The Health System is Transforming: Now What?

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The Health System is Transforming: Now What? Katie Gaul, MA and Erin Fraher, PhD MPP Program on Health Workforce Research & Policy Cecil G. Sheps Center for Health Services Research, UNC-CH; and the Health Workforce Technical Assistance Center September 23, 2014 Ohio MEDTAPP Summit: Transforming Healthcare Through State-University Partnerships

Here s our agenda Context: The health system is rapidly changing: What are the workforce implications? Interprofessional education and practice Shortage, or no shortage? How do you know? The Medicaid workforce Social accountability Are we all rowing in the same direction? The need for effective relationships

The Context: Health system transformation is underway Emphasis is on primary and preventative care Health care is integrated across: medical sub-specialties, home health agencies and nursing homes community- and home-based services Technology used to monitor health outcomes Payment incentives promote accountability for population health Designed to lower cost, increase quality, improve patient experience

The Context: Workforce planning for a rapidly changing health system Lots of people asking: How can we align payment incentives and new models of care to achieve the triple aim of better care for individuals, better health for populations and lower costs? Not enough people asking: How can we transform our health workforce to achieve the triple aim? Rapid health system change requires retooling: the skills and competencies of the health workforce the questions health workforce researchers ask and answer the types of programs we develop and implement to create a flexible, adaptable, and continuously learning workforce

Flexible workforce, with new competencies, needed in transformed system A more flexible use of workers will be needed to improve care delivery and efficiency that includes: 1. Existing workers taking on new roles in new models of care 2. Existing workers shifting employment settings 3. Existing workers moving between needed specialties and changing services they offer 4. New types of health professionals performing new functions 5. Broader implementation of true team-based models of care and education

1. Existing workers will take on new roles in new models of care Most workforce policy focus has been on redesigning educational curriculum for students in the pipeline But it is workers already in the system who will transform care Action Needed: more continuing education opportunities to allow workers to upgrade their skills and gain competencies needed in new models of care, such as: care coordination transitions of care population health management patient education and engagement

2. Existing workforce will shift from acute to ambulatory, community- and home-based settings Changes in payment policy and health system organization: Shift from fee-for-service toward bundled care payments, risk- and value-based models Fines that penalize hospitals for readmissions Rapid consolidation of care Will increasingly shift health care and the health care workforce from expensive inpatient settings to ambulatory, community and home-based settings Action Needed: need to shift health workforce training to community-based settings; current workforce not prepared to meet patient on their turf

3. Existing workforce will need more career flexibility Rapid and ongoing health system change will require a workforce with career flexibility Clinicians want well-defined career frameworks that provide flexibility to change roles and settings, develop new capabilities and alter their professional focus in response to the changing healthcare environment, the needs of patients and their own aspirations (NHS England) Need more generalists, fewer specialists Need better articulation agreements and career ladder opportunities to support continuous learning

Re: #4. It s not just about numbers needed in future, it s about new health professional roles Patient navigators Nurse case managers Care coordinators Community health workers Care transition specialists Living skills specialists Patient family activator Grand-aides Paramedics Home health aids Peer and family mentors All of these professions play role in managing patient transitions between home, community, ambulatory and acute care health settings Evidence shows improved care transitions reduce unnecessary hospital admissions, lower costs and improve patient satisfaction

Re: #5. Need to develop true teambased models of care and education How do new roles fit with existing health professionals in team-based models of care? Chicken or egg: what comes first, team-based practice or team-based education? Significant professional resistance exists Need to identify new competencies, standardize and credential (?) new skills Real and lasting change cannot happen without simultaneously addressing payment, regulatory and education policy

Want to learn more on IPE/IPP? LEAP = Learning from Effective Ambulatory Practices http://www.rwjf.org/en/about-rwjf/newsroom/features-and-articles/ the-leap-project.html Ohio LEAP Practice: Neighborhood Family Practice, Cleveland National Center for Interprofessional Education and Practice https://nexusipe.org/ UCSF Center for Health Professions, Innovative Workforce Models http://futurehealth.ucsf.edu/public/center-research/home.aspx?pid=539 IOM Global Forum on Innovation in Health Professional Education http://www.iom.edu/reports/2013/ Interprofessional-Education-for-Collaboration.aspx And also Health Careers Pathways (H2P) Consortium http://www.nn2.org/images/h2p_overview_march2013.pdf

