Board Special Meeting Work Session: BEX V Update Wednesday, March 28, 2018, 4:30 7:30pm Board Auditorium, John Stanford Center 2445 3 rd Avenue South, Seattle WA 98134 Agenda Call to Order 4:30pm Work Session: BEX V Update 4:30pm Adjourn 7:30pm* Special meetings of the Board, including work sessions and retreats, may contain discussion and/or action related to the items listed on the agenda. Executive sessions are closed to the public per RCW 42.30. *Times given are estimated.
Seattle Public Schools BEX V Board Work Session March 28, 2018, 4:30-7:30 pm Auditorium, John Stanford Center for Educational Excellence 2445 3rd Avenue South, Seattle, WA 98134 Agenda Welcome/Introductions (Eden Mack) Agenda Review (Flip Herndon) Meeting Outcomes Process Overview Board Timelines Policy 6910 Capital Levy Planning (Richard Best) Guidance/Principles Requirements- Facilities Master Plan Prioritization Guidance Guiding Principles Population and Enrollment Growth Planning for the Future: the City and Public Schools (City of Seattle-Jackie Kirn and Tom Hauger; Ashley Davies) Capacity Analysis for Elementary, Middle and High Schools (Becky Asencio) Facilities Assessments of Existing Schools and Support Facilities (Richard Best) Technology (John Krull) Levy Funding (Flip Herndon) Community Engagement/Communication Plan (Tom Redman) Next Steps/Way Forward (Flip Herndon) 4:30 pm 4:35 pm 4:50 pm 5:20 pm 5:50 pm 6:20 pm 6:30 pm 6:55 pm 7:10 pm 7:20 pm
Photos by Susie Fitzhugh Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. Building Excellence (BEX) V Capital Levy Planning Board Work Session Presentation March 28, 2018
AGENDA Welcome/Introductions Director Eden Mack, Operations Committee Chair Agenda Review/Meeting Outcome/Process Overview & Board Timelines Flip Herndon Policy 6910 Capital Levy Planning Guidance/Facilities Master Plan/Prioritization/ Guiding Principles Richard Best Population and Enrollment Growth - Planning for the Future: the City and its Public Schools Jackie Kirn & Tom Hauger w/city of Seattle; Ashley Davies Capacity Analysis for Elementary, Middle & High Schools Becky Asencio Facilities Assessments of Existing Schools and Support Facilities Richard Best Technology John Krull Levy Funding Flip Herndon Community Engagement/Communication Plan Tom Redman Next Steps/Way Forward Flip Herndon
MEETING OUTCOMES Establish Board Project Prioritization Guiding Principles Draft Board Action Report (BAR) for Board Introduction & Approval Confirm City of Seattle Anticipated Growth/Relationship to Student Enrollment Confirm Methodology for School Capacity Analysis Confirm Methodology for School & Support Facilities Assessments Introduce for Consideration Potential Technology Measures Introduce for Consideration Levy Funding Information Confirm Community Engagement Approach
PROCESS OVERVIEW & BOARD TIMELINES 2016: Began to Develop List of Potential Projects Based on Capacity & Assessment Criteria Sept. & Dec. 2017: School Board Work Session on BEX V Capital Levy Planning March 28, 2018: SPS Work Session on BEX V Capital Levy Planning April 2018: Community Meetings Discuss Capacity & Assessment Criteria and Guiding Principles May 2018: Project priority refinement reflecting community input, budget, scheduling and data May 2018: SPS Work Session: Discuss What We Heard, Refined Project List & Funding June 2018: Home Language Focus Groups June 2018: Complete Facilities Master Plan Update June 2018: SPS Work Session: Discuss Facilities Master Plan July/August 2018: Project Priority Refinement Aug. 2018: SPS Work Session on BEX V Capital Levy Project List & Funding Sept. 2018: Community Meetings to Present Levies & Feedback Sept. 2018: SPS Work Session on BEX V Capital Levy Finalize Project List & Funding Oct./Nov. 2018: Board Introduction: Staff Recommendations Operations & Capital Levies Oct/Nov. 2018: Operations & Capital Levies 2019 Public Hearing (between Intro. & Action) Oct./Nov. 2018: Board Action Operations & Capital Levies Feb. 2019: Special Election for Operations Levy and BEX V Capital Levy
POLICY 6901 CAPITAL LEVY PLANNING Introductory Statement: The Seattle School Board reaffirms it s commitment to prudent planning for investments of capital funds to assure a quality educational program for all students.
POLICY 6901 CAPITAL LEVY PLANNING Policy Guidance/Important Principles: Capital projects shall be planned to match the district s educational needs in the short, intermediate and long term. Capital projects shall be based on enrollment projections, building capacity, building condition surveys, and the functional adequacy of current buildings to meet educational program needs. Investments shall be made to maintain and improve the physical condition and systems of buildings. Annual budgets should establish a regular, consistent budgeting mechanism to fund capital maintenance activities.
POLICY 6901 CAPITAL LEVY PLANNING Policy Guidance/Important Principles: Building and system designs shall be flexible to meet the changing needs of educational programs, be responsive to the urban context of schools, include advances in technology, and not tailored to the specific needs of any one program to the detriment of future flexibility. The Board strives to reduce district operating costs and carbon emissions by using designs that create conservation opportunities and minimize negative impacts on the environment, while considering the life cycle costs of the projects.
