UNIDO and the strategies to invest in Myanmar

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UNIDO and the strategies to invest in Myanmar Gerardo Patacconi Director of the Agro-Business Development Department, UNIDO Vienna Michele Boario Chief Technical Advisor, UNIDO MSME development in Myanmar Yangon

Outline I. UNIDO in Myanmar 1. Current initiatives 2. Pipeline and opportunities for Italian investors II. Myanmar economic potential and investment strategies 1. Economic and industrial context 2. Myanmar potential and challenges 3. Strategies for foreign investors, Myanmar Government, and Myanmar enterprises 2

I. UNIDO in Myanmar 3

4 UNIDO is the business and industrial development arm of the UNITED NATIONS As a UN specialized agency we promote industrial development for poverty reduction, inclusive globalization and environmental sustainability The mandate of the United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO) is to promote and accelerate inclusive and sustainable industrial development (ISID) in developing countries and economies in transition. UNIDO is the only UN organization promoting the creation of wealth and tackling poverty alleviation through sustainable industrial development Focus on three inter-related thematic priorities: Poverty Reduction through Productive Activities Trade Capacity- Building Environment and Energy

Current UNIDO's initiatives Micro & SMEs development and youth and women employment National Quality Infrastructure Industrial master plan Industrial energy efficiency Resource Efficient and Cleaner Production 5

Fostering Pro-Poor and inclusive MSME Development Why this project? MSMEs are the backbone of Myanmar economy (98% of enterprises) Youth and women entrepreneurs are an untapped resource for the country Strengths Small but innovative Policy dialogue and CB based on pilot initiatives Based on a solid UNIDO experience on clustering and entrepreneurship Successful coordination with counterparts and stakeholders

The Project Fostering Pro-Poor and inclusive MSME Development Duration: September 2013 June 2017 Budget: 1,289,000 euro Donors: Italy Government coordinating agency: DISI, Central Department of SMEs Development Counterpart agencies & partners: Ministry of Industry Ministry of Cooperatives The Republic of the Union of Myanmar Federation of Chambers of Commerce & Industry (UMFCCI) 7

UNIDO response to selected Myanmar challenges and problems Challenges/problems Structural change Regulatory environment MSMEs competitiveness Market Integration POLICY ADVICE CAPACITY BUILDING PILOT PROJECTS TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER UNIDO response Industrial strategy and policy Policy dialogue ( SME R&R and policies, IZ law, industrial law) Global value chain development, partnership building, PPP Agro-industrial parks Food safety

Pipeline SME eco-system Agro-food parks Food safety Stronger local partners Networking tools and B to B initiatives Surveys and data Opportunities for developers Demand for agro-processing machines Top facilities for FDI Demand for agro-processing machines, testing machines and laboratories.

Investment tools from UNIDO and the international community UNIDO ITPO SME link www.myanmarsmelink.com/ Other international agencies (e.g. WB, IFC and ADB) Surveys and data base 10

II. Myanmar economic potential and investment strategies 11

Economy (2016, EIU data) GDP GDP per capita Agriculture (% real change) Services (% real change) Industry (% real change) Export (goods) Imports (goods) Top export Top import Top trading partner $62 Bl $1,150 ($5,222 at PPP) 3.5% 8.6% 12.2% $10.1 Bl $13.4 Bl Natural gas and petroleum, wood products, and legumes Vehicles, iron. Steel and other metal products China, Thailand, and Japan 12

Economic and Industrial assessment Huge economic growth potential. Part of ASEAN (620 ml). The agriculture is still a key sector of the economy. Significant reforms and new laws are in progress, but a lot of work still need to be done Thilawa SEZ is very promising, but other IZ need to be strengthen Low labor cost, but low productivity and weak enterprise culture. Few products and export concentration. 126,300 registered companies, 88% are small and medium, SMEs are not growing. 13

14

1990-91 1995-96 2000-01 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 1990-91 1995-96 2000-01 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 60.000 50.000 40.000 30.000 20.000 10.000 - Stock of capital generated by FDI (US$ Million) (Myanmar Statistics Organization) 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 5,1 5,3 GDP growth (IMF data) 5,6 7,3 8,4 8,7 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 7 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 No. of foreign enterprises (Myanmar Statistics Organization) 12 10 8 6 4 2 GDP growth forecasts (Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts) 7,9 9,3 8,6 9,1 9,6 8,4 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 15

Myanmar 2030 McKinsey Asian Development Bank

Challenges Ensure economic and political stability Structural change and diversification of the economy Improve the productive knowledge Private sector development and investment climate improvement Regional and international integration 17

Recommendations for the Government Coherent improvement of the investment climate More detailed economic strategies, targets and priorities PSD is about SME development Linkages between local and international enterprises Strengthen the policy making process Industrial parks 18

Strategies for Myanmar enterprises Understand local and foreign markets Networking with local and international partners Build the skills to work with foreign partners International standards Benefit from international support 19

Strategies for foreign investors Gain a competitive advantage as a first comer Long-term commitments, no delocalization Flexibility and readiness to seize opportunities in a fragmented market Local Partnerships Synergies with development cooperation Responsible and sustainable investment 20

Thanks! 21