Manpower Q1 28 Employment Outlook Survey Canada A Manpower Research Report
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey Canada Contents Q1/8 Canadian Employment Outlook 1 Regional Comparisons Sector Comparisons Global Employment Outlook 11 International Comparisons Americas International Comparisons Asia Pacific International Comparisons EMEA About the Survey 18 About Manpower 19 Please note that throughout this report, the figure used in all graphs is the. This figure is derived by taking the percentage of employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity and subtracting from this the percentage of employers that expect to see a decrease in employment at their location in the next quarter.
Canada Employment Outlook Canadian employers project a modest hiring climate for the first quarter of 28 according to results of the latest Manpower Employment Outlook Survey. The survey of more than 1,7 Canadian employers reveals that 16 plan to increase their payrolls while anticipate cutbacks for a of +6. Of those polled, 72 expect no changes and 2 are unsure of their staffing intentions. With seasonal variations removed from the data, the Net Employment Outlook of +21 is a three percentage point increase from the previous quarter, indicating continued upbeat hiring expectations for the first quarter of 28. Increase Decrease No Change Don t Know Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted 1st Quarter 28 16 72 2 6 21 4th Quarter 27 25 9 64 2 16 19 3rd Quarter 27 33 5 59 3 28 18 2nd Quarter 27 3 5 63 2 25 17 1st Quarter 27 17 14 67 2 3 18 35 3 25 2 15 5-5 - -15 89 9 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 The Outlook for the January to March 28 period is a cautiously optimistic increase from the same time last year when the seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook was +18. This Outlook of +21 is a slight increase from the last quarter when the was +19. Increase Decrease No Change Don t Know Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted Construction 26 19 52 3 7 4 Education 11 1 85 3 16 Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 18 5 76 1 13 14 Manufacturing Durables 19 14 65 2 5 18 Manufacturing Non-Durables 11 11 77 1 Mining 5 11 39 39 35 Public Administration 14 5 76 5 9 2 Services 15 6 77 2 9 22 Transportation & Public Utilities 16 8 76 8 17 Wholesale & Retail Trade 16 15 68 1 1 29 1
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey Canada Regional Comparisons Atlantic Canada +5 Atlantic Canada employers project a moderate hiring climate as 14 plan to hire while 9 expect cutbacks for a of +5. This is a considerable decrease from the previous quarter when the was +2, however, hiring prospects remain mild for the January to March 28 period. Atlantic employers in the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector expect a robust hiring climate with an Outlook of +31. Employers in the Public Administration sector anticipate a hopeful three months with a Net Employment Outlook of +11. In the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector, employers expect a fair quarter with a of 9, while employers in the Education sector project a mild hiring climate with a of +7. With a of +6 employers in the Transportation and Public Utilities sector anticipate a conservative first quarter. Employers in the Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods sector also see encouraging signs with a first quarter of +5. Employers in the Services sector anticipate a slight increase in hiring activity over the next three months with a reported of +3, while employers in the Manufacturing Durable Goods sector expect a cloudy quarter with a Net Employment Outlook of -6. Hiring intentions among employers in the Construction sector are dim with a of -16, while employers in the Mining sector anticipate a gloomy three months with a of -25. Halifax area employers report the most robust hiring prospects for Atlantic Canada with a Net Employment Outlook of +27. Employers in both Charlottetown and St. John s report a respectable Net Employment Outlook of +. Job seekers in Fredericton may look forward to a fair hiring climate with employers reporting a of +6. Employers in the Moncton and Saint John areas anticipate a muted three months as both report a of -3. Employers in Cape Breton are reporting a dim hiring climate with a of -13. Increase Decrease No Change Don t Know Net Employment Outlook All Industries 14 9 77 5 Construction 15 31 54-16 Education 7 93 7 Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 31 69 31 Manufacturing Durables 19 25 56-6 Manufacturing Non-Durables 9 4 87 5 Mining 25 5 25-25 Public Administration 11 89 11 Services 5 2 93 3 Transportation & Public Utilities 11 5 84 6 Wholesale & Retail Trade 22 13 65 9 2
