MAP 1: RC- CAPITAL SIGACTs OCT 2010

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MAP 1: RC- CAPITAL SIGACTs Members of the National Directorate of Security, Afghan National Police and ISAF conducted a joint operation on 21 October 2010. This is in addition to a separate raid which also took place on the same date. The location of the raid was approximately 17 km northeast of the Kabul City center, in the Sharkar Darah District, Kabul Province. As a result of the raid, Afghan and Coalition Forces detained multiple personnel and the follow vehicles, weapons and explosives: 12x Toyota Corollas, 1x Toyota Saracha, 1x Mazda 5x Suicide Vests 21x BM-1 Rockets 11x Remote Controls for Mines 3x Mine Explosive Devices 2x Time Pencils (Detonators) CSH On October 21, 2010, Coalition Forces conducted a raid in Deh Sabz District, Kabul Province, and captured Mohammad Khan, an improvised explosive device expert who was assisting Deputy Shadow Governor of Kabul Fazl Karim conduct a vehicle-borne improvised explosive device attack in Kabul City. Following the raid, Coalition Forces arrested multiple individuals, including Khan, one individual who admitted to being a suicide bomber from Pakistan, and a vehicle loaded with approximately sixty 107mm rockets.

MAP 2: RC- NORTH SIGACTs INS Attack on the ANP HQ in Fayzabad City, FAYZABAD District: On the evening of 19 OCT 2010, INS launched an attack against the ANP HQ in Fayzabad City. PRT Fayzabad reported the attack but said there were no casualties or serious damage. The ANP did not request CF assistance. The number of enemy initiated events in RC-N decreased significantly (19 events this week versus 27 last week). However, this level has been within the average of the last several weeks, although the 23 OCT saw no enemy initiated events, which is out of the ordinary. Most of the events this week were relatively insignificant direct fire or IED incidents. Of some note were two events that involved insurgent attacks on government buildings, both on 19 OCT. In one event, insurgents attacked the district center in NAHRIN District and in the other; they attacked the ANP HQ in Fayzabad. Neither event resulted in casualties or damage.

MAP 3: RC- WEST SIGACTs Overall, there were 34 INS initiated, offensive engagements in RC-W, more than half of which were IED events (six detonations and 12 finds). Two of these events are of note. One, on 18 OCT, was an IED detonation along HWY 1 in HERAT, near Gibrail Village in which there were at least 15 civilian casualties. This was likely targeting ANP officers who were travel in a shared taxi with civilians. The other event was a major, complex attack on the UNAMA compound outside of Herat City. This occurred on 23 OCT and involved at least four attackers, several of whom were suicide bombers and, according to initial information, dressed in burqas and as ANP officers. They breached the compound but their attack was foiled by UNAMA Force Protection and ANP officers tasked with guarding the compound. There were no UNAMA civilian casualties. Complex Attack Against UNAMA Compound in NIZAM- E SHAHID (GUZARAH) District: On 23 1150 OCT 10 two explosions were heard in the direction of Guzarah Village. At 1252 OCC-R WEST reported that a suicide bomber detonated himself just outside the UNAMA building and that a TIC was ongoing between UNAMA Force Protection and INS. ANSF responded and surrounded all the accesses to the compound. At 1255 the Police Operational Mentoring and Liaison Team reported ANP cordoned the UNAMA compound. At 1554 OCC-R reported details of the event, stating 4 x INS arrived at the gate of UNAMA HQ in a white Toyota Corolla. Three of them were wearing burkas. One of them made his way to the gate and detonated while the other two tried to follow the first one. In addition, the car tried to force its way through the main gate. Local UNAMA guards killed two INS. Results: 1 x WIA (UNAMA CIV) and 2 x WIA (ANP). 4 x INS KIA.

MAP 4: RC- EAST SIGACTs Sarobi District, Paktika: At 1135, while conducting clearance operations a CF unit reported a combined patrol discovered a large cache in a village. At 1300, the unit reported a complex attack (SAF, RPG, IDF) from an estimated 30-40 INS resulting in 1 x CF KIA, and 1 X CF WIA. TB fighters are likely attempting to set conditions necessary to provide for an effective winter fighting season. As they continue to occupy and defend their safe havens throughout the AO. Attacks will increase as TB fighters attempt to strengthen their foothold and establish additional support zones. Ghaziabad District, Konar: A CF convoy enroute to JAF from Konar, struck 2 x IEDs resulting in 3 x CF WIA. CF received sporadic SAF for approximately 1 minute. A second IED, turned a vehicle onto its side. Reporting over the previous weeks suggested multiple INS planned to conduct coordinated attacks utilizing IED initiated ambushes. In the past 7 Days there were 249 attacks in RC-East, 61 of which were designated Tier 1 or Tier 2 effective. The two most notable attacks occurred in Khowst Province. Kinetic activity increased by 3% (249 this week, 244 last week) and attack effectiveness increased by 64% (61 this week, 37 last week). Reporting continues to highlight the planning of multiple spectacular attacks to include NE Paktika, Central Khowst, and Jalalabad in Nangarhar.

MAP 5: RC- SOUTH SIGACTs The level of events in URUZGAN decreased this week, to 12 events (from 15). All but two events took place in TARIN KOT, where five caches were found and five IEDs were found and cleared. Detail: Kandahar City and Environs The level of violence in ZABUL Province was normal when compared to pre-election levels. There were 23 events in the province. Two thirds of all events (15) were IED events. Out of the ordinary, more than half of these took place off of HWY 1. Indeed, most were in NOW BAHAR and SHAMULZAI Districts.

MAP 6: RC-SW SIGACTs SIGACTS across the AO dropped during the past reporting period despite operations in Sangin and Nahr-e Saraj (N) to clear facilitation nodes and key insurgent havens used to supply operations throughout the Central Helmand River Valley. Kinetic activity over the coming week will likely continue to drop as CF interdiction of supply lines continues to reduce available manpower, supplies, and funds. As an influx of foreign fighters continue to enter the AO, it is likely there will be a slight shift in overall TTPs. It is likely the foreign fighters will be more aggressive while at the same time attempt to minimize LN casualties by warning them of future attacks. The foreign fighters are seemingly more experienced fighters, and show new and more advanced war fighting tactics. Reporting continues to indicate that INS throughout the AO are currently attempting to increase the lethality of IED attacks, while decreasing SAF attacks. SAF will still continue, however IED attacks will most likely be encountered more often. This shift to focus on IED attacks is likely due to the success of IEDs compared to SAF attacks. As INS shift focus more towards IED emplacement, they are also attempting to shift their IED emplacement TTPs. INS are attempting to emplace IEDs based on CF responses that have been observed in recent IED finds/attacks. It is assessed that improving atmospherics within the AO would likely help decrease successful IED attacks against CF.