SA HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY LANDSCAPE REPORT

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SA HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY LANDSCAPE REPORT COMPILED: JUNE/JULY 2017

REPORT OVERVIEW The South African Healthcare Industry Landscape Report (137 pages) provides a dynamic synthesis of industry research, examining South African Population Demographics, Global and SA Burden of Disease, Medical advancements in major chronic diseases, Healthcare Policy (NDP 2030, Strategic Plan 2017-2022, NHI as per government gazette), Healthcare Practitioner Stats, Hospitals and Clinics, Medical Aids, and the Pharmaceutical Services Sector. SOME KEY QUESTIONS THE REPORT WILL HELP YOU TO ANSWER: For the South African Population Demographics Section: What is the South African population s age, race and gender distribution in 2017? For the Global and South African Burden of Disease Section: What is the burden of disease globally and in South Africa? What are the key underlying natural causes of death in South Africa? What are the Global and South African health indicators (mortality, life expectancy and fertility rates)? What are some of the major chronic diseases affecting us at both a global and a South African level? For the Department of Health and Healthcare Policy Section: What is South Africa s National Development Plan for 2030? What is the National Strategic Plan on HIV, STI s and TB for 2017-2022? What is the latest on the National Health Insurance (per government gazette 30 June 2017)? 2

REPORT OVERVIEW For the Healthcare Practitioner Overview section: What is the distribution of South African healthcare practitioners provincially? What are the distribution of healthcare practitioners in the public versus the private sector of South Africa? For the Hospitals and Clinics section: What is the provincial distribution of private hospitals and clinics in South Africa? What is the provincial distribution of public hospitals and clinics in South Africa? What is the market share of private hospital beds, by hospital network? For the Medical Aid section: What is the proportion of population covered by medical aid schemes in South Africa? What are the top 3 South African medical aid administrators share in the market? What is the age and gender distribution of medical aid beneficiaries? For the Pharmaceutical Services Sector section: What is the provincial breakdown of pharmaceutical services in South Africa? What is the total number of retail pharmacies in South Africa, by pharmacy group? Who are the key retail players in the SA pharmaceutical industry? What are the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the pharmaceutical market? 3

SCREENSHOTS FROM REPORT 137 page report filled with detailed charts, graphs, tables and insights 4

SAMPLE FROM REPORT: SOUTH AFRICAN NON-COMMUNICABLE DISEASES Noncommunicable diseases (i.e. chronic diseases) continue their rise in the rankings of the top 10 leading causes of disease and death in South Africa with Diabetes mellitus having moved into 2 nd position in 2015. Noncommunicable diseases currently account for 60% of the ten leading underlying causes of death in South Africa. The leading noncommunicable cause of death in South Africa is Diabetes mellitus accounting for 25,070 deaths in 2015, followed by cerebrovascular diseases (22,879) and other forms of heart disease (22,215) as illustrated by the adjacent graph. TOP NONCOMMUNICABLE CAUSES OF DEATH IN SOUTH AFRICA: 2013-2015 Diabetes mellitus (E10-E14) Cerebrovascular diseases (I60-I69) Other forms of heart disease (I30-I52) Hypertensive diseases (I10- I15) 22,215 22,928 22,189 19,443 18,319 17,104 25,070 23,966 23,133 22,879 24,131 23,158 Source: Statssa The continued rise in noncommunicable diseases has been fueled by the ageing population group of 65 years and above. Diabetes mellitus was the leading cause of death for those aged 65 and older, accounting for 9.1% of deaths among people within this age group. Ischaemic heart diseases, which is the leading underlying cause of death globally, was the 10 th leading underlying cause of death in South Africa in 2015. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (J40-J47) Ischaemic heart diseases (I20- I25) Image Source: Indianexpress 0 0 12,667 12,690 12,384 12,239 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 2015 2014 2013 5

