Upgrading Voter Registration in Florida

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Transcription:

Upgrading Voter Registration in Florida David Becker Director, Election Initiatives 1

2012: Florida Snapshot Below National Average of 71.2% 2

Change in Voting Age Population (VAP), 2008-2012 U.S. Census Intercensal County Population Estimates by Age. Sex, and Race, 2008 and 2012. http://www.census.gov/popest/index.html 3

Change in Registration Rate out of VAP, 2008-2012 Florida Secretary of State Registration and Turnout : http://election.dos.state.fl.us/elections/resultsarchive/ 4

Turnout Rate out of VAP, 2008 and 2012 2008 2012 Turnout Out of Census VAP Less than 50% 50.01% - 55% 55.01% - 60% 60.01% - 65% 65.01% - 70% More than 70% Florida Secretary of State Registration and Turnout : http://election.dos.state.fl.us/elections/resultsarchive/ 5

Change in Turnout Rate out of VAP, 2008-2012 Florida Secretary of State Registration and Turnout : http://election.dos.state.fl.us/elections/resultsarchive/ 6

Change in Provisional Ballots Cast out of Total Ballots Cast, 2008-2012 Election Assistance Commission, 2012 Draft Election Administration and Voting Survey Data. 2013. 2008 Election Administration and Voting Survey Data. 2009. http://www.eac.gov/research/election_administration_and_voting_survey.aspx 7

Change in Provisional Ballots Rejected out of Total Ballots Cast, 2008-2012 Election Assistance Commission, 2012 Draft Election Administration and Voting Survey Data. 2013. 2008 Election Administration and Voting Survey Data. 2009. http://www.eac.gov/research/election_administration_and_voting_survey.aspx 8

Change in Provisional Ballots Rejected out of Provisional Ballots Cast, 2008-2012 Election Assistance Commission, 2012 Draft Election Administration and Voting Survey Data. 2013. 2008 Election Administration and Voting Survey Data. 2009. http://www.eac.gov/research/election_administration_and_voting_survey.aspx 9

Challenges In Voter Registration 10

Mobility 11

1 out 8 of AMERICANS MOVED IN 2012 1 out of 5 YOUNG AMERICANS MOVED IN 2012

Confusion 13

1 out 3 of VOTERS THINK THEIR RECORDS UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY WITH EACH MOVE 50 + % OF VOTERS ARE UNAWARE THEY CAN UPDATE THEIR INFO AT THE DMV

Pace of Activity 15

VOTER REGISTRATION DEADLINE 400,000 300,000 200,000 VOTER REGISTRATION DEADLINE 100,000 0 Nov 12 Sep 13 Sep 14 Sep 15

17

18

19

20

The Current State of Voter Registration in the U.S. 21

12.7 MILLION out-of-date RECORDS 1.8 MILLION DECEASED individuals 2.7 MILLION Registered In multiple STATES

24 MILLION REGISTRATIONS are inaccurate

1.2 MILLION VOTES WERE LOST DUE TO REGISTRATION PROBLEMS IN 2012

ELIGIBLE CITIZENS ARE NOT REGISTERED TO VOTE 51 MILLION 1 IN 4 ELIGIBLE VOTERS

The Solution 26

Online Voter Registration 27

ONLINE VOTER REGISTRATION More accurate Voters directly input their information Costs less 3 per registration, compared to 83 per paper form Voters prefer it As many as 3 out of 4 registrations in states with online registration conducted electronically 28

29 VT HI NH MA RI CT NJ DE MD DC ME WA MT ND SD MN OR ID WY CO UT NV CA AZ NM NE KS OK TX AK LA AR MO IA WI MI IL IN OH PA NY WV VA KY TN MS AL GA SC NC FL ONLINE VOTER REGISTRATION 2008

30 VT HI NH MA RI CT NJ DE MD DC ME WA MT ND SD MN OR ID WY CO UT NV CA AZ NM NE KS OK TX AK LA AR MO IA WI MI IL IN OH PA NY WV VA KY TN MS AL GA SC NC FL ONLINE VOTER REGISTRATION 2012

31 VT HI NH MA RI CT NJ DE MD DC ME WA MT ND SD MN OR ID WY CO UT NV CA AZ NM NE KS OK TX AK LA AR MO IA WI MI IL IN OH PA NY WV VA KY TN MS AL GA SC NC FL ONLINE VOTER REGISTRATION 2013

Better Voter List Maintenance 32

Electronic Registration Information Center ERIC 35

36 VT HI NH MA RI CT NJ DE MD DC ME WA MT ND SD MN OR ID WY CO UT NV CA AZ NM NE KS OK TX AK LA AR MO IA WI MI IL IN OH PA NY WV VA KY TN MS AL GA SC NC FL THE ELECTRONIC REGISTRATION INFORMATION CENTER (ERIC)

37 VT HI NH MA RI CT NJ DE MD DC ME WA MT ND SD MN OR ID WY CO UT NV CA AZ NM NE KS OK TX AK LA AR MO IA WI MI IL IN OH PA NY WV VA KY TN MS AL GA SC NC FL THE ELECTRONIC REGISTRATION INFORMATION CENTER (ERIC)

38 VT HI NH MA RI CT NJ DE MD DC ME WA MT ND SD MN OR ID WY CO UT NV CA AZ NM NE KS OK TX AK LA AR MO IA WI MI IL IN OH PA NY WV VA KY TN MS AL GA SC NC FL THE ELECTRONIC REGISTRATION INFORMATION CENTER (ERIC)

HOW ERIC WORKS Upload limited data from voter lists and DMV records every 60 days Receive reports on voters who moved, voters who died, and eligible citizens who are not yet registered Must contact voters to inform them how to register or confirm that they moved ERIC works within the NVRA, enhancing compliance 39

HOW ERIC WORKS States own, pay for, and govern ERIC 501c(3) Each state sits on the board of directors Total annual costs to operate ERIC < $500K Florida s share would be ~ $50K Each state s share goes down as more states join 40

MORE ACCURATE LISTS Keep up with mobile electorate Better identify voters who have died Find and reconcile duplicates 41

COST SAVINGS Less printing costs Reduction in returned mail Fewer provisional ballots to process Reduced costs for unsophisticated data matching 42

MORE EFFICIENT Records are more up-to-date when changes occur, not just right before a presidential election Flatten the curve Less paper to process 43

ERIC RESULTS - 2012 In the 7 ERIC states, over 5.7 million eligible but unregistered voters were identified by ERIC ALL were contacted by mail Well over 300,000 voters registered as a result, most online Over a 5% response rate Higher in some states Approximately 10% response rates in CO and VA 44

List Maintenance Report Type In-state movers More recent activity in DMV record Cross-state movers More recent activity in other state Deceased Appears on national death index In-state duplicates Duplicate voter records Records Sent 764,071 92,876 23,281 14,118 45

David Becker Director, Election Initiatives DBecker@pewtrusts.org www.pewstates.org/voterreg 46