuelled by service sectors to a considerable degree 7

Service R&D expenditure abroard is growing faster R&D expenditures of US firms abroad, 1998-2013, sector split 18 16 14 12 Bn USD, current prices 10 8 6 4 2 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Chemicals and chemical products Motor Vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers Electrical and optical products Services 8

Services drive R&D of US firms abroad Ratio of R&D expenditure abroad and at home, United States, 1997-2013 25% Manufacturing Services Total US R&D expenditure abroad as percentage of domestic BERD 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: US Departement of Commerce, own calculations

The role of services in R&D internationalisation Drivers of R&D internationalisation of services Tradeability revolution in services (Grossman, Rossi-Hansberg 2008, Baldwin 2006) Changes in the division of labour in sectors (for example drug testing, drug development by specialized biotech companies) Higher R&D intensity of services because of new technologies (ICT, software services) Services are the dark matter of R&D internationalisation In countries where data is available, services account for a third of R&D by foreign-owned firms (and most of the growth) However, for most countries data for service sectors is missing EU directive on FATS statistics does not require the collection of service data 10

The role of emerging economies in R&D internationalisation Emerging economies became important host countries for R&D This reflects growing markets in these countries, but also increasing strengh of their university and educations systems The rise of Brazil, China, India, etc, however is slower than many think R&D is still much more concentrated in high-income countries than production We know too little about foreign-owned firms in these countries We know total inward BERD for China (~4 bn EUR) but not the European share, no data for India US firms spend around the same amount on R&D in China and India MNEs from emerging economies are entering the US and Europe There is evidence on R&D by Chinese, Indian, etc. firms in Europe It is, however, still a minor group compared to US, Canadian, Japanese, etc. inward investment in Europe 11

Asia s share on global US R&D activities is increasing R&D expenditures of US firms abroad, 1998-2013, shares 70% 60% Share of total US R&D expenditure abroad 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 00% 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 EU Japan Other OECD Asia (excl. Japan, S-Korea) Latin America (excl. Mexio, Chile) Source: US Bureau for Economic Analysis 12

Is the EU still attractive for US firms? yes R&D expenditures of US firms abroad, 1998-2013 60 EU Other OECD Asia (excl. Japan, S-Korea) Japan Latin America (excl. Mexio, Chile) 50 Billion USD, current prices 40 30 20 10 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: US Bureau for Economic Analysis

The role of emerging economies in R&D internationalisation The rise of EMNEs creates new questions for research on the internationalisation of R&D It challenges old views on the global diffusion of knowledge from the most to least developed countries Raises new questions on the nature of superior assets of EMNEs, given that these firms evolve in more restrained environments than firms in advanced economies (Narula 2012). The rise of EMNEs has created fears of predatory behaviour - that state-owned EMNEs will acquire domestic companies, exploit their knowledge and leave. It brings back family and state ownership, two governance models which have become quite unfamiliar in the US and the EU Family- and state-owned firms may have different cultures of decision-making, and follow different rationales in R&D internationalisation. 14

Thank you for your attention! Bernhard Dachs, Georg Zahradnik AIT Austrian Institute of Technology Center for Innovation Systems & Policy 15