SAMPLE FROM REPORT: NATIONAL BUDGET SPEECH 2017 Budget 2017: Health Highlights The Department of Health has been allocated R187.5 billion. An additional R885 million has been added to support the implementation of the universal test-and-treat policy for HIV. R600 million has been set aside for the commissioning of the new Nelson Mandela Children s Hospital. Provincial hospital services will be R32.3 billion of the overall health budget. Negotiations continue on the Sugar Tax, which will be implemented later this year. Over the next three years, R606bn will be spent on health, with R59.5bn to be spent on the HIV/AIDS conditional grant. National Health Insurance Implications Government is committed to achieving universal health coverage. National Health Insurance, which has not been given much attention in recent policy announcements, will be moving to a new phase, funded by a National Health Insurance Fund. Discussions and preparation for this will take place this year, and policy proposals could include an adjustment to medical aid tax credits. More details will be published in the MTBPS in October 2017. Source: fin24; biznews; ewn; Old Mutual; SA Commercial Prop News, Image Source: biznews; Daily Maverick 6

SAMPLE FROM REPORT: DIABETES MELLITUS New Treatments, Research and Medical Advancements Great strides have been made in developing new treatments. Two drugs, Liraglutide and Empagliflozin, have shown life-saving benefits of reduced cardiovascular risk and a favourable side-effect profile. Other drugs from these classes (Incretins and SGLT2 inhibitors) help manage diabetes effectively but have yet to show cardiovascular benefits. These newer agents also reduce weight and lower the risk of hypoglycemia as a side effect. This therapy involves a capsule of genetically engineered cells implanted under the skin that automatically release insulin as required. Scientists hope to obtain a clinical trial licence to test the technology in patients by 2018. If successful, the treatment would be relevant for all type 1 diabetes patients, as well as those cases of type 2 diabetes that require insulin injections. New oral agents such as DPP 4 inhibitors, combined with existing treatments such as Metformin, allow for minimal to no risk of hypoglycemia. This makes them ideal for prescription by nurses at primary health clinics as first and second line treatments. A cell-based diabetes treatment has been developed by scientists which could potentially eliminate the need for those with the condition to inject insulin. 7 Source: International Diabetes Federation Africa; Health-e Image Source: Pixabay

SAMPLE FROM REPORT: MEDICAL PRACTITIONER SERVICES: 2017 100% MEDICAL PRACTITIONERS IN SOUTH AFRICA BY SERVICE: 2017 80% 60% 56% 40% 20% 0% 6% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 15% Service GP Anaesthe -tist Gynae & Obs Physician Ortho Surgeon Paediatrician Psychiatrist Surgeon Other Family Radiologi Med Serv Practition Physician st Total ers Frequency 14,446 1,465 990 786 777 768 683 664 581 544 3,974 25,678 Percentage 56% 6% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 15% 100% In 2017, the greatest proportion of Medical Practitioners (56%) were General Practitioners. Of all Medical Practitioners, 6% are Anaesthetists, while 4% are Gynaecologists and Obstetricians. 8 Source: Medpages (Access Date 25 June 2017) Image Source: Pixabay

SAMPLE FROM REPORT: MEDICAL PRACTITIONER SERVICES BY PROVINCE 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 20% 18% 5% 5% 1% 2% 4% 3% 4% 5% 1% 2% 0% 3% 5% 6% 1% 3% 16% 16% 25% 23% 26% 25% 17% 17% 4% 3% 1% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 16% 17% 36% 35% 43% 42% 39% 40% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 7% 8% 5% 6% 6% 6% Total MEDICAL PRACTITIONERS (TOP 10 SERVICES) BY PROVINCE: 2017 General Practitioner (GP) Anaesthetist Gynaecologist & Obstetrician Physician Orthopaedic Surgeon Western Cape North West Northern Cape Mpumalanga Limpopo KwaZulu-Natal Gauteng Free State Eastern Cape The largest percentage of Medical Practitioners (36%) were situated in the Gauteng province, followed by 20% in the Western Cape. Only 1% are situated in the Northern Cape. The largest percentage of General Practitioners (35%) were in Gauteng, followed by 18% in the Western Cape and 16% in KwaZulu-Natal. 9 Source: Medpages (Access Date 25 June 2017) Image Source: Pixabay