POLICY 6901 CAPITAL LEVY PLANNING Policy Requirements: The District shall prepare a facilities master plan to be approved by the School Board. The plan shall project future capital plans over at least a ten-year period and be updated every three years. The facilities master plan shall include an analysis of the following: - enrollment projections, - building capacity, - physical condition and functional adequacy of buildings, - capital costs and available revenues, - and available sites not currently used for school programs.
POLICY 6901 CAPITAL LEVY PLANNING Facilities Master Plan - Table of Contents: Introduction/Overview SPS Facilities Overview and Status in 2017-18 School Year Educational Specifications for Schools Population and Enrollment Growth: Trends and Projections Capacity Analysis Facilities Condition Report and Maintenance Needs Summary of Building/Maintenance Needs Next 10 Year Summary of Potential Funding Sources for Capital Projects List of Potential Prioritized Projects
POLICY 6901 CAPITAL LEVY PLANNING PROJECT PRIORITIZATION GUIDANCE (Policy 6901 notes: listed rough descending order of importance) : Projects should align with the district s mission and vision. Health, safety and security of students, staff, and public are important and must be protected. Capacity management needs must be met to assure that short, intermediate and long-term enrollment are matched with available space, taking into account costs and educational adequacy of facilities. Building condition scores for building systems, such as exterior, HVAC, plumbing, structural shall be considered. Educational adequacy of buildings shall be considered, focusing on raising student achievement. Planning will take into account past capital projects and future levy plans.
POLICY 6901 CAPITAL LEVY PLANNING GUIDING PRINCIPLES: As part of the levy planning process, the Board shall adopt Guiding Principles specific to each levy, to direct the staff in presenting proposals for levy projects. BEX IV Capital Levy Guiding Principles focused on: Health, safety and security Capacity Building condition
POLICY 6901 CAPITAL LEVY PLANNING BEX V CAPITAL LEVY GUIDING PRINCIPLES: Board Questions & Discussions
CITY/ENROLLMENT GROWTH City of Seattle PowerPoint Presentation
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Capacity Analysis Updates Since December 2017 BEX V Capital Levy Work Session Re-evaluated elementary school capacity accounting for K-3 class size reduction Trend data generated utilizing historic enrollment and Enrollment Planning 5-year enrollment projections Received updated 9-12 enrollment and resident projections from Enrollment Planning accounting for Board approved high school boundary revisions Re-evaluated 9-12 capacity with updated enrollment and resident projection information Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 14
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Aki Kurose MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Dunlap 0 portables Emerson 0 portables Graham Hill 3 portables Martin Luther King 1 portables Rainier View 6 portables Wing Luke 1 portable South Shore K-8 0 portables Middle School Aki Kurose 2 portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 15
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Aki Kurose Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trend 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Aki Kurose MS Service Area Wing Luke K-5 Student Projections 2163 2122 2162 2236 2312 2340 2246 2246 2247 2247 2248 K-5 Right-sized Capacity 2516 2516 2180 2180 2360 2360 2360 2360 2360 2360 2360 Surplus/(Shortage) 353 394 18 (56) 48 20 114 114 113 113 112 % Surplus/(Shortage) 14% 16% 1% -3% 2% 1% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 2017 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Aki Kurose Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2025-26 Aki Kurose MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections 988 892 883 882 941 918 886 876 866 855 845 6-8 Right-sized Capacity 1207 1207 1207 1207 1207 1207 1207 1207 1207 1207 1207 Surplus/(Shortage) 219 315 324 325 266 289 321 331 341 352 362 % Surplus/(Shortage) 18% 26% 27% 27% 22% 24% 27% 27% 28% 29% 30% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Aki Kurose MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 16
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Denny MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Arbor Heights 0 portables Concord Int l 0 portables Highland Park 0 portables Roxhill* 6 portables Sanislo 3 portables West Seattle 5 portables Stem K-8 0 portables Middle School Denny Int l 0 portables *Roxhill moves to E.C. Hughes 2018-19 Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 17
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Denny Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trend 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Denny MS Service Area E. C. Hughes K-5 Student Projections 2525 2501 2544 2543 2585 2651 2553 2547 2541 2535 2529 K-5 Right-sized Capacity 2600 2600 2236 2236 2236 2236 2236 2236 2236 2236 2236 Surplus/(Shortage) 75 99 (308) (307) (349) (415) (317) (311) (305) (299) (293) % Surplus/(Shortage) 3% 4% -14% -14% -16% -19% -14% -14% -14% -13% -13% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 2017 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Denny Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Denny MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections 943 996 1099 1180 1253 1243 1279 1323 1367 1411 1454 6-8 Right-sized Capacity 1191 1191 1191 1191 1191 1191 1191 1191 1191 1191 1191 Surplus/(Shortage) 248 195 92 11 (62) (52) (88) (132) (176) (220) (263) % Surplus/(Shortage) 21% 16% 8% 1% -5% -4% -7% -11% -15% -18% -22% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Denny MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 18
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Eckstein MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Bryant 0 portables Decatur 0 portables Green Lake 2 portables Laurelhurst 4 portables Sand Point 7 portables View Ridge 7 portables Wedgewood 7 portables Thornton Creek 0 portables Middle School Eckstein 1 portable Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 19
