J.P. MORGAN 35 TH ANNUAL HEALTHCARE CONFERENCE JANUARY 9-12, 2017

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Transcription:

J.P. MORGAN 35 TH ANNUAL HEALTHCARE CONFERENCE JANUARY 9-1, 017

Forward-Looking Statements This presentation may contain forward-looking statements based on current management expectations. Numerous factors, including those related to market conditions and those detailed from time-to-time in the Company s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, may cause results to differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements. Many of the factors that will determine the Company s future results are beyond the ability of the Company to control or predict. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties and, therefore, actual results may differ materially. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which reflect management s views only as of the date hereof. The Company undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements, or to make any other forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. All references to Select used throughout this presentation refer to Select Medical Holdings Corporation and its subsidiaries.

Select Medical Overview Founded in 1996 $4.3 Billion Net Revenue LTM Q3 16 $469 Million Adjusted EBITDA LTM Q3 16 (1) 11.0% Adjusted EBITDA Margins SCALE AND EXPERTISE Leading provider of post-acute services with operations in 46 states and D.C. Headquartered in Mechanicsburg, Pennsylvania, Select Medical employs approximately 41,400 staff in the United States. Note: (1) See Slide 35 for non-gaap reconciliation 3

Select Medical s National Footprint 1 69 5 4 1 17 7 7 1 7 1 19 4 1 46 3 5 1 17 8 1 7 3 17 3 3 61 1 3 14 11 69 7 1 5 111 5 5 45 4 3 38 3 11 18 11 15 14 51 10 3 17 9 4 8 1 3 13 88 1 160 3 1 1 1 67 10 9 5 46 4 5 6 3 3 5 8 6 7 1 14 1 7 30 69 119 10 7 1 5 1 104 Long-Term Acute Care Hospitals (LTACH) (6 States) 19 Inpatient Rehabilitation Hospitals (9 States) 1,603 Outpatient Rehabilitation Clinics (37 States and D.C.) 301 Concentra Centers (38 States) As of 9/30/16 4

Strategy Be the preferred provider of post acute care services in our markets Structured relationships to align with patients Partner with academic/major medical institutions Hospital in hospital model in LTACH Experts in our fields LTACH, Inpatient Rehab, Outpatient Rehab and Occupational Medicine Best in class High quality clinical services Outpatient critical mass Continued growth Rehab JVs Acquisitions within core business lines 5

Recent Developments Physiotherapy Acquisition ( Physio ) March 016 acquired Physiotherapy Associates for $408.7 million 015 Adjusted EBITDA of $3.7 million and expected synergies of $0.4 million Sale of Contract Therapy Business On March 31, 016, completed the sale for $65.0 million Kindred Hospital Swaps In June, completed exchange transaction with Kindred to swap 5 LTACs to Kindred in exchange for 3 LTACs in Cleveland, OH and Atlanta, GA. 6

Revenue Mix 014 015 016 (Q3 YTD) Outpatient 7% Specialty Hospitals 73% Concentra 15% Outpatient % Specialty Hospitals 63% Concentra 4% Outpatient 3% Specialty Hospitals 53% 7

Payor Mix 014 015 016 (Q3 YTD) Non Medicare 55% Medicare 45% Non Medicare 63% Medicare 37% Non Medicare 70% Medicare 30% 8

Select Medical LTAC Hospitals 1 5 1 3 3 5 11 17 9 4 1 1 1 3 5 1 7 10 104 Long-Term Acute Care Hospitals (LTACH) (6 States) As of 9/30/16 10

LTACH Overview Major provider of LTACH services in U.S. 104 hospitals 77 hospital-in-hospital (,814 beds); average size 37 beds 6 freestanding (1,47 beds); average size 57 beds 1 managed hospital Ownership of freestanding LTACHs 15 owned 11 leased 11

LTACH Legislation LTACH Patient Criteria passed in late December 013 as part of Budget bill and SGR - effective beginning Q4 015 LTACH Rates for patients with; 3 day prior short term acute hospital ICU/CCU stay or Ventilation patients for > 96 hours in the LTACH Other patients receive site neutral rate which is lesser of; IPPS per diem (capped at the IPPS DRG amount plus outlier payment) or 100% cost Site Neutral payments phased in over 3 years 1

