Singapore Semiconductor Industry Association ISA Vision Summit 2013 Ulf Schneider President, SSIA Managing Director, Lantiq Asia Pacific Pte.Ltd. Bangalore, 15th February 2013
Title Semiconductor Growth the Multibillion Global Jackpot ISA Vision Summit 2013 Bangalore, 15 th February 2013
Speaker s Profile 1988-1995 Project Manager with Siemens Semiconductor Group in Munich/Germany 1995-1996 R&D Manager with Siemens Components Pte Ltd in Singapore 1999-2004 R&D Director with Infineon Technologies AG in Munich / Germany 2004 2009 Vice President R&D with Infineon Technologies in Singapore 2005-present President Singapore Semiconductor Industry Association (SSIA) 2005-2006 MD with Infineon Technologies in India 2006-2009 Board Member of Singapore National Research Foundation (NRF) 2009-2012 Managing Director with Lantiq Asia Pacific in Singapore, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong and India 2010 Member of Singapore Economic Strategy Committee (ESC)
Content Motivation What is the Rationale behind the Strategy of Governments of the World to have a Stake in the Semiconductor Industry?? Success Factors & Government Instruments What are the Economic Success Factors of our Industry, which Governments can influence efficiently and effectively? Associations Influence How can Industry Associations step in to further enhance the Situation, for both the Individual Players as well as the Governments Charters? Role Models Which are the other Countries to adequately learn from? Conclusion & Take-Away s
ISA Vision Summit 2013 Singapore Semiconductor Industry Association MOTIVATION
Scarring-Off Barriers for Countries Semiconductor Success High Industry Volatility, High Risk. Highly Competitive Global Landscape. Low Gross Margins (in most of the Segments). Low Visibility for Short- and Mid-Term Future. Extremely high Capital Demand.
What makes the Semiconductor Industry so attractive for Country Economics? $0.3 Trillion Industry is hard to ignore Deterministic, long term, Growth Perspective. Opportunity to generate high number of Jobs. Vision to generate high number of extremely high qualified Talents (They make it here, they will make it anywhere...). Gain (or keep) Ownership of strategically important Core Technologies. Decrease Dependency on other Countries IP. Necessary Measure to hold down Trade Deficit Accounting.
Global Semiconductor Impact The Semiconductor Industry serves as a driver, enabler and indicator of technological progress. Developments in the industry determine the way we work, transport ourselves, communicate, entertain ourselves and respond to our environment. SIA Semiconductor Outlook and Review - April 2010
ISA Vision Summit 2013 Singapore Semiconductor Industry Association COUNTRY SUCCESS FACTORS
Country Success Factors for the Semiconductor Industry Government Focus Human Resources: Low-cost. Highly Educated. Diverse. Well-connected league of individual Entrepreneurs Abundant and robust Country Infrastructure Logistics Excellence Stable and predictable political and legal Framework Free from natural Disasters.
ISA Vision Summit 2013 Singapore Semiconductor Industry Association GOVERNMENT SUPPORT INSTRUMENTS
Government Support Tax Incentives and other Monetary Benefits. Provision of Country Infrastructure and Resources. Support of Free-Trade and Special Economics Zones. Access to world-class Education and Qualification Systems. Support to attract foreign Talents. Government Stakes in Companies and Institutions. Support and Encouragement of Industry-Clusters. Protectionism.
ISA Vision Summit 2013 Singapore Semiconductor Industry Association ASSOCIATIONS INFLUENCE
Singapore Semiconductor Industry Association as an Example. Key Focus Areas Voice of the Singapore Semiconductor Industry Support of Business Growth through Sharing of Market Intelligence and Leadership Development. Support of Cutting Edge Technology & Capability Development. Support of Talent & Manpower Recruitment and Development. Communication and Networking beyond Industry Boundaries. Facilitate close Collaboration between Industry, Research, Education and Government Bodies.