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Eckstein Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trend 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Eckstein MS Service Area Thornton Creek Decatur K-5 Student Projections 3152 3370 3347 3257 3211 3157 3267 3266 3265 3264 3262 K-5 Right-sized Capacity 2960 3285 2882 2882 2882 2882 2882 2882 2882 2882 2882 Surplus/(Shortage) (192) (85) (465) (375) (329) (275) (385) (384) (383) (382) (380) % Surplus/(Shortage) -6% -3% -16% -13% -11% -10% -13% -13% -13% -13% -13% 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Eckstein Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Eckstein MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections 980 967 1014 1032 1055 1050 1100 1125 1150 1176 1201 6-8 Right-sized Capacity 925 925 925 925 925 925 925 925 925 925 925 Surplus/(Shortage) (55) (42) (89) (107) (130) (125) (175) (200) (225) (251) (276) % Surplus/(Shortage) -6% -5% -10% -12% -14% -14% -19% -22% -24% -27% -30% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Eckstein MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 20
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Hamilton MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools B. F. Day 0 portables West Woodland* 7 portables John Stanford Int l 0 portables McDonald Int l 4 portables Middle School Hamilton 0 portables *10 Classroom addition to open 2022-23 Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 21
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Hamilton Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trend 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Hamilton MS Service Area West Woodland K-5 Student Projections 2477 1764 1783 1772 1764 1769 1768 1769 1769 1770 1771 K-5 Right-sized Capacity 2400 1700 1540 1540 1540 1540 1760 1760 1760 1760 1760 Surplus/(Shortage) (77) (64) (243) (232) (224) (229) (8) (9) (9) (10) (11) % Surplus/(Shortage) -3% -4% -16% -15% -15% -15% 0% 0% -1% -1% -1% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 2017 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools * Assume Capacity for West Woodland addition is 220 SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Hamilton Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2025-26 Hamilton MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections 1203 986 1004 1001 1018 990 1008 1004 999 995 990 6-8 Right-sized Capacity 985 985 985 985 985 985 985 985 985 985 985 Surplus/(Shortage) (218) (1) (19) (16) (33) (5) (23) (19) (14) (10) (5) % Surplus/(Shortage) -22% 0% -2% -2% -3% -1% -2% -2% -1% -1% -1% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Hamilton MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 22
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Jane Addams MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools John Rogers* 5 portables Olympic Hills 0 portables Sacajawea 4 portables Cedar Park 8 portables Hazel Wolf K-8 0 portables Middle School Jane Addams 4 portables *Funding approved to begin replacement of John Rogers Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 23
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Jane Addams Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trend 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Cedar Park Jane Addams MS Service Area Oly. Hills K-5 Student Projections 1416 1495 1517 1543 1559 1578 1653 1692 1731 1770 1809 K-5 Right-sized Capacity 1301 1931 1554 1554 1554 1554 1554 1554 1554 1554 1554 Surplus/(Shortage) (115) 436 37 11 (5) (24) (99) (138) (177) (216) (255) % Surplus/(Shortage) -9% 23% 2% 1% 0% -2% -6% -9% -11% -14% -16% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 2017 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools * Assume Capacity for a new John Rogers building is 650 SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Jane Addams Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Jane Addams MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections 1193 1178 1228 1295 1359 1373 1445 1496 1547 1599 1650 6-8 Right-sized Capacity 1124 1124 1124 1124 1124 1124 1124 1124 1124 1124 1124 Surplus/(Shortage) (69) (54) (104) (171) (235) (249) (321) (372) (423) (475) (526) % Surplus/(Shortage) -6% -5% -9% -15% -21% -22% -29% -33% -38% -42% -47% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Jane Addams MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 24
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Madison MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Alki 2 portables Fairmount Park 0 portables Gatewood 3 portables Genesee Hill 0 portables Lafayette 6 portables Pathfinder K-8 1 portable Middle School Madison 0 portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 25
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Madison Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trend 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2025-26 2026-27 Madison MS Service Area K-5 Student Projections 2748 2716 2744 2772 2784 2806 2769 2768 2768 2767 2767 2767 K-5 Right-sized Capacity 2689 2689 2398 2398 2398 2398 2398 2398 2398 2398 2398 2398 Surplus/(Shortage) (59) (27) (346) (374) (386) (408) (371) (370) (370) (369) (369) (369) % Surplus/(Shortage) -2% -1% -14% -16% -16% -17% -15% -15% -15% -15% -15% -15% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 2017 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Madison Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Madison MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections 1035 1050 1160 1195 1266 1250 1312 1357 1401 1445 1489 6-8 Right-sized Capacity 1143 1143 1143 1143 1143 1143 1143 1143 1143 1143 1143 Surplus/(Shortage) 108 93 (17) (52) (123) (107) (169) (214) (258) (302) (346) % Surplus/(Shortage) 9% 8% -1% -5% -11% -9% -15% -19% -23% -26% -30% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 2017 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings Madison MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 26
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS McClure MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Coe* 0 portables John Hay 4 portables Lawton 0 portables Queen Anne** 5 portables Catherine Blaine K-8 7 portables Middle School McClure 2 portables * 8 classroom addition to open 2021-22 ** 8 classroom addition to open 2019-20 Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 27
