Higher Education and the Future of Wisconsin Presented to the Board of Regents of the University of Wisconsin System Milwaukee, Wisconsin June 7, 2007 National Center for Higher Education Management Systems National Center for Higher Education Management Systems 3035 Center Green Drive, Suite 150 Boulder, Colorado 80301-2251
The Management Cycle Planning Assessment Resource Allocation Strategic Management The allocation of resources to programmed activities calculated to achieve a set of goals. 2
The Management Cycle in a Public Institution State Planning Institution State State Assessment Institution Resource Allocation Institution 3
Strategic Planning at the State/System Level Creating a Public Agenda Identifying Those Key Issues Facing the State Which the System of Higher Education Can Help Address 4
Relationship Between Educational Attainment, Personal Income, and Economic Strength $30,000 High Income, Low Educational Attainment High Income, High Educational Attainment State New Economy Index (2002) Top Tier Middle Tier Low Tier NJ CT $25,000 MD MA Personal Income Per Capita, 2000 $20,000 $15,000 WV AR MS NV KY LA AL IN TN SC OK NC AZ MO IA ME WY TX SD NM AK ND DE MI FL US WI OH GA PA OR ID Low Income, Low Educational Attainment MT UT CA NE IL HI RI NH VA NY WA MN 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% KS VT CO Low Income, High Educational Attainment Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with a Bachelor s Degree or Higher 5
Relationship Between Educational Attainment and High Tech Employment 12 High Tech Employment, Low Educational Attainment High Tech Employment, High Educational Attainment CO MA 9 Correlation = 0.76 CA NH Percentage Employment in High Tech Occupations 6 3 WV NV AR KY MS LA IN AL OK TNSC UT OR ID NMAZ TX SD NC FL GA NE PAUS IA MO OH WI ME DE MI ND AK MT WY MN WA NY IL RI KS HI VA VT NJ MD CT Low Tech Employment, Low Educational Attainment Low Tech Employment, High Educational Attainment 0 15 20 25 30 35 40 Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with a Bachelor s Degree or Higher Source: State New Economy Index, U.S. Census Bureau 6
Relationship Between Educational Attainment and Health 30 Correlation = 0.69 MN NH VT 15 State Health Index, United Health Foundation 0-15 WV AR NV KY IN OK AL SC TN UT HI ND WI IAME NE RI WA KS ID SD OR AZPA CA OH AK MT WY USDE IL MI NY MOTX NM NC FL GA VA CT CO NJ MD MA MS LA -30 10% 20% 30% 40% Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with a Bachelor s Degree or Higher Source: United Health Foundation, U.S. Census Bureau 7
Educational Attainment of Adults Age 18-64 Total U.S. Population vs. Prison Population (Percent) 50 40 Total Population Prison Population 43.1 30 31.6 29.3 34.0 22.6 20 10 12.3 9.6 10.1 4.5 2.9 0 Less than 9th Grade Grades 9-12 (No Diploma) High School Graduate (or Equivalent) Some College, No Degree College Graduate or Higher Source: U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics 2002 data, U.S. Census Bureau 2005 data 8
Incarceration Rate by State in 2005 Prisoners Under Federal and State Jurisdiction per 100,000 Residents 823.2 900 800 700 410.4 514.8 600 500 400 300 153.1 200 100 0 Maine Massachusetts Minnesota New Hampshire North Dakota Nebraska Utah Washington West Virginia Iowa New Jersey New York Kansas Vermont Rhode Island New Mexico Pennsylvania Illinois Oregon Montana Indiana Ohio Wyoming Maryland Wisconsin North Carolina Tennessee South Dakota Colorado Virginia Kentucky California Idaho Hawaii Arkansas Nevada Michigan Florida United States Missouri Georgia South Carolina Connecticut Arizona Alabama Oklahoma Mississippi Alaska Texas Louisiana Delaware Source: U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics, U.S. Census Bureau 9
The Relationship Between Educational Attainment and Employment in the Arts, 2005 Employment in Arts and Entertainment per 1,000 Employees 20 16 12 8 NV LA WV MS AR KY TN IN SC OK AL NY CA CT OR UT VT RI CO FL NM WA MA GA HI NJ US MNH ME MI MT MD WI IL VA MO AK PA AZTX OH NC KS ID NE WY DE IA ND SD 4 15 20 25 30 35 40 Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with Bachelor s Degrees, 2005 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 American Community Survey 10
Strategic Decision Areas Basic Mission Clientele Program/ Service Mix Comparative Advantage Assets Objectives Basic Purposes of the Enterprise and Its Guiding Principles for Behavior Target Audiences to Be Served Program Offerings and Priorities of the Enterprise Differential Advantage Sought Over Other Organizations Engaged in Similar Activities Changes Needed in Human, Physical, Information or Intangible Assets of the Enterprise What the Organization Must Accomplish in Order to Move from Existing to Desired State of Affairs 11
Population 12
Total Population, 2005 Douglas Bayfield Ashland Iron Vilas Burnett Sawyer Florence Washburn Price Oneida Forest Marinette Barron Rusk Polk Lincoln Taylor Langlade St. Croix Chippewa Menominee Dunn Marathon Oconto Shawano Door Pierce Eau Claire Clark Pepin Portage Kewaunee Trempealeau Wood Waupaca Brown Buffalo Jackson Outagamie Waushara Manitowoc Monroe Adams Winnebago Calumet La Crosse Juneau Green Lake Marquette Fond du Lac Vernon Sheboygan Dodge Columbia Ozaukee RichlandSauk Washington Crawford Dane Waukesha Iowa Jefferson Milwaukee Grant Rock Racine Green Lafayette Walworth Kenosha 99,844 to 921,654 49,671 to 99,844 30,319 to 49,671 17,134 to 30,319 4,580 to 17,134 Wisconsin = 5,536,201 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates 13
