New models of care supported by diagnostic technology

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New models of care supported by diagnostic technology Prof Dan Lasserson MA MD FRCP Edin MRCGP Senior Interface Physician in Acute and Complex Medicine, Dept of Geratology Associate Professor, Nuffield Department of Medicine Clinical Lead for Diagnostics and Pathways, Oxford AHSN @DanLasserson

CONTENTS New models of care and the Future Hospital Delivering ambulatory emergency care POC diagnostics as critical enablers Accuracy and utility in care pathways Which diagnostics do we need to support new care models?

Future Hospital Principles the interface with the community A Medical Division that has in-hospital and community based components Ambulatory emergency care should be the default for all patients, unless admission required on clinical need Develop specialist models of care that operate beyond the hospital walls, providing care integrated with community providers/gps, particularly into care homes Clinical Coordination centre that can match care needs with capacity/capability across the health economy (to include Urgent Care, Out of Hours care, Medical Division)

Future Hospital Commission, Royal College of Physicians 2013 The hospital - community interface

What is ambulatory emergency care? Diagnosis, observation, treatment, rehabilitation not provided in the traditional hospital bed base or outpatients Improved patient experience, reduce negative impact of hospital admission, cost-effectiveness Needs observation periods, rapid diagnostics, decision-makers, reassessments Communication with a capable community

A Post Hospital Syndrome? Medicare readmissions in US ( >65 years) after index admissions for acute MI, pneumonia, heart failure 18-25% readmitted within 30 days, mostly with different conditions Interpreted as a transient, acquired generalised increase in risk for multiple conditions JAMA 2013;309 (4): 355-363 NEJM 2013;368:100-102

Delivering ambulatory emergency care Community based acute multidisciplinary assessment and treatment Working outside the hospital walls Integrated working with community partners Improve patient and carer experience of acute assessment and treatment

Emergency Multidisciplinary Unit (EMU) Accessible, rapid, multidisciplinary diagnosis and treatment from a community setting Credible alternative to acute hospital admission Personalised acute care process, tailored to risk, patient and carer preference Platform for innovation in care models for older patients living with frailty

Emergency Multidisciplinary Unit (EMU) Investigations POC bloods Na, K, urea, creatinine, calcium, glucose, blood gases, lactate, INR, haemoglobin, troponin, CRP Plain X-Ray (no cross-sectional imaging) Interface multidisciplinary team care : delivers enabling care alongside interventions traditionally delivered in an acute hospital, in settings close to home Intravenous fluid, diuresis, antibiotics, blood products Frequent assessment/monitoring (therapist, nursing, social, medical care) Care Pathways Ambulatory care Bed based care (community or acute)

Acutely unwell frail older adult living at home/care home Patient Flow Primary Care Paramedic Community team EMU referral Dedicated transport EMU assessment and treatment Home Community hospital Acute

Point of Care vs Laboratory controlled lab based studies Sodium i-stat V Lab (mmol/l) Line X=Y 6 Potassium i-stat V Lab (mmol/l) Line X=Y 150 5.5 145 5 i-stat 140 135 130 125 i-stat 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 120 120 125 130 135 140 145 150 2 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 Laboratory Laboratory

Point of Care vs Laboratory in routine clinical use

Importance of POC testing in community settings

Bringing community innovation back in to the hospital Patient flow referral and in-reach Clinical assessment Diagnostics (POC, laboratory, imaging) Parenteral therapy Therapist interventions No further follow up after initial assessment Ambulatory treatment pathway Small % of patients with short acute stay Home Care home Community hospital Acute medical bed

Selecting patients for ambulatory emergency care Fundamental element of Future Hospital report is ambulatory emergency care What is the level of agreement over which patients are suitable to be ambulated in acute illness?

Selecting patients for ambulatory emergency care

Selecting patients for ambulatory emergency care 533 consecutive acute referrals median age 80 yrs, 59% female, mean Barthel = 16.7 11% referred by paramedics, 85% referred by GPs 13.3% from care home/supported living Of those living at home 23% had a care package, 40% living alone

Selecting patients for ambulatory emergency care 533 consecutive acute referrals - presentations 48% decreased mobility/functional decline 37% breathlessness 20% falls 18% acute confusion 43% deemed to have increased care needs

Selecting patients for ambulatory emergency care Pathway outcomes at 30 days after referral 61% remained on an ambulatory pathway 10% initially ambulatory then escalated to acute care 28% initially admitted 9% transfer to acute hospital bed 19% admitted to community hospital bed

Markers of physiological status NEWS

NEWS score - predicting continued ambulatory status at 30 days

NEWS score + POC blood tests (urea, crp, Hb) - predicting continued ambulatory status at 30 days

Candidate biomarkers for ambulatory care selection All presentations to ED with breathlessness BNP predicts long term mortality irrespective of diagnosis

Delivering new care models professional perspectives I think it does provide a better experience for patients, it s smoother and. they obviously get their treatment quicker I don t think we could function at all as a unit without it [POC testing] crucial integral to running this service for our decision making at the time and to provide a plan for that patient and give them the best treatment we need to have that [POC test] result in our hand there and then Croxson C, Glogowska M, Locock L, Lasserson D, under review, BMC Health Services Research

Delivering new care models POC blood tests are critical enablers Release a cascade of change in processes of care High quality decision making in the acute care pathway Rapid diagnosis and rapid rule out Move care closer to home Improve patient flow Patient and carer experience

Delivering new care models - challenges POC tests are critical enablers Which blood tests optimise selection for ambulatory care? Acute care in the home / care home Clinician pipeline new care models and new ways of working POC imaging acute kidney injury, effusions, doppler

New models of care supported by diagnostic technology Prof Dan Lasserson MA MD FRCP Edin MRCGP Senior Interface Physician in Acute and Complex Medicine, Dept of Geratology Associate Professor, Nuffield Department of Medicine Clinical Lead for Diagnostics and Pathways, Oxford AHSN @DanLasserson