Part 2: Switching Gears

News of physician shortages grabs headlines

These estimates of shortfalls tend to overlook (mal)distribution Most shortage estimates are at the national level. But there is wide variation in the distribution of physicians (and other health professionals) by both specialty and geography What if supply is adequate but providers are just in the wrong place or not serving the populations most in need

These estimates of shortfalls by specialty also overlook reality of practice Physicians flexibly adjust scope of services they provide according to training, practice context and personal preferences Counting heads overlooks real world practice where there is: Between-specialty plasticity physicians in different specialties provide overlapping scopes of services Within-specialty plasticity physicians within the same specialty have different practice patterns

Using plasticity turns workforce modeling upside down We developed a model that does not produce estimate of noses needed by specialty Instead, it asks: what are patients needs for care and how can those needs be met by different specialty configurations in different geographies?

Selected modeling efforts Sheps Center, FutureDocs Forecasting Tool www2.shepscenter.unc.edu/workforce HRSA non-primary care specialties http://bhw.hrsa.gov/healthworkforce/supplydemand/ usworkforce/clinicalspecialties/clinicalspecialties.pdf HRSA nursing model coming soon? AAMC in development (using OH as pilot location)

Who s in the Medicaid Workforce? How do you know?? Big issue for behavioral health Big issue for oral health What are innovative models of that integrate behavioral and mental health? GME and Medicaid accountability is coming, and soon

Accountability Many resources are put into health professional education Is the right workforce going to the right places to serve the right populations at the right time? What s the return on investment for state funds used to train and deploy the workforce? Who s evaluating these efforts?

Source: North Carolina Health Professions Data System with data derived from the Duke Office of Medical Education, UNC-CH Office of Student Affairs, ECU Office of Medical Education, Wake Forest University SOM Office of Student Affairs, Association of American Medical Colleges, and the NC Medical Board, 2011. In NC, most med grads leave state and don t practice in needed specialties and geographies NC Medical Students: Retention in Primary Care in NC s Rural Areas In PC in rural NC: Total Number of 2005 NC med school graduates in training or practice as of 2010: 408 Initial residency in primary care 261 (64%) In training/practice in primary care in 2010: 155 (38%) In primary care in NC in 2010: 86 (21%) 10 (2%) Class of 2005 (N=422 graduates)

What do workforce stakeholders need to do to help transform workforce 1. Harvest and disseminate learning from workforce innovations 2. Reach outside for new ideas and new partners 3. Focus on the practice, hospital and health system, not just the clinician 4. Identify and codify emerging health professional roles and then train for them 5. Plan for the spread and sustainability of innovations at the time they are initiated 6. Build Evidence Required to Support Changes in Licensure, Credentialing and Accreditation Fraher EP, Ricketts TC, Lefebvre A, Newton WP. (2013). The Role of Academic Health Centers and Their Partners in Reconfiguring and Retooling the Workforce Required in a Transformed Health System. Academic Medicine. 88(12):1912-1816.

How do you get stakeholders to work together and speak the same language? 1. Build strong, effective partnerships 2. Communicate and trust 3. Have a strong, neutral facilitator North Carolina: NC Institute of Medicine (http://www.nciom.org) Colorado: Colorado Health Institute (http://www.coloradohealthinstitute.org/)

Questions? Erin Fraher erin_fraher@unc.edu (919) 966-5012 Katie Gaul k_gaul@unc.edu (919) 966-6529 Program on Health Workforce Research and Policy http://www.healthworkforce.unc.edu North Carolina Health Professions Data System http://www.shepscenter.unc.edu/hp Health Workforce Technical Assistance Center http://www.healthworkforceta.org

Extra Slides

Who Uses Data & For What Purposes? Government Policy Decisions Allocate funding Program planning Evaluation HPSA analysis Grant proposals Funders Program planning Allocate funding Evaluation Workforce Policy Evaluation Program planning Policy analysis Regulatory questions Grant proposals Pipeline and diversity National Organizations National policy Evaluation Dissemination Improve data quality Education, Research Planning for new schools Planning for new programs Pipeline and diversity Evaluation Research projects Grant proposals Professional Associations Advocacy, Membership Policy analysis Program planning Grant proposals Other News stories; class projects; locational analysis; loan repayment; court cases; advertise seminars