SAMPLE FROM REPORT: DIS-CHEM: OVERVIEW Dis-Chem is SA s second largest retail pharmacy chain, with a turnover increase of 15.3% and with like-for-like turnover increasing by 9.1% in 2017. Dis-Chem s gross profit increased by 19.4% to R4.2 billion for the 2017 financial year, with the 2017 gross profit margin at 24.4% and the 2016 margin at 23.4%. This increase in gross profit is mainly due to better trade terms with suppliers, while the Group also continued to increase market shares across their core categories. Turnover growth for the Group was a result of a maturing store base and the addition of 11 stores in the current year, resulting in 108 stores as at February 2017. Dis-Chem estimates that at least 18 stores are expected to open during the financial year ending 28 February 2018. Dis-Chem is opting for the franchise route in order to accelerate expansion plans and double their footprint, whilst also mirroring Clicks loyalty program as its primary customer retention strategy. Source: Dis-Chem; Dis-Chem Consolidated Results 28 Feb 2017 Despite the strong start to the new financial year, it is expected that the weak consumer spending environment will continue in 2017, with the ongoing political uncertainty, low economic growth and increase in taxes constraining consumers. Dis-Chem Stores 2017: 108 Stores Image Source: Dis-Chem 10

TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Executive Summary (8 pages): 1.1 Global Burden of Disease 1.2 SA s Burden of Disease 1.3 Major Chronic Diseases 1.4 Healthcare Policy Overview 1.5 Healthcare Practitioners 1.6 Hospital and Clinic Snapshot 1.7 Medical Aids Snapshot 1.8 Pharmaceutical Sector Snapshot 2. South African Population Demographics (3 pages): 2.1 South African Population: 2017 Race and Gender Estimate: TOTAL SA POPULATION BY RACE (2017), TOTAL SA POPULATION BY GENDER (2017) (Graphs and Table) 2.2 South African Population: 2017 Age Estimate: SOUTH AFRICAN POPULATION AGE DISTRIBUTION (2017) (Graph and Table) 2.3 SA Province Overview (2017): GDP Contribution and Population Size (Tables) 11

TABLE OF CONTENTS 3. Global and South African Burden of Disease (16 pages): 3.1 Global Burden of Disease (8 pages) 3.1.1 Global Health Indicators: Mortality, Life Expectancy and Fertility: GLOBAL POPULATION (IN BILLIONS): 1955-2030, GLOBAL POPULATION YEARLY GROWTH RATE (IN PERCENTAGE) : 1951-2016 (Graphs and Table) 3.1.2 Global Burden of Disease: GLOBAL DISTRIBUTION OF DEATHS AMONG THE THREE MAIN CAUSE GROUPS (BY PERCENTAGE): 2000 VS 2015, REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF DEATHS AMONG THE THREE MAIN CAUSE GROUPS (BY PERCENTAGE): 2000 VS 2015 (Graphs) 3.1.3 Global Burden of Disease: GLOBAL TOP 10 CAUSES OF DEATH (IN MILLIONS): 2010 VS 2015 (Graph) 3.1.4 Global Noncommunicable Diseases: LEADING CAUSES OF NCD DEATHS (BY PERCENTAGE): 2000 VS 2015 (Graph) 3.1.5 Global Communicable Diseases: LEADING CAUSES OF COMMUNICABLE DEATHS (BY PERCENTAGE): 2000 VS 2015 (Graph) 3.1.6 Global Healthcare Trends 3.2 South African Burden of Disease (8 pages) 3.2.1 South African Health Indicators: Mortality, Life Expectancy and Fertility: SOUTH AFRICAN POPULATION (IN MILLIONS): 1960-2030, LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH (IN YEARS): 1960-2015, CRUDE DEATH RATE: 2002-2016 (Graphs and Table) 3.2.2 South African Burden of Disease: ANNUAL NUMBER OF DEATHS IN SOUTH AFRICA (2010-2015), DISTRIBUTION OF NATURAL AND NON-NATURAL CAUSES OF DEATH (2010-2015) (Graphs) 3.2.3 South African Burden of Disease: Natural Causes of Death: TOP 10 NATURAL CAUSES OF DEATH IN SOUTH AFRICA: 2015, TEN LEADING UNDERLYING NATURAL CAUSES OF DEATH: 2013-2015 (Graphs) 3.2.4 South African Burden of Disease: Main Groups of Causes of Death: DISTRIBUTION OF SOUTH AFRICAN DEATHS AMONG THE THREE MAIN GROUPS OF CAUSES OF DEATH: 2015 (Graph) 3.2.5 South African Noncommunicable Diseases: TOP NONCOMMUNICABLE CAUSES OF DEATH IN SOUTH AFRICA: 2013-2015 (Graph) 12

