Observations on Developing Future Integrated Air and Missile Defense (IAMD) Systems

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Observations on Developing Future Integrated Air and Missile Defense (IAMD) Systems Lowell Shayn Hawthorne The MITRE Corporation

Setting the Stage 2 The future will find Australian Defence Forces (ADF) conducting global operations In a variety of environments from low intensity up to Anti-Access Area Denial (A2AD) conditions Requiring IAMD to protect joint forces

3 The Threat in 2035 * Ballistic missile, cruise missile and hypersonic capabilities proliferate They are accurate and longer range They are also cheap, lowering the cost of entry So peers will increase salvo size And non-peers will use them in never-before seen situations www.spaceflight101.com www.presstv.ir www.businessinsider.com Our tech lead is getting smaller * See Gunzinger, M., & Clark, B., Winning the Salvo Competition, Washington, DC: 2016 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. Approved for Public Release; Distribution Center for Unlimited Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, 2016, pp. i, ii, 1-9

IAMD 4 IAMD is the capability to provide unified air and ballistic missile defense IAMD will change from classic longrange ballistic missile defenses and moderate-range air defenses Into a future where every asset is part of the IAMD net IAMD everywhere, all the time

5 IAMD Enablers Resilient, ubiquitous, interoperable network Engagement quality system of systems Joint priorities & formats Netted sensors, BMC3 and shooters Third offset approaches ww.dtic.mil/ndia/2014iamd/kilby.pdf

6 IAMD CONOPS and Requirements Unified Ops demand rigorous CONOPS Roles and responsibilities must be clearly identified All systems must work together to achieve common goals in coalition and sovereign operations Practice like you play Mod/SIM, HWIL Experiment Exercise & test www.betterrugbycoaching.com

7 IAMD Development Considerations Some recommended considerations informed by MITRE experiences and developments in partnership with the US Government and Armed Forces Fully network sensors and shooters Engage on network from the start Pursue simple, lower-cost interceptors Leverage current technology and leap to the end state

8 Fully Network Sensors and Shooters Every element is a sensor even weapons Eases coalition operations Allied and even civil sensors can be integrated When target is fixed by any element, never before thought of weapons can engage Capitalize on autonomy and disaggregation But must defend the network from nonkinetic cyber and electronic attack

9 Engage on Network From the Start Don t launch organic intercept organic Don t launch on network intercept organic Do launch on network intercept on network Now weapons aren t limited by organic links Communications enables BLOS weapons But must defend the network from nonkinetic cyber and electronic attack

Pursue Simple, Lower-Cost Effects 10 Increase the A2AD-to-IAMD cost ratio Use the network to enable new strategies Be smaller, shorter range, disaggregated Electronic warfare, directed energy, anti-pnt, cyber * Dark F-35s, deep autonomy, hyper velocity * But must defend the network from nonkinetic cyber and electronic attack * See Gunzinger, M., & Clark, B., Winning the Salvo Competition, Washington, DC: 2016 The MITRE Corporation. All rights reserved. Approved for Public Release; Distribution Center for Unlimited Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, 2016, pp. 21-24, 29-41

11 Summary Counter proliferation of ballistic and cruise missiles with low-cost IAMD Leap frog current architecture and embrace networks and third offset approaches But defend the network