Daily Operations Briefing April 26, 2013 As of 8:30 a.m. EDT 1
Significant Activity: April 25-26 Significant Events: Heavy rain/flooding Midwest Spring Flood Season 2013 Avian Influenza Significant Weather: Rain & thunderstorms Central/Southern Rockies eastward to Middle/Lower Mississippi Valley Severe thunderstorms possible Southern Plains Rain Ohio Valley to Southeast; Northeast Red Flag Warnings AL Critical Fire Weather Areas: None Space Weather: Minor past 24 hours with G1 geomagnetic storms; none next 24 hours Tropical Activity: No activity Earthquake Activity: No significant activity Declaration Activity: No activity 2
Heavy rain/flooding Midwest (Region V) State/Local Response Michigan EOC fully activated Local states of emergency for 7 counties and city of Grand Rapids 342 homes impacted (destroyed or damaged) statewide; 230 homes affected (Kent County) State PDAs ongoing in 9 counties and city of Grand Rapids Voluntary evacuations remain in effect for 8 (+1)counties and 2 cities 3 shelters open with 3 (-2) occupants Illinois EOC partially activated Governor declared state of emergency for 44 counties; local state of emergency for 3 counties PDA Teams to deploy on April 29 to assess damages 1 confirmed fatality Voluntary evacuations remain in effect for 6 counties 7 (+1) shelters open with 107 (+6) occupants Federal Response Region V RRCC activated to Level III; RWC is at Enhanced Watch (24/7) IMAT Alpha deploying to MN EOC and IMAT Bravo deploying to IL EOC on April 29 IMAT Charlie assigned to support IN / MI should need arise LNOs deployed to state EOCs: MI: 1, MN: 1 (will deploy to MN on April 29); LNOs in IL have demobilized IOF will be activated on April 29 in Chicago, IL (Region V HQ) FEMA Logistics ISB team deployed to Federal Staging Area (Ramsey County Water Patrol Annex) at Little Canada, MN 2,751 customers remain without power statewide 3
Spring Flood Season 2013 Impacts Fargo, ND Moorhead, MN: Expect Red River to rise to 37.0 by May 1 (Wed), with crest of 38-40 feet over a week away Possibility of heavy rain April 30 & May 1 (Tues & Wed) State/Local Response North Dakota EOC at Limited Activation Governor requested Emergency Declaration on April 23 Governor declared flood emergency on March 29 for counties with 50% chance of exceeding moderate or major flood stage Cass & Fargo counties and city of Fargo EOCs open Federal Response Region VIII RRCC activated to Level III (days only) IMAT deployed to IOF at ND EOC NWS, USACE, DCE and FEMA Logistics LNOs deployed to IOF at ND EOC Federal commodities pre-positioned in ND 4
Spring Flood Season 2013 - Update Northern part of region still has a deep snowpack. Warming trend through middle of next week with temperatures well above freezing (day and night) is expected to generate significant snowmelt runoff and river rises. Expected increased river flow in the northern tier will also increase the risk for ice break-up jams. Additional precipitation expected over the weekend nothing significant Red River of the North / Souris River Basin NOAA/NWS Experimental Long-Range River Flood Risk (Shows greater than 95% chance of exceeding flood levels this Spring) http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/long_range.php?wfo=fgf Red River of the North Tributaries to the Red, Abercrombie, Wahpeton, and Fargo expected to rise to major flood levels this weekend or early next week. Hallock on the Two Rivers River should approach major by middle of next week. 2013 spring flood will be the latest on record for the southern Red River Basin, including Fargo/Moorhead Souris River Towner is above moderate flood levels after reservoirs were lowered in preparation for spring snowmelt runoff and to mitigate flood damage later this spring Towner and Bantry are expected to rise above major flood levels by middle of next week. 5
2013 Projected Flood Impacts - Overview 6
2013 Projected Flood Impacts - Overview Fargo Gauge Red River of the North Fargo / Moorhead Population Impacts Fargo / Moorhead CIKR Impacts at 50% Most Likely (50%) Most Dangerous (5%) Moorhead Clay County Fargo Cass County Individuals 6,255 6,639 Households 2,639 2,803 impact calculations based on revised modeling and 2010 census figures An additional 48,274 individuals and 21,296 households are protected by permanent and temporary levees Flood fight is expected to be successful, but protective measure failure could expose some or all of those currently protected to additional impacts Exposed/Protected Exposed/Protected Electrical 0 / 0 4 / 1 Chemical 0 / 0 1 / 5 Waste Water 0 / 0 0 / 1 Oil/Gas 0 / 0 0 / 0 Comms 4 / 4 25 / 32 Police 0 / 0 0 / 0 Fire 0 / 0 1 / 0 School 0 / 3 0 / 4 Hospital 0 / 0 0 / 1 7
