NAVSEA 05 Chief Technology Officer Perspective on Naval Engineering Needs Naval Engineering for the 21 st Century Workshop January 13-14, 2010 CAPT Heide Stefanyshyn-Piper SEA 05 Chief Technology Officer (SEA 05B4) heide.stefanyshynpip@navy.mil 202-781-5164 1
Opening Thoughts Decisions are made based on PREDICTED COST and PREDICTED PERFORMANCE Predicting Cost is Hard it s not physics based. Ability to Predict is Important to making good decisions NEED GOOD TOOLS PREDICTIONS HAVE UNCERTAINTY Effective Cost Control is facilitated by the ability to delay decisions without delaying programs. Need to place value on this capability. Requirements, Acquisition Strategies, Systems Architectures and Design should account for this uncertainty REQUIREMENT RISKS ARE REAL (AKA Market Risk) Risk that the requirements will change over the life of the product. Preserving flexibility in the right way can mitigate this risk. 2
The Navy Today (as of Dec 17, 2009) Navy Personnel Active Duty: 330,035 (51,635 Officers; 273,894 Enlisted) Midshipmen: 4,506 Ready Reserve: 108,477 [As of November] Reserves currently mobilized: 6,289 Personnel on deployment: 33,928 Navy Department Civilian Employees: 194,562 285 Ships and Submarines Ships Underway (away from homeport): 111 (39% of total) On deployment: 97 ships (34% of total) Subs underway (away from homeport): 26 (48% of Sub Force) On deployment: 20 (37% of sub force) 3700+ Aircraft 3
Maritime Strategy Core Capabilities Forward Presence Deterrence Sea Control Power Projection Maritime Security Humanitarian Assistance and Disaster Response 4
The Navy Today (and goal for future) Ship Battle Forces Active In Commission Totals 285 252 313 Ship Navy 313 Aircraft Carriers Ballistic Missile Submarines Guided Missile Submarines Surface Combatants Nuclear Attack Submarines Amphibious Warfare Ships Combat Logistics Ships Support/Mine Warfare Ships 11 14 4 101 53 33 31 29 11 14 4 100 53 33 0 27 11 14 4 143 48 31 30 32 Active Reserves 9 9 Other 1 http://www.nvr.navy.mil 5
NAVSEA Priorities Sustain Today s Fleet Efficiently and Effectively Build an Affordable Future Fleet Enable our People VADM McCoy COMNAVSEA RDML Eccles SEA 05 6
Sustain Today s Fleet Efficiently and Effectively We will never reach 313 ships if our ships do not reach the end of their Expected Service Life Surface Combatants have typically been retired before their Expected Service Life The cost of modernization is often cited as a reason The 313 ship Navy includes 143 Surface Combatants Koenig, Dr. Philip, Don Nalchajian, and John Hootman, Ship Service Life and Naval Force Structure, ASNE ETS 2008, 23-25 Sept 2008 7
Naval Engineering Needs for Sustaining Today s Fleet Technologies promoting the ability to affordably modernize to meet evolving threats Open Architecture Modularity Increased Distributed System Capacity (electrical power, chill water, etc) Ability to interface with new aircraft (MV-22, JSF, etc.) Ability to interface with off-board unmanned systems. Technologies that improve material condition of ships Corrosion Control Reliability improvements Improved training methods Improved Condition Monitoring Technologies that reduce the Total Ownership Cost of Today s Fleet Energy Efficiency Reduced Manning Improved training methods Analytical Methods to enable calculating Return on Investment of Open Architecture and Modularity Real Options 8
Build an Affordable Future Fleet Symposium January 14, 2009 I talked of need when I started to take a hard look at DDG 1000 and the advantages it had to offer, and I did not see that same level of need. It is a very well run program. There is no doubt about that. The program office should be commended for what it has done. The ship has important technological advances that are going to benefit our Navy in many ways, but the question is what does the warfighter need? Technology does not always equate to relevant capability. There are gaps in the capabilities we will need for the future. The world has changed markedly since we began the march to DDG 1000 in the early 1990 s. CNO at Surface Navy Association 9
Naval Engineering Needs for the Future Fleet Architecture driven Product Lines NGIPS HVAC 21 st Century Open Architecture Combat Systems Affordable incorporation of evolving technologies Railguns and Directed Energy Weapons Unmanned Vehicles New Aircraft (For example: JSF and MV-22) Improved Design methods and tools Ship Design Process Modeling Properly Pricing Risk Properly Valuing Flexibility Design Tools (For example: OSD CREATE) Total Ownership Cost Reduction Technologies Mission Effectiveness Technologies Improved Technology Transition Model Need affordable robustness in a changing world Power Density DDG 1000 Enabling Technologies High Speed Generator Advanced propulsion motors Common power conversion Off Ramp Medium Voltage AC Power Generation (MVAC) 4-13.8 kvac 60 Hz Power and energy control Zonal ship service distribution Energy Storage High Frequency Alternating Current (HFAC) 4-13.8kVAC 200-400 Hz Power-dense generation Power-dense transformers Conventional protection Medium Voltage Direct Current (MVDC) 6 kvdc Reduced power conversion Eliminate transformers Advanced reconfiguration Now Near Future Off Ramp Off Ramp 10
Enable our People Education Support the National Naval Responsibility for Naval Engineering (NNRNE) Training Keep Workforce up to date Mentoring Work Professional Societies Tools Design Tools Supporting Data Processes Ship Design Process Modeling Technology Transition Documentation Specifications Standards Handbooks 11
Summary Sustain Today s Fleet Efficiently and Effectively Build an Affordable Future Fleet Enable our People 12