Ontario + Ontario employers predict a flat hiring climate for the January to March 28 period as 11 plan to add staff and 11 anticipate cutbacks for a Net Employment Outlook of. This is a decrease from the previous quarter, when the was +13. Employers in Ontario s Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector expect a moderate quarter with a reported Net Employment Outlook of +7. Public Administration sector employers report a conservative hiring climate with a Net Employment Outlook of +5. Employers in Education and the Services sectors project an encouraging hiring climate with both reporting a of +4. Employers in the Manufacturing Durable Goods sector expect a modest quarter with a of +1. Employers in the Transportation and Public Utilities sector anticipate a slow hiring climate with a of -1. Employers in Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods and the Construction sectors project a limited hiring climate, with both reporting s of -4. In the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector employers expect a disappointing three-month period with a Net Employment Outlook of -6, and in the Mining sector the hiring climate remains flat with a reported Net Employment Outlook of. Fort Erie employers report the most upbeat hiring intentions in Ontario with a projected Net Employment Outlook of +13. Employers in Barrie also anticipate a favourable hiring climate with a Net Employment Outlook of +, while Kitchener/Cambridge Area employers report a moderate hiring climate with a Net Employment Outlook of +8. Job seekers in Ottawa and Toronto expect a conservative three-months as both areas report a Net Employment Outlook of +5. Employers in the Kingston and Brockville areas report cautiously optimistic hiring intentions, both with s of +4. Belleville and York Region employers expect a flat three months with both areas reporting Net Employment Outlooks of. The hiring forecast for the Hamilton and the Northumberland County area is sluggish as employers report a of -3. Employers in the Welland/Port Colborne, Brantford and Niagara Falls areas expect downbeat hiring climates all reporting a of -4. St. Catharines area employers are projecting a cloudy three months with a of -6, while employers in the London, Durham Region and Peterborough areas all forecast struggling hiring climates with Net Employment Outlooks of -7. Employers in Thunder Bay and Windsor report a gloomy first quarter with s of -14 and -17, respectively. Increase Decrease No Change Don t Know Net Employment Outlook All Industries 11 11 77 1 Construction 21 25 52 2-4 Education 6 2 9 2 4 Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 3 87 7 Manufacturing Durables 16 15 68 1 1 Manufacturing Non-Durables 9 13 77 1-4 Mining Public Administration 9 4 87 5 Services 6 82 2 4 Transportation & Public Utilities 9 81-1 Wholesale & Retail Trade 11 17 7 2-6 3
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey Canada Quebec +8 Quebec employers report a moderate hiring climate for the first quarter of 28 as 18 of employers plan to hire and project cutbacks for a Net Employment Outlook of +8. This Outlook is a moderate increase from the previous quarter when the Net Employment Outlook was +3. The hiring forecast for the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector continues to be active with employers reporting a of +23. Employers in the Manufacturing Durable Goods sector are also reporting a positive January to March period with a of +18. Construction sector employers report a steady quarter with a of +. Employers in the Services and Public Administration sectors anticipate a respectable first quarter both with a Net Employment Outlook of +9, while employers in the Education sector anticipate a cautiously optimistic hiring period with a of +8. Employers in the Transportation and Public Utilities sector expect a fair quarter with a reported Net Employment Outlook of +7. Although, hiring intentions in the Wholesale & Retail Trade, as well as in the Mining sector, remain flat with a of. Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods employers report a gloomy quarter with a of -3. Job seekers in Granby expect a healthy hiring climate with a reported of +23. Employers in Sherbrooke anticipate a steady threemonth period with a of +. Employers in Quebec City are predicting a moderate hiring climate with a of +8, while employers in Montreal are projecting a flat hiring climate with a of. Increase Decrease No Change Don t Know Net Employment Outlook All Industries 18 67 5 8 Construction 2 6 Education 8 84 8 8 Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 31 8 61 23 Manufacturing Durables 18 73 9 18 Manufacturing Non-Durables 14 17 69-3 Mining Public Administration 17 8 58 17 9 Services 21 12 59 8 9 Transportation & Public Utilities 2 13 67 7 Wholesale & Retail Trade 13 13 74 4