Support Deployment Timeline Obligated / Surge - DOJ Law Enforcement (surge) -22 officers and vehicles, 6 ATV s - USFWS air boat / watercraft support (surge) - FCC and NIFC activation for ESF #2 PENDING Obligation / Surge - Rotary wing SAR TBD (may be DoD as USCG asset sourcing may be problematic under surge NLT Region 8 Tribal LNO transition from SD to ND EOC - 30APR13 (MON) 01MAY13 (WED) Region 8 FSA RDD; Surging Federal assets for staging in Fargo - 29APR13 (MON) Region 8 FSA operational @ Grand Forks, ND - 28APR13 (SUN) Region 5 FSA operational/rdd @ Little Canada, MN - 27APR13 (SAT) 24APR13 (WED) 25APR13 (THURS) 26APR13 (FRI) - MERS Denver arrived Bismarck, ND; Region 8 DCO/DCE activate; Region 8 IMAT deploy to IOF (Radisson Hotel @ Bismarck, ND) and ND EOC (x6); FCO to ND EOC - USACE LNO deploys with Region 8 IMAT; ESF 7 (GSA) and ESF 13 (DOJ) MA to ND EOC; Region 8 RRCC activate to Level 3 (Days Only); MERS Denver/MERS Bothell arrived Fargo, ND 23APR13 (TUES) - ND Emergency Dec Request submitted to Region 8
H7N9 Avian Influenza A China April 25, 2013: 109 (+5) confirmed human cases across 5 (+3) provinces, 2 municipalities (Beijing and Shanghai) and 1 case in Taiwan (recent travel to China) 23 (+2) fatalities 4 clusters of possible, limited human-to-human transmission More than half of human cases have no contact with poultry; no evidence of sustained human-to-human transmission 24 (+9) US residents with respiratory illness who recently traveled to China were tested; 21 (+8) were negative, 3 test results pending No cases of H7N9 virus in U.S. USDA s surveillance program performed 478,000 tests in last 6 months on domestic and wild birds zero positive tests for virus 9
National Weather Forecast http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf 10
Active Watches/Warnings http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php 11
Precipitation Forecast Days 1 3 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d13_fill.gif 12
River Forecast 13
Forecast River Status http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.ph p?current_color=flood¤t_type=all&f cst_type=fcst&conus_map=d_map 14
Convective Outlooks Days 1 3 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 15
Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 8 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3-8 16
Hazard Outlook: April 28 May 2 MAP: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/hazards_d3_7_contours.png TEXT: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php 17
Drought Monitor as of April 23, 2013 http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/ 19
Space Weather NOAA Scales Activity Range 1 (minor) to 5 (extreme) http://www.swpc.noaa.n/index.html Past 24 Hours Current Next 24 Hours Space Weather Activity: Minor None None http:// Geomagnetic www.spaceweather.com Storms G1 None None Solar Radiation Storms None None None Radio Blackouts None None None HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html 20
Significant Earthquake Activity - US No significant activity 21
Disaster Requests & Declarations Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED (since last report) Requests DENIED (since last report) 3 Date Requested 0 0 KS DR Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm April 10, 2013 TX DR Explosion April 22, 2013 ND EM Flooding April 23, 2013 24
Open Field Offices, as of April 26, 2013 26
OFDC Cadre Member Status Federal Coordinating Officer Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total 18 3 14 1 36 Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4 16* 2 6 2 6 * All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator Positions On Board Available Deployed Pending Hire 10 7 3 4 3 As of: 04/19/2013 27
Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments Region State / Location Event IA/PA Number of Counties Requested Ongoing Complete Start End V IL Heavy Precipitation & Flooding April 18 & Continuing IA 10 0 0 PA 10 0 0 Begin: 4/29 End: TBD Begin:4/29 End: TBD V MN Severe Winter Weather April 9 11, 2013 PA 5 3 (+1) 2 Began: 4/23 End: TBD 28
MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS Location Units Assigned Available FMC Deployed Committed PMC NMC DR-State OPCON En Route DC Atlanta 6 5 0 0 1 7220-ND 0 0 0 DC Cumberland 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 DC Ft Worth 15 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 DC Moffett 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 MERS Bothell 2 2 0 0 0 MERS Denver 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 MERS Frederick 8 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 MERS Maynard 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 MERS Thomasville 13 10 0 0 3 0 0 0 Unit Prep Open Request Notes: Pending Deployment ETA: 4/28 TOTAL 55 51 0 0 4 TOTAL 0 0 0 0 Included in above totals, units in route for turn-in. 0 0 Fully Mission Capable 51 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 4 Total Not Deployed 55 Data as of: 04/25/13 @ 1500 29