TABLE OF CONTENTS 3. Global and South African Burden of Disease Continued (16 pages): 3.2 South African Burden of Disease Continued (8 pages) 3.2.6 South African Communicable Diseases: TOP COMMUNICABLE CAUSES OF DEATH IN SOUTH AFRICA: 2013-2015 (Graph) 3.2.7 South African Healthcare Trends 4. Major Non-Communicable Diseases (15 pages): 4.1 Diabetes Mellitus: Major characteristics; Prevalence; Policy landscape; Current Treatment; New treatments and latest research 4.2 Cardiovascular Disease: Major characteristics; Prevalence; Policy landscape; Current Treatment; New treatments and research 4.3 Hyperlipidaemia: Major characteristics; Prevalence; Policy landscape; Current Treatment; New treatments and latest research 4.4 Hypertension: Major characteristics; Prevalence; Policy landscape; Current Treatment; New treatments and latest research 5. Department of Health and Healthcare Policy (21 pages): 5.1 Healthcare Policy Overview (5 pages) 5.1.1 South Africa Health Policy: National Development Plan 2030 5.1.2 South Africa Health Policy: Medium-Term Strategic Framework 2014-2019 5.1.3 Health Policy Highlights 2015/2016 5.1.4 National Budget Speech 2017 13

TABLE OF CONTENTS 5. Department of Health and Healthcare Policy Continued (21 pages): 5.2 National Strategic Plan on HIV, STI S and TB Overview (9 pages) 5.2.1 SA Focus on HIV 5.2.2 SA Focus on Tuberculosis 5.2.3 National Strategic Plan on HIV, STI S and TB (2012-2016): INCREASING NUMBERS OF PATIENTS ON ART (Graph) 5.2.4 National Strategic Plan on HIV, STI S and TB: 2016 Achievement (Table) 5.2.5 National Strategic Plan on HIV, STI S and TB: 2017-2022 5.3 National Health Insurance Overview (7 pages): Based on Government Gazette 30 June 2017 5.3.1 National Health Insurance: Definition and Features of NHI 5.3.2 National Health Insurance: Functioning in Private and Public Hospitals 5.3.3 National Health Insurance: Financing of NHI 5.3.4 National Health Insurance: NHI and Medical Aid Providers 5.3.5 National Health Insurance: Service Offering 14

TABLE OF CONTENTS 6. Healthcare Practitioner Statistics (20 pages): 6.1 Healthcare Practitioner Overview: 2017: REGISTERED HEALTHCARE PRACTITIONER OVERVIEW: 2017 (Graph and Table) 6.2 Medical Practitioners Services Overview: 2017: MEDICAL PRACTITIONERS IN SOUTH AFRICA BY SERVICE. 2017 ( Graph and Table) 6.3 Medical Practitioners in South Africa: Public vs. Private (Table) 6.4 Medical Practitioners Services Overview: 2017 (Tables) 6.5 Medical Practitioners by Province: 2017: MEDICAL PRACTITIONERS (TOP 10 SERVICES) BY PROVINCE: 2017 (Graph) 6.6 Mental Health Practitioner Services Overview: 2017: MENTAL HEALTH PRACTITIONERS IN SOUTH AFRICA BY PROFESSION: 2017 (Graph and Table) 6.7 Mental Health Practitioner by Province: 2017: MENTAL HEALTH PRACTITIONERS BY PROVINCE: 2017 (Graph) 6.8 Allied & Auxiliary Practitioner Services Overview: 2017: ALLIED AND AUXILIARY PROFESSIONALS IN SOUTH AFRICA BY PROFESSIONS: 2017 (Graph and Tables) 6.9 Allied & Auxiliary Practitioner by Province: 2017: ALLIED & AUXILIARY PRACTITIONER BY PROVINCE: 2017 (Graph) 6.10 Dental Practitioner Services Overview: 2017: DENTAL PRACTITIONERS IN SOUTH AFRICA BY PROFESSION: 2017 (Graph and Table) 6.11 Dental Practitioner by Province: 2017: DENTAL PRACTITIONERS BY PROVINCE: 2017 (Graph) 6.12 Complementary & Integrative Practitioner Services: 2017: COMPLEMENTARY & INTEGRATIVE MEDICINCE PRACTITIONERS IN SOUTH AFRICA: 2017 (Graph and Table) 6.13 Complementary & Integrative Practitioner Services Overview: 2017: (Table) 6.14 Complementary & Integrative Practitioner by Province: 2017: COMPLEMENTARY & INTEGRATIVE MEDICINCE PRACTITIONERS BY PROVINCE: 2017 (Graph) 6.15 Animal Health Practitioner Services Overview: 2017: ANIMAL HEALTH PRACTITIONERS IN SOUTH AFRICA BY PROFESSION: 2017 (Graph and Table) 15

