To Offshore or Reshore: How to Objectively Decide. TCO: A Key to Justifying Advanced Manufacturing

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Transcription:

To Offshore or Reshore: How to Objectively Decide TCO: A Key to Justifying Advanced Manufacturing Reshoring: A Key to MA Supply Chain and Workforce Recruiting MA Advanced Manufacturing Summit Harry Moser President Reshoring Initiative

Definitions Reshoring/Backshoring/Onshoring/Insourcing: Bringing back manufacture of products that will be sold or assembled here. Transplants: Similar logic Producing near the consumer! Localization

Flawed company economic model 60% of manufacturers: Apply rudimentary total cost models Wage Arbitrage PPV (Purchase Price Variance) Landed Cost Ignore 20% or more of the total cost of offshored products Source: Archstone Consulting survey, American Machinist Mag., 7/16/09

4 Indexed Unit Labor Costs in the Manufacturing Sector of Selected Countries

Manufacturing Is Expected to Return to America Renaissance in Manufacturing We expect net labor costs for manufacturing in China and the U.S. to converge by around 2015 take a hard look at the total costs Source: Boston Consulting Group press release 5/11 & 4/12 Chinese no longer just thankful not to go hungry. Source: Michelle D. Loyalka, 2/17/12 NYT

The Industry-Led Reshoring Initiative Provides Free Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) Software for companies and suppliers Online Library of 1,000+ reshoring articles Case Study template for posting cases. Solutions to major supply chain problems Motivation for skilled manufacturing careers

TCO Comparison Example

Some Reshorers

Water Heaters Bringing Production back from China: Water-heaters, fridges, and washing machines Unionized facility in Louisville, KY 1300 jobs, renovated facility, $800 million invested Reasons: Tax incentives High-tech new model Ease of design collaboration with workers: retail price -20% 2 tier contract Chinese cost: -30% becomes +6% considering inventory and delivery problems Will move a significant piece of appliance production back

Electronics Manufacturing Systems (EMS) Partnering with ZeeVee Inc. ZeeVee Inc. moved production of high definition video distribution products from China to Methuen, MA As a result, Suntron has added 20 new employees, with more expected. Reasons: Partnership significantly improves its time to market ZeeVee s business has doubled Source: Tuesday, July 03, 2012 Suntron Corporation

Suits & menswear Bought plant in Haverhill, MA, in 2008 Reshored 70% of suits, as well as dress shirts, overcoats, pants form offshore locations Employment in MA plant increased from 300 to 475 Reasons: Rising wages Quality Lead time US made goods are luxury items abroad Source: Paul Davidson. Some apparel manufacturing reshoring to USA. USAToday. July 5, 2013. http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/business/2013/07/04/some-apparel-manufacturing-returns-to-us/2454075/.

Aviator Sunglasses China to Southbridge, MA 15 jobs Reasons: MassDev assistance/government incentives Skilled workforce Image/brand Delivery Source: Jeremy Shulkin, An American Icon Returns to Southbridge. Worcester Telegram, April 20, 2014. Marty Jones, Why reshoring is the coming thing. The Telegram. April 8, 2014.

Paper Stock China to Clinton, MA 12 jobs Reasons: MassDev assistance Lower operating costs Better customer service Better sales and profit margins Source: Marty Jones, Why reshoring is the coming thing. Worcester Telegram. April 8, 2014.

Robotics India to Cambridge, MA Reasons: Freight cost Inventory Rising wages Tariffs Higher productivity Proximity to customers Source: Marty Jones, Why reshoring is the coming thing. Worcester Telegram. April 8, 2014.

Bleeding has stopped! Manufacturing Jobs/Year 2003 2013 % Change 2016*** New ~150,000* 30 70% 20,000 offshoring 50,000* New 30 +1,500% 70,000 reshoring 2,000* 40,000** Net reshoring 148,000 0 100% +50,000 *Estimated ** Calculated ***Feasible

Industries of published cases Industry Number Elec. equip, appliances & components 46 Transportation equipment 34 Computer and electronics 25 Machinery 21 Miscellaneous 19 Plastics and rubber 16 Fabricated metal parts 16 Furniture 12 Clothing and textiles 4 Food and beverage 4 Primary metals, food and beverage Library, July 2012 Source: Reshoring Library, March 2013 2 each

Reasons for reported cases REASON # of CASES CITED Wage and Currency Changes 72 Quality, Warranty, Rework 51 Freight Cost 44 Delivery 43 Travel Cost/Time or Local Onsite 38 Inventory 26 Intellectual Property Loss or Risk 25 Total Cost 22 Communications 20 Image/Brand (prefer US) 17 Difficulty of Innovation/Product Differentiation 10 Loss of Customer Responsiveness 9 Price 7 Natural Disaster Risk 6 Green Considerations 4 Government Incentives 4 Burden on Staff, Political Instability, 3 each Personnel Risk, Regulatory Compliance Reshoring Library 3/13

61% of reshoring cases are from China Country from which reshored Number China 105 Mexico 21 Japan 12 India 8 Taiwan 5 Canada, Spain 3 each Germany, Malaysia, Philippines 2 each 1 each Brazil, El Salvador, Indonesia, Hungary, Singapore, UK, Venezuela, Guatemala, Singapore, Malaysia Source: Reshoring Library 3/16/13

Gaining support in Washington, DC Commerce Dept: 2012 budget specifies TCO. Links: http://nist.gov/mep/reshoring.cfm http://business.usa.gov/program/reshoring-initiative http://www.manufacturing.gov/other_orgs.html Major new site: http://acetool.commerce.gov/ 6 rounds of free MEP webinars Testified at Congressional hearing on 3/28/12 Working actively with SelectUSA Calls from: United States-China Economic and Security Review Commission White House National Economic Council

1/11/12 Insourcing Forum

Investment in Adv. Mfg. By understanding: the advantage of producing near the consumer, and the small TCO gap instead of the large price gap U.S. companies can: justify domestic investment, process improvement, automation, training, etc. And do not have to sacrifice quality, delivery, time-to-market, or employees to be competitive and profitable.

What can you do? Use the tools for sourcing and selling. Free at www.reshorenow.org Train your sales force and marketing Use our archived webinars to inform staff and customers Post a link to the Initiative Call on me to speak at: open houses, webinars, customer industry conferences Submit customer cases of reshoring for publication and posting using our template. Sponsor

But how do apprenticeships and credentials pay?

Local Skilled Workforce Recruitment Issue Trades and vocations image Manufacturing career image due to offshoring Solution Call them Professions Industry collect and media report the local reshoring case of the month. Use our Case Studies feature.

Economic Development Program Available Action Identify local imports by company Suggest to companies they source locally Train companies on TCO to overcome issue of higher local price Needed further cost reductions Source/Responsibility Datamyne EDO/MEP/ etc. Reshoring Initiative MEP/ Comm. College/ EDO/technology suppliers

A non-profit with 35 sponsors, including Platinum Gold Gold Gold G Silver

Help slow the offshoring flood now! Contact: Harry Moser Founder and President 847-726-2975 harry.moser@reshorenow.org www.reshorenow.org Recruiting trainees for the skilled manufacturing workforce: http://tinyurl.com/33vpz9k