Active IA Disasters - Referral Status & Awards WA OR NV CA ID AZ UT Active IA Disasters MT WY NM CO ND SD NE KS TX OK 4078 MN IA MO AR LA 4080 WI MS 4101 4081 MI AL 4052 GA SC FL 4068 NY 4085 PA IN OH IL 4058 WV 4071 VA KY 4061 4042 4057 4059 TN NC 4060 VT NH ME MA CT 4087 RI 4089 NJ DE 4086 MD 4091 $1.6 Billion $1.4 Billion $1.2 Billion $1. Billion $800 Million $600 Million Total IHP Awards Total Awards: 252,048 Total Max Grants: 6,962 IHP Referral Status Approved - 252,048 Ineligible - 273,419 Withdrawn - 30,274 Pending (FEMA) - 486 Pending (Applicant) - 63,152 Average IHP Awards # of DRs 1 17 Legend Open Registration Period (60 days from Declaration, unless extended) IHP Active IHP Assistance period remains open (18 Months from Declaration) $400 Million $200 Million 0 Housing Assistance $1,367,711,511 Other Needs Assistance $227,062,552 Total Awards Amount: $1,594,774,063 $0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 ONA - $2,760 HA - $6,139 IHP - $6,327 18 Total IHP Active Disasters (All information on this slide reflects data for these disasters) # Max Grants = Applicants awarded maximum IHP ($31,900 as of FY 2013) Data as of: 04/25/13 @ 1500 30
IA Registration Statistics DR # - State Hurricane Sandy - Cumulative as of April 25, 2013 @ 1500 Registrations Approved Applicants Total HA Approved Total ONA Approved Total IHP Approved 4086 - NJ 259,946 60,645 $336,110,830 $53,787,278 $389,898,109 Totals 259,946 60,645 $336,110,830 $53,787,278 $389,898,109 24 hour change +38 +32 +$548,036 +$132,468 +$680,503 NPSC Call Data for April 24, 2013 Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 3,267 Average time to answer call 13 seconds 31
Housing Inspection Statistics Hurricane Sandy Inspection Data as of April 25, 2013 @ 1500 DR # - State Inspectors Inspections Assigned Inspections Completed Inspection % Complete Turnaround Time (Days) 4086 - NJ 15 125,862 124,964 99.29% 4.7 TOTAL 15 125,862 124,964 99.29% 4.7 24 hour change +1 +47 +36-0.01% -0.0 32
FEMA Workforce Status Report Workforce Type Total Available To Deploy Committed To Other Activities (All Exemptions) Deployed Operational Readiness Reservist/Limited Emergency Appointment Personnel (LEAP) Cadre of On-Call Response Employees (CORE) 6,968 3,849 (55%) 735 (10%) 2,384 (34%) Mission Capable 2,589 1,040 (41%) 5 (0%) 1,544 (59%) Mission Capable Permanent Full Time (PFT) 4,965 4,451 (90%) 8 (0%) 506 (10%) Mission Capable FEMA Corps 714 20 (1%) 3 (0%) 691 (98%) Deployed DHS Surge Capacity Force 3,796 557 (15%) *3,239 (85%) 0 (0%) Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation Workforce Totals 19,032 9,917 (52%) 3,990 (21%) 5,125 (27%) = <70% Deployed/Mission Capable = 70% - 79% Deployed/Partially Mission Capable = >80% Deployed = >80% Committed to Other Activities- Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation *Deployable based on FEMA need for DHS activation. Data as of 4-25-13 33
IMAT Status National Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status BLUE (East) NYC WHITE (Central) Regional Teams RED (West) NJ Team Status Team Status Team Status Region I NH Region V MN/IL (APR 29) Region VIII ND Region II Region VI-1 OK Region IX-1 Region III Region VI-2 TX Region IX-2 Region IV-1 EBCI Region VII Region X Region IV-2 = Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service 34
Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) Monthly On Call Rotation JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC WEST CENTRAL EAST Team Status Team Status Team Status CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Non-operational PA-TF1 Conditionally Available CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditionally Available VA-TF1 Available CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Conditionally Available VA-TF2 Available WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available UT-TF1 Available = Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service 35
RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status Region RRCC Regional Watch Center I Watch/Steady State Maynard MOC (24/7) II Watch/Steady State 24/7 III Watch/Steady State 24/7 IV Watch/Steady State 24/7 V Level III Enhanced Watch (24/7) VI Watch/Steady State Denton MOC (24/7) VII Watch/Steady State 24/7 VIII Level III Denver MOC (24/7) IX Watch/Steady State 24/7 X Watch/Steady State Bothell MOC (24/7) 36
National Team Status Team/Status Current Location Remarks National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated HLT Miami, FL Not Activated DEST Washington, DC Not Activated Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable 37
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