Economic Burden of Counterfeit Medicine in Africa: Situation Analysis and Proposed Solution

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Patient Access Economic Burden of Counterfeit Medicine in Africa: Situation Analysis and Proposed Solution Kasem S Akhras Head, Patient Access MENA ISPOR Annual European Meeting Africa Network Forum October 31 st, 2016 Kasem S Akhras Disclosure Head of Market Access for Novartis MENA Region (Dubai-based) Adjunct Visiting Professor, University of Illinois at Chicago (UIC) College of Pharmacy Chair, Policy and Market Access Committee for the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers Association in the Gulf (PhRMAG) Invited speaker on Pricing, Reimbursement, Market Access and Health Policy Regionally and Internationally Major publications in peer-reviewed journals and presentations in international congresses (100+) Earned Doctorate degree (PharmD) from the University of Illinois, College of Pharmacy (1994), and completed Post-doc Residency in Pharmacy and Ambulatory Care Medicine at Jessie Brown VA-Medical Center (Chicago 1995) 2 1

Disclaimer Opinions and views expressed in this presentation are mine and do not represent the views of Novartis Pharmaceuticals 3 Agenda Background and Current Status Economic Consequences of Counterfeit Medicine Patient Health Care System Economy Summary and Conclusion Recommendations 4 2

Agenda Background and Current Status Economic Consequences of Counterfeit Medicine Patient Health Care System Economy Summary and Conclusion Recommendations 5 Background (1) Definitions Generic pharmaceuticals substandard drugs Substandard medicine (WHO) Products whose composition and ingredients do not meet the correct scientific specifications and which are consequently ineffective and often dangerous to the patient. Substandard products may occur as a result of negligence, human error, insufficient human and financial resources or counterfeiting. Counterfeit Medicine (WHO) Part of the broader phenomenon of substandard pharmaceuticals. They are deliberately and fraudulently mislabeled with respect to identity and/or source. Counterfeiting can apply to both branded and generic products and counterfeit medicines may include products with the correct ingredients but fake packaging, with the wrong ingredients, without active ingredients or with insufficient active ingredients. 6 3

Pharmaceutical price structure (1) Legend Products Cost Structure of Legend Pharmaceutical Product ILLUSTRATIVE 30% 45% 15% 10% Manufacturer cost Wholesale/Distributor Tariffs/Tax/Administrative Pharmacy margins 7 Pharmaceutical price structure (2) Counterfeit business yields huge profits to traffickers ILLUSTRATIVE 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Comparison of Cost Structure between Legend, Counterfeit and Substandard Medicine 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Public Selling Price (PSP) Legend Counterfeit Substandard "Profit" 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% Legend Counterfeit Substandard 0% Legend Counterfeit Substandard 8 4

Background (2) Counterfeit medicine is a Global problem According to the WHO, Substandard/spurious/falsely-labelled/falsified/ counterfeit (SSFFC) medical products may cause harm to patients and fail to treat the diseases for which they were intended. They lead to loss of confidence in medicines, healthcare providers and health systems. They affect every region of the world. SSFFC medical products from all main therapeutic categories have been reported to WHO including medicines, vaccines and in vitro diagnostics. Anti-malarials and antibiotics are amongst the most commonly reported SSFFC medical products. Both Generic and Innovator medicines are falsified including very expensive products for cancer to very inexpensive products for treatment of pain. They can be found in illegal street markets, via unregulated websites through to pharmacies, clinics and hospitals. WHO website. Accessed 2016October22: 9 Background (3) Counterfeit medicine is a Global problem While the World Health Organization (WHO) estimates that 10 to 15 percent of the global drug supply is fake, in Africa fake medicines may account for up to 30% of medicines in circulation. Some sources put the number as high s 60%. 1 in 10 drugs sold worldwide is counterfeit; this figure reaches 7 out of 10 in some countries (LEEM 2011) For every $1,000 invested, criminals can generate $20,000 in profits from heroin trafficking and $400,000 by trafficking counterfeit medicines. Source: Health24 Online. Accesses October22nd, 2016 at 21:45. 10 5