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for McClure Service Area (Queen Anne & Magnolia Areas), 2017-2026 McClure Service Area K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) Funded Projects Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Queen Anne & Magnolia Areas Queen Anne & Magnolia McClure MS Service Area Coe Addition, Magnolia Addition K-5 Student Projections 2483 2430 2498 2628 2725 2784 2777 2826 2876 2926 2976 K-5 Right-sized Capacity 2250 2250 1936 2606 2606 2870 2870 2870 2870 2870 2870 Surplus/(Shortage) (233) (180) (562) (22) (119) 86 93 44 (6) (56) (106) % Surplus/(Shortage) -10% -8% -29% -1% -5% 3% 3% 2% 0% -2% -4% 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for McClure Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 McClure MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections 760 747 771 798 809 868 867 887 907 928 948 6-8 Right-sized Capacity 840 840 840 840 840 840 840 840 840 840 840 Surplus/(Shortage) 80 93 69 42 31 (28) (27) (47) (67) (88) (108) % Surplus/(Shortage) 10% 11% 8% 5% 4% -3% -3% -6% -8% -10% -13% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 2017 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 28
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Meany MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Leschi 0 portables Lowell 0 portables Madrona 0 portables McGilvra 0 portables Montlake 6 portables Stevens 0 portables TOPS K-8 0 portables Middle School Meany 0 portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 29
BEX V BOARD WORK SESSION BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Meany Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Meany MS Service Area Madrona K-5 Student Projections 2112 2106 2115 2109 2099 2085 2138 2148 2158 2168 2178 K-5 Right-sized Capacity 2192 2357 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 2018 Surplus/(Shortage) 80 251 (97) (91) (81) (67) (120) (130) (140) (150) (160) % Surplus/(Shortage) 4% 11% -5% -5% -4% -3% -6% -6% -7% -7% -8% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 2017 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools * Assume Capacity for a new Montlake/McGilvra building is 500 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Meany Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Meany MS Service Area Meany 6-8 Student Projections 171 649 730 804 792 768 839 869 899 929 959 6-8 Right-sized Capacity 173 1023 1023 1023 1023 1023 1023 1023 1023 1023 1023 Surplus/(Shortage) 2 374 293 219 231 255 184 154 124 94 64 % Surplus/(Shortage) 1% 37% 29% 21% 23% 25% 18% 15% 12% 9% 6% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 2017 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings Meany MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 30
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Mercer MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Beacon Hill Int l 0 portables Dearborn Park Int l 0 portables Hawthorne 0 portables Kimball 8 portables Maple 4 portables Van Asselt 0 portables Orca K-8 0 portables Middle School Mercer Int l 19 portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 31
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Mercer Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Mercer MS Service Area K-5 Student Projections 2838 2884 2876 2894 2838 2800 2837 2831 2825 2818 2812 K-5 Right-sized Capacity 2880 2880 2504 2504 2504 2504 2504 2504 2504 2504 2504 Surplus/(Shortage) 42 (4) (372) (390) (334) (296) (333) (327) (321) (314) (308) % Surplus/(Shortage) 1% 0% -15% -16% -13% -12% -13% -13% -13% -13% -12% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 2017 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools *Assume capacity for a new Kimball building 650 SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Mercer Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Mercer MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections 1265 1222 1291 1225 1211 1189 1246 1252 1257 1263 1268 6-8 Right-sized Capacity 975 975 975 975 975 975 975 975 975 975 975 Surplus/(Shortage) (290) (247) (316) (250) (236) (214) (271) (277) (282) (288) (293) % Surplus/(Shortage) -30% -25% -32% -26% -24% -22% -28% -28% -29% -30% -30% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 2017 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings Mercer MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 32
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Robert Eagle Staff MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Daniel Bagley* Cascadia Greenwood Northgate Olympic View Brdview.-Thomson K-8 Licton Springs K-8 7 portables 0 portables 0 portables 5 portables 3 portables 1 portable 0 portables Middle School Robert Eagle Staff 0 portables *Modernization/Addition to open 2020 Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 33
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Eagle Staff Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trend 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Eagle Staff MS Service Area Cascadia Licton Bagle Springs K-5 Student Projections 2037 2534 2511 2540 2531 2562 2543 2544 2545 2547 2548 K-5 Right-sized Capacity 2064 2724 2240 2240 2482 2482 2482 2482 2482 2482 2482 Surplus/(Shortage) 27 190 (271) (300) (49) (80) (61) (62) (63) (65) (66) % Surplus/(Shortage) 1% 7% -12% -13% -2% -3% -2% -3% -3% -3% -3% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 2017 * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP and other auxiliary spaces in the main buildings excluding portables * Assume Capacity for a new Northgate building is 650 SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Eagle Staff Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Eagle Staff MS Service Area Licton Springs 6-8 Student Projections 0 753 843 885 902 908 1081 1118 1154 1191 1227 6-8 Right-sized Capacity 0 1032 1032 1032 1032 1032 1032 1032 1032 1032 1032 Surplus/(Shortage) 279 189 147 130 124 (49) (86) (122) (159) (195) % Surplus/(Shortage) 27% 18% 14% 13% 12% -5% -8% -12% -15% -19% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 2017 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings Robert Eagle Staff MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 34
