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SOUTHERN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS Volume 16, Number 1 July, 1984 Copyright 1984 by the Southern Agricultural Economics Association 1984 Editorial Council Editorial Policy Neil R. Martin, Jr., Auburn University, Editor The purpose of the Journal is to provide a forum John L. Adrian, Jr., Auburn University, Associate for creative and scholarly work in agricultural eco- Editor nomics and related areas. Contributions on method- Oral Capps, Jr., Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University ology and applications in business, extension, research and teaching phases of agricultural economics are Kenneth C. Clayton, NED, ERS, USDA encouraged. Preference will be given to articles ad- Charles L. Cramer, University of Missouri-Colum- dressing problems and issues of concern in the south- Cbia ern region of the United States. Only submitted articles Leon E. Danielson, North Carolina State Uni'ver- recommended by Leon the Editorial E. Danielson, Council North are Carolina accepted State Univer- for publication. sity for publication. Stanley M. Fletcher, Georgia Experiment Station The Editorial Council encourages constructive crit- Edward O. Fryar, Jr., University of Arkansas icism of Journal articles and will publish accepted Ian W. Hardie, University of Maryland comments and replies. John Holt, University of Florida Stephen E. Miller, Clemson University 1984 Microcomputer Software Committee Mack C. Nelson, Fort Valley State College Preston LaFerney, University of Arkansas, Co- Michael R. Reed, University of Kentucky Chairman for Policy Neil R. Martin, Jr. Auburn Lynn L. Reinschmiedt, University, Mississippi Co-Chair- State University man for Review Sujit K. Roy, Texas Tech University Ernest Bentley, Farm Computer Center, Inc., John R. Stoll, Texas A&M University Christianburg, Virginia Daniel S. Tilley, Oklahoma State University Wallace Killcrease, Mississippi State University Al Tinsley, Clemson University Editorial Staff Richard A. Levins, University of Maryland James McGrann, Texas A&M University Ted. R. Nelson, Oklahoma State University E.L. McGraw, Copy Editor Kenneth C. Schneeberger, University of Missouri- Wanda Toney, Secretary Columbia 1984 Executive Committee PRESIDENT........... Joseph Havlicek, Jr., Ohio State University PRESIDENT-ELECT... J. Richard Conner, Texas A&M University PAST-PRESIDENT... Calvin R. Berry, University of Arkansas FIRST VICE-PRESIDENT... John E. Ikerd, Oklahoma State University SECOND VICE-PRESIDENT... Lanny Bateman, Mississippi State University SECRETARY-TREASURER... H. Evan Drummond, University of Florida Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics is published in July and December by the Southern Agricultural Economics Association. Membership in the SAEA, consisting of persons and organizations having a professional interest in agricultural economics, includes subscription to the Journal. Regular membership dues are $10. Junior membership dues are $5. The annual subscription rate for libraries and other institutions is $15. Single copies of current issues are available to individuals at a price of $5. Please address all subscription, membership and change of address requests to C. L. Huang, Department of Agricultural Economics, Georgia Experiment Station, Experiment, Georgia 30212.

SOUTHERN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS Volume 16, Number 1 July, 1984 Published by Southern Agricultural Economics Association

