Avoiding the Fate of the Scorpion and the Frog

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Avoiding the Fate of the Scorpion and the Frog Alan R. Morse, JD, PhD Massachusetts Medicaid Policy Institute February 29, 2012 1

Nonsectarian Not-for-profit The Jewish Guild for the Blind Health care organization serving visually impaired, blind and persons with multiple handicaps Widest range of services offered anywhere in the world Many services are unique Includes a full range of health services Addresses the special needs of people with vision loss 2

Programs and Services Low Vision Rehabilitation Clinic Diagnostic & Treatment Clinic Diabetes Care & Self Management Education Psychiatric Clinic Mental Health Day Treatment Developmental Disabilities Day Treatment Crisis Counseling SightCare Bressler Prize in Vision Science GuildScholar Award GuildCare Adult Day Healthcare Guild Institute for Vision and Aging Workplace Technology Independent Living Skills Employment Development Guild School Children s Vision Health Parent tele-support Teen tele-support GuildNet Managed Long Term Care 3

The seeds of Managed Long Term Care were planted in the second term of Governor Pataki s administration. When we created GuildNet we were approved in 1997 -- there were no assurances of the direction that the State was going to move, but there was indication that change was necessary. Change creates opportunities. 3 slides from the Medicaid Redesign Taskforce underscore why we are where we are today. 1. The first shows how much more NY spends per beneficiary than California, Texas, Massachusetts, Florida or Ohio. In 2006, NY spent fully 6 times more than either Ohio or Florida and more than twice as much as its closest competitor, California. The second slide shows the breakdown of how NY s LTC dollars were spent and the enormous disparity between upstate and NY. The final slide indicates growth in spending of the various L TC programs and notes that while all others went up from 2003-2009, MLTC spending per recipient actually declined slightly in absolute dollars, or significantly, if adjusted for inflation. 4

VNS CHOICE GUILDNET ELDERPLAN / HOMEFIRST CCM SELECT SENIOR HEALTH PARTNERS INC ELDERSERVE INDEPENDENCE CARE SYSTEMS WELLCARE AMERIGROUP HHH CHOICES FIDELIS CARE AT HOME SENIOR NETWORK HEALTH ELANT TOTAL AGING IN PLACE PROGRAM New York MLTC Enrollment Growth 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 21% 37% 10000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2009 Dec 2010 Dec 2011 Dec 5000 2000 0 2009 Dec 2010 Dec 2011 Dec 1000 0 17 plans currently operating MLTCs ~85% of MLTC enrollees are dual eligibles Source: NYS DOH; Milliman, Inc. 5

Does Medicare Properly Risk Adjust for Patients with Vision Loss? 7 N RR All Enrollees 3,372 1.0 Vision Impaired 107 1.097 Non-Vision Impaired 3,265.994 Vision Impaired non-institutionalized Vision impaired Institutionalized Non-Vision Impaired Institutionalized Non-vision impaired non- institutionalized 91 1.131 16.91 463.892 2,802 1.004 6

MLTC Benefit Package Assessment & Care Planning Home Health Care: Nursing Home Health Aide Physical Therapy Occupational Therapy Speech Therapy Medical Social Services Personal Emergency Response System Respiratory therapy Nutritional counseling DME Adult Day Health Care Personal Care Nursing Home Non-emergent transportation Home delivered meals Social Day Care Social and environmental supports Podiatry Dentistry Optometry/Eyeglasses Audiology/Hearing Aids Outpatient therapies Coordination of non-covered services 7

26 SAAM Predictors SAAM Predictors Socio-demographic Female/Age 80+ interaction Disease Conditions Dementia Cerebrovascular Chronic renal failure Diabetes with complications Hx of hip fracture >64 years Chronic joint/musculoskeletal Chronic neuromuscular Chronic neurodegenerative Other paralysis Quadriplegia and PVS Functional Ambulation/locomotion Bathing Bowel incontinence CPAP Dressing Lower body limitation Upper body limitation Feeding/eating Grooming limitation Medication management Disruptive behaviors Impaired behaviors 8

GuildNet has two distinct delivery models A partially capitated Medicaid-only plan A fully integrated dual-eligible Medicare Advantage Special Needs Plan (a Medicaid Advantage Plus - MAP) 9

GuildNet Demographics 83% of GuildNet members are duals ~7800 are in MLTC ~400 in Medicare Advantage Special Needs Plan (dual cap) Age range 18+ Average age 76 70% Female 46% live alone 10

Organizational Structure & Function Intake Nurses Case Managers RNs & MSWs Reassessment Nurses Member Service Representatives Specialized Teams Diabetes Mental Health Palliative Care Intensive CM 11

MLTC Care Management Goals: Maintain optimal level of functioning to avoid or delay nursing home placement Manage appropriate utilization of services MLTC care management rationalizes use of services not maximizing services Requires insurance type approach and assumes risk: Managing care versus providing care Care coordination 12

Care Coordination Consistent with Olmstead, care planning must: include the member in decision-making address quality of life actively support member preferences Coordinate care among primary, acute, behavioral and other services including those not in the benefit package to promote continuity of care: assure that transitions between service settings are made smoothly New orders require action Referrals on for non-benefit package services 13

Monitoring Utilization Utilization management is key Need sophisticated IT systems to report, track and monitor Budget utilization as well as cost Monitor experience vs. budget on at least a monthly basis If off budget, take steps to remedy immediately 14

Capitation premium includes all covered services Units PMPM Unit Cost Net PMPM % of Revenue REVENUE $3,950. 100% EXPENSES Personal Care 150.0 $17.00 $2,550. Home Health 2.0 $110.00 $220. Nursing Facility 0.7 $270.00 $189. Transportation /Non- Emergent 3.7 $36 $133. Other Expenses $200. TOTAL EXPENSES $3,292. 83% Care Management $315. 8% Administrative Expenses (Capped) $215. 5% NET PROFIT $128. 3% 15

GuildNet Financials & Enrollment $500,000.00 $400,000.00 10,800 9,800 8,800 7,800 $300,000.00 6,800 $200,000.00 $100,000.00 5,800 4,800 3,800 2,800 1,800 Revenue($K) Expenses ($K) Operating Gain/(Loss)($K) Enrollment $- $(100,000.00) 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 800 (200) (1,200) (2,200) 16

GuildNet SAAM & Risk Scores SAAM Score Risk Score 20.00 18.00 16.00 14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 <65 65+ 1.12 1.1 1.08 1.06 1.04 1.02 1 0.98 Raw Relative 0.00 2008 2009 2010 2011 0.96 April 2010 April 2011 July 2011 17

Opportunities Coordinated & integrated care Ability to address specialized needs Marketplace differentiation and specialization Financial control for State through capitation Financial gain for plans through effective care management 18

Challenges Mandatory enrollment and auto-assignment Assessment of needs Consumer rights & entitlements Home Care vs. Managed Care The fair hearing process Administrative issues Electronic enrollment Mandated contractual relationships Living wage Alignment of incentives between Medicare and Medicaid Conflicting Medicare and Medicaid rules and procedures Understanding market incentives is key 19

A Final Caveat: Remember the Scorpion and the Frog Incentives and goals must always be aligned for the State and for providers neither can achieve their objectives without the other 20

Questions? Alan R. Morse 212 769 6215 armorse@jgb.org 21