River Use Update Oct by Steve Sullivan

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Transcription:

Grand Canyon River Office River Use Update Oct-2014 -by Steve Sullivan

Topics Commercial Use Numbers Noncommercial Use (NC) Numbers NC Lottery Applications NC Trip Sizes, Boats, and TAOTs NC Unused Launches NC Upcoming Lotteries

Topics Commercial Use Numbers Noncommercial Use (NC) Numbers NC Lottery Applications NC Trip Sizes, Boats, and TAOTs NC Unused Launches NC Upcoming Lotteries

Commercial Use Since 2010 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 Plan 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Passengers 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Plan 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Trips 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000 Plan 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 User-days

Topics Commercial Use Numbers Noncommercial Use (NC) Numbers NC Lottery Applications NC Trip Sizes, Boats, and TAOTs NC Unused Launches NC Upcoming Lotteries

Noncommercial Trips 9 Year Perspective 120 100 80 60 40 2006 Plan 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20 0 Jan+Feb Mar+Apr May-Jun Jul-Aug Sep-Oct Nov-Dec

Noncommercial User-Days 9 Year Perspective 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 2006 Plan 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 5000 0 Jan+Feb Mar+Apr May-Jun Jul-Aug Sep-Oct Nov-Dec

Noncommercial Passengers 9 Year Perspective 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 2006 Plan 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 400 200 0 Jan+Feb Mar+Apr May-Jun Jul-Aug Sep-Oct Nov-Dec

Noncommercial Trips by Season 250 200 2006 Plan 150 2007 2008 2009 100 2010 2011 50 2012 2013 2014 0 Winter Summer Shoulder

Noncommercial User-Days by Season 60000 50000 2006 Plan 40000 2007 2008 30000 2009 2010 20000 2011 2012 10000 2013 2014 0 Winter Summer Shoulder

Noncommercial Participants by Season 3500 3000 2500 CRMP Predicted Average 15.46 per trip in Winter. 2006 Plan 2007 2000 2008 1500 2014 Average is 8.73 per trip. 2009 2010 1000 2011 2012 500 2013 2014 0 Winter Summer Shoulder

Topics Commercial Use Numbers Noncommercial Use (NC) Numbers NC Lottery Applications NC Trip Sizes, Boats, and TAOTs NC Unused Launches NC Upcoming Lotteries

Applicants in 2014: Who They Are By Age 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Age 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84

Applicants in 2014: What The Lotteries Looked Like Lottery Number of Valid Lottery Applications Number with Confirmed PATLs Percent with Confirmed PATLs 2014 Follow-up Lottery, 8-28-2014 153 9 6% 2015 Follow-up Lottery, 8-21-2014 840 83 10% 2014 Follow-up Lottery, 8-7-2014 214 19 9% 2014 Follow-up Lottery, 7-17-2014 322 20 6% 2014 Follow-up Lottery, 6-19-2014 148 17 11% 2014 Follow-up Lottery, 5-22-2014 259 31 12% 2014 Follow-up Lottery, 4-17-2014 439 42 10% 2015 Follow-up Lottery, 4-10-2014 2031 320 16% 2014 Follow-up Lottery, 3-27-2014 452 34 8% 2014 Follow-up Lottery, 3-13-2014 529 58 11% 2015 Main Lottery, February 2014 4212 811 19%

Applicants in 2014: When (How Often) Did They Apply? Total valid lottery applications submitted = 10,824 Total individuals who applied = 5,507 3,139 applied 1 times 1,177 applied 2 times 495 applied 3 times 298 applied 4 times 133 applied 5 times 96 applied 6 times 67 applied 7 times 46 applied 8 times 23 applied 9 times 17 applied 10 times 7 applied 11 times 2 applied 12 times 3 applied 13 times 2 applied 14 times 1 applied 15 times 1 applied 16 times

Applicants in 2014: Where Are They From? Country Number of Applications United States of America 5,250 Canada 117 United Kingdom 19 New Zealand 16 Czech Republic 14 Australia 13 Germany 11 Slovakia 10 Italy 8 Russian Federation 7 Virgin Islands (US) 6 Ireland 5 Mexico 5 Netherlands 4 Northern Mariana Islands 3 Austria 2 Denmark 2 France 2 India 2 Spain 2 Zambia 2 Belgium 1 Brazil 1 Chile 1 Latvia 1 Poland 1 Puerto Rico 1 South Africa 1 State Number of Applications Colorado 1,245 California 766 Arizona 468 Utah 355 Oregon 322 Washington 309 Idaho 205 Montana 170 New Mexico 166 Wyoming 158 Alaska 130 New York 100 Texas 88 North Carolina 75 Nevada 66 Pennsylvania 51 Tennessee 41 Massachusetts 37 Florida 33 Georgia 32 Minnesota 30 Virginia 29 Maine 27 Maryland 26 New Hampshire 26 Vermont 25 Wisconsin 24 Ohio 24 West Virginia 23 Connecticut 23 Missouri 21 Kentucky 16 Illinois 15 South Carolina 15 Michigan 14 Oklahoma 12 New Jersey 11 Hawaii 10 Louisiana 9 Arkansas 8 Indiana 8 District of Columbia 7 Nebraska 6 Alabama 6 South Dakota 4 Kansas 3 Mississippi 2 Delaware 2 Rhode Island 2 Iowa 2 -- 1 North Dakota 1 AP 1