Counterfeit medicine in Africa is a global challenge About 100,000 deaths a year in Africa are linked to the counterfeit drug trade, according to the World Health Organization (WHO). Poverty stricken continent as Africa is vulnerable to drug counterfeiting because it is sold on the street at cheaper price, hence its proliferation as an industry. Lack of access to quality healthcare will always create the environment for fake pharmaceuticals to come to African Borders and kill thousands of people and cause harm to population Source: Health24 Online. Accesses October22nd, 2016 at 21:45. http://www.un.org/africarenewal/magazine/may-2013/counterfeit-drugs-raise-africa%e2%80%99s-temperature. Accessed October 22, 2016. 11 12 6

Source: Bloomberg News. July 31, 2015. Many Ghanaians shop for pills in open-air markets, where the fake may be indistinguishable from the real. 13 Fake drugs at a market in Abidjan, Cote d'ivoire 14 7

From Africa Renewal: May 2013. Drugs on sale at a market in Mali. 15 Agenda Background and Current Status Economic Consequences of Counterfeit Medicine Patient Health Care System Economy Summary and Conclusion Recommendations 16 8

Consequences of counterfeit and substandard medicine Serious social and economic impact The Patients Poisoning Hospitalization, disability and/or death Treatment Failure Serious public health issues (communicable diseases) Increased diagnostic work-up, additional consultation Prolonged courses of therapy New/repeat course of therapy, resistance to treatment Untreated Disease Long-term complications, increased morbidity Premature death The Health Care System The Economy 17 Consequences of counterfeit and substandard medicine Serious social and economic impact The Patients The Health Care System Wasted drug budget (Public, Private, Tenders, OOP) in an already financially strained system Significant increase in overall health care budget (public, private) Additional medical costs and consultations, hospitalizations, etc. Loss of confidence in the health care system Loss of confidence in Public Institutions The Economy 18 9

Consequences of counterfeit and substandard medicine Serious social and economic impact The Patients The Health Care System The Economy Lost productivity (absenteeism, life-years lost, etc.) Shift in expenditure (medical expenditure is largest component) More spend on health care, less spend on other business sectors Increased corruption Global impact Travel restrictions Testing, employment 19 Agenda Background and Current Status Economic Consequences of Counterfeit Medicine Patient Health Care System Economy Summary and Conclusion Recommendations 20 10

Summary and conclusion Substandard and counterfeit medicines are distinct entities with unique challenges While both pose great hazard to public health, substandard receives less attention than counterfeit, and thus is a greater problem to address Economic impact of substandard medicines on countries is very high, especially low-, to middle-income countries with limited health care resources Efforts to address the counterfeit problem require close collaboration between Regulatory, Pharmaceutical Companies, and systems to ensure consistent supply of high quality products 21 Agenda Background and Current Status Economic Consequences of Counterfeit Medicine Patient Health Care System Economy Summary and Conclusion Recommendations 22 11

Recommendations (1) Education (key) General Public Not to purchase medicine from street vendors and peddlers To report any perceived lack of efficacy from any medication they have taken To report any adverse drug event experienced when taking medication Utilize new technology/smart devices to ensure dispensed medicine is legend Government Officials On severity and the prevalence of the problem On the risk it poses to the general public Venders and Street Peddlers On the harm they are causing to society 23 Recommendations (2) Strengthen Regulatory Oversight Strong country-level regulatory oversight Global and regional collaboration Develop technical capabilities for quality testing Enact Strong Legislation Criminalize offenders Severe punishment to offenders to serve as deterrence Consider Regulation of Venders and Street Peddlers Go after the economic source of the problem Instead of ousting illegal vendors off the streets, governments should consider pros and cons of initiatives to regulate these vendors to ensure that they are at least selling the appropriate products that are safe. Pushing them out of business will inevitably fail, as poor, desperate people will always go for cheap vendors. As such, effective measures to regulate them may well be an appropriate way to ensure the safety of African patients 24 12

Recommendations (3) Enhance Supply Chain Minimize the number of supply chain and distribution players Work with legal companies on tracking system to identify substandard and/or counterfeit medicines Deal only with select suppliers with proven product quality Consider different models of distribution system Public Private Partnerships Partnership with MNC to deliver sustainable high quality medicine at affordable prices utilizing special access schemes Work with Interpol to combat counterfeit Work with WHO and other NGO on programs to enhance Access to medicine and pharmaceuticals 25 Kasem S Akhras, PharmD Head, Patient Access MENA Region Novartis Pharmaceuticals Dubai, United Arab Emirates +971.4.435.7795 Kasem.Akhras@Novartis.com Kasem Akhras شكرا Thank You 13