West: Labour Market Overview Jasmina Behan, Labour Market Economist, Skills and Labour Market Research Unit (SLMRU) SOLAS (Irish Further Education and Training Authority) and Expert Group on Future Skills Needs 9 December 2016
Outline Labour market overview: Ireland Labour market overview: regions Labour market overview: West Issues: expansion, replacement, churn and shortages New architecture for identification of skill needs
Labour market: current situation Indicator Quarter 3 2016 Annual change Employed 2,040,500 +57,500 Unemployed 177,700-25,300 In labour force 2,218,200 +32,200 UE (SA)(Monthly Nov 2016) 7.9%(7.3%) -0.4pp Long term unemployment rate 4.2% -0.8pp Participation rate 60.8% +0.3pp Employment rate (15-64) 65.4% +1.6pp Source: Central Statistics Office
Regional classification: CSO NUTS 3 Border (1) Dublin (5) Mid-East (4) Midland (3) Mid-West (8) South-East (6) South-West (7) West (2) Cavan Dublin City Kildare Laois Clare Carlow Cork City Galway City Dun- Donegal Laoghaire- Rathdown, Meath Longford Limerick City Kilkenny Cork County Galway County Leitrim Louth Monaghan Sligo Fingal South Dublin Wicklow Offaly Westmeath Limerick County North Tipperary South Tipperary Waterford City Waterford County Wexford Kerry Mayo Roscommon
Economic output, 2013 GVA at Basic Prices (Euro Million) GVA per person at Basic Prices (Euro) Indices of GVA per person at Basic Prices (State=100) Border Dublin Mid East Midland Mid West South East South West West Ireland 11,093 70,811 12,952 5,936 11,168 12,543 26,961 12,008 163,474 21,445 55,365 24,276 20,923 29,305 25,092 40,384 26,839 35,464 60.5 156.1 68.5 59.0 82.6 70.8 113.9 75.7 GVA at Basic Prices (%) 6.8 43.3 7.9 3.6 6.8 7.7 16.5 7.3 100 5
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E Gross Value Added (GVA) per person 160 140 120 100 State = 100 80 60 40 Border Midland West Dublin Mid-East Mid-West South-East South-West *2014 figures are estimates 6
Labour market indicators, Q4 2015 E rate (20-64) UE rate (15-75) P rate Border 67.8% 8.7% 56.5% Dublin 72.2% 7.6% 63.2% Mid-East 71.2% 7.6% 61.5% Midland 68.2% 10.9% 60.3% Mid-West 67.8% 8.5% 57.1% South-East 66.7% 11.9% 58.6% South-West 68.8% 7.4% 58.1% West 67.9% 10.6% 58.8% Ireland 69.6% 8.7% 60.0% 7
Regional employment, q4 2015 8
Employment in manufacturing by technology intensity, Q4 2015 9
Public Employment Service: Job Seekers There were approximately 125,000 job ready job seekers in April 2016 10
Public Employment Service: Vacancies Almost 95,000 vacancies advertised on DSP Jobs Ireland for the period Jan-Dec 2015 11
Selected education indicators 12
West, q4 2015 Population 435,900 Working age (15-64) 273,900 Labour force 199,500 Participation rate 58.8% Employment 178,700 Employment rate (20-64) 67.9% Unemployment 20,800 Unemployment rate 10.6% GVA per person ( ) 26,839 GVA index (State =100) 75.7 SOLAS
West: Active enterprises SOLAS
West: Large enterprises Industry High tech (medical devices, pharmaceuticals) Medium-high tech (electrical equipment, computers, electronics and optical products, chemicals, plastics, printing, basic metals) Food and beverages (meat processing & packing; bakery) Construction Wholesale & retail Grocery retail Wholesale of machinery and equipment Specialised retail ICT Professional servicess Accounting, auditing Engineering & technical consultancy, Scientific research & development Financial & insurance Accommodation & food SOLAS
Active enterprises and persons engaged by company size, West, 2012 Active enterprises Persons engaged Size class Galway Mayo Roscommon Under 10 90.7% 91.1% 93.3% 10-19 5.0% 5.2% * 20-49 2.6% 2.7% 1.8% 50-249 1.5% 0.9% 1.0% 250 and over 0.1% 0.1% * Size class Galway Mayo Roscommon Under 10 32.3% 37.2% 44.9% 10-19 12.3% 13.3% * 20-49 14.2% 16.3% 13.1% 50-249 25.1% 16.0% 22.0% 250 and over 16.1% 17.2% * Source: CSO, Business Demography 2012
West: Employment by sector, q4 2015 SOLAS
West: Employment growth by sector SOLAS
Distribution of persons engaged by sector, West, 2012 Source: CSO, Business Demography 2012
West: Employment by occupation, q4 2015 SOLAS
Expansion demand: average annual employment growth by occupational family by 2020
144,000 162,000 Replacement and Turnover: Labour Market Transitions 2015 Unemployment 81,000 118,000 Employment Intraoccupational 166,000 Interoccupational 100,000 131,000 148,000 Inactivity Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO data
Replacement and turnover rates 2015 Turnover Employment 2014 annual average Intra- occ. and neutral inter-occ. movements Managers 150,200 6.5% Professionals 354,700 8.4% Assoc. profs. 216,600 10.5% Admin. 208,500 10.8% Trades 285,400 9.1% Personal services 144,600 14.6% Sales 166,100 17.2% Operatives 144,900 13.3% Elementary 210,100 18.6% Total 1,881,200 13.0% Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO data SOLAS
Source: SLMRU Demand components and churn
West: expansion and replacement SOLAS
West: expansion ICT Apple, IDT911, Shopify, EssentialSkillz, Intuity CBE, Ipswitch, TitanHQ, Cut-e Industry Manufacturing Rossport Pharmaceuticals, Valeo, Zimmer, Lifes2good, Steeltech, Moss Vision Inc Ltd, Chanelle Group, Alere, IBM, JFC Utilities Mayo Renewable Energy Power Plant Wholesale & Retail ALDI, Supermac's Construction Apple, Mayo Renewable Energy Power Plant Finance Lafferty Group, RSA Insurance, Deloitte Services Color Communications Europe, OpenSparks IIR SOLAS
Shortages Professionals/associate professionals ICT (software developers, cloud, databases/big data, testing, security, technical support, networking and infrastructure) Engineering (production, process, quality, validation, product design/development, electronic, electrical, mechanical and chemical) Science (analytical development chemist, formulation scientist, microbiologist, QC analyst/validation technician) Business & finance (risk, compliance, accounting, business intelligence, data analytics) Health (doctors, nurses, radiographers, niche area specialists (e.g. prosthetists, radiation therapists, audiologists), managers) Construction (surveyors, project managers) Clerical (multilingual financial clerks in fund accounting/administration, credit controllers, payroll specialists) Skilled trades (chefs, tool making, welding (TIG, MIG), butchers/de-boners, steel-erector) Sales (technical sales, multilingual customer support) Operatives (CNC, drivers (fork lift and special vehicle)) Retention issues (care, chefs, butchers/de-boners, elementary)
Identification of skill needs: institutional framework Employment permits SLMRU National Skills Council SOLAS
Contact details Jasmina Behan Labour Market Economist, Senior Research Officer, SOLAS and Expert Group on Future Skills Needs Tel. ++ 353 1 533 24 59 Relevant reports: National Skills Bulletin 2016 Monitoring Ireland s Skills Supply 2016 Occupational Employment Projections 2020 Regional Labour Markets Bulletin 2016 Vacancy Overview 2015 www.skillsireland.ie www.solas.ie