Western Canada +22 Employers in Western Canada once again predict the most active regional for the country as 29 expect to hire and 7 project cutbacks for a of +22. This is a decrease from the previous quarter, when the Net Employment Outlook was +31, although hiring prospects remain solid for the January to March 28 period. Western Canada employers in the Mining sector expect the most dynamic hiring climate with a Net Employment Outlook of +62. Employers in the Construction sector also anticipate a robust quarter with a Net Employment Outlook of +38, while employers in the Transportation and Public Utilities sector forecast an active hiring climate with a of +27. Employers in the Education sector expect a healthy three months with a of +25. Employers in the Services sector are anticipating a strong hiring climate with a of +24. Employers in the Manufacturing Durable Goods sector are also projecting an optimistic quarter with a reported of +24. In the Public Administration sector employers also anticipate an upbeat first quarter with a Net Employment Outlook of +18. Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector employers are reporting a favourable of +16, while employers in the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector report a positive first quarter with a Net Employment Outlook of +13. Manufacturing Non- Durable Good sector employers expect a hopeful hiring pace with a of +. Edmonton and Red Deer employers project dynamic hiring expectations for the first quarter of 28, as both report a of +4. Calgary employers anticipate a bright hiring climate with a Net Employment Outlook of +3, while job seekers in Vancouver and Regina may look forward to a strong hiring climate with reported s of +25. Employers in Victoria anticipate an upbeat hiring forecast with a of +13. The hiring forecast for Winnipeg is modest, with employers reporting a of +8. However, employers in the Saskatoon reported a dim hiring climate with a of -14 Increase Decrease No Change Don t Know Net Employment Outlook All Industries 29 7 61 3 22 Construction 42 4 5 4 38 Education 25 71 4 25 Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 24 8 64 4 16 Manufacturing Durables 37 13 47 3 24 Manufacturing Non-Durables 16 6 75 3 Mining 62 38 62 Public Administration 25 7 57 11 18 Services 29 5 65 1 24 Transportation & Public Utilities 3 3 67 27 Wholesale & Retail Trade 26 13 6 1 13 5
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey Canada Sector Comparisons Of the surveyed industry sectors, Construction employers report the most dynamic results for the January to March period of 28 with a seasonally adjusted of +4 the strongest among all of the industry sectors surveyed. Employers in the Mining sector anticipate another robust quarter with a of +35. Employers in the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector expect a strong three months with a of +29. Employers in the Services sector also predict an active hiring climate with a of +22. The Public Administration sector anticipates a healthy first quarter, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +2. Employers in the Transportation & Public Utilities sector expect a steady hiring climate with a Net Employment Outlook of +17. In the Manufacturing Durable Goods sector employers project an upbeat climate with a Net Employment Outlook of +18 the sector s strongest Outlook since the first quarter of 21. Employers in the Education sector also expect a positive first quarter with a of +16. Employers in Finance, Insurance & Real Estate industry anticipate a respectable quarter with a reported Net Employment Outlook of +14, while employers in the Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods sector predict a hopeful hiring climate with a of +. Construction Education Finance, Insurance & Real Estate Manufacturing Durables Manufacturing Non-Durables Mining Public Administration Services Transportation & Public Utilities Wholesale & Retail Trade 1 5 7 9 9 8 13 16 14 18 17 2 22 29 35 4 39 5 15 2 25 3 35 4 45 Seasonally Adjusted 6