Population Projections Percent Change, 2000-25 93.3 100 80 60 40 24.2 13.5 20 0 North Dakota West Virginia Ohio Iowa New York Pennsylvania Nebraska South Dakota Louisiana Wyoming Illinois Michigan Mississippi Alabama Connecticut Kansas Massachusetts Rhode Island Indiana Oklahoma Maine Kentucky Missouri Wisconsin New Jersey Montana Vermont New Mexico Arkansas Hawaii United States Minnesota Tennessee South Carolina Delaware Maryland New Hampshire Colorado California Alaska Virginia Oregon Washington Georgia North Carolina Idaho Utah Texas Florida Arizona Nevada 14 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Population Projections, College-Age Residents (Age 18-24) Percent Change from 2000 to 2025 67.3 74.1 75 48.4 50 0.1 0.6 1.2 2.6 3.4 3.5 3.9 6.1 6.4 6.9 9.5 9.6 9.8 10.0 14.1 15.2 19.0 19.9 22.3 23.2 26.4 26.4 31.6 32.6 35.9 36.2 38.9 41.8 25 West Virginia Wyoming North Dakota Montana Maine Iowa South Dakota Mississippi New Mexico Vermont Pennsylvania Ohio Rhode Island Wisconsin Alabama Michigan Louisiana Kansas New York Nebraska 0-22.9-22.8-22.6-16.7-16.7-16.3-15.6-10.7-9.7-9.4-7.0-6.9-6.6-6.1-5.6-5.0-4.8-4.6-4.1-3.7 Illinois Indiana Kentucky Oklahoma Delaware Missouri Connecticut Arkansas Massachusetts New Hampshire New Jersey South Carolina Minnesota Idaho United States Oregon Tennessee California Washington Utah Hawaii Colorado Maryland Virginia Alaska Georgia Texas North Carolina Florida Arizona Nevada -25 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 15
Percent Change in Total Population, 2005-2025 Douglas Bayfield Ashland Iron Vilas Burnett Sawyer Florence Washburn Price Oneida Forest Marinette Barron Rusk Polk Lincoln Taylor Langlade St. Croix Chippewa Menominee Dunn Marathon Oconto Shawano Pierce Eau Claire Clark Door Pepin Portage Kewaunee Trempealeau Wood Waupaca Brown Buffalo Jackson Monroe Outagamie Waushara Manitowoc Adams Winnebago Calumet La Crosse Juneau Green Lake Marquette Fond du Lac Vernon Sheboygan Dodge Columbia Ozaukee RichlandSauk Washington Crawford Dane Waukesha Iowa Jefferson Grant Milwaukee Rock Racine Green Lafayette Walworth Kenosha 16.1% to 39.3% 12.5% to 16.1% 9.4% to 12.5% 5.7% to 9.4% -2.3% to 5.7% Wisconsin = 12.8% Source: Wisconsin Department of Administration, Population and Household Projections 2000-30 16
12,469 17 Projected Change in Wisconsin Population by Age and Race/Ethnicity, 2000-20 282,442 White African American Hispanic Other 300,000 189,220 200,000 13,362 23,980 22,864 24,726 38,281 21,772 20,325 24,224 9,257 4,870 11,764 32,242 14,765 39,126 100,000 0 0-17 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ -161,566-56,139-106,304-100,000-200,000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Total Minority Population, 2005 Douglas Bayfield Ashland Iron Vilas Burnett Sawyer Florence Washburn Price Oneida Forest Marinette Barron Rusk Polk Lincoln Taylor Langlade St. Croix Chippewa Menominee Dunn Marathon Oconto Shawano Door Pierce Eau Claire Clark Pepin Portage Kewaunee Trempealeau Wood Waupaca Brown Buffalo Jackson Outagamie Waushara Manitowoc Monroe Adams Winnebago Calumet La Crosse Juneau Green Lake Marquette Fond du Lac Vernon Sheboygan Dodge Columbia Ozaukee RichlandSauk Washington Crawford Dane Waukesha Iowa Jefferson Milwaukee Grant Rock Racine Green Lafayette Walworth Kenosha 6,037 to 384,219 2,460 to 6,037 1,403 to 2,460 586 to 1,403 83 to 586 Wisconsin = 777,003 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates 18
Counties Where 80% of Minority Population Reside, 2005 Douglas Bayfield Ashland Iron Vilas Burnett Sawyer Florence Washburn Price Oneida Forest Marinette Barron Rusk Polk Lincoln Taylor Langlade St. Croix Chippewa Menominee Dunn Marathon Oconto Shawano Door Pierce Eau Claire Clark Pepin Portage Kewaunee Trempealeau Wood Waupaca Brown Buffalo Jackson Outagamie Waushara Manitowoc Monroe Adams Winnebago Calumet La Crosse Juneau Green Lake Marquette Fond du Lac Vernon Sheboygan Dodge Columbia Ozaukee RichlandSauk Washington Crawford Dane Waukesha Iowa Jefferson Milwaukee Grant Rock Racine Green Lafayette Walworth Kenosha 1.5% to 100% 0.0% to 1.5% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates 19
Economy and the Workforce 20
Percent of Total Gross State Product by Industry and Comparison to U.S. 30 24.5 22.5 Wisconsin 1997 Wisconsin 2004 U.S. 2004 23.5 25.1 29.9 20 17.9 18.6 20.8 10 12.8 10.9 10.7 11.9 6.8 6.6 6.5 5.9 5.5 5.8 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.6 4.4 4.1 0 1.8 1.5 1.0 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing 0.1 0.1 1.3 Mining Construction Manufacturing Transp. & Utilities Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Finance, Insurance, Real Estate Services Government Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 21
Employment in High-Technology Establishments as Share of Total Employment by State, 2004 9.7 10 8 6 3.7 4 2.4 2 0 Wyoming Mississippi Louisiana Nevada Montana Hawaii Kentucky South Carolina Tennessee West Virginia South Dakota Arkansas Iowa Oklahoma Wisconsin Maine North Dakota Ohio Alaska Indiana Florida New York Illinois Missouri Nebraska North Carolina Rhode Island Pennsylvania Michigan Delaware Alabama Georgia Minnesota Oregon Texas Vermont Arizona Idaho New Mexico Utah New Jersey New Hampshire Connecticut Maryland California Kansas Virginia Massachusetts Colorado Washington Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, CFED 22
Projected Percent Change in Occupations Requiring Some Postsecondary Training, 2002-2012 46.3 50 40 30 19.6 21.4 20 11.0 10 0 West Virginia Kansas Pennsylvania North Dakota Connecticut New York Alaska Illinois Michigan Louisiana Nebraska Oregon Ohio Indiana Maine South Carolina Iowa Wyoming Missouri New Jersey Alabama Delaware Rhode Island Oklahoma Vermont South Dakota Wisconsin Washington Minnesota Hawaii Tennessee United States Arkansas Mississippi Montana Kentucky Maryland California Texas North Carolina New Mexico New Hampshire Georgia Florida Arizona Virginia Idaho Colorado Utah Nevada Note: Some college, Associate, Bachelor s and higher. 23 Source: ACINet, Career InfoNet
Wisconsin Projected Occupation Growth, Top 25 Occupations 2004-2014 Truck Drivers, Light or Delivery Services Child Care Workers Maids & Housekeeping Cleaners Computer Software Engineers, Applications Executive Secretaries & Administrative Assistants Team Assemblers Elementary School Teachers, exc. Special Education General & Operations Managers Accountants & Auditors Teacher Assistants Sales Reps., Wholesale & Manufacturing, exc. Technical/Scientific Products Receptionists & Information Clerks Business Operations Specialists, All Other Carpenters Nursing Aides, Orderlies, & Attendants Waiters & Waitresses Truck Drivers, Heavy & Tractor-Trailer Home Health Aides Personal & Home Care Aides Combined Food Prep./Serving Workers, incl. Fast Food Customer Service Representatives Janitors & Cleaners, exc. Maids & Housekeeping Cleaners Retail Salespersons Registered Nurses Landscaping & Groundskeeping Workers 11,110 9,510 8,780 8,360 8,200 7,060 6,980 6,920 6,690 6,040 5,190 4,560 4,340 4,210 4,140 4,050 4,030 3,890 3,660 3,650 3,590 3,470 3,440 3,300 16,010 0 6,000 12,000 18,000 Source: Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development, Office of Economic Advisors 24