Patient Criteria Phase-In Q4 15 Q1 16 Q 16 Q3 16 36 HOSPITALS 1,309 BEDS 34 HOSPITALS 1,405 BEDS 14 HOSPITALS 651 BEDS 19 HOSPITALS 91 BEDS HOSPITALS MOVING TO CRITERIA >>> NOTE: Owned LTACs as of 9/30/16 015 016 13

LTACH Regulatory Impact Well-positioned to succeed in an evolving landscape Patient criteria in place since October 1, 015 All LTACHs under criteria as of September 016 SEM hospitals are focused on compliant patients Compliance at 1/31/016 for all SEM LTACHs at 99.1% Hospitals pre vs post criteria occupancy change (8.7%) Average per hospital impact ~.5 patients 14

Status of LTACHs in Criteria # of Hospital (as of 1/31/016) 10 Post-Criteria Hospital >= to pre-criteria census 7 Post-Criteria Hospital <= to pre-criteria census 75 % of total compliant patients to total patients 99.1% (1) Key Volume Indicators Total Total Post-Criteria ADC,656 Change in ADC Pre-Post () (8.7%) Daily Patient Impact (54) Avg. Patient Impact per hospital/day (.5) Key Pricing Indicators from Sample Medicare CMI change from non-compliance (pre-criteria) to compliant (post-criteria) 30 pts (3) Non-compliant CMI: 0.99 DRG Payment: $40k x.99 $40K Impact of a 30% Increase in CMI Index Impact of 30% Increase in CMI Compliant CMI: 1.30 DRG Payment: $40k x 1.30 $5K Pricing Impact: ~30% (4) 1. As of December 31, 016. Comparison of ADC 3 months prior to criteria; to average post criteria ADC through December 31, 016. 3. The 30 pt. increase is an estimated average increase in the Medicare CMI for non-compliant cases and compliant cases for hospitals in criteria. 4. The pricing impact is calculated as a percentage change between the DRG payment for noncompliant and compliant patients. 15

Inpatient Rehabilitation Hospitals Acquired Kessler Institute in September 003 The Kessler Rehabilitation network: - Three freestanding inpatient rehab hospitals (336 total beds) - 94 outpatient rehab clinics Largest licensed rehab hospital in U.S. U.S. News & World Report has recognized Kessler Institute as one of the nation s best in rehabilitation for the past 4 years. - Ranked by U.S. News and World Report among the top one percent of the nation's inpatient rehab hospitals. One of only eight rehab hospitals in the U.S. to receive dual federal designations as a Model System (brain and spinal cord injury). 17

Consolidated Joint Ventures Hershey, PA 76 bed IRF bed TCU St. Louis, MO IRFs (95 beds) 1 managed unit 48 outpatient clinics San Antonio, TX 4 bed IRF Harrisburg, PA 55 bed IRF 1 outpatient clinics Cleveland, OH 60 bed IRF 3 managed units Cleveland, OH 4 LTACHs 30 Beds Los Angeles, CA 138 bed IRF Partnership with Emory Hospital Atlanta, GA 3 LTACHs 88 Beds Gainesville, FL Currently managing 40 bed Shands IRF 44 bed LTAC Cincinnati, OH 60 bed IRF 18

Non-Consolidating Joint Ventures Dallas, TX 3 IRFs (178 beds) managed units 63 outpatient clinics Atlanta, GA 56 bed IRF outpatient clinics Columbus, OH 74 bed IRF Scottsdale, AZ 50 bed IRF 19

Growing Rehabilitation Network Partner in joint ventures with premier acute care hospitals and systems to build post acute networks 0

Outpatient Rehabilitation - Industry Select (1,603) 5 1 1 ATI ( 645) 7 17 4 38 13 11 USPH (54) 11 69 1 7 7 6 7 14 3 46 17 111 17 61 14 69 115 5 1 0 3 93 88 45 9 5 66 30 3 17 7 69 119 15 57 46 4 3 1 160 4 1 67 5 15 98 51 131 1 33 15 1 1 ATHLETICO ( 350) Source: Company public filings and websites as of September 30, 016 1,603 Outpatient Rehabilitation Centers (37 States and D.C.) As of 9/30/16