Construction +7 (4) Employers in the Construction sector expect a booming hiring climate with a seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook of +4. Employer hiring projections are 26 percentage points stronger compared to last year, and seven percentage points stronger when compared to three months ago. 6 5 4 3 2 - -2-3 -4 89 9 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Education + (16) Education sector employers predict a respectable first quarter with a seasonally adjusted Net Employment Outlook of +16. Quarter-over-quarter, the Outlook is four percentage points stronger, but relatively stable when a year-over-year comparison is made. Results for the sector increased from the last quarter, when the was +12, and are slightly lower than last year at this time when the was +17. 4 3 2 - -2-3 -4 89 9 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Finance, Insurance & Real Estate +13 (14) Employers in the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector project a slower but still upbeat hiring climate with a seasonally adjusted of +14. The is 11 percentage points weaker quarter-over-quarter, and seven percentage points weaker year-over-year. 3 25 2 15 5-5 - 89 9 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 7
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey Canada Manufacturing Durable Goods +5 (18) A positive three-month period is anticipated by employers in the Manufacturing Durable Goods sector, where a of +18 is reported, once seasonal variations are removed. The Outlook is six percentage points stronger quarterover-quarter, and percentage points stronger year-over-year. 3 2 - -2 89 9 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods + () Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods sector employers project a hopeful hiring climate with a seasonally adjusted of. Employer hiring expectations are two percentage points stronger quarter-over-quarter, and one percentage point stronger year-over-year. 4 3 2 - -2 89 9 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Mining +39 (35) Employers in the Mining sector anticipate a bright first quarter with a of +35 after seasonal variations are removed. The Outlook is moderately weaker by five percentage points quarter-over-quarter, but relatively stable when compared to the previous year s first quarter. 5 4 3 2 - -2-3 89 9 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 8
Public Administration +9 (2) Once seasonal variations are removed from the data, Public Administration sector employers predict an active hiring climate with a of +2. The Outlook is weaker both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year (down two and six percentage points, respectively). 5 4 3 2 - -2-3 89 9 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Services +9 (22) Employers in the Services sector expect a strong hiring climate for the upcoming quarter with a seasonally adjusted of +22. Results for the sector slightly decreased since last quarter s results and from last year s Net Employment Outlook of +25. 4 3 2 - -2 89 9 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Transportation & Public Utilities +8 (17) Employers in the Transportation & Public Utilities sector predict a favourable outlook with a seasonally adjusted of +17. Hiring expectations have weakened slightly by one percentage point from the previous quarter but are consistent with last year s first quarter Net Employment Outlook. 5 4 3 2 - -2-3 89 9 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey Canada Wholesale & Retail Trade +1 (29) Employers in the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector project a solid staffing picture for the first quarter of 28 with a of +29. The Outlook is four percentage points stronger quarterover-quarter and 11 percentage points stronger year-over-year. 5 4 3 2 - -2-3 89 9 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Global Employment Outlook Nearly 52, employers have been interviewed across 27 countries and territories to measure anticipated employment trends* between January and March 28. First quarter hiring is expected to be positive, but with varying degrees of optimism across the countries and territories surveyed. No negative Net Employment Outlooks were reported for Quarter 1 28. Notably, employers in France, Italy and the Netherlands are reporting their most optimistic hiring intentions since the survey began in these countries. * Comments in this section are based on seasonally adjusted data where available. Qtr on Qtr Change Yr on Yr Change Americas Quarter 1 27 Quarter 4 27 Quarter 1 28 Q4 27 to Q1 28 Q1 27 to Q1 28 Argentina 35 32 36 4 1 Canada 3 (18) 1 16 (19) 1 6 (21) 1 - (2) 1 3 (3) 1 Costa Rica 26 34 32-2 6 Mexico 17 (19) 1 21 (2) 1 16 (18) 1-5 (-2) 1-1 (-1) 1 Peru 52 55 52-3 United States 12 (19) 1 18 (18) 1 (17) 1-8 (-1) 1-2 (-2) 1 Asia Pacific Australia China Hong Kong India Japan New Zealand Singapore Taiwan Quarter 1 27 24 (25) 1 18 18 (19) 1 39 18 (25) 1 25 (25) 1 44 (55) 1 15 Quarter 4 27 29 (29) 1 12 24 (24) 1 47 22 (31) 1 26 (27) 1 49 (42) 1 11 Quarter 1 28 24 (24) 1 14 25 (27) 1 42 17 (24) 1 2 (2) 1 43 (51) 1 14 Qtr on Qtr Change Q4 27 to Q1 28-5 (-5) 1 2 1 (3) 1-5 -5 (-7) 1-6 (-7) 1-6 (9) 1 3 Yr on Yr Change Q1 27 to Q1 28 (-1) 