Should we pay family physicians to register unattached patients? The unintended consequences of financial incentives in Quebec s access registries.

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Should we pay family physicians to register unattached patients? The unintended consequences of financial incentives in Quebec s access registries. Julie Fiset Laniel 1 Roxane Borgès Da Silva 2,3 Archan Hazra 4 Erin C. Strumpf 1,4 1 Dept. of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University 2 Faculty of Nursing, Université de Montréal 3 Institut de recherche en santé publique de l Université de Montréal 4 Dept. of Economics, McGill University CAHSPR 2015 Montréal

Quebec s Access Registries (GACO) 27 % no family physician (Qc. 2009) Implemented in 2008 To help patient in their search for a family doctor 1 Guichet d accès pour la clientèle orpheline (GACO) by Centre de santé et de services sociaux (CSSS) Total of 95 GACOs in the province of Quebec Ex. CSSS in Montreal Area

How Does GACO Work? Each CSSS is responsible for administrating patients registrations and for evaluating patients health condition 3a. Enrollment with a physician 1.Contact the local GACO and register 2. Medical evaluation with a nurse 3b. Wait on the list

GACOs Levels of Priority Priority Clinical Definition Expected waiting time P1 People with loss of autonomy, temporary or permanent, whose health problems requires complex and immediate medical attention 30 days P2 P3 P4 P5 People with a particular health condition or at risk, permanent or temporary, requiring a follow up in primary care to avoid the use of ER or hospitalization People with a known health problem, but for whom medical support is required to maintain the health status and prevent complications People with no known health problem, but whose health condition may require regular annual monitoring Healthy people with no known health problem 30 days to 3 months 3to 6 months 6to 12 months

RAMQ s Definition* Vulnerability Status Changes in the financial incentives Vulnerable patients Non vulnerable patients Location Until October 2011 Nov. 2011 June 2013 Private practice $103.60 $208.60 Local community service center (CLSC) or institute $77.60 $173.80 Private practice $0 $100 Local community service center (CLSC) or institute $0 $83 *8 chronic conditions where added to RAMQ s definition of vulnerability in 2012

Document the GACO policy Describe the changes after the introduction of new financial incentives (vulnerable patients less enrolled with a family physician after the changes) Conclude that «reflexion is needed to understand why physicians are reluctant to enroll vulnerable patients». Suggest important regional variations Breton et al. (2015)

Objectives 1. Revisit the analysis on patient enrollment with a family physician (and add waiting time) after the changes in the GACO policy using regional level data, instead of provincial level 2. Describe regional characteristics associated with the GACO s performance 3. Interpret the unintended consequences of the GACO policy using concepts from health economics

Methodology 1. GACOs administrative reports* to fit a regression model of the No Patients enrolled Average Waiting times 2. Eco Santé + GACOs administrative reports Sociodemographic Health status Health services No Patients registered No Patients enrolled % Patients enrolled No MD participating No Installations participating *Saguenay Lac St Jean (03), Mauricie and Centre du Québec (04), Montréal (06), Outaouais (07), Abitibi Témiscamingue (09), Montérégie (16)

GACOs in brief 700,000 patients have registered through the GACO and 500,000 of them enrolled with a physician due to GACO between 2009 2013 Half of Quebec s regions enrolled about 80 % of registered patients with a family physician, while the other half enrolled only 65 % 600,000 400,000 200,000 Number of Patients Registered in a GACO or Enrolled with a Physician for all Regions 0 2009 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 Patients registered Patients Enrolled

Patients Enrolled with a Physician 25000 Patients Priority 1 to 5 Regions 03, 04, 06, 07, 09, 13 No Patients 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 DR = 8,435 patients 95% CI [ 13,060; 3,810] 3767 Pre 4485 Vulnerables 16792 7639 Post Non Vulnerables

Waiting time 250 Patients Priority 1 to 5 Regions 03, 04, 06, 07, 09, 16 Days 200 150 100 DR = 94 days 95% CI [45;143] 181 50 87 112 112 0 Pre Vulnerables Post Non Vulnerables

Regional characteristics associated with the GACO s performance Regions Older population and with a population in better financial position Healthier population Less health resources available + + + GACOs Patients enrolled with a physician Patients & MD registered Installations participating

How can we interpret these unintended consequences of the GACO policy? Concepts from Health Economics

Physician: an economic agent Maximize utility = maximize well being Physicians well being positively correlated with 1. Physician s impact on patients health (altruism) 2. Income 3. Leisure time In Quebec s context, the marginal opportunity cost of an extra working time is high

Patient Selection Skimming: Physicians may choose to take care of certain types of patients because they receive more benefits from it in terms of income, leisure time and effort. Dumping: Physicians may avoid patients that are expensive in terms of time and income.

Payment Mechanisms Fee for service + GACO bonus = good option! (Retrospective) (Prospective) Selection (less effective in a context where the marginal opportunity cost of an extra working time is high) + Selection

Limits Aggregated data at the regional level Non causal analysis Other health policy changes during the followup period: Changes in the RAMQ s definition of vulnerability in January 2012 Ministerial notice asking GACOs administrators to refer non vulnerable orphan patients to GPs (2010 2011)

Conclusions The analysis of the change to physician financial incentives reveals that vulnerable patients were disadvantaged in their search for a family physician. GACOs performance is higher in regions where the population is healthier and where the availability of health resources is smaller.

Should we pay family physicians to register unattached patients? Yes, if the intention is to increase patients enrollment with a family physician regardless of needs Otherwise, policymakers need to take the time to estimate adequately the patient burden, in order to avoid patient selection, and they need to take into account physician utility maximization