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Washington MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Gatzert 1 portable John Muir 2 portables Thurgood Marshall 3 portables Middle School Washington 10 portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 35
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Washington Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2025-26 Washington MS Service Area K-5 Student Projections 1248 1226 1197 1185 1148 1173 1134 1117 1100 1083 1066 K-5 Right-sized Capacity 1186 1186 1036 1036 1036 1036 1036 1036 1036 1036 1036 Surplus/(Shortage) (62) (40) (161) (149) (112) (137) (98) (81) (64) (47) (30) % Surplus/(Shortage) -5% -3% -16% -14% -11% -13% -10% -8% -6% -5% -3% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 2017 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Washington Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Washington MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections 1090 712 655 643 673 657 640 631 622 613 604 6-8 Right-sized Capacity 898 898 898 898 898 898 898 898 898 898 898 Surplus/(Shortage) (192) 186 243 255 225 241 258 267 276 285 294 % Surplus/(Shortage) -21% 21% 27% 28% 25% 27% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Washington Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 36
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Whitman MS Service Area Elementary/K-8 Schools Adams Loyal Heights North Beach Viewlands Whittier Salmon Bay K-8 4 portables 0 portables 8 portables 12 portables 0 portables 0 portables Middle School Whitman 14 portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 37
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS SPS K-5 School Projections & Capacity for Whitman Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) K-5 Schools (Includes K-5 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capacity Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Whitman MS Service Area Loyal Heights Webster K-5 Student Projections 2461 2482 2533 2587 2645 2666 2720 2764 2808 2852 2896 K-5 Right-sized Capacity 1842 1842 2114 2114 2488 2488 2488 2488 2488 2488 2488 Surplus/(Shortage) (619) (640) (419) (473) (157) (178) (232) (276) (320) (364) (408) % Surplus/(Shortage) -34% -35% -20% -22% -6% -7% -9% -11% -13% -15% -16% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 2017 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity with allocated PCP spaces in the main buildings * Operational Capacity: capacity includes the main buildings and use of 24 portables and auxiliary spaces * Assume K-3 Class Size 17:1 for high poverty schools; 20:1 for non high poverty schools SPS 6-8 School Projections & Capacity for Whitman Middle School Service Area (2017-2026) 6-8 Schools (Includes 6-8 portion of K-8 School) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Whitman MS Service Area 6-8 Student Projections 1209 914 960 1019 1069 1096 1154 1201 1248 1295 1343 6-8 Right-sized Capacity 1152 1152 1152 1152 1152 1152 1152 1152 1152 1152 1152 Surplus/(Shortage) (57) 238 192 133 83 56 (2) (49) (96) (143) (191) % Surplus/(Shortage) -5% 21% 17% 12% 7% 5% 0% -4% -8% -12% -17% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Whitman MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 38
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Southeast Attendance Area High School Capacity SPS High School Projections & Capacity (2017-2026) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Rainier Beach 9-12 Student Projections 680 721 705 678 683 669 773 799 825 851 878 9-12 Right-sized Capacity 1088 1088 1088 1088 1088 1088 1088 1088 1088 1088 1088 Surplus/(Shortage) 408 367 383 410 405 419 315 289 263 237 210 % Surplus/(Shortage) 38% 34% 35% 38% 37% 39% 29% 27% 24% 22% 19% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables SPS High School Projections & Capacity (2017-2026) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Franklin 9-12 Student Projections 1237 1284 1249 1254 1292 1291 1224 1209 1194 1179 1165 9-12 Right-sized Capacity 1391 1391 1391 1391 1391 1391 1391 1391 1391 1391 1391 Surplus/(Shortage) 154 107 142 137 99 100 167 182 197 212 226 % Surplus/(Shortage) 11% 8% 10% 10% 7% 7% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 39
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Southwest Attendance Area High School Capacity SPS High School Projections & Capacity (2017-2026) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 West Seattle 9-12 Student Projections 949 970 937 1046 1103 1219 1126 1147 1168 1189 1210 9-12 Right-sized Capacity 1215 1215 1215 1215 1215 1215 1215 1215 1215 1215 1215 Surplus/(Shortage) 266 245 278 169 112 (4) 89 68 47 26 5 % Surplus/(Shortage) 22% 20% 23% 14% 9% 0% 7% 6% 4% 2% 0% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables SPS High School Projections & Capacity (2017-2026) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Chief Sealth Int'l 9-12 Student Projections 1090 1015 968 1118 1195 1291 1112 1104 1096 1088 1080 9-12 Right-sized Capacity 1289 1289 1289 1289 1289 1289 1289 1289 1289 1289 1289 Surplus/(Shortage) 199 274 321 171 94 (2) 177 185 193 201 209 % Surplus/(Shortage) 15% 21% 25% 13% 7% 0% 14% 14% 15% 16% 16% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 40
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Option/Service High School Capacity High School SPS High School Projections & Capacity (2017-2026) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Cleveland 9-12 Student Projections 844 849 875 862 852 852 864 868 871 874 877 9-12 Right-sized Capacity 965 965 965 965 965 965 965 965 965 965 965 Surplus/(Shortage) 121 116 90 103 113 113 101 97 94 91 88 % Surplus/(Shortage) 13% 12% 9% 11% 12% 12% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables High School SPS High School Projections & Capacity (2017-2026) Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Center School 9-12 Student Projections 221 229 226 227 236 239 212 206 199 192 186 9-12 Right-sized Capacity 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 Surplus/(Shortage) 79 71 74 73 64 61 88 94 101 108 114 % Surplus/(Shortage) 26% 24% 25% 24% 21% 20% 29% 31% 34% 36% 38% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 41
