Headquarters U.S. Air Force USAF/Industry Partnership Brig Gen Mike Worden Director of Operational Plans and Joint Matters 2 June 2005 1
Changing Environment: Then, Now, and Tomorrow High National Strategic Focus Low Berlin Airlift Peer Competitor Korean War Near-Term 1945 1990 2005 Mutually Assured Destruction Cuban Missile Crisis Vietnam War Rogue States Terror/Irregular Flexible Response The New Look Invasion of Afghanistan Grenada El Dorado Canyon Desert Storm Fall of Soviet Union Deterrence, Presence, Crisis Response, Reconstitution?? Iraqi Freedom 9/11 Time and Strategy GWOT? Long-Term WMD? Terror? Failed States? Middle East? Central Asia? Protect, Prevent, Prevail Shape, Respond, Prepare Peer Competitor? 2025 Irregular? Catastrophic? Traditional? Disruptive? OSD Challenge Areas Strategy 2
Transforming the Force Next 5 Years Innovative Concepts - CONOPS / CRRA - Programming / Acquisition Needs - Future Total Force - AF Battle Labs Exploiting Technology Applications - Precision Munitions - Stealth - Directed Energy / ABL - Battle Labs Network Centric - Air Operations Center - Link 16 - C2 constellation Mixing Old and New - CAS w/ heavy bombers - NT ISR / Strike - Special Ops Transformed Future Force Modernizing the Force Recapitalization Funding Trends Our Future Effective Partnership USAF and Industry Global Military Leverage Control Air and Space Exploit the Mediums Enables the Joint Mission Smaller yet More Capable 3
Innovative Concepts: CONOPS Drives All We Do Global Power Global Reach Global Vigilance Rapid Strike Global Mobility Persistent ISR Joint Vision USAF Vision People Air & Space Expeditionary Forces Global Strike CONOPS Homeland Security CONOPS Global Mobility CONOPS Global Persistent Attack CONOPS Nuclear Response CONOPS Space & C4ISR CONOPS Agile Combat Support Integrity - Service - Excellence 4
Glb Persistent Atk Global Strike Global Strike Homeland Security INTEL SURV & RECCE C2 NET CENTRIC ENTERPRISE FORCE APP, PROJ, PROT EST & GENERATE CREATE & SUSTAIN Agile Cbt Spt Global Mobility Global Mobility Space & C4ISR Space & C4ISR Nuclear Response Nuclear Response CONOPS CAPABILITY AREAS Innovative Concepts: Required Capabilities to Combat Effects DEFENSE PLANNING SCENARIOS 1 2 3 ROMO Capabilities Review and Risk Assessment Programs CRRA Roadmaps CRRA Air & Space Expeditionary Forces & Reach-back Forces AF & DOD Corporate Process Planning, Programming POM PBDs PDMs Budget Fielded Capabilities People, Organizations, Equipment, Training Combat Effects 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 Feedback 5
Global information Grid C2 Battle Management Air Refueling Tanker recapitalization Airlift Information Operations Spacelift Operationally Responsive Spacelift Joint Warfighting Space Counter-space Close Air Support Innovative Concepts: Challenges: Capability Needs 6
Innovative Concepts: Future Total Force 70000 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 63231 P-38 P-39 P-40 P-47 P-51 F-51s ANG F-80 F-82 F-84 F-86 F-89 F-94 13857 We have always built the future around the next generation fighter technology F-86s ANG F-100 F-101 F-102 F-104 F-105 F-106 F-4 F-111 8819 How many we buy is what is being debated in the current QDR A-10 356 F-15A/C 507 F-100/F-4s F-15E 224 ANG F-16 1356 F-15/F-16s F-117 52 ANG 2495 F/A-22 F-35 WWII Korea Cold War/Vietnam Today Future Cold War/Post Cold? 7
Innovative Concepts: FTF Exp & Tech vs. Downsize F-15 F-16 A-10 F-117 F-15E F/A-22 F-35 Smaller Force... Integrate with ARC 25% Fewer Fighters Divest less capable fighters to help fund recapitalization But More Capable! More reliable Higher crew ratios 100% Precision Guided Munitions Capable Predominately Low Observable Improved Sensors Networked 8
Innovative Concepts: USAF Battlelabs 9
Exploiting Technology: Applications - Precision Engagement World War II 1,500 B-17s One target 9000 bombs 3,300 ft accuracy 250 lb Vietnam 30 F-4s One target 176 bombs 400 ft accuracy Desert Storm 1 F-117 2 targets 2 bombs 10 ft accuracy Clear night Today 1 B-2 80 targets 80 bombs All weather The Future 1 B-2: 80 240 Small Diameter Bombs 2 x F/A-22: 16 SDBs 16 targets + Provides ISR / Counter Air MK-82 GBU-27 GBU-31/38 SDB OIF SU-22 NTISR.mpg F15E pod vid 10
Exploiting Technology: Applications Stealth Improving Future Force Performance Current Force Future Total Force Effective Threat Radii Effective Threat Radii FTF Relative Kill Potential 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 Kick Down the Door Phase Air-to-Air Decisive Operations Phase Air-to-Ground PB05 Plan FTF modernization improves capability by increasing access, availability, accuracy and payload with significantly reduced force size 11
Primary Mission: Kill Ballistic Missiles (BMs) during boost phase Exploiting Technology: Applications Directed Energy, ABL ED USAF Secondary Missions: Early Early BM BM launch launch warning warning Launch Launch site site location location Cueing Cueing to to BMD BMD systems systems Impact Impact point point prediction prediction 12