Wisconsin Projected Occupation Growth, Top 25 Occupations Typically Requiring Postsecondary Education 2004-2014 Nursing Aides, Orderlies, & Attendants Business Operations Specialists, All Other Teacher Assistants Accountants & Auditors General & Operations Managers Elementary Teachers, exc. Special Education Computer Software Engineers, Applications Computer Systems Analysts Secondary Teachers, exc. Special & Vocational Ed. Preschool Teachers, exc. Special Education Teachers & Instructors, All Other Network Systems & Data Communications Analysts Hairdressers, Hairstylists, & Cosmetologists Network & Computer Systems Administrators Automotive Service Technicians & Mechanics Dental Hygienists Computer Support Specialists Licensed Practical & Licensed Vocational Nurses Emergency Medical Technicians & Paramedics Clergy Radiologic Technologists & Technicians Medical Transcriptionists Child, Family, & School Social Workers Human Res., Training, & Labor Rel. Specs., All Middle School Teachers, exc. Special and Voc. Ed. Registered Nurses 16,010 1,610 1,420 1,350 1,310 1,270 1,250 1,250 1,230 2,020 1,930 1,890 1,830 1,660 1,640 2,830 2,660 2,520 2,470 3,650 4,210 4,140 4,050 4,030 5,190 6,690 0 2,500 5,000 7,500 Source: Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development, Office of Economic Advisors 25
Projections of Working-Age Population (Age 18-64) Percent Change from 2000 to 2025 76.4 80 68.9 60 49.3 0.3 0.3 2.2 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.4 5.7 6.6 7.0 7.2 9.6 11.0 14.0 14.4 15.8 16.5 17.1 17.2 17.6 18.6 19.6 21.4 24.6 25.3 28.7 29.8 31.2 36.8 38.9 38.9 40 North Dakota West Virginia Wyoming Iowa Ohio New York Nebraska South Dakota Pennsylvania 20 0-4.2-3.7-3.3-2.3-2.0-1.8-1.4-10.9-9.7 Louisiana Alabama Connecticut Illinois Maine Kansas Massachusetts New Mexico Mississippi Oklahoma Michigan Montana Indiana Rhode Island Kentucky Vermont Hawaii Missouri Wisconsin New Jersey Arkansas South Carolina Tennessee Delaware United States Colorado Alaska Minnesota Maryland New Hampshire Virginia California Oregon Washington Georgia North Carolina Idaho Utah Texas Florida Arizona Nevada -20-40 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 26
Percent of Civilian Population Participating in the Workforce, 2004 66.0 71.8 74.6 75 54.7 50 25 0 West Virginia Louisiana Mississippi Kentucky Florida Arkansas Alabama New York Tennessee New Mexico Oklahoma Pennsylvania Hawaii South Carolina Arizona California New Jersey North Carolina United States Michigan Maine Oregon Illinois Delaware Connecticut Rhode Island Montana Ohio Nevada Indiana Texas Virginia Georgia Massachusetts Washington Idaho Missouri Maryland Iowa Vermont Utah New Hampshire Alaska Wyoming Kansas Wisconsin North Dakota Colorado South Dakota Nebraska Minnesota 27 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Percent of Civilians Age 25-64 Not in the Workforce By Education Attainment, 2005 U.S. Wisconsin Less than High School 43.2 31.3 High School 27.0 20.5 Some College 20.7 17.2 Associate Degree 17.3 12.6 Bachelor s Degree 15.4 14.2 Graduate/Prof. Degree 12.4 12.8 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, PUMS (based on 2000 Census) 28
Percent of Civilian Population Participating in the Workforce, 2004 Douglas Bayfield Ashland Iron Vilas Burnett Sawyer Florence Washburn Price Oneida Forest Marinette Barron Rusk Polk Lincoln Taylor Langlade St. Croix Chippewa Menominee Dunn Marathon Oconto Shawano Pierce Eau Claire Clark Door Pepin Portage Kewaunee Trempealeau Wood Waupaca Brown Buffalo Jackson Outagamie Waushara Manitowoc Monroe Adams Winnebago Calumet La Crosse Juneau Green Lake Marquette Fond du Lac Vernon Sheboygan Dodge Columbia Ozaukee RichlandSauk Washington Crawford Dane Waukesha Iowa Jefferson Grant Milwaukee Rock Racine Green Walworth Lafayette Kenosha 75% to 80% 70% to 75% 65% to 70% 60% to 65% 53% to 60% Wisconsin = 70.8% Source: State of Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development 29
Educational Attainment and Rank Among States Wisconsin, 2005 Age 18-24 with High School Diploma 84.4% 7th Age 25-64 with High School Diploma 91.8% 13th Age 25-64 with Associate Degree 10.1% 9th Age 25-64 with Bachelor's or Higher 27.3% 26th Age 25-64 with Graduate/Prof. Degree 8.7% 29th 50 40 30 20 10 0 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 American Community Survey (ACS) 30
Percent of Adults with an Associate Degree or Higher by Age Group Wisconsin, the U.S. and Leading OECD Countries, 2004 Age 25-34 Age 35-44 Age 45-54 Age 55-64 31 35.2 35.2 38.8 41.4 36.2 40.7 39.4 39.0 23.2 29.4 34.1 39.2 15.7 21.5 28.9 40.4 20.0 25.2 32.3 40.7 27.3 32.9 35.7 42.3 16.4 33.5 49.1 19.2 32.7 45.1 51.6 34.5 41.4 47.0 53.3 60 50 40 30 20 9.7 10 0 Source: Education at a Glance 2005, OECD Canada Japan Korea Sweden Belgium Ireland Norway U.S. Wisconsin
Percent of Population Age 25-64 with an Associate Degree or Higher, 2005 48.7 50 37.4 37.4 40 30 25.0 20 10 0 West Virginia Arkansas Louisiana Kentucky Nevada Mississippi Tennessee Alabama Indiana Oklahoma Texas Missouri South Carolina New Mexico Ohio Idaho Wyoming Arizona Georgia Michigan North Carolina Alaska Montana Florida Pennsylvania Delaware Maine Oregon Wisconsin United States Iowa South Dakota Kansas Utah California Illinois Nebraska Hawaii Rhode Island Washington North Dakota Virginia New York Maryland Vermont New Hampshire Minnesota New Jersey Colorado Connecticut Massachusetts 32 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS
Percent of Population Age 25-64 with a Bachelor s Degree or Higher, 2005 45 40.3 40 27.3 29.2 35 30 25 18.7 20 15 10 5 0 West Virginia Mississippi Arkansas Kentucky Nevada Louisiana Indiana Alabama Tennessee Oklahoma South Carolina Idaho Wyoming Ohio New Mexico Texas Missouri Arizona Iowa Florida Michigan North Carolina Maine South Dakota Wisconsin Montana Alaska Pennsylvania Utah Georgia Oregon United States North Dakota Delaware Nebraska Hawaii Kansas California Washington Illinois Rhode Island Minnesota New York New Hampshire Vermont Virginia Maryland Colorado New Jersey Connecticut Massachusetts 33 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS