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Central Attendance Area High School Capacity SPS High School Projections & Capacity (2017-2026) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Garfield 9-12 Student Projections 1716 1774 1769 1788 1708 1613 1743 1752 1762 1771 1781 9-12 Right-sized Capacity 1594 1594 1594 1594 1594 1594 1594 1594 1594 1594 1594 Surplus/(Shortage) (122) (180) (175) (194) (114) (19) (149) (158) (168) (177) (187) % Surplus/(Shortage) -8% -11% -11% -12% -7% -1% -9% -10% -11% -11% -12% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables SPS High School Projections & Capacity (2017-2026) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Lincoln 9-12 Student Projections 0 0 0 705 1130 1601 1601 1601 1601 1601 1601 9-12 Right-sized Capacity 0 0 0 1600 1600 1600 1600 1600 1600 1600 1600 Surplus/(Shortage) 0 0 0 895 470 (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) % Surplus/(Shortage) 0 0 0 56% 29% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Meany MS Service Area Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 42
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Northeast Attendance Area High School Capacity SPS High School Projections & Capacity (2017-2026) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Roosevelt 9-12 Student Projections 1715 1840 1938 1748 1724 1609 1752 1755 1758 1761 1764 9-12 Right-sized Capacity 1719 1719 1719 1719 1719 1719 1719 1719 1719 1719 1719 Surplus/(Shortage) 4 (121) (219) (29) (5) 110 (33) (36) (39) (42) (45) % Surplus/(Shortage) 0% -7% -13% -2% 0% 6% -2% -2% -2% -2% -3% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables SPS High School Projections & Capacity (2017-2026) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Nathan Hale 9-12 Student Projections 1147 1189 1160 1200 1244 1256 1245 1256 1268 1280 1291 9-12 Right-sized Capacity 1096 1096 1096 1096 1096 1096 1096 1096 1096 1096 1096 Surplus/(Shortage) (51) (93) (64) (104) (148) (160) (149) (160) (172) (184) (195) % Surplus/(Shortage) -5% -8% -6% -9% -14% -15% -14% -15% -16% -17% -18% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Note There is insufficient data for Lincoln to develop a trend. The enrollment projection for 2021-22 is expected to continue. Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 43
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Northwest Attendance Area High School Capacity SPS High School Projections & Capacity (2017-2026) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Ballard 9-12 Student Projections 1798 1882 1975 1842 1787 1742 1908 1936 1965 1993 2021 9-12 Right-sized Capacity 1606 1606 1606 1606 1606 1606 1606 1606 1606 1606 1606 Surplus/(Shortage) (192) (276) (369) (236) (181) (136) (302) (330) (359) (387) (415) % Surplus/(Shortage) -12% -17% -23% -15% -11% -8% -19% -21% -22% -24% -26% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables SPS High School Projections & Capacity (2017-2026) High School Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 Ingraham Addition 9-12 Student Projections 1305 1342 1336 1536 1596 1718 1735 1808 1881 1954 2027 9-12 Right-sized Capacity 1196 1196 1196 1696 1696 1696 1696 1696 1696 1696 1696 Surplus/(Shortage) (109) (146) (140) 160 100 (22) (39) (112) (185) (258) (331) % Surplus/(Shortage) -9% -12% -12% 9% 6% -1% -2% -7% -11% -15% -19% Source: DRAFT 5 Year Projections w/october 2017 Actuals Version 2.0 by Enrollment Planning Dept., Nov. 201 * Right-sized Capacity: Capacity in the main buildings excluding portables Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 44
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS High School Capacity Central/North Analysis SPS High School Projections & Capacity (2017-2026) - Central/North High Schools Total High School Ballard, Garfield, Ingraham, Nathan Hale, and Roosevelt Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 9-12 Student Projections 7681 8027 8178 8114 8059 7938 8382 8508 8633 8759 8884 9-12 Right-sized Capacity 7211 7211 7211 7711 7711 7711 7711 7711 7711 7711 7711 Surplus/(Shortage) (470) (816) (967) (403) (348) (227) (671) (797) (922) (1048) (1173) % Surplus/(Shortage) -7% -11% -13% -5% -5% -3% -9% -10% -12% -14% -15% SPS High School Projections & Capacity (2017-2026) - Central/North High Schools Total High School Ballard, Garfield, Roosevelt Enrollment Planning - Student Enrollment/Projections Capital Planning - Student Enrollment Trends 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 9-12 Student Projections 5229 5496 5682 5378 5219 4964 5403 5444 5485 5525 5566 9-12 Right-sized Capacity 4919 4919 4919 4919 4919 4919 4919 4919 4919 4919 4919 Surplus/(Shortage) (310) (577) (763) (459) (300) (45) (484) (525) (566) (606) (647) % Surplus/(Shortage) -6% -12% -16% -9% -6% -1% -10% -11% -11% -12% -13% Note There is insufficient data for Lincoln to develop a trend. The enrollment projection for 2021-22 is expected to continue, with Lincoln at full capacity of 1600. Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 45
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Capacity Assessment Priority Schools Elementary & K-8 Schools: Adams (1), Alki, Coe (2), John Hay, John Muir, Lafayette, North Beach, Olympic View, Roxhill, Viewlands, Wedgewood, West Seattle, West Woodland, Downtown Elementary School Middle Schools: Madison, Mercer International, High Schools: Ballard, Garfield, Ingraham, Nathan Hale, Roosevelt, Downtown High School Notes: (1) Assumes Webster opens as an elementary school (2) Funded 2018 Legislative Request Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 46
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS NEXT STEPS: Utilize information from School Planning Technical Team to further evaluate capacity Monitor enrollment projections Evaluate options to address capacity issues using Board adopted guidelines Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 47
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS CAPACITY ANALYSIS: Board Questions & Discussions
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Facilities Condition Assessment - Life Cycle Planning Educational Adequacy Site Playground Equipment Field Envelope Site Playground Equipment Field Envelope Security Intercom Roof Electrical HVAC line Boiler Fire Floor Int. Arch. Finishes (paint, carpet, etc.) Site Playground Equipment Field Envelope Site Playground Equipment Field Envelope Roof Seismic Electrical HVAC Boiler Plumbing Fire Floor Int. Arch. Finishes (paint, carpet, etc.) Exterior Doors Exterior Windows Site Playground Equipment Field Envelope 12 24 36 48 NEW MODERNIZE? REPLACE? INTERMEDIATE IMPROVEMENTS SYSTEMS MODERNIZATION INTERMEDIATE IMPROVEMENTS FULL MODERNIZATION YEAR YEAR YEAR YEAR