Air and Space Operations Centers Distributed; smaller footprint Human Engineering Ability to replicate data Deployment package Exploiting Technology: Network Centric AF WFHQ & AOC 13
Exploiting Technology: Network Centric C2 Constellation Satellites Space WGS Narrowband UFO/MUOS Interim Polar Mobile Air Commercial CWSP/INMARSAT /Iridium TSAT/ AEHF Constellation Net E-10, E-8, E-3, E-2, ABL, ACS GH, BAMS All Link 16 Fighters All ANW Aircraft Mobile Land Mobile Sea JNTC Node TACP LandWarNet MAGTFC2 MAGTF Air & Missile Defense CSG/ESG FORCEnet Aegis ALLIES MCM CENTRIX DCGS - AF Teleports Teleports CFLCC DCGS - AF DCGS- A GIG-BE CAOC DCGS- N CFMCC
Exploiting Technology: Network Centric Netting F-15s w/link 16 Sensor Targets Data Linked Mission Tasking No Helmet Fires! Link 16 brings - Air Tracks from AWACs - Position reports from other fighters - Fighter sensor cues - Pilot BDA reports out - Imagery to fighter Data Link Central Computer Armament Computer OIF SU-22 NTISR.mpg F15E pod vid 15
Exploiting Technology: Mixing Old with New New Capability for Legacy Platforms Close Air Support w/heavy bombers Special Operations 16
All Source Intelligence indicates that Info an Shared enemy facility is Vignette present in the Predictive Battlespace Awareness Occurs at all Levels vicinity of FN8646. Data Gathered from NSA intercepts, Group websites, and space imagery show terrorist activities in the area, but nothing yet conclusive. 0800Z031220. STRATEGIC OPERATIONAL TACTICAL Target Area Incoming SIGINT intelligence from Navy SSN operating in the area indicates active terrorist operations in the vicinity. 0800Z031222. SIGINT report confirmed by most recent space imagery collection. 0800Z031222. Information shared between National Agencies, Services & Coalitions 17
Cursor over Target Vignette PPrreeddi iccttiivvee BBaattttle lessppaac ce wa PPBBAA A e AAw ar Annaallyys reenneessss stt SSTTRRA ATTEEG GIICC O OPPEERRA ATTIIO ON NAALL TTAACCT TIICCAALL SOF Enemy facility located occupants unknown, no other intel available. Latest Imagery: PBA Analysis: Nearest sensors: Global Hawk (20 min ETA) Facility used for E-10 on orbit in vicinity bomb-making and Leadership meetings. SOF team (2 hours ETA) FN86924687 CURSOR OVER THE TARGET OPTIONS: RECOMMENDATIONS : CUE INVESTIGATE ID SHADOW IO TARGET Retask Global Hawk Move E-10 to support Notify SOF team Cross-cue sensors Integrity - Service - Excellence 18
Modernizing the Force: Recapitalizing, the History 19
Modernizing the Force: Recapitalizing, a Joint Issue 20
Modernizing the Force: Recapitalizing, AF Mission Funding Trends 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 29% 30% ICBM 41% HQ Tanker DHP Support Test and Training Fighter Bomber Special Ops / SOF 0% FY 62-71 FY 72-81 FY 82-91 FY 92-01 FY 02-11 FY 12-21 FY 22-25 Reductions in combat forces and overhead have paid for increased emphasis on joint force enablers Space C2ISR Air Breathing C2ISR SAR Airlift 49% 21% 30% Joint Force Enablers Combat Forces Foundation 21
Modernizing the Force: Our Future - F/A-22, C-17, KC-X, and E-10 F/A-22 C-17 KC-X E-10 22
Downsizing cost impacts TOA concerns High price per unit (B-2s, F/A-22?) Rapid, responsive acquisition Stay engaged with Battlelabs Effective partnership: USAF and industry Air Warfare, UAV, Info Warfare, C2, Air Mobility, Space, Force Protection Foreseeing and countering disruptive technologies Anti-GPS, Anti-Stealth Robust system engineering open architectures American industrial base with/vs. Europe Conflict: A400M vs. C-130, F-15/16 vs. Eurofighter, tankers Cooperation: JSF, Joint Ventures Integrating technical and non-technical Decision support software, other tools Effects-based assessment F2T2EA Agile Combat Support CONOPS 23
Joint Effects & CONOPS Drives All We Do AEF 1 AEF 2 AEF 3 AEF 4 AEF 5 AEF 6 AEF 7 AEF 8 AEF 9 Global Vigilance Global Reach Global Power AEF 10 AIR & SPACE EXPEDITIONARY FORCES Global Strike CONOPS Global Persistent Attack CONOPS Nuclear Response CONOPS Homeland Security CONOPS Global Mobility CONOPS Space & C4ISR CONOPS Agile Combat Support CONOPS 24
Headquarters U.S. Air Force Back ups 2 June 2005 26
USAF Fiscal Projections FY 06-11 Change FY06-11 120 100 + 3.7B $Billions 80 60 40 Manpower Infrastructure Operations & Maintenance + 0.4B + 6.3B 20 Acquisition + 6.0B 0 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 27
Recapitalize the Force Production, Reduction drive AF Aircraft Age 28
Recapitalize the Force Aging AF Aircraft 29
Recapitalizing the Force: Five Decades of Shaping the Future 33% 31% 100% 80% 60% 40% DHP Persistent Space C2ISR Tanker Other Support C4ISR ICBM Air Breathing C2ISR Rapid Strike Bomber Munitions Airlift Global Special/SOF Mobility Fighter Maintenance 45% 24% Joint Enablers Joint Combat Forces 36% 20% 0% Base Ops Support Foundations Test and Training HQ Environment FY62-70 FY71-79 FY80-88 FY89-97 FY98-06 31% Foundations 30