Percent of Population Age 25-64 with at Least a Bachelor s Degree, 2000 Douglas Bayfield Ashland Iron Vilas Burnett Sawyer Florence Washburn Price Oneida Forest Marinette Barron Rusk Polk Lincoln Taylor Langlade St. Croix Chippewa Menominee Dunn Marathon Oconto Shawano Pierce Eau Claire Clark Door Pepin Portage Kewaunee Trempealeau Wood Waupaca Brown Buffalo Jackson Outagamie Waushara Manitowoc Monroe Adams Winnebago Calumet La Crosse Juneau Green Lake Marquette Fond du Lac Vernon Sheboygan Dodge Columbia Ozaukee RichlandSauk Washington Crawford Dane Waukesha Iowa Jefferson Grant Milwaukee Rock Racine Green Lafayette Walworth Kenosha 23.3% to 43.5% 19.2% to 23.3% 16.7% to 19.2% 14.2% to 16.7% 10.1% to 14.2% Dane = 43.5 Wisconsin = 24.9 Menominee = 10.1 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census 34
Educational Attainment of Young Workforce (Age 25-34) in Wisconsin Indexed to Most Educated Country, 2005 White Males African-American Males Hispanic/Latino Males Native American/AK Native Males Asian/Pacific Islander Males Females Females Females Females Females 160 160 140 Bachelor's Degree or Higher 140 All College Degrees (Associate or Higher) 120 120 100 Norway U.S. Index = 81% 100 Canada U.S. Index = 72% 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS; OECD 35
Per Capita Personal Income as a Percent of U.S. Average Wisconsin, 1960-2000 110 100 99.2 97.3 U.S. Average 99.8 95.6 90 92.7 80 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau s Current Population Survey (1960, 1970, 1980, 1990, and 2000) 36
Wisconsin Median Earnings Age 25-64 by Degree Level, 2005 $80,000 Top State 77,458 $60,000 $40,000 $20,000 28,333 21,199 25,480 United States Wisconsin 30,576 29,557 35,672 40,768 35,162 34,652 45,965 38,729 38,729 61,151 49,635 45,864 61,151 57,075 45,864 36,691 36,691 $0 Less than High School High School Some College, No Degree Associate Degree Bachelor's Degree Graduate/Prof. Degree All Levels Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS PUMS File 37
Difference in Median Earnings Between a High School Diploma and an Associate Degree Population Age 18-64, 2005 14,269 $15,000 $12,000 10,192 $9,000 7,134 $6,000 3,058 $3,000 $0 Montana Iowa Nebraska West Virginia South Dakota North Dakota Mississippi Kansas Arkansas New York Rhode Island New Hampshire Wisconsin Vermont Pennsylvania Oklahoma Ohio North Carolina Minnesota Indiana Maine Utah Louisiana Wyoming Nevada Massachusetts Hawaii Illinois Washington Tennessee Oregon Kentucky Florida Colorado Alabama Connecticut South Carolina New Mexico United States Missouri Georgia Delaware Idaho Virginia Michigan Arizona Texas Maryland New Jersey California Alaska Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS PUMS File 38
Difference in Median Earnings Between a High School Diploma and a Bachelor s Degree Population Age 18-64, 2005 15,288 20,384 25,480 10,192 $30,000 $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $0 South Dakota North Dakota Montana Iowa Wyoming Vermont West Virginia Louisiana Mississippi Maine Wisconsin Oklahoma Nebraska Kentucky Kansas Utah Tennessee South Carolina North Carolina Hawaii Florida Delaware Rhode Island Pennsylvania Ohio Nevada Missouri Indiana Idaho New Hampshire New Mexico Oregon Minnesota Massachusetts Colorado Arkansas Alabama Illinois United States Arizona New York Washington Texas Michigan Maryland Georgia New Jersey Connecticut Virginia Alaska California Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS PUMS File 39
The Education Pipeline 40
Key Transition Points in the Education Pipeline Complete High School Enter College Finish College Enter the Workplace 41
Student Pipeline, 2004 100 91.3 Of 100 9th Graders, How Many 80 60 69.7 78.0 57.3 Best Performing State United States Wisconsin 40 20 38.8 45.6 42.0 26.9 33.5 27.3 18.4 23.7 42.3 29.7 28.8 0 Graduate from High School Directly Enter College Enroll in Second Year Graduate Within 150% of Program Time Age 25-44 with Bachelor's Degree Source: NCES Common Core Data, IPEDS Residency and Migration Survey, IPEDS Enrollment Survey, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey 42
Percent of Racial/Ethnic Groups at Each Stage of the Education Pipeline, 2004 Wisconsin White Non-Hispanic Black Non-Hispanic Hispanic Native American Asian 90 83.0 88.0 85.9 84.8 85.5 75 60 45 30 15 0 0.8 2.3 3.7 2.6 1.1 2.8 5.0 3.0 1.1 2.7 4.4 2.9 1.1 3.0 5.1 2.5 1.1 4.7 7.4 18-Year-Olds High School Graduates First-Time Freshman All Other Undergraduates Completers 2.3 Source: U.S. Census Bureau; WICHE High School Graduates; NCES College Participation and Completion 43
High School Graduation Rates Public High School Graduates as a Percent of 9th Graders Four Years Earlier, 2004 100 91.3 78.0 80 69.7 60 50.7 40 20 0 Nevada South Carolina Georgia Florida Mississippi Alabama New Mexico New York Alaska Tennessee North Carolina Arizona Kentucky Hawaii Delaware Texas Louisiana Michigan United States Indiana Washington California Rhode Island Oregon West Virginia Virginia Colorado Maryland Oklahoma Massachusetts Wyoming Arkansas Illinois New Hampshire Connecticut Ohio Kansas Missouri Maine Wisconsin Pennsylvania Montana Idaho South Dakota Vermont Minnesota Nebraska Iowa North Dakota Utah New Jersey 44 Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity (rev. 071106)
45
Public High School Graduates, 2002-2003 Douglas Bayfield Ashland Iron Vilas Burnett Sawyer Florence Washburn Price Oneida Forest Marinette Barron Rusk Polk Lincoln Taylor Langlade St. Croix Chippewa Menominee Dunn Marathon Oconto Shawano Pierce Eau Claire Clark Door Pepin Portage Kewaunee Trempealeau Wood Waupaca Brown Buffalo Jackson Monroe Outagamie Waushara Manitowoc Adams Winnebago Calumet La Crosse Juneau Green Lake Marquette Fond du Lac Vernon Sheboygan Dodge Columbia Ozaukee RichlandSauk Washington Crawford Dane Waukesha Iowa Jefferson Grant Milwaukee Rock Racine Green Lafayette Walworth Kenosha 1,366 to 8,957 715 to 1,366 438 to 715 226 to 438 59 to 226 Wisconsin = 67,057 Source: University of Wisconsin System Administration 46