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Prior Facilities Condition Assessments Facilities Condition Assessment by MENG Educational Adequacy Assessment by MENG OSPI Study & Survey Year by MENG 2002 2006 2008 2009 2012 2014 2016 Structural Evaluation by PCS PSC provided an expanded analysis of seismic building data which expanded/updated costs and identified priorities based on their 2009 structural evaluation Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 50
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Facilities Condition Assessment Source Document: Meng Analysis 2014 Building Condition/Educational Adequacy Assessment http://www.seattleschools.org/cms/one.aspx?portalid=627&pageid=18241 Ranked Every School and Support Facility Criteria: - Educational Adequacy Assessment (25%) - Facility Condition Assessment (25%) - Building Maintenance & Repair Ranking (25%) - Facilities Department Assessment (25%) - Department of Technology Services Assessment https://bta.seattleschools.org/assets/bulkupload/20150701-2016leviesreport.pdf
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Facilities Condition Assessment Priority Schools Elementary & K-8 Schools: Alki, Rogers, North Beach, Montlake, Salmon Bay K-8 @ Monroe, Northgate, McGilvra, Roxhill, Lafeyette, Schmitz Park, Kimball, Sacajaweja, Louisa Boren STEM K-8 Middle Schools: Whitman, Washington, Mercer International, Aki Kurose, McClure High Schools: Ingraham, Rainier Beach, Franklin, Lincoln Service Schools: North Queen Anne (Cascade Parent Partnership),
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS NEXT STEPS: Updating Facilities Master Plan Updating facilities assessment information Evaluate existing playgrounds Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 53
BEX V CAPITAL LEVY PROCESS/PREPARATIONS Questions & Discussions
BEX V Information Technology (IT) March 2018
Accountability Quarterly Program Report Maps technology plan aligned to district strategy, goals, and Formula for Success Presented to CFO and Deputy Superintendent Transparency and accountability of levy funds Available at http://www.seattleschools.org/dots 56
Customer Satisfaction 9 8-1 10 for 41,800 support tickets this school year 57
Engagement Met with District Leaders Initial contacts and meetings CBO s City of Seattle Community Technology Advisory Board Community members Labor partners 58
IT - Levy Priorities* Student Learning: Classroom Technology & Support District Systems: Finance, HR, School Operations, Communications, & Data Infrastructure & Security 59 *Under Consideration
District Systems Data Student Learning Infrastructure Equitable Access Safety, Security & Privacy Improved Systems Budget High Quality Teachers & Leaders MTSS Systems talking to each other EOG College & Career Ready 60
All Students All Schools All Staff Families CBO s And Applied with an Equity Lens 61
Student Learning & Classroom Technology Initiatives* Classroom Technology Hardware and Software o Instructional Technology/AV in non-modernized classrooms o Student devices all schools with standard of new schools o Academic software Staff Technology o Certificated Admin and Staff Computers Technology Services Support o Instructional Support o Professional Development: Instructional Improvement o Technology Support 62 *Under Consideration
District Systems* Business and Student Data Systems o Student management systems o Finance and Accounting SAP support & upgrade o HR systems recruiting & onboarding, Employee Portal o Operations - transportation, professional development Data and Business Intelligence o Assessment and reporting o Data tools and visualization o Data Management and governance Collaboration and Engagement o Web, communication, and collaboration 63 *Under Consideration
Technology Infrastructure* Infrastructure Support and Service Software and Hardware Licensing & Support Data Security compliance, privacy, safety Physical Security cameras, access controls Network Modernization wireless, internet Data Center servers, storage Cloud 64 *Under Consideration
BEX V Priorities Infrastructure, Security Student Learning and Support District Systems 65 *Under Consideration
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FY 2017-18 IT Budget $45,000,000 FY 2017-18 $40,000,000 $35,000,000 $30,000,000 $25,000,000 85% Capital $20,000,000 $15,000,000 $10,000,000 $5,000,000 $0 BEX IV BTA III BTA IV General Fund 67
BTA IV Capital Levy Categories 68
Next Steps More community and staff engagement Community Meetings Establish Priorities Prioritize projects Document project costs Others per Board request 69
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HISTORICAL BEX IV LEVY FUNDING INFORMATION Current BEX III Tax Rates per $1,000/AV: 2012 BEX III ($490M over 6 years/$81.7m per year) = $.70 (current level) 2013 BEX III ($490M over 6 years/$81.7m per year) = $.70 (current level) Comparison of 2014 to 2019 Tax Rates per $1,000/AV @ $600M and $750M: 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 BEX IV @ Current $.70 $.70 $.70 $.70 $.70 $.70 BEX IV @ $600M $.84 $.83 $.82 $.80 $.78 $.77 BEX IV @ $750M $1.05 $1.04 $1.02 $1.00 $.98 $.96
LEVY FUNDING Similar Tax Levy Rate 2018: Levy Year Assessed Value BEX Levy Rate Notes 2018 $213,501,606,186 $115,816,667 $0.54 2019 $243,189,011,312 $115,816,667 $0.48 AV decrease based on 2016-2018 avg 2020 $277,004,451,064 $150,264,594 $0.54 2021 $315,521,928,788 $150,264,594 $0.48 2022 $359,395,263,014 $150,264,594 $0.42 2023 $409,369,185,758 $150,264,594 $0.37 2024 $466,291,984,048 $150,264,594 $0.32 2025 $531,129,899,249 $150,264,594 $0.28