TABLE OF CONTENTS 7. Hospitals and Clinics (6 pages): 7.1 Hospital Types in South Africa: 2017: HOSPITAL TYPES BY TOTAL PRIVATE, PUBLIC: 2017 (Graph) 7.2 Clinic Types in South Africa: 2017: CLINIC TYPES BY TOTAL PRIVATE, PUBLIC: 2017 (Graph) 7.3 Private Hospitals and Clinic Groups: Total Numbers 2017: HOSPITALS AND CLINIC GROUPS- TOTAL LEVEL: 2017 (Graph) 7.4 Private Hospitals vs. Clinics Provincial Distribution: 2017: PRIVATE HOSPITALS VS CLINICS PROVINCIAL DISTRIBUTION: 2017 (Graph and Table) 7.5 Private Hospital Beds: 2016: PRIVATE HOSPITAL BED MARKET SHARE: 2016 (Graph and Table) 7.6 Public Hospitals vs. Clinics Provincial Distribution: 2017: PUBLIC HOSPITALS VS CLINICS PROVINCIAL DISTRIBUTION: 2017 (Graph and Table) 8. Medical Aids (16 pages): 8.1 Medical Aid Landscape 8.2 Medical Aid: Number of Beneficiaries: 2005-2015: NUMBER OF BENEFICIARIES (MILLION): 2005-2015 (Graph) 8.3 Medical Aid: Age and Gender Distribution of Beneficiaries: 2015: AGE AND GENDER DISTRIBUTION OF BENEFICIARIES: 2015 (Graph) 8.4 Medical Aid: Provincial Distribution of Beneficiaries: 2014 vs. 2015: PROVINCIAL DISTRIBUTION OF BENEFICIARIES: 2014 VS. 2015 (Graph) 8.5 Medical Aid: Number of Schemes: 2005-2015: NUMBER OF SCHEMES: 2005-2015 (Graph) 8.6 Medical Aid: Schemes by Size: 2014-2015: NUMBER OF SCHEMES BY SIZE: 2014-2015 (Graph) 8.7 Medical Aid Administrators: Market Share: 2010-2015: LARGEST MARKET SHARE FOR ALL SCHEMES: 2010-2015: (Graphs) 8.8 Discovery: Company Profile 8.9 GEMS: Company Profile 16

TABLE OF CONTENTS 8. Medical Aids (16 pages): 8.10 Medscheme: Company Profile 8.11 Metropolitan Health Risk Management: Company Profile 8.12 Momentum Health: Company Profile 8.13 Medical Aid: Benefits Paid 2014 vs. 2015: DISTRIBUTION OF HEALTHCARE BENEFITS PAID: 2014 VS. 2015 (Graph) 8.14 Medical Aid: Benefits Paid from Medical Savings Accounts 2015: DISTRIBUTION OF HEALTHCARE BENEFITS PAID FROM SAVINGS: 2015 (Graph) 8.15 Medical Aid: Benefits Paid 2014-2015: TOTAL BENEFITS PAID PER VISIT: 2014-2015 (Graph) 9. Pharmaceutical Services Sector (8 pages): 9.1 Pharmaceutical Services: Retail Pharmacies: 2017: RETAIL PHARMACIES (TOTAL NUMBERS): 2017 (Graph) 9.2 Clicks: Overview: RETAIL BREAKDOWN % FOR CLICKS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 28 FEBRUARY 2017 (Graph) 9.3 Durbell: Overview 9.4 Dis-Chem: Overview 9.5 Other SA Retailers 9.6 SWOT Analysis of the Pharmaceutical Market 17

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