Projections of High School Graduates to 2018 By Race/Ethnicity Wisconsin 70,000 White (52,835 to 46,155) Hispanic (1,557 to 6,643) Black, Non-Hispanic (2,835 to 3,156) Asian/Pacific Islander (1,567 to 2,286) American Indian/Alaskan Native (547 to 637) 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 2017-18 2016-17 2015-16 2014-15 2013-14 2012-13 2011-12 2010-11 2009-10 2008-09 2007-08 2006-07 2005-06 2004-05 2003-04 2002-03 2001-02 2000-01 Source: WICHE Projections of High School Graduates 47
College-Going Rates First-Time Freshmen Directly Out of High School as a Percent of Recent High School Graduates, 2004 75 68.8 58.5 55.5 50 42.6 25 0 Utah Washington Vermont California Alaska Oregon Idaho Tennessee Arizona Maine Hawaii Texas Missouri Ohio Oklahoma West Virginia Florida Delaware Louisiana Nevada Illinois New Hampshire United States Rhode Island Arkansas Kentucky Virginia Colorado Montana Wisconsin Maryland Michigan Wyoming Pennsylvania Nebraska Mississippi Alabama Connecticut Kansas New Mexico Iowa Indiana New Jersey Massachusetts Georgia North Carolina Minnesota South Carolina North Dakota New York South Dakota 48 Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity (2004 data update 02-06-07)
Percent of First-Time Freshmen Who Attend College Within Their Reported State of Residence, Fall 2004 93.4 100 83.3 84.1 80 60 42.4 40 20 0 Vermont New Hampshire Alaska Connecticut New Jersey Maine Rhode Island Hawaii Maryland Wyoming Delaware Massachusetts North Dakota Montana South Dakota Idaho Washington Illinois Minnesota Virginia New Mexico Oregon Nebraska New York Wisconsin Nevada Colorado Tennessee United States Missouri Pennsylvania Ohio West Virginia Kansas Georgia Indiana Iowa Arkansas Kentucky South Carolina Arizona Alabama Florida Oklahoma Michigan North Carolina Louisiana California Texas Utah Mississippi 49 Source: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2004 Enrollments; ef2004c Final Release Data File
Out-of-State Institutions Attended by Wisconsin First-Time Degree/Certificate Seeking Undergraduate Students, Fall 2004 Institution State Sector No. of Students University of Minnesota-Twin Cities MN Public 4-Year 1,333 Winona State University MN Public 4-Year 485 University of Minnesota-Duluth MN Public 4-Year 243 Northern Michigan University MI Public 4-Year 230 Michigan Technological University MI Public 4-Year 184 Century Community and Technical College MN Public 2-Year 156 Saint Cloud State University MN Public 4-Year 148 Minnesota State College-Southeast Technical-Winona MN Public 2-Year 143 Minnesota State University-Mankato MN Public 4-Year 110 Lake Superior College MN Public 2-Year 106 University of St Thomas MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 95 Martin Luther College MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 92 Brown College MN Private For-Profit 4-Year 90 University of Iowa IA Public 4-Year 84 Luther College IA Private Non-Profit 4-Year 80 Saint Olaf College MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 74 Wyo Tech WY Private For-Profit 2-Year 74 Arizona State University at the Tempe Campus AZ Public 4-Year 73 Loyola University Chicago IL Private Non-Profit 4-Year 67 Northwestern University IL Private Non-Profit 4-Year 64 Purdue University-Main Campus IN Public 4-Year 64 Iowa State University IA Public 4-Year 59 Bethel University MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 59 Saint Louis University-Main Campus MO Private Non-Profit 4-Year 56 Dakota County Technical College MN Public 2-Year 54 (continued) 50
Out-of-State Institutions Attended by Wisconsin First-Time Degree/Certificate Seeking Undergraduate Students, Fall 2004 (continued) No. of Institution State Sector Students Columbia College Chicago IL Private Non-Profit 4-Year 53 Northwestern College MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 52 University of Phoenix-Online Campus AZ Private For-Profit 4-Year 50 Valparaiso University IN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 49 Depaul University IL Private Non-Profit 4-Year 48 American Intercontinental University GA Private For-Profit 4-Year 46 Gogebic Community College MI Public 2-Year 45 University of Notre Dame IN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 43 Rochester Community and Technical College MN Public 2-Year 42 University of Colorado at Boulder CO Public 4-Year 41 Indiana University-Bloomington IN Public 4-Year 40 North Central University MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 40 Kaplan University IA Private For-Profit 4-Year 40 Northeast Iowa Community College-Calmar IA Public 2-Year 37 Minneapolis Business College MN Private For-Profit 2-Year 37 University of North Dakota-Main Campus ND Public 4-Year 37 The Illinois Institute of Art IL Private For-Profit 4-Year 36 University of Dubuque IA Private Non-Profit 4-Year 35 Macalester College MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 35 Saint Paul College - A Community and Technical Col MN Public 2-Year 35 Trinity International University IL Private Non-Profit 4-Year 33 Drake University IA Private Non-Profit 4-Year 33 Vermilion Community College MN Public 2-Year 33 Hamline University MN Private Non-Profit 4-Year 31 Minnesota State University-Moorhead MN Public 4-Year 31 Source: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2004 Enrollments; ef2004c Final Release Data File 51
First-Time Freshmen Net Imports by Institution Type for Wisconsin, Fall 2004 Public Research -440 Public 4-Year 849 Public 2-Year -655 Public Other -89 Private Non-Profit Research 120 Private Non-Profit 4-Year Private Non-Profit 2-Year Private Non-Profit Other -186-103 -52 Proprietary -757-1,000-750 -500-250 0 250 500 750 1,000 Source: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2002 Enrollments, Residency and Migration File 52
New Entering College Students as a Percent of Public High School Graduates, 2006 Douglas Bayfield Note: High school graduates are 2002-03. Ashland Iron Burnett Sawyer Florence Washburn Price Oneida Forest Marinette Barron Rusk Polk Lincoln Taylor Langlade St. Croix Chippewa Menominee Dunn Marathon Oconto Shawano Door Pierce Eau Claire Clark Pepin Portage Kewaunee Trempealeau Wood Waupaca Brown Buffalo Jackson Outagamie Waushara Manitowoc Monroe Adams Winnebago Calumet La Crosse Juneau Green Lake Marquette Fond du Lac Vernon Sheboygan Dodge Columbia Ozaukee RichlandSauk Washington Crawford Dane Waukesha Iowa Jefferson Milwaukee Grant Rock Racine Green Lafayette Walworth Kenosha Wisconsin = 34.4% Source: University of Wisconsin System Administration Vilas 36.9% to 55.8% 32.7% to 36.9% 29.8% to 32.7% 25.7% to 29.8% 10.8% to 25.7% 53
