German FinTechs and traditional banks: Friend or Foe?

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Transcription:

German FinTechs and traditional banks: Friend or Foe?

FinTechs Definition and categories Non-bank, technology-driven providers of financial services, built on digitalised, web- and data based processes * FinTech company characteristics Start-up Established (non-bank) firms with large network (e.g. internet platform, telecom company, large retailer) FinTech business strategies New service (e.g. crowdfunding) or existing market (e.g. payments) End-to-end service or part of a value chain Front-end or back-end service Relationship with incumbents: competition or cooperation *Source: 1

Agenda 1 2 FinTechs in Germany FinTech versus Fin? 2

FinTechs are on the rise! Global FinTech Investment USD bn. 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 10 11 12 13 14 Technology and the Internet have a radically increasing role in financial services Investments into FinTech startups quadrupled in 2014 USD 12 bn FinTech investment in 2014, up from USD 1.8 bn in 2010 Significant mergers and acquisitions activity by established FinTech businesses Sources: CB Insights, 3

US FinTech investment spearheads Investment in FinTech by region USD bn. in 2014 US UK & Ireland Nordic Region Netherlands Germany 0 2 4 6 8 10 Sources: Accenture, US FinTech investment spearheads globally with a volume of almost USD 10 bn in 2014 Despite the uptick in recent years, Europe lags behind in FinTech investment. In 2014: USD 623 m. investment in the UK and Ireland USD 345 m. investment in Nordic regions USD 85 m. investment in Germany 4

Berlin is the German FinTech centre Number of FinTechs in Germany* Berlin München Hamburg Frankfurt am Main 0 10 20 30 40 50 139 FinTech-firms with their headquarters in Germany in 2014 In terms of number of FinTechs Berlin is the leading city in Germany Almost half of the FinTechs are located in Berlin The financial centre of Germany; Frankfurt hosts only 11 FinTechs *there are 47 FinTechs in other cities in Germany. Sources: LSP Digital, 5

Lending and Payment FinTechs have the largest share among FinTechs FinTechs are a new breed of alternative lenders Around one fourth of FinTech startups in Germany does direct lending Another 17% does crowdinvesting FinTechs offer online based payment services 27% of FinTech startups are alternative payment providers Other FinTechs active in: Insurance, ID verification, Online Shopping & Gastronomy 6

Increasing number of projects funded via FinTechs, yet so far they have a small role for the real economy Number of projects successfully funded via German crowdfunding platforms 1200 1000 800 600 Small role of FinTech start-ups for real economy for now German FinTechs employ around 2,000 employees in total On average 11 employees per FinTech 400 200 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 Sources: Für-Gründer.de Crowd Funding Monitor, 7

Agenda 1 2 FinTechs in Germany FinTech versus Fin? 8

Banks and Fintechs are interconnected German banks cooperate with FinTechs % of banks that cooperate with FinTechs 10 56% of German banks cooperate with Fintechs for their digital strategy Of these, 80% are satisfied with their cooperation 10 80 Satisfied Indifferent Not satisfied Sources: Die Welt, 9

FinTechs vs. Fins? Use of technology Banks (incumbents) pioneered IT for financial services Paper-based work substituted by electronic/automated processes Interaction with clients via physical and digital channels FinTechs Competitive edge by consequent use of digital business models, lower cost Use innovative IT for financial intermediation and transaction services Spot unserved client needs Online banking: established service Persons using online banking as % of 25-64 year olds who used the internet in previous 3 months 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Germany Euro area Sources: Eurostat, More competition: innovation, services, pricing 10

FinTechs versus Fins? How much finance, how much regulation? FinTech business volume very small compared to incumbent providers (even in payment services) so far Will FinTechs be able to scale up their business? Attractiveness to mass market (retail and business clients)? Processing capabilities Customer service Regulation: how much regulatory arbitrage? Up to date, many FinTechs are not supervised like established financial service providers Can FinTechs sustain their business models if regulators impose existing financial regulations on them ( same risk- same regulation )? Competition on Expertise in financial risk management Funding cost: funding loans by deposits only allowed with banking licence 11

Can FinTechs be an alternative? Spotlight on corporate funding and payments Corporate funding in Germany EUR bn, Net bond issuance (left), EUR bn, Bank loan flows (right) Cashless payments in euro area Number of transactions in billions (left), growth of e-money payments in % yoy (right) 30 60 80 70 80% 70% 60 60% 15 30 50 40 50% 40% 30 30% 0 0 20 10 20% 10% 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 0% -15 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Bond issuance Bank loan -30 Bank and card payment transactions E-money payments Growth rate e-money payments Sources: ECB, Sources:ECB, 12

Contact Orçun Kaya, Ph.D. Banking, Financial Markets, Regulation Heike Mai Banking, Financial Markets, Regulation Taunusanlage 12 D-60325 Frankfurt/Main Phone: +49 69 910-31732 E-mail: orcun.kaya@db.com Internet: www.dbresearch.com Taunusanlage 12 D-60325 Frankfurt/Main Phone: +49 69 910-31444 E-mail: heike.mai@db.com Internet: www.dbresearch.com 13

Disclaimer Copyright 2015. AG,, 60262 Frankfurt am Main, Germany. All rights reserved. When quoting please cite. The above information does not constitute the provision of investment, legal or tax advice. Any views expressed reflect the current views of the author, which do not necessarily correspond to the opinions of AG or its affiliates. Opinions expressed may change without notice. Opinions expressed may differ from views set out in other documents, including research, published by. The above information is provided for informational purposes only and without any obligation, whether contractual or otherwise. No warranty or representation is made as to the correctness, completeness and accuracy of the information given or the assessments made. In Germany this information is approved and/or communicated by AG Frankfurt, licensed to carry on banking business and to provide financial services under the supervision of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the German Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin). In the United Kingdom this information is approved and/or communicated by AG, London Branch, a member of the London Stock Exchange, authorized by UK s Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) and subject to limited regulation by the UK s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) (under number 150018) and by the PRA. This information is distributed in Hong Kong by AG, Hong Kong Branch, in Korea by Deutsche Securities Korea Co. and in Singapore by AG, Singapore Branch. In Japan this information is approved and/or distributed by Deutsche Securities Limited, Tokyo Branch. In Australia, retail clients should obtain a copy of a Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) relating to any financial product referred to in this report and consider the PDS before making any decision about whether to acquire the product. 14