1-4 7 (8) 1 3-1 (-1) 1-5 (-5) 1-1 (-4) 1-1 Qtr on Qtr Change Yr on Yr Change EMEA* Quarter 1 27 Quarter 4 27 Quarter 1 28 Q4 27 to Q1 28 Q1 27 to Q1 28 Austria Belgium France Germany Ireland Italy 6 () 1 (11) 1 3 (5) 1 2 (5) 1 21 (22) 1 1 (3) 1 8 (8) 1 5 (6) 1 4 (3) 1 12 (13) 1 5 (7) 1-1 () 1 4 (9) 1 8 (9) 1 6 (8) 1 7 () 1 4 (5) 1 4 (6) 1-4 (1) 1 3 (3) 1 2 (5) 1-5 (-3) 1-1 (-2) 1 5 (6) 1-2 (-1) 1-2 (-2) 1 3 (3) 1 5 (5) 1-17 (-17) 1 3 (3) 1 Netherlands Norway South Africa 6 (7) 1 9 (11) 1 31 8 (6) 1 18 (21) 1 27 (11) 1 21 (22) 1 27 2 (5) 1 3 (1) 1 4 (4) 1 12 (11) 1-4 Spain 13 (15) 1 9 (13) 1 9 (11) 1 (-2) 1-4 (-4) 1 Sweden 8 (12) 1 14 (17) 1 6 () 1-8 (-7) 1-2 (-2) 1 Switzerland 11 13 8-5 -3 UK 12 (15) 1 13 (12) 1 *EMEA Europe, Middle East and Africa. 1. Number in parentheses is the Net Employment outlook when adjusted to remove the impact of seasonal variations in hiring activity. Please note that this data is not available for all countries as a minimum of 13 quarters worth of data is required. 7 () 1-6 (-2) 1-5 (-5) 1 11
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey Canada Employers in 12 countries and territories are reporting stronger hiring intentions compared to three months ago. When compared to Quarter 1 27, Outlooks improved in countries and territories, and weakened in 16. The strongest first-quarter hiring expectations reported globally were in Peru, Singapore, India, Argentina, Costa Rica, Hong Kong and South Africa. Globally, employers in Ireland reported the least optimistic hiring plans. Regionally, employers in the Americas continue to report positive s, with employers in Peru, Argentina and Costa Rica anticipating the strongest hiring plans. In the United States, Quarter 1 job prospects are expected to remain relatively steady when compared to Quarter 4 27, but hiring intentions are slightly softer when compared to last year at this time. Outlooks in Asia Pacific have remained steady after a healthy fourth quarter, with employers in Singapore and India reporting the most optimistic Outlooks in the region. In the Europe, Middle East & Africa (EMEA) region, six of 13 Outlooks softened from three months ago, and the majority of the region s employers are reporting slightly weaker Outlooks compared to Quarter 1 27. However, when combined with the optimistic forecasts from Dutch, French and Italian employers, the Survey Respondents by Region Americas 43 Asia Pacific 33 Research for the Quarter 1 28 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey involved surveying nearly 52, human resource directors and senior hiring managers from public and private organizations worldwide. 43 of the respondents came from six countries in the Americas; 33 from eight countries and territories across Asia Pacific; and 24 from 13 countries in EMEA. EMEA 24 12
International Comparisons Americas Nearly 23, interviews have been conducted across Argentina, Canada, Costa Rica, Mexico, Peru and the United States to measure anticipated hiring activity for Quarter 1 28. Employers across the six countries surveyed in the region are reporting varying degrees of positive hiring activity. Outlooks weakened slightly in four of the six countries when compared to Quarter 4 27, but Argentina 5 4 3 2 improved in three of the six countries when compared to Quarter 1 27. Employers in Peru, Argentina and Costa Rica are the most optimistic about hiring in the next three months. Mexican employers continue to report a healthy Outlook, similar to that of the first quarter 27. The pace of hiring in the United States is expected to be slightly weaker from one year ago, while Canadian employers anticipate the strongest first quarter hiring activity in seven years. Canada 5 4 3 2 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 Argentina joined the survey in Q1 27. Costa Rica 5 4 3 2 Mexico 5 4 3 2 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 Costa Rica joined the survey in Q3 26. Peru USA 6 5 5 4 4 3 2 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 3 2 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 Peru joined the survey in Q2 26. 13