Two-Year New Entering Students as a Percent of Public High School Graduates, 2004 Douglas Bayfield Note: High school graduates are 2002-03. Ashland Iron Burnett Sawyer Florence Washburn Price Oneida Forest Marinette Barron Rusk Polk Lincoln Taylor Langlade St. Croix Chippewa Menominee Dunn Marathon Oconto Shawano Door Pierce Eau Claire Clark Pepin Portage Kewaunee Trempealeau Wood Waupaca Brown Buffalo Jackson Outagamie Waushara Manitowoc Monroe Adams Winnebago Calumet La Crosse Juneau Green Lake Marquette Fond du Lac Vernon Sheboygan Dodge Columbia Ozaukee RichlandSauk Washington Crawford Dane Waukesha Iowa Jefferson Milwaukee Grant Rock Racine Green Lafayette Walworth Kenosha Source: University of Wisconsin System Administration Vilas 9.1% to 35.5% 5.6% to 9.1% 2.5% to 5.6% 0.8% to 2.5% 0.0% to 0.8% Richland = 35.5 Wisconsin = 5.2 Kenosha = 0.15 54
Four-Year New Entering Students as a Percent of Public High School Graduates, 2004 Douglas Bayfield Note: High school graduates are 2002-03. Iron Ashland Vilas Burnett Sawyer Florence Washburn Price Oneida Forest Marinette Barron Rusk Polk Lincoln Taylor Langlade St. Croix Chippewa Menominee Dunn Marathon Oconto Shawano Door Pierce Eau Claire Clark Pepin Portage Kewaunee Trempealeau Wood Waupaca Brown Buffalo Jackson Monroe Outagamie Waushara Manitowoc Adams Winnebago Calumet La Crosse Juneau Green Lake Marquette Fond du Lac Vernon Sheboygan Dodge Columbia Ozaukee RichlandSauk Washington Crawford Dane Waukesha Iowa Jefferson Milwaukee Grant Rock Racine Green Lafayette Walworth Kenosha Source: University of Wisconsin System Administration 32.2% to 44.1% 26.5% to 32.2% 24.1% to 26.5% 21.2% to 24.1% 10.8% to 21.2% Vilas = 44.1 Wisconsin = 29.2 Iron = 10.8 55
Associate Degrees Awarded per 100 High School Graduates Three Years Earlier, 2004 47.7 50 40 30 23.4 17.5 20 12.6 10 0 Louisiana Connecticut Alaska Delaware Maine Maryland Montana New Jersey Vermont Arkansas Texas Wisconsin West Virginia Tennessee Georgia Massachusetts Ohio Pennsylvania Virginia Idaho Nebraska Missouri Nevada Michigan Alabama Indiana Kentucky New Mexico Oklahoma South Carolina Illinois North Dakota United States New Hampshire Minnesota Colorado Kansas Oregon South Dakota California North Carolina Arizona Hawaii Utah Mississippi Iowa New York Rhode Island Washington Wyoming Florida 56 Source: NCES-IPEDS Completions Survey, WICHE
57 Bachelor s Degrees Awarded per 100 High School Graduates Six Years Earlier, 2004 97.4 100 75 50.6 51.8 50 21.2 25 0 Alaska Wyoming Idaho Arkansas New Jersey New Mexico Nevada Texas Mississippi Kentucky West Virginia Maine Hawaii California Illinois South Carolina Louisiana Ohio Minnesota Washington South Dakota Oklahoma Alabama Montana Maryland Wisconsin Connecticut United States Tennessee Virginia Michigan Nebraska Georgia Kansas Iowa Oregon Indiana North Dakota Missouri Pennsylvania Florida Vermont Utah North Carolina New Hampshire Arizona New York Colorado Delaware Massachusetts Rhode Island Source: NCES-IPEDS Completions Survey, WICHE
Three-Year Graduation Rates at Two-Year Colleges, 2005 (Percent) 70 63.1 60 50 29.3 34.6 40 30 20 13.3 10 0 Delaware New Jersey South Carolina Michigan Connecticut Maryland Rhode Island Texas Massachusetts Mississippi North Carolina New Mexico Hawaii Alabama Arkansas Virginia Kentucky New York Illinois Oregon Vermont Indiana Oklahoma Georgia Ohio Idaho United States Louisiana Tennessee New Hampshire West Virginia Iowa Missouri Minnesota North Dakota Maine Washington Wisconsin Kansas Montana Nebraska Nevada Florida Colorado Pennsylvania Utah California Arizona Wyoming Alaska South Dakota 58 Source: NCES, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey
59 Six-Year Graduation Rates at Four-Year Colleges, 2005 (Percent) 67.7 55.8 58.5 20.3 Alaska Nevada New Mexico Hawaii Louisiana Montana Arkansas West Virginia Oklahoma Idaho Kentucky Utah South Dakota Georgia Alabama North Dakota Tennessee Mississippi Texas Kansas Colorado Florida Missouri Ohio Indiana Arizona Nebraska Michigan Oregon United States New York South Carolina Maine Wyoming Minnesota North Carolina Wisconsin Illinois New Jersey Vermont Virginia California Connecticut New Hampshire Washington Iowa Pennsylvania Rhode Island Maryland Delaware Massachusetts 70 60 Source: NCES, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey 50 40 30 20 10 0
Science and Engineering Degrees as a Share of Higher Education Degrees Conferred by State, 2004-05 37.8 40 29.3 30 26.3 20.4 20 10 0 Rhode Island Vermont New York Nevada Florida Hawaii Washington Connecticut Arizona New Hampshire California Missouri Oregon New Jersey Utah Massachusetts Delaware Iowa Georgia Kansas Illinois Minnesota South Carolina United States Alabama Arkansas Michigan Oklahoma Idaho Wyoming Mississippi Ohio Tennessee North Carolina New Mexico Pennsylvania Indiana Colorado Montana Virginia Wisconsin Kentucky Alaska Louisiana West Virginia Texas Nebraska Maryland Maine North Dakota South Dakota Note: Science and Engineering include Agricultural Sciences, Biological and Biomedical Sciences, Physical Sciences, Science Tech, Health Sciences, Computer Science, Mathematics and Statistics, Engineering, and Engineering Tech. Degrees include Associate, Bachelor s, Masters and Doctorate Degrees. Source: NCES, IPEDS 2005 Completions File; c2005_a Final Release Data File 60
Net Migration by Degree Level and Age Group Wisconsin 22- to 29-Year-Olds 30- to 64-Year-Olds 6,492 Less than High School 9,418 4,824 High School 9,283 3,740 Some College 6,911 486 Associate 518-13,263 Bachelor s 4,306-225 Graduate/Professional 527 2,054 Total 30,963-15,000-10,000-5,000 0 5,000 10,000 0 8,000 16,000 24,000 32,000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% PUMS Files 61
