COTS Impact to RM&S from an ISEA Perspective

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COTS Impact to RM&S from an ISEA Perspective Robert Howard Land Attack System Engineering, Test & Evaluation Division Supportability Manager, Code L20 DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A: APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE: DISTRIBUTION IS UNLIMITED. 1

Report Documentation Page Form Approved OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for the collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington VA 22202-4302. Respondents should be aware that notwithstanding any other provision of law, no person shall be subject to a penalty for failing to comply with a collection of information if it does not display a currently valid OMB control number. 1. REPORT DATE MAY 2008 2. REPORT TYPE 3. DATES COVERED 00-00-2008 to 00-00-2008 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE COTS Impact to RM&S from an ISEA Perspective 5a. CONTRACT NUMBER 5b. GRANT NUMBER 5c. PROGRAM ELEMENT NUMBER 6. AUTHOR(S) 5d. PROJECT NUMBER 5e. TASK NUMBER 5f. WORK UNIT NUMBER 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) Naval Sea Systems Comd Port Hueneme,Land Attack Department,Code L20,Port Hueneme,CA,93041 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NUMBER 9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 10. SPONSOR/MONITOR S ACRONYM(S) 12. DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITY STATEMENT Approved for public release; distribution unlimited 11. SPONSOR/MONITOR S REPORT NUMBER(S) 13. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES 5th Annual Acquisition Research Symposium: Creating Synergy for Informed Change, May 14-15, 2008 in Monterey, CA 14. ABSTRACT 15. SUBJECT TERMS 16. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF: 17. LIMITATION OF ABSTRACT a. REPORT unclassified b. ABSTRACT unclassified c. THIS PAGE unclassified Same as Report (SAR) 18. NUMBER OF PAGES 10 19a. NAME OF RESPONSIBLE PERSON Standard Form 298 (Rev. 8-98) Prescribed by ANSI Std Z39-18

Introduction. Architecture Reliability MTB (M/CE) Part to Block Analysis Reliability Block Diagram Redundancy Reconfiguration Cap. Feedback Stability Recovery Initialization Redundancy Reconfiguration Data Design Support Analysis MTTR PMS Training FD/FI Capability FMECA Tech Documentation Maint Task Analysis Tools FD/FI Design Capability GPETE/SPETE Maintainability. 3M Ao ULSS ABL (OBS) NAVICP Stocks Depot Capability Supportability MLDT RBS Model Failure Rates RBD ILSP LORA. 2

NSWC Port Hueneme Background Homeport for Navy's Test Ship Deep Water Port 44 Years of Fleet Support 1912 Civilians 21 Officers, 90 Enlisted 940 Industry Support Washington D.C. *Headquarters Port Hueneme *Combat, Weapon, UNREP Systems *In-Service Engineering *Test, Evaluation and Certification *Integrated Logistics San Diego *Systems Engineering *Systems Integration Louisville *Guns *Corrosion Control Virginia Beach *Radars White Sands *Missile Systems *HE Lasers Mission: Integrate, Test, Evaluate and Provide Life-Cycle Engineering and Logistics for Today's and Tomorrow's Warfare Systems 3

NSWC Port Hueneme Background AEGIS Combat System Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) Close In Weapon System Cooperative Engagement Capability (CEC) Battle Force Interoperability Evolved NATO Seasparrow Missile (ESSM) Guided Missile Launching Systems Gun Weapon Systems (Major/Minor Caliber) HARPOON Weapon System HE Laser Integrated Auto Detect & Tracking System MK 34 Gun Weapon System MK 86 Gun Fire Control System MK 92 Fire Control System NATO Seasparrow Missile System Rapid Anti-Ship Missile Integrated Defense System Rolling Airframe Missile System Search Radars Ship Self Defense System (SSDS) Standard Missile Tactical TOMAHAWK Target Acquisition System TOMAHAWK Weapon Control System (All Variants) and TOMAHAWK All Up Round Underway Replenishment Vertical Launching System Surface Combatants Aircraft Carriers Amphibious Replenishment Strike Groups Allied Forces 4

