Support to Operations Assessment in the 1 German/Netherlands Corps

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Support to Operations Assessment in the 1 German/Netherlands Corps Presentation to 32nd ISMOR Royal Holloway, 2015-07-21 Mr Joachim Reitan Norwegian Defence Research Establishment (FFI) Joachim.reitan@ffi.no

Norwegian Defence Research Establishment (FFI) Established 1946 Major Defence R&D Organisation in Norway Science and Technology Defence planning Support to operations Staff 720 Annual Turnover 859 MNOK 70 M (2014) Civilian institution directly under the MoD

Contents Who, what, where? 1 German/Netherlands Corps (1GNC) Exercises in 2014 and 2015 Operations Assessment (OPSA) in 1GNC Observations and lessons Assessment planning Assessment Design and Support to Planning Development of a Data Collection Plan Assessment execution Data Collection and Treatment Analysis, Interpretation and Recommendations

1 German/Netherlands Corps Permanent headquarters in Münster, Germany 12 nationalities NOR biggest foreign contribution Subunits are assigned through the ordinary NATO procedure for force generation Part of the NATO Force Structure, acting as Land Component Command (LCC), or Joint Task Force (Land heavy) JFC Current LCC in the NATO Response Force (NRF) Subordinate to Joint Force Command (JFC) in Naples One bde assigned as interim Very High Readiness Joint Task Force (VJTF) LCC ACC MCC JTF(L) SOCC Operations assessment (OPSA) an integral part of organisation and staff procedures ACC MCC SOCC

Exercises in 2014 and 2015 Scenario: Skolkan in the Baltic Sea region Full spectrum of possible operations support humanitarian assistance article 5 Purpose Certification of subordinate units Certification of the HQ Cooperation with JFC Naples Preparation as JTF(L) NRF stand by period 2014 2015 2016 Planning, Reliable Sword (Münster) FTX, Reliable Sword (NL) FTX Noble Ledger (DE and Norway) CPX Trident Juncture (Jåtta) Planning, Strong Sword (Munster) FTX, Strong Sword Planning T Sword FTX T Sword

G 10 Assessments in the 1GNC staff G 10 Assessments OPSA Lessons learned Commander Close integration with planning staff COS Handful of permanent staff Standard rotation Varying backgrounds DCOS O & T DCOS Knowledge, Plans and Policy G 2 Intelligence DCOS Resources DCOS C & E Short on manpower in ops Augmentees from NLD and NOR Relevant background TNO / reservists G 5 Plans and Policy FFI, civilians Mainly exercises Deployment? G 10 Assessments Continuity Mutual benefit

OPSA is central in Com s formal decision cycle

Contents Who, what, where? 1 Ge/NL Corps Exercises in 2014 and 2015 OPSA in 1GNC Observations and lessons Assessment planning Assessment Design and Support to Planning Development of a Data Collection Plan Assessment execution Data Collection and Treatment Analysis, Interpretation and Recommendations

Assessment planning Augmentees a valuable addition to the permanent staff Valuable opportunity for augmentees to practice OPSA The OPSA staff is deeply engaged in planning Early communication with data providers is essential Interface to civilian actors restricted Defining useful, accessible measures is difficult Pre-defining specific goals is even more so Limited scope of effects and measures the ones we affect the ones that affect us Force on force battle practically out of scope TOPFAS not in use Ad-hoc data collection and management by spreadsheet and ppt More work, less consistency + More flexibility Artificialities & workarounds due to exercise needs and limitations

Assessment execution Liaising and reporting Up to Joint level: needs further development Across from HQ branches: little involved in planning and the following collection From brigades: Reporting capacity, understanding and interest is limited Invest time in staff education: purpose, process, approach and methods Making sense: assessing and concluding is more than arithmetic! Methodological rigor vs practical decision making Correlating activities with effects makes little sense Artificialities & workarounds due to exercise needs and limitations Timeline and battle rhythm obscures mid-long term development Selection of key recommendations from AWG to AB a matter of debate Do OPSA conclusions impact ops? Reachback to (TNO &) FFI not exercised Expand into other OA tasks than OPSA?

Summary Operations assessment is established in the formal organisation and procedures Staff routine still lacking Arrangement with analysts from NL and NO is a working remedy Exercises have been valuable to refine skills and process Hampered by artificialities and constraints The OPSA community needs to emphasize context and interpretation more!