Wisconsin Occupations with High Net Imports and Exports, 1995-2000 Residents Age 22-29 with College Degrees Postsecondary Teachers 669 Nursing, Psychiatric, Home Health Aides 201 Motor Vehicle Operators 195 Librarians, Curators, Archivists 134 Other Transportation 89 Material Moving 81 Other Office & Administrative Support 75 Cooks & Food Preparation Workers 74 Media & Communication Equipment 73 Material Recording, Scheduling, Dispatching/Distributing 68-524 Other Management Occupations -548 Supervisors, Sales Workers -561 Media & Communication Workers -844 Sales Representatives, Services -992 Advertising, Mktg., Promotions, Public Rel. & Sales Mgrs. -1,048 Engineers -1,113 Business Operations Specialists -1,144 Computer Specialists -1,171 Financial Specialists -1,620 Primary, Secondary, & Special Education Teachers -2,000-1,500-1,000-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% PUMS Files 62
Wisconsin Occupations with High Net Imports and Exports, 1995-2000 Residents Age 30-64 with College Degrees Other Management Occupations Primary, Secondary, & Special Education Teachers Advertising, Mktg., Promotions, Public Rel. & Sales Mgrs. Retail Sales Postsecondary Teachers Other Production Occupations Supervisors, Office & Administrative Support Business Operations Specialists Other Teachers & Instructors Metal Workers & Plastic Workers -663-663 -594-455 -387-200 -251-170 -183-192 300 265 357 351 439 498 595 776 871 1,174 Secretaries & Administrative Assistants Sales Representatives, Wholesale & Manufacturing Physical Scientists Other Office & Administrative Support Mathematical Science Occupations Art & Design Computer Specialists Top Executives Operations Specialties Managers Information & Record Clerks -1,500-1,000-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% PUMS Files 63
Percent of Residents Age 25-64 with an Associate Degree Born In-State, 2005 76.8 80 73.8 60 52.4 40 20 8.8 0 Nevada Alaska Arizona Florida Wyoming Colorado Delaware Maryland Virginia New Hampshire Oregon Idaho Georgia Washington New Mexico California Montana Oklahoma New Jersey Vermont Texas Hawaii Tennessee Arkansas State Average South Carolina North Carolina Connecticut Utah Kansas South Dakota Missouri Maine Rhode island West Virginia Nebraska Alabama Mississippi New York Kentucky Illinois Indiana Louisiana Massachusetts Minnesota North Dakota Wisconsin Ohio Iowa Michigan Pennsylvania Source: 2005 ACS 64
Percent of Residents Age 25-64 with a Bachelor s Degree or Higher Born In-State, 2005 58.3 64.4 70 60 50 41.7 40 30 20 8.3 10 0 Nevada Alaska Arizona Florida New Hampshire Colorado Delaware Virginia Maryland Vermont Wyoming Oregon Idaho New Mexico Washington Georgia California New Jersey North Carolina Connecticut South Carolina Maine State Average Hawaii Montana Tennessee Texas Rhode island Utah Kansas Massachusetts Arkansas Missouri Oklahoma Minnesota Illinois Alabama New York Kentucky Indiana Nebraska South Dakota West Virginia Wisconsin North Dakota Iowa Ohio Mississippi Michigan Pennsylvania Louisiana Source: 2005 ACS 65
Innovation Assets 66
Development Report Card for the States, 2007 Wisconsin STRENGTHS (Top 10 Rank) Rank Measure A Performance Employment Earnings and Job Quality Equity Quality of Life D B A A 2 Disparity between Rural and Urban Areas 2 Voting Rate 5 Bridge Deficiency 5 Royalties and Licenses 6 Income Distribution Resource Efficiency B 7 Loans to Small Businesses 8 Uninsured Low-Income Children B Business Vitality Competitiveness/Existing Businesses Entrepreneurial Energy A C 9 Working Poor 9 Affordable Urban Housing B Development Capacity Human Resources Financial Resources Infrastructure Resources Amenity Resources and Natural Capital Innovation Assets C C A C C WEAKNESSES (Bottom 10 Rank) Rank Measure 43 Conversion of Cropland to Other Uses 43 Business Created Via University R&D 44 Employment Growth: Long Term 45 Employment Growth: Short Term 46 Change in Energy Costs 46 New Companies 48 Private Sector Layoffs Source: Development Report Card for the States, Corporation for Enterprise Development (CFED) 67
Overall State Scores on Measures of Innovation Assets, 2004 45 41.2 40 35 30 25.5 25 20 15 10 2.9 5 0 Massachusetts California Rhode Island Maryland Connecticut Colorado New York Virginia New Hampshire Washington Delaware Utah Vermont Pennsylvania Minnesota New Jersey North Carolina Michigan Oregon Ohio New Mexico Arizona Illinois Texas North Dakota Wisconsin Kansas Hawaii Georgia Iowa Indiana Montana Idaho Alabama Missouri Nebraska Florida Maine Nevada Oklahoma Alaska Wyoming Tennessee Louisiana Mississippi Kentucky West Virginia South Carolina Arkansas South Dakota Source: Development Report Card for the States, CFED 68
Academic Research and Development per $1,000 Gross State Product, 2004 9.8 $7 $6 4.6 $5 3.7 $4 $3 1.7 $2 $1 $0 Nevada South Dakota New Jersey Maine Florida Delaware Arkansas Minnesota Wyoming Oklahoma Virginia West Virginia Idaho Tennessee Ohio Texas Kentucky Illinois Arizona Kansas South Carolina Washington Louisiana Connecticut Georgia Indiana United States New York Oregon California Michigan Colorado Alabama Alaska Missouri North Carolina Mississippi Wisconsin Rhode Island Pennsylvania Nebraska New Mexico Hawaii Iowa Utah Vermont New Hampshire Montana Massachusetts North Dakota Maryland Source: National Science Foundation; Bureau of Economic Analysis 69
Wisconsin Rank Federal Research and Expenditures Per Capita, 2005 Total $110.50 17th Medical Science $38.33 15th Life Science $66.69 15th Computer Science $3.19 21st Physical Science $7.82 17th Engineering $11.66 24th 50 40 30 20 10 0 Source: National Science Foundation; U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates 70
Wisconsin Rank Federal Research and Expenditures, 2005 (Values in Thousands) Total $610,819 15th Medical Science $211,893 16th Life Science $368,651 16th Computer Science $17,642 18th Physical Science $43,209 17th Engineering $64,437 18th Population 5,336 20th 50 40 30 20 10 0 Source: National Science Foundation; U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates 71
Number of Doctorates per 1,000 Workers Science and Engineering, 2004 10 9.1 8 6 4 2.7 2 1.2 0 Nebraska Nevada Florida Arkansas Wyoming Mississippi South Dakota Kentucky West Virginia South Carolina Louisiana Alabama Wisconsin Oklahoma Georgia Kansas Arizona Iowa Missouri Indiana Texas Maine Tennessee Michigan Alaska Ohio Idaho Illinois Utah New Hampshire Montana Minnesota North Carolina Oregon Pennsylvania New Jersey New York Hawaii Washington Colorado California Virginia Vermont Connecticut Rhode Island Delaware North Dakota Maryland Massachusetts New Mexico Source: Development Report Card for the States, CFED 72