Outpatient Rehab Clinics 3% 13% VISITS (000 s) % 4% 4,470 4,569 4,781 4,971 5,19 7,091 YEAR 011 01 013 014 015 LTM Q3 16 REVENUE PER VISIT $103 $103 $104 $103 $103 $10 3

016 Outpatient Initiatives Continued growth in workers comp business by illustrating historical ROI benefits of working with Select Payors/Employers Expand hand therapy services to more clinics Expand concussion management program Continued development of start-up clinics Integration of Physio clinics 4

Concentra Concentra is the leading provider of occupational health with 441 locations across 43 states Service Lines: Centers: 301 occupational health locations, with some consumer health Onsite Clinics: 108 locations at employer locations CBOCs: 3 Community Based Outpatient Clinics serving Veterans Health Administration patients 6

Post-Acquisition Update Management transition Earnings LTM - September 016 Revenue = $1.0 billion Adjusted EBITDA = $19.6 million Adjusted EBITDA margin = 1.9% Identification of $46 million of cost saving synergies 7

8

Financial Metric Trends Net Revenue Adjusted EBITDA $4,79 $469 $,805 $,949 $,976 $3,065 $3,743 $307 $386 $406 $373 $364 $399 $,390 010 011 01 013 014 015 LTM Q3 010 011 01 013 014 015 LTM Q3 ($ in millions) '16 '16 ($ in millions) Hospitals Outpatient Concentra Hospitals Outpatient Concentra 9

Annual Capital Expenditures Accelerated development spending expected 014-016 $00 $175 $150 $183 $187 ($ in millions $15 $100 $75 $68 $74 $95 $50 $5 $46 $5 $0 010 011 01 013 014 015 LTM Q3 016 Maintenance Development Concentra Systems 30

Free Cash Flow Focus on Free Cash Flow Generation $31 $171 $93 $119 $75 $98 $5 ($ in millions) 010 011 01 013 014 015 LTM Q3 '16 Note: Free Cash Flow calculated as Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities less Purchases of Property and Equipment See Slide 35 for non-gaap reconciliation 31

Financial Policy ACQUISITION STRATEGY Highly accretive upon execution of synergies Only in existing and related businesses USE OF CAPITAL (OPPORTUNISTIC) MINORITY EQUITY IN CONCENTRA DIVIDENDS Execution of put / call to begin end of FY18 (max 33.3% per year) To be funded with cash or stock Board decision but none for the foreseeable future STOCK BUYBACK Stock buybacks will continue to be opportunistic 3

Financial Guidance 017 Net Revenue $4,400M - $4,600M Adjusted EBITDA $540M - $580M EPS $0.73 - $0.91 Note: See Slide 36 for non-gaap reconciliation 33

Appendix: Additional Materials

Non-GAAP Reconciliation 010 011 01 013 014 015 Q3 15 YTD Q3 16 YTD LTM Q3 16 Net Income $8 $113 $154 $13 $18 $136 $110 $105 $131 (+) Income tax 4 71 90 75 76 7 65 5 59 (+/-) Equity in losses/(earnings) of unconsolidated subsidiaries 1 (3) (8) () (7) (17) (13) (14) (18) (+) Interest expense, net 11 99 95 87 86 113 79 17 161 (-/+) (Gain) / Loss on debt retirement - 31 6 19 - - 1 1 (+) Other (Gains) / Losses (1) (30) (30) (38) (38) (+) Concentra/Physio acquisition costs 5 5 3 3 (+) Depreciation and Amortization 69 71 63 64 68 105 71 108 14 (+) Stock Based Compensation 4 6 7 11 15 11 13 17 Adjusted EBITDA $307 $386 $406 $373 $364 $399 $98 $368 $469 Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities $145 $17 $99 $193 $170 $08 $03 $80 $85 (-) Purchase of Property and Equipment 5 46 68 74 95 183 114 118 187 Free Cash Flow $93 $171 $31 $119 $75 $5 $89 $16 $98 ($ in millions) 35

Non-GAAP Reconciliation Financial Guidance 017 Low High Net Income $135 $159 (+) Income tax 90 106 (+) Interest expense 173 173 (-) Equity in earnings of unconsolidated subsidiaries (3) (3) (+) Stock Based Compensation 15 15 (+) Depreciation and Amortization 150 150 Adjusted EBITDA $540 $580 ($ in millions) 36

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