Cancellation Count by Month of Launch Month / Year Number of Trips Cancelled Dec 2015 11 Nov 2015 6 Oct 2015 2 Aug 2015 1 Jul 2015 5 Jun 2015 3 May 2015 5 Apr 2015 5 Mar 2015 10 Feb 2015 16 Jan 2015 23 Dec 2014 40 Nov 2014 21

Topics Commercial Use Numbers Noncommercial Use (NC) Numbers NC Lottery Applications NC Trip Sizes, Boats, and TAOTs NC Unused Launches NC Upcoming Lotteries

Noncommercial Trip Sizes in 2014 Participants Standard Trips Small Trips 1 9 1 2 7 0 3 2 1 4 9 3 5 8 7 6 7 3 7 14 6 8 12 52 9 14 0 10 12 0 11 18 0 12 18 0 13 12 0 14 19 0 15 29 0 16 211 0

Noncommercial Trip Type in 2014 Motor Non-motor Hybrid January 0 25 0 February 0 25 0 March 0 62 0 April 2 41 1 May 4 40 1 June 3 41 1 July 5 40 0 August 7 38 1 September 1 46 2 October 0 44 0 November 0 27 0 December 0 20 0 TOTAL 22 449 6

Types of Noncommercial Watercraft in 2014 oar kayak other motor paddle paddle board boat dory canoe January 47 65 4 0 1 0 0 0 February 69 46 3 0 0 0 2 0 March 301 111 8 0 3 3 6 1 April 200 44 7 3 4 0 2 1 May 170 48 0 9 6 3 4 1 June 185 60 9 4 4 3 2 0 July 169 43 4 7 1 3 0 1 August 153 86 2 12 0 0 1 1 September 262 71 2 3 10 3 5 0 October 244 72 1 0 5 3 1 0 November 131 57 5 0 2 2 0 5 December 75 18 1 0 1 6 0 3 TOTAL 2,006 721 46 38 37 26 23 13

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Jan-01-2013 Jan-09-2013 Jan-17-2013 Jan-25-2013 Feb-02-2013 Feb-10-2013 Feb-18-2013 Feb-26-2013 Mar-06-2013 Mar-14-2013 Mar-22-2013 Mar-30-2013 Apr-07-2013 Apr-15-2013 Apr-23-2013 May-01-2013 May-09-2013 May-17-2013 May-25-2013 Jun-02-2013 Jun-10-2013 Jun-18-2013 Jun-26-2013 Jul-04-2013 Jul-12-2013 Jul-20-2013 Jul-28-2013 Aug-05-2013 Aug-13-2013 Aug-21-2013 Aug-29-2013 Sep-06-2013 Sep-14-2013 Sep-22-2013 Sep-30-2013 Oct-08-2013 Oct-16-2013 Oct-24-2013 Nov-01-2013 Nov-09-2013 Nov-17-2013 Nov-25-2013 Dec-03-2013 Dec-11-2013 Dec-19-2013 Dec-27-2013 TAOTs in 2013 NC TAOTs Com TAOTs

Noncommercial TAOTs in 2014 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

Topics Commercial Use Numbers Noncommercial Use (NC) Numbers NC Lottery Applications NC Trip Sizes, Boats, and TAOTs NC Unused Launches NC Upcoming Lotteries

10 Unused Launches So Far This Year 70 Used Unused 60 0 50 1 2 1 1 0 3 40 30 20 6 3 62 44 45 45 45 46 49 44 2 2 10 25 25 28 29 0 Jan 2014 Feb 2014 Mar 2014 Apr 2014 May 2014 Jun 2014 Jul 2014 Aug 2014 Sep -42014 Oct 2014 Nov 2014 Dec 2014-10 September 2014 includes some overbookings from the Federal Government shutdown in October 2013

Topics Commercial Use Numbers Noncommercial Use (NC) Numbers NC Lottery Applications NC Trip Sizes, Boats, and TAOTs NC Unused Launches NC Upcoming Lotteries

Dates Available in Upcoming Lottery: River Office Now Pre-Announces Upcoming Dates

Questions? Steve Sullivan Steve_Sullivan@nps.gov