ISA Vision Summit 2013 Singapore Semiconductor Industry Association ROLE MODELS
Taiwan About: Taiwan represents 70.2% of the worldwide IC foundry revenue and 55.1% of the worldwide package and testing revenue History: 1960-1980: Prepatory/Seeding Phase 1980-1990: Constant Growth; UMC/TSMC founded out of local Research Institutes since 1990: Full development of the Industry Cluster in Taiwan Government Influence: Electronic Industry Development Projects I/II (1976-1983) Ultra Large Scale Integration Project (1990-1994) Financing of basic research and institutions like ITRI Success Factors: Fully equipped industry verticals, from IC design houses to ODMs/OEMs, focussed on strategic growth areas. Very good informal networks. Young population, a good education system and geographically centered in Asia. Highly-developed network of institutions for collaboration (ITRI) Source: "2012 Taiwan Semiconductor Overview, Page 3
Israel
Israel About: Very strong high-added-value R&D orientation as part of the government charter History: MNC's established R&D centers in Israel in the 70's Milestones in the development were the establishment of Motorola Israel in 1964, IBM Israel in 1972 and Intel Israel in 1974 Government Influence: Incubator and venture capital programs (Yozma) Support of R&D activities via the Office of the Chief Scientist, the 'Law for the Encouragement of Industrial R&D or the Magnet Program Success Factors: Well directed government Investments High education and motivation level Skilled immigrants
Singapore Profile of Singapore s Economic Development: Source: Singapore Economic Development Board, 2012
Singapore About: Export oriented industry with a manufacturing output share of global semiconductor revenues of 13.5% History: First assembly and test facilities in the 60's In the 80's the industry expanded into high-value add operations and growing further since Government Influence: The Economic Development Board is guiding industry players to Singapore and is holistically involved in taking care of their needs Comprehensive incentive programs in place to support set up of R&D, manufacturing and international HQ functions in Singapore. Recent: Increased investments in education and talent development Success Factors: Very good country infrastructure Talented, diligent workforce Stable, pro-business government and committed government agencies Source: Singapore Economic Development Board, Singapore Semiconductor Industry Association, 2012
Mexico About: Strong in Electronics Manufacturing Services E.g. ranked largest exporter of flat screen TVs in 2011 80 percent of the world s largest manufacturing service suppliers operate in Mexico History: First Outsourcing activities of US companies started in the 70's Government Influence: Variety of Government Programs: Refund of Taxes on Imports and Exports, 'Sectorial Promotion Programm', 'Manufacturing Industry, Bonded Assembly and Export Services' Success Factors: Low manufacturing costs, approximately 21% less than USA, 11% less than China and 3% less than India Good Location proximity to consumer market (US) Source: Secretea de Econimoia Mexico, 2012
China About: Strong manufacturing basis Today 4 out of the 15 largest foundries worldwide are chinese History: Stage 1: Government run Project 908 in 1990 and Project 909 in 1995 Stage 2: 2000-2003: Episode of major growth, Industry grew from 98 to 463 design firms also foundation of SMIC / GSMC Government Influence: Stage 1: Government financed fabs and projects Stage 2: Opening of the restrictive market allowed foreign companies to enter china and also domestic companies established Success Factors: Opening of the restrictive market, attracted private business Cheap land, skilled labor, reliable infrastructure, tax benefits and a big market allowed further growth Source: University of Massachusetts, 2012
India About: Forecast of electronics market size in 2020: $400 billion Of that $50 billion expected from semiconductors Challenge for India: growing demand could result in a growing current account deficit if not sourced locally Government Influence: Modified Special Incentive Package Scheme (M-SIPS) National Policy on Electronics 2012 Possible Success Factors: Large consumer market Large engineering talent pool Source: Frost&Sullivan Report, 2012
India Limitations: Limited Infrastructure Capabilities: Electricity & Water Travel & logistics Bureaucracy & efficiency of government agencies Education and talent development Critical impact from unions
ISA Vision Summit 2013 Singapore Semiconductor Industry Association CONCLUSION
Conclusion & Take-Away s Do not try to simply copy from other Countries Success Stories. India is unique. For India, go the India Way. Take the right Sequence and the right Pace. There is no Fast-Track to Success in our Industry. Focus on Industry Segments, which benefit India demands immediately: Communication, Mobility, Power Generation,... For Government Support: Make sure Support reaches the intended Benefices.
The India Way on Policies: A Proposal A. Government Roadmaps and Policies need to be designed in close Collaboration with Industry s representation. B. Progress and KPIs for Roadmap Deployment need to be carefully monitored. Deviations need to be managed. Right Progress needs to be incentivized. C. India s huge Network of Entrepreneurs can support the build-up of a good mix of multinational and local Investment, MNCs and SMEs. D. India s Growth should be built on India s Strengths. India is famous for its huge and highly skilled Talent Pool of Engineers. E. Right Focus and Sequence of Steps. Look first for the Fundaments and then for the Building.
Thank You! Let s look forward to the Future of India s Semiconductor Growth. Enjoy with me the Vision of ISA Vision Summit 2013.