REGIONAL TRAVEL TRENDS Robert Griffiths TPB Planning and Programming Director Transportation Planning Board April 20, 2016 Agenda Item 10
Regional Trend: Populations (Total Population in Millions) 6.00 4.40 4.49 4.56 4.61 4.67 4.72 4.76 4.80 4.87 4.97 5.08 5.18 5.27 5.35 5.41 5.47 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: US Census Bureau 2
Regional Trend: Changing Age Distribution Age Group (Population Total in 65+ 396 454 608 55-64 374 513 631 45-54 35-44 643 779 724 793 772 782 2014 2007 2000 25-34 732 718 860 15-24 559 688 649 0-14 958 928 1054 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Source: US Census Bureau
Regional Trends: Employment Wage & Salary Employment in Millions 3.00 2.50 2.51 2.53 2.54 2.56 2.62 2.67 2.71 2.73 2.73 2.68 2.69 2.73 2.76 2.78 2.79 2.84 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YEAR Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages 4 4
Regional Trends: Federal Employment Federal Civilian Employment in Thousands 400 350 324 323 332 333 337 338 339 338 344 357 375 377 372 367 356 366.0 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YEAR Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages 5 5
Federal Procurement Spending in the Washington Metro Area $ Billions 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 29 32 37 44 53 55 57 59 69 76 82 80 76 69 72 71 Source: GMU Center for Regional Analysis, US Census, Consolidated Federal Funds Report and USAspending.gov 6
Enplanemetnts (in millions) Regional Passenger Enplanements Trend, 2000-2014 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 Year Source: MWAA and MAA 7
Map of External Traffic Count Stations Frederick Loudoun Montgomer y Prince George s Prince William Charles 8
AADT (in Thousands) Regional Trend: Daily Vehicle Traffic Entering and Leaving the Region 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 Traffic Counts at the Borders of the TPB Planning Region Have Been Flat Since 2007 400 200 0 200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014 Year Source: MDOT, VDOT 9
Regional Trend: Weekday VMT (VMT in Millions) 140.0 120.0 100.0 104.0 113.7 116.4 121.1 121.0 122.8 123.4 120.6 122.9 122.3 122.2 122.2 121.7 124.1 109.7 107.0 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YEAR Source: DDOT, MDOT, VDOT 10
Regional Trend: Weekday VMT/Capita (Daily VMT per Capita) 30 25 23.8 24.1 24.7 24.9 25.7 25.4 25.6 25.3 24.3 24.2 23.7 23.3 22.9 22.5 22.6 20 15 10 5 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YEAR 11 11
Regional Trend: Peak Period Congestion Peak Period congestion in the region decreased between 2010-2013; but now has increased slightly The Travel Time Index decreased by 6.5% between 2010 and 2013 and increased by 2.6% since 2013.. Note: Travel Time Index (TTI) is an indicator of the intensity of congestion, calculated as the ratio of actual travel time to free-flow travel time. AM Peak: 6:00-10:00 am PM Peak: 3:00-7:00 pm Source: TPB Congestion Management Process (CMP) 12 12
Regional Trend: Metrorail Ridership (Weekday Ridership in Thousands) 800 700 600 607 625 638 653 668 700 702 728 748 731 733 741 718 691 701 500 400 300 200 100 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 FISCAL YEAR Source: WMATA 13 13
Weekday Metrorail, Metrobus, Local Transit, Commuter Rail Ridership, 2007-2013 (Average Weekday Trips) 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Metrorail Metrobus DC, MD & VA Local VRE / MARC 14
Regional Trend: Commute Mode Share Percent 80 70 67.766.6 65.1 60 50 40 30 2000 2007 2014 20 10 0 13.4 10.5 9.6 14.1 15.4 11.0 3.0 3.1 3.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.9 DRIVE ALONE (SOV) CARPOOL TRANSIT WALK BIKE OTHER WORK AT HOME 3.7 4.6 5.1 Source: American Community Survey, US Census Bureau
Regional Trend: Percentage of Commuters Telecommuting Percent Telecommuting 30% 25% 2 27% 20% 19% 15% 10% 11% 13% 5% 0% 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 Source: Commuter Connections 2013 State of Commute Report 16
Percent Teleworking by Primary Commute Mode Drive Alone Carpool Metrorail Bus Commuter Rail Bike Walk All Modes 19% 28% 19% 28% 20% 23% 36% 66% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Source: Commuter Connections 2013 State of Commute Data 17
Percent Teleworking by Primary Commute Mode Drive Alone Carpool Metrorail Bus Commuter Rail Bike Walk All Modes 19% 28% 36% 19% 28% 20% 23% 26% 27% 31% 66% 35% 36% 28% 35% 20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Do Telework Could Telework Source: Commuter Connections 2013 State of Commute Data 18
General Findings Population and employment in the region increased by 9% between 2000 and 2007. Weekday VMT increased by 18% and Metrorail ridership increased by 19% in this period. Between 2007 and 2014 population increased by 13% and employment increased by 2%. Weekday VMT declined by 1% and Metrorail ridership decreased by 4% in this period. Bus ridership increased by about 1% and commuter rail ridership increased by 22%. VMT per capita increased by 8.5% between 2000 and 2007 and decreased by 10.5% from 2007 to 2014. Peak period congestion decreased by 6.5% between 2010 and 2013. The share of commuters teleworking, at least occasionally, increased from 11% in 2001 to 27% in 2013. Commuter Rail and Metrorail commuters are more than Drive Alone and Bus commute to telework, at least occasionally. 19
Robert Griffiths TPB Planning and Programming Director reg@mwcog.org mwcog.org/tpb Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments 777 North Capitol Street NE, Suite 300 Washington, DC 20002