COMMUNICATIONS AND ENGANGEMENT TIMELINE Community Outreach: April 2018: Community Meetings Discuss Capacity & Assessment Criteria /Board Guiding Principles May 2018: Community Input/Feedback Summary to Board/Planning Team June 2018: Home Language Focus Groups Meetings June 2018: Community Input/Feedback Summary to Board/Planning Team Sept. 2018: Community Meetings to Present Recommended Levies Scope Oct. 2018: Community Input/Feedback Summary to Board/Planning Team Oct./Nov. 2018: Levies 2019 Public Hearing between Board Intro and Action Oct./Nov. 2018: News release on School Board Action Dec. 2018: A Report to the Community Brochure Distributed to Community Jan. 2019: Levies Information 2019 Brochure Distributed/Posted Feb. 2019: News Release on Election Outcome
NEXT STEPS/WAY FORWARD Activities through May 2018: Continue Facilities Master Plan Update Continue Master Planning Efforts Analyze & Prioritize Capacity and Facilities Assessment Projects Continue Programmatic Environmental Impact Statement Continue to Identify Building Systems Repairs & Replacements Continue to Identify One-Off Projects Continue to Identify Technology Projects Continue to Identify Academic Projects Complete Project Specific Cost Estimates Continue Transition Planning Continue Equity Analysis Assessment Implement Communications and Community Engagement Plan Continue Fiscal Assessment Review Progress with Board Directors: May 2018
THANK YOU. Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 75
Planning for the Future: the City and its Public Schools Joint City- Seattle Public Schools Planning Technical Team
School Planning Technical Team The School Planning Technical Team (Team) was convened in February 2018 to respond to the focus on school capacity planning as identified in the Public Process Partnership Agreement signed November 2017: Work collaboratively to address school planning capacity needs. The Parties both prioritize the values of equity and inclusion in planning processes, design and function of new facilities and school capacity planning to meet the needs of students, families and the community. City is committed to be an active partner with SPS to implement an efficient and reasonable planning, permitting, and construction process. SPS and the City will jointly form technical teams for visioning, joint planning, siting, interrelationships among facilities, and design.
Seattle s Comprehensive Plan City adopts Comprehensive Plan as required by state law at least every 8 years Plan identifies places where growth should occur Plan identifies zoning and infrastructure needed to accommodate next 20 years growth SPS provides data on future school needs for the plan
Locating growth in the city 20-year growth estimates are handed down to the City from Puget Sound Regional Council and King County City plans to distribute growth based on Urban Village Strategy: Sets 20-year growth estimates for new housing (primarily multifamily) and jobs Concentrates housing and job growth near public investments in transit, transportation and other infrastructure
Where housing has been added Since 1994 Plan over 75% of new housing has gone into urban centers and villages Single-family houses make up less than 10% of new housing units 90% of new housing units are in multifamily buildings, typically with fewer children Actual Distribution of Housing Growth 1995-2014 (67,000 Housing Units) Outside Urban Centers and Villages, 24% Residential Urban Villages, 18% Hub Urban Villages, 14% Urban Centers, 44%
Seattle growth in housing units 8,753 6,966 7,435 6,756 6,487 6,174 3,403 3,816 3,959 3,650 3,301 3,118 2,699 2,881 2,560 1,983 2,092 2,211 1,170 1,123 3,661 2,159 2,675 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Year Growth during 20-year monitoring period for 1994 Comprehensive Plan: 67,000 housing units Housing growth determined by economic cycles. Sources: OPCD analysis of building permit data maintained by Seattle Department of Construction and Inspections. Note: Growth refers to new units minus demolished units.
Future Housing Growth The 2016 Comprehensive Plan estimates at least an additional 70,000 housing units by 2035 Plan calls for 84% of future housing to be in urban centers and urban villages 21,000 permitted housing units currently in the pipeline Anticipated Distribution of Housing Growth in Seattle Current 20-Year Planning Period Outside Urban Centers and Villages, 16% Residential Urban Villages, 18% Hub Urban Villages, 16% Urban Centers, 50%
8 SPS Growth Projections Enrollment Planning produces three types of projections annually: 10-year residents projections: all students residing in and enrolled in the district, informs 5 and 1-year projections 5-year school projections: used for capacity management and includes assumptions about future planning 1-year school projections: Expected October headcount, birth data, attendance area growth/shrinkage, program and service placement, school choice trends and seat availability, non-resident students
9 SPS Inputs for Projections SPS uses a model in creating projections that takes into account a variety of factors as listed below: Birth data Rates of returning students (cohort progression) Attendance area growth/shrinkage Program and service placement School choice trends and seat availability Non-resident students Additional external factors: Municipal and regional planning projects, housing availability and affordability, and the regional unemployment rate In fall 2015, SPS in partnership with Integrated Economics published a report that made greater use of housing market demand when modeling enrollment. Housing data made enrollment projections more accurate for some attendance areas, and less accurate for others, but overall there were not significant differences in the models.
Housing growth & SPS enrollment growth
SPS Enrollment 2004-2014 54000 52000 51010 51988 50000 49864 48496 48000 46000 46416 46200 45654 45262 45574 45944 47008 44000 42000 40000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Conclusions Student enrollment is anticipated to grow as population increases Student enrollment is somewhat correlated to housing growth Relationship of housing growth to enrollment varies over time and by area of the city City s expected growth will increase student enrollment
Next steps for School Planning Technical Team collaboration Build on each other s expertise Share data about number and type of housing units permitted by location Compare observations about demographic trends Share information about significant future planning initiatives, major development projects Prepare a joint annual planning report in December
Thank You! Questions?