SAEA OFFICERS, 1968-85 Secretary- Year President President-Elect Vice-President Treasurer 1968-69 Robert W. Rudd Marshall R. Godwin A. D. Scale, Jr. John C. Redman 1969-70 Marshall R. Godwin Thomas J. Whatley W. J. Lanham Luther H. Keller 1970-71 Thomas J. Whatley Kenneth R. Tefertiller Willard F. Williams Luther H. Keller 1971-72 Kenneth R. Tefertiller James S. Plaxico William E. Black Luther H. Keller 1972-73 James S. Plaxico Verner G. Hurt Charles D. Covey Luther H. Keller 1973-74 Verner G. Hurt Joseph C. Purcell James B. Bell James H. Simpson 1974-75 Joseph C. Purcell Henry J. Meenen Ted R. Nelson James H. Simpson 1st Vice-President 2nd Vice-President 1975-76 Henry J. Meenen Richard A. King Vernon R. Eidman James L. Pearson James H. Simpson 1976-77 Richard A. King Donald E. Farris Garnett L. Bradford Thomas G. Brown James H. Simpson 1977-78 Donald E. Farris Joseph D. Coffey Calvin R. Berry Robert Raunikar Gene A. Mathia 1978-79 Joseph D. Coffey Leo V. Blakley Bobby Eddleman Harold M. Harris Gene A. Mathia 1979-80 Leo V. Blakley Garnett L. Bradford John E. Lee, Jr. John Holt Gene A. Mathia 1980-81 Garnett L. Bradford Bobby R. Eddleman Joseph Havlicek, Jr. Neil R. Martin, Jr. H. Evan Drummond 1981-82 Bobby R. Eddleman Robert Raunikar Gerald A. Doeksen Jerry G. West H. Evan Drummond 1982-83 Robert Raunikar Calvin R. Berry Max R. Langham J. Richard Conner H. Evan Drummond 1983-84 Calvin R. Berry Joseph Havlicek, Jr. J. Richard Conner John E. Ikerd H. Evan Drummond 1984-85 Joseph Havlicek, Jr. J. Richard Conner John E. Ikerd Lanny Bateman H. Evan Drummond CORRIGENDA FOR VOLUME 15 (December 1983) CONTENTS and Heading (p. 93) should read: Estimating the Effects of Pesticide Use on Burley and Flue-Cured Tobacco G. Andrew Bernat and George W. Norton CONTENTS and Heading (p. 111) should read: Impacts of Household Composition on Convenience and Non-Convenience Food Expenditures in the South John R. Tedford, Oral Capps, Jr. and Joseph Havlicek, Jr. ii

SOUTHERN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS JULY, 1983 CONTENTS Invited Papers and Discussions The Southern Agricultural Economics Association: Past, Present, and Future Joseph Havlicek, Jr....... 1 Implications of Emerging Biotechnologies Mary E. Carter... 7 D iscussion: Jack M ceow en... Policy Considerations of Emerging Information Technologies Thomas L. Sporleder...... 15 Discussion: Joe T. Davis... 23 An Evaluation of the 1981 Farm Program for Crops: Implications for the 1985 Farm Bill Abner W. Womack, Stanley R. Johnson, William H. Meyers, and Robert Young, II...... D iscussion: Bruce G ardner... 39 Agricultural Economists in Rural Development: Responsibilities, Opportunities, Risks, and Payoffs James R. Nelson and Gerald A. Doeksen...... 41 D iscussion: Curtis Braschler... 49 Water Resources Management: Policy Economics for an Era of Transitions Leonard A. Shabman... 53 Discussion: Robert N. Shulstad... 67 Opportunities in Farm Management: Discussion/Challenge Gregory D. Hanson...... 71 Use of Biophysical Simulation in Production Economics Wesley N. Musser and Bernard V. Tew... 77 Discussion: William G. Boggess... 87 World Agricultural Markets: Implications for U.S. Food and Agricultural Policy T. Kelley White...... Discussion: Eric J. Wailes...... 99 Methods for Evaluating Economic Efficiency in Agricultural Marketing Richard L. Kilmer and Walter J. Armbruster... 101 Discussion: Stephen E. Miller... 111 Submitted Articles Granger Causality and U.S. Crop and Livestock Prices Rod F. Ziemer and Glenn S. Collins...... 115 111

Estimating Returns to Agricultural Research, Extension, and Teaching at the State Level George W. Norton, Joseph D. Coffey, and E. Berrier Frye... 121 Cooperative Antitrust Monopolization and the Theory of Contestable Markets Terence J. Centner and Michael E. Wetzstein... 129 The Effects of the 1980, 1981, and 1982 Tax Laws on Texas Rice Farmers James W. Richardson and Clair J. Nixon... 137 Use of Forecasts in Decisionmaking: The Case of Stocker Cattle in Florida Thomas H. Spreen and Carlos A. Arnade... 145 Evaluating Use of Outlook Information in Grain Sorghum Storage Decisions M. Edward Rister, Jerry R. Skees, and J. Roy Black.... 151 An Empirical Analysis of the Intertemporal Stability of Risk Preference Ross 0. Love and Lindon J. Robison... 159 Assessment of Journals Used by Agricultural Economists at Land-Grant Universities Josef M. Broder and Rod F. Ziemer... 167 Production, Price and Risk Factors in Channel Catfish Farming Gregory D. Hanson, Neil R. Martin, Jr., and John B. Flynn... 173 A Microcomputer Linear Programming Package: An Alternative to Mainframes D avid H. Laughlin......... 183 Abstracts Selected Papers... 187 Sy m p o sia... 2 0 0 SAEA Reports Editors', February 1984...... 201 Secretary-Treasurer's, February 1984............. 204 iv