Dollar Value of SBIR Grants Per Worker, 2004 81.8 $40 $30 $20 $10 6.6 0.2 $0 Alaska South Dakota Louisiana Iowa Mississippi South Carolina Tennessee Missouri Kansas Kentucky Indiana Illinois Arkansas Georgia North Dakota Florida Idaho Nebraska North Carolina Wisconsin Oklahoma Michigan Minnesota Wyoming Texas Nevada Utah Arizona West Virginia New York Pennsylvania Ohio Oregon Maine New Jersey Vermont Montana Alabama Washington Rhode Island Connecticut Delaware California Hawaii New Mexico Virginia Colorado New Hampshire Maryland Massachusetts Source: Development Report Card for the States, CFED 73
Gross License Income Per Worker, 2004 46.5 $35 $30 $25 $20 13.4 $15 $10 $5 0.0 $0 Wyoming West Virginia South Dakota Alaska Nevada Idaho Montana New Mexico Vermont Maine Mississippi Kentucky Connecticut Arkansas Delaware Hawaii New Jersey South Carolina New Hampshire Alabama Colorado Oklahoma Kansas Illinois Oregon Nebraska Virginia Maryland North Dakota Ohio Indiana Texas Tennessee Pennsylvania Rhode Island Missouri Louisiana Georgia North Carolina Florida Iowa Michigan Washington Utah California Wisconsin Minnesota Arizona New York Massachusetts Source: Development Report Card for the States, CFED 74
Number of Patents Issued Per $1,000 Gross State Product 45.8 25 20 15 11.3 9.1 10 5 1.3 0 Alaska Hawaii Mississippi Arkansas Louisiana West Virginia South Dakota Alabama Wyoming North Dakota Kentucky Nebraska Maine Virginia Montana Missouri Nevada Tennessee Georgia South Carolina Kansas Florida Oklahoma New Mexico Iowa North Carolina Maryland New York Illinois Texas Rhode Island Pennsylvania Indiana Delaware United States Arizona Utah Ohio New Jersey Washington Connecticut Wisconsin Michigan Colorado Massachusetts New Hampshire Oregon California Minnesota Vermont Idaho Source: 2004/2005 Economic Vision 2010 Report Card, Indiana Chamber 75
Venture Capital Financing Per $1,000 Gross State Product, 2003 8.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 Wyoming Alaska Delaware Montana Nebraska Mississippi Arkansas Kansas Iowa Kentucky New Mexico Indiana South Dakota Louisiana Alabama Wisconsin Ohio Vermont Michigan Hawaii Maine Tennessee South Carolina Arizona Nevada West Virginia Florida Oklahoma Missouri Illinois North Dakota New York Oregon Minnesota Georgia Rhode Island Virginia North Carolina Pennsylvania Utah Connecticut Texas Maryland United States Washington Idaho New Jersey New Hampshire Colorado California Massachusetts 6 Source: 2004/2005 Economic Vision 2010 Report Card, Indiana Chamber 76 5 4 3 2 1 0
Number of Initial Public Offerings Financing Per $1,000 Gross State Product, 2002 65.1 70 60 50 40 25.6 30 20 10 5.2 0.3 0 South Dakota Wyoming Hawaii Idaho Montana Arkansas Alabama West Virginia Louisiana Nebraska Mississippi South Carolina Alaska Wisconsin North Carolina North Dakota Vermont Ohio Tennessee Kentucky New Hampshire Nevada Utah Michigan Kansas Arizona New Mexico Delaware Minnesota Oregon Indiana Rhode Island Florida Maine Pennsylvania United States Maryland Oklahoma New Jersey Iowa Colorado Virginia Texas Illinois Georgia California Missouri Massachusetts New York Connecticut Washington Source: 2004/2005 Economic Vision 2010 Report Card, Indiana Chamber 77
The Fiscal Environment 78
State Tax Capacity and Effort Wisconsin Indexed to U.S. Average 1.3 Tax Effort (Effective Tax Rate) Tax Capacity (Total Taxable Resources Per Capita) 1.2 1.1 1 U.S. Average 0.9 0.8 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers (SHEEO) 79
State Tax Capacity and Effort Wisconsin Indexed to U.S. Average 1.7 State Tax Capacity (Total Taxable Resources Per Capita) 1.6 DE 1.5 1.4 CT 1.3 NJ MA 1.2 AK WY MD NY NH VA 1.1 CO MN NV IL WA CA RI 1.0 US NC PA NE WI GA SD MO HI FL IN IAKS OH ORTX VT 0.9 TN AZ ND MI ME SC UTKY 0.8 ID NM AL LA OK MT AR WV 0.7 MS 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 State Tax Effort (Effective Tax Rate) Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers (SHEEO) 80
Projected State and Local Budget Surplus (Gap) as a Percent of Revenues, 2013 Alabama Louisiana Mississippi Tennessee Nevada Texas Oregon Washington Missouri South Dakota South Carolina Idaho Florida North Carolina Indiana Iowa California New Mexico Utah Montana United States Rhode Island Alaska Pennsylvania Illinois Hawaii Georgia New York Arizona Michigan Kentucky West Virginia Colorado Minnesota Oklahoma Nebraska Virginia Arkansas Kansas Connecticut North Dakota Ohio Vermont Wisconsin Massachusetts Maryland Maine New Jersey Delaware New Hampshire -0.5-1.0-1.0-2.1-1.6-3.3-3.0-2.9-2.8-2.3-4.3-4.2-4.2-3.9-3.8-4.8-4.8-4.4-4.4-4.3-5.3-5.2-5.2-5.1-4.8-6.2-5.9-5.8-5.8-5.7-5.7-5.7-5.6-5.6-6.9-6.8-6.7-6.5-6.3-7.0-7.0-8.2-8.0-7.4-9.8-9.3-9.3-8.9-10.7-10.5 0 Source: NCHEMS; Don Boyd (Rockefeller Institute of Government), 2005-3 -6-9 -12 81
Summary Observations Key Issues Facing Wisconsin Expansion and Diversification of State s Economy Variations in: Regional Access Access and Success of Minorities Revitalizing Milwaukee??? 82
Conditions for Developing and Pursuing a Public Agenda A Process for Creating and Building Consensus Around the Short List of State Priorities that the State s System of Higher Education Should Be Addressing A Mechanism for Keeping the Focus on this Agenda Over an Extended Period of Time Accountability Measures that Allow Monitoring Progress Toward Achieving Priority Goals An Approach to Resource Allocation that Creates Incentives (and Removes Disincentives) for Pursuing Priority Goals A Regulatory Environment Consistent with Objectives 83
Given the Criteria for Success, What Might the Board of Regents Expect Over the Next Several Months? Deep Involvement in Identifying Key Issues to Be Addressed and Building Coalitions Supportive of the Agenda Participation in Development of an Appropriate Accountability Mechanism Requests to Change the Financing and Resource Allocation Mechanisms to Better Align Them with Goals A Review of State and University of Wisconsin System Policies, Regulations, and Statutes to Identify Barriers to Progress 84