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey Canada International Comparisons Asia Pacific Nearly 17, interviews have been conducted across the Asia Pacific region to measure anticipated hiring activity between January and March 28. Hiring across the eight countries and territories surveyed is expected to be positive, although first quarter recruiting is typically slower in many of these labor markets. Employers in Singapore and India are Australia 5 4 3 2 reporting the strongest hiring plans, while employers in Taiwan and China are reporting the region s weakest hiring expectations. New Zealand s Outlook remains strong, although the country s employers are reporting the least optimistic Outlook since the New Zealand survey began in 24. Regionally, employers in six of eight countries and territories indicate that they will slow the pace of hiring compared to last year at this time. Outlooks improved from Quarter 4 27 in four countries and territories. China 5 4 3 2 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 Hong Kong 5 4 3 2 China joined the survey in Q2 25. India 5 4 3 2 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 Japan 5 4 3 2 India joined the survey in Q3 25. New Zealand 5 4 3 2 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 14 New Zealand joined the survey in Q2 24.
Singapore 6 5 4 3 2 Taiwan 5 4 3 2-23 24 25 26 27 28 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 Taiwan joined the survey in Q2 25. 15
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey Canada International Comparisons EMEA Over 12, interviews have been conducted with employers across 13 EMEA countries to measure anticipated hiring activity for Quarter 1 28. Employers across the region continue to report varying degrees of positive hiring activity, although eight of the 13 countries are reporting less optimistic Net Employment Outlooks compared to Quarter 1 27. Austria 5 4 3 2 Employers in Norway, Netherlands, Spain, Germany, Sweden and the United Kingdom are reporting the region s strongest first quarter hiring expectations. Notably, Dutch, French and Italian employers plan to increase the pace of hiring from both Quarter 4 27 and this time last year, and are reporting their most optimistic Outlooks since the survey began in their countries in Quarter 3 23. Conversely, employers in Ireland are forecasting the country s weakest hiring pace in four years. Belgium 5 4 3 2 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 France 5 4 3 2 Germany 5 4 3 2 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 Ireland 5 4 3 2 Italy 5 4 3 2 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 16
Netherlands 5 4 3 2 Norway 5 4 3 2 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 South Africa 5 4 3 2 Spain 5 4 3 2 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 South Africa joined the survey in Q4 26. Sweden 5 4 3 2 Switzerland 5 4 3 2 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 UK Switzerland joined the survey in Q3 25. No bar indicates of zero. 5 4 3 2 - -2 23 24 25 26 27 28 17
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey Canada About the Survey The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted quarterly to measure employers intentions to increase or decrease the number of employees in their workforces during the next quarter. The survey has been running for more than 45 years and is one of the most trusted surveys of employment activity in the world. Various factors underpin the success of the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey: Unique: It is unparalleled in its size, scope, longevity and area of focus. Projective: The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is the most extensive, forward-looking employment survey in the world, asking employers to forecast employment over the next quarter. In contrast, other surveys and studies focus on retrospective data to report on what occurred in the past. Focused: For more than four decades, the survey has derived all of its information from a single question. Independent: The survey is conducted with a representative sample of employers from throughout the countries in which it is conducted. The survey participants are not derived from Manpower s customer base. Robust: The survey is based on interviews with nearly 52, public and private employers across 27 countries and territories to measure anticipated employment trends each quarter. This sample allows for analysis to be performed across specific sectors and regions to provide more detailed information. Methodology The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted using a validated methodology, in accordance with the highest standards in market research. The research team for the 27 countries and territories where the survey is currently conducted includes Manpower s Market Intelligence team; the Organization Research and Analysis Division of Right Management Consultants an independent operating division of Manpower Inc.; NOP World, Grupo IDM, DATUM Research and SEL Consultores. The survey has been structured to be representative of each national economy. The margin of error for all national, regional and global data is not greater than +/- 3.9. In Canada, the national survey is conducted by Dare Marketing Inc., and includes over 1,7 employers. With this number of interviews, the margin of error for the Canadian