Architecture Issue Sustainment challenges as we move to Open Architecture Increased system reliability issues Fleet operating procedures Impact Increased maintenance complexity Interim Solution System level maintenance aids Increased configuration tracking requirements SUB LRU tracking process Long Term Solution Design inherent capabilities to provide FD/FI Reduce conflicts in architecture issues Allow architecture to change as issues are found 10 0 % 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10 % 0% CP MW HW Mil Example Mil STD COTS COTS Example Hardware Repalcement actions non Hardware Replacement Actions LAN System Manual 5

Design Support Analysis Issue Current MILSTD only addresses hardware issues. Unknown reliability issues Impact Inadequate maintenance aids Inaccurate root cause identification was upgraded to, since then we have experienced constant system problems... experienced issues with technical documentation, parts support, equipment training, system reliability and computer program performance. Update and develop R&M analysis products Interim Solution Conduct analysis of fleet failure Long Term Solution Conduct Gap analysis on current supportability guidance Leverage from commercial efforts 6

Data Issue Inaccurate data obtained from manufacturer Actual ~63% outside 1 Lambda ~34% insufficient data Architecture is over and under designed Impact Optimal maintenance strategy may not be reflected Inaccurate modeling for lifetime buy requirements 0 Predicted 3% Expected Distribution Adjust maintenance and supply support posture on actual reliability data Interim Solution Plan for reassessment of O, I, and D levels Buy to confidence level and use fleet inventory shore assets for risk fallback Long Term Solution Develop weighting mechanism for adjusting predicted failure rates Have a iterative process for improving confidence and failure rate Adjust acquisition or ILS milestones based on confidence of data Redundancy Lifetime Buy 7

Feedback Issue RMS Data is incomplete and inaccurate for analysis beyond LRU replacement Reliability issues are masked Use comparative analysis Impact Maintainability issues are not identified Interim Solution Utilize direct observations and qualitative feedback mechanisms System support issues are correlated to hardware, not the system Modify engineering analysis process to identify correlating factors Long Term Solution Invest in architecture to allow automated data structures for transmission of required data Develop shorebase analysis tools as part of knowledge management % of 2Ks Reporting 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 Year 2k Use of optional fields is decreasing and majority ordered parts (95% in FY05) Direct Observations Qualitative Feedback Data Correlation 3M Process AMT FD / FI 8

Interoperable Integrated Embedded Real-Time Distance Support Self Repairing HW/SW Automated Maintenance Redundant Application HW/SW Virtual Logistics Embedded Technical Data System Integrated Technical Manuals Synchronized Supply Support Just-in-Time Embedded Training Remote Integrated Teams Automated Prognostics 24/7/365 Virtual Teams: Fleet/ RMC s/isea s /Design / OEM s / PM s Systems Engineered Solutions Continuous Condition Reporting Condition/Risk Assessments System Activated Requisitioning Linked Monitoring and Diagnostics Remote Test, Evaluation & Repair Remote Upgrade Capability Remote Diagnostics Discrete IT 21 Self Correcting Systems Advanced Distance Assist Federated FORCEnet Fusion2020 Next Generation Roadmap Joint Distance Support Predictive Readiness Embedded Sensors Periodic Data Output/ Analysis Predictive Maintenance Models ICAS ANCHOR Desk 24/7/365 NAVY Distance Support Separate Help Desks Multiple Web Sites Late 90s Virtual Replication Virtual Test VNC DS 2.0 Integrated Data Land-Based System connectivity Distributed Models / Simulations Live & Sim Test Integration Today Multi-Degrees of Freedom Ship Systems Models Joint Distributed Engineering Plants Advanced Test & Evaluation Virtual Event Monitoring Modular Modeling & Simulation Integrated Data Acquisition & Analysis JV 2020 9

Summary ISEA recognizes the changing architecture requires changes how we provide in-service to the fleet. 10