survey is +/- 2.4. Survey Question All employers participating in the survey worldwide are asked the same question, How do you anticipate total employment at your location to change in the three months to the end of March 28 as compared to the current quarter? Throughout this report, we use the term Net Employment Outlook. This figure is derived by taking the percentage of employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity and subtracting from this the percentage of employers that expect to see a decrease in employment at their location in the next quarter. The result of this calculation is the. Seasonal Adjustment Seasonal adjustments have been applied to the data for Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Singapore, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom and the United States to provide additional insight into the survey data. These adjustments make it possible to review the data without the employment fluctuations that normally occur at the same time each year, thus providing a clearer picture of the data over time. Manpower intends to add seasonal adjustments to the data for other countries in the future, as more historical data is compiled. 18
History of the Survey 1962 1st generation of the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey launched in the United States and Canada. 1966 Manpower s UK operation launches the equivalent of the United States survey, naming the report the Quarterly Survey of Employment Prospects. The survey adopts the same forward-looking research format as the United States survey and is the first of its kind in Europe. 1976 2nd generation of Manpower s Employment Outlook Survey launched in the United States and Canada. Research methodology is updated to evolve with advancements in the field of market research. 22 Manpower UK s Quarterly Survey of Employment Prospects is updated to adopt an enhanced research methodology. Manpower s operations in Mexico and Ireland launch the survey in their respective countries. 23 3rd generation of the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is launched, expanding the program to a total 18 countries and territories worldwide: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Netherlands, Norway, Singapore, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom and United States. 24 Manpower operations in New Zealand launch the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey. 25 Manpower operations in China, India, Switzerland and Taiwan launch the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey. 26 Manpower operations in Costa Rica, Peru and South Africa joined the survey program. Surveys in Australia, Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Netherlands, Norway, Singapore, Spain and Sweden add seasonally adjusted data in the third quarter. 27 Manpower operations in Argentina launch the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey. The survey in New Zealand adds seasonally adjusted data in the first quarter. About Manpower Inc. Manpower Inc. (NYSE: MAN) is a world leader in the employment services industry; creating and delivering services that enable its clients to win in the changing world of work. The $18 billion company offers employers a range of services for the entire employment and business cycle including permanent, temporary and contract recruitment; employee assessment and selection; training; outplacement; outsourcing and consulting. Manpower s worldwide network of 4,4 offices in 73 countries and territories enables the company to meet the needs of its 4, clients per year, including small and medium size enterprises in all industry sectors, as well as the world s largest multinational corporations. The focus of Manpower s work is on raising productivity through improved quality, efficiency and cost-reduction across their total workforce, enabling clients to concentrate on their core business activities. Manpower Inc. operates under five brands: Manpower, Manpower Professional, Elan, Jefferson Wells and Right Management. More information on Manpower Inc. is available at www.manpower.com. About Manpower Canada With over 5 offices strategically located across the country, Manpower Canada s staffing services include administrative, industrial, skilled trades and contact centre personnel as well as the assignment of contract professionals in information technology, scientific, finance, engineering, telecommunications and other professional areas under the Manpower Professional brand. More information can be found on Manpower Canada s Web sites, manpower.ca and manpowerprofessional.ca. 19
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey Canada 2
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