R&D in the FY 2017 Budget - PDF Free Download

R&D in the FY 2017 Budget Matt Hourihan February 29, 2016 For the Government-University-Industry Research Roundtable AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program http://www.aaas.org/program/rd-budget-and-policy-program Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 1

5% 0% -5% Federal Spending Since FY 2010 Percent change from FY10 levels, constant dollars Base Discretionary Caps DOE Applied Programs* NSF -10% DOE Science -15% NIH -20% -25% NASA USDA R&D -30% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 DOD S&T *Includes EERE, OE, Fossil, Nuclear; excludes ARPA-E (regular appropriations began in FY 2011). Based on AAAS analyses of historical OMB, agency, and appropriations data and the President's FY 2017 request. 2016 AAAS Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 2

Composition of the Proposed FY 2017 Budget Total Outlays = $4.1 trillion outlays in billions of dollars Other Mandatory $656 Net Interest $303 Defense Discretionary* $529 [Defense R&D]* $79 Nondefense Discretionary* $557 Medicaid $386 [Nondefense R&D]* $68 Medicare $598 Social Security $967 *Approximately $4 billion for R&D is classified as mandatory spending. Figures are estimates. Source: Budget of the United States Government FY 2017. Projected deficit is $503 billion. AAAS Feb. 2016 Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 3

Total R&D by Agency, FY 2017 budget authority in billions of dollars, including new mandatory Commerce, $1.9 USDA, $2.9 All Other, $6.2 NSF, $6.5 Total R&D = $152.9 billion NASA, $12.0 DOE, $17.4 DOD, $73.2 HHS (NIH), $32.7 Source: OMB R&D data, agency budget justifications, and other agency documents and data. R&D includes conduct of R&D and R&D facilities. 2016 AAAS Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 4

Current Estimates of Total R&D in FY17 Budget percent change from FY16, nominal dollars, including new mandatory proposals DOE Energy Programs DOE Defense US Geological Survey Transportation Agriculture National Science Foundation DOE Science NIST DOD Development Veterans Affairs National Institutes of Health Homeland Security NOAA Environ Protection Agency NASA DOD S&T TOTAL Defense Nondefense Basic Research -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Based on AAAS analyses of OMB, OSTP and agency budget data. AAAS Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 5

NEW Mandatory Funding in FY 2017 $4.2 billion for R&D, all nondefense Select agency funding (including non-r&d): $2.0 billion for NIST $1.825 billion for NIH $1.6 million for DOE clean technology and science programs $763 million for NASA $400 million for NSF $325 million for USDA $300 million for EPA Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 6

Current Estimates of Total R&D in FY17 Budget percent change from FY16, nominal dollars, excluding new mandatory proposals DOE Energy Programs DOE Defense US Geological Survey Transportation Agriculture National Science Foundation DOE Science NIST DOD Development Veterans Affairs National Institutes of Health Homeland Security NOAA Environ Protection Agency NASA DOD S&T TOTAL Defense Nondefense Basic Research -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Based on AAAS analyses of OMB, OSTP and agency budget data. AAAS Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 8

Base Budget R&D by Agency, FY 2017 budget authority in billions of dollars, excluding new mandatory proposals in FY 2017 Commerce, $1.9 USDA, $2.6 All Other, $6.0 NSF, $6.2 Total base budget R&D = $148.8 billion NASA, $11.3 DOE, $16.6 DOD, $73.2 HHS (NIH), $30.9 Source: OMB R&D data, agency budget justifications, and other agency documents and data. R&D includes conduct of R&D and R&D facilities. 2016 AAAS Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 9

FY17 R&D in the Base Budget by Function percent change from FY 2016, nominal dollars Applied Energy Programs 19.8% Defense Activities Environment Agencies General Science (NSF, DOE SC) 3.2% 2.3% 4.0% Justice (DHS) Transportation Agriculture Health (NIH) Commerce (NIST) -0.5% -1.9% -2.3% -2.6% -2.7% Space -9.5% TOTAL 1.4% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Source: OMB R&D data, agency budget justifications, and agency budget documents. 2016 AAAS Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 10

Trends in Federal R&D As a percent of GDP 1.4% 1.2% 1.0% Total 0.8% Defense 0.6% 0.4% Nondefense 0.2% 0.0% Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 11 Source: AAAS analyses of historical budget and agency data and the FY 2017 request. GDP figures from OMB. R&D includes conduct and facilities. AAAS

Agency Highlights: NIH $33.1 billion program level (+$825 million, +2.6%) OR $31.3 billion program level (-$1 billion, -3.1%) Of the $1.825 billion in mandatory spending: $825 million for cancer research, BRAIN Initiative, Precision Medicine Remaining $1 billion to keep all other ICs flat 17.5% success rate in FY17 $50 $45 $40 $35 $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 NIH Budget, FY 1998-2017 budget authority in billions of constant FY 2016 dollars New Mandatory (FY17) ARRA Funding General Med Sci Cancer NIAID Heart Lung Blood NIDDK Mental Health All Other Source: Agency budget data and the FY 2017 request. Excludes Ebola-related funding in FY 2015. Adjusted for biomedical R&D inflation rate (BRDPI). 2016 AAAS Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 12

Agency Highlights: DOE SC: $5.7 billion (+6.1%) OR $5.6 billion (+4.2%) Advanced computing; BER; BES all with moderate boosts Domestic fusion energy research cut again (-15.5%) While ITER boosted, again Applied programs: gains for EERE, ARPA-E, grid (20% or more for each) 21 st Century Clean Transportation Plan Fossil cut, Nuclear flat $2,000 $1,800 $1,600 $1,400 $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 DOE Office of Science Budgets Budget Authority in millions of constant FY 2016 dollars Adv Sci Comp Bio Env Res High-Energy Phys Basic Energy Sci Fusion Energy Nuclear Phys Source: Historical DOE budget data and FY17 request. 2016 AAAS Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 13

Agency Highlights: NSF $8.0 billion (+6.7%) OR $7.6 billion (+1.3%) Base budgets for most directorates roughly flat ENG: boosts for SBIR, ERCs BIO, MPS: infrastructure v. research? New research vessels $12 $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $0 National Science Foundation Budget Budget Authority in billions of constant FY 2016 dollars New Mand. NSF ARRA All Other EHR MREFC Other R&RA SBE CISE BIO ENG GEO MPS Source: NSF budget data. 2016 AAAS Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 14

Agency Highlights: NASA NASA: $19 billion (-1.3%) OR $18.3 billion (-5.3%) Mandatory spending ($763 million) directed to Science, Aeronautics, Space Technology, Exploration Familiar contours: Priorities include Earth Science, Space Technology; also Heliophysics Asteroid Retrieval Mission Cuts for Planetary Science (Europa Mission), Exploration (SLS and Orion), Astrophysics $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 NASA Budgets, FY 2007 - FY 2017 billions of constant 2016 dollars New Mandatory Other Space Operations Aeronautics ARRA Exploration Systems Space Technology Science "Other" includes support, construction, OIG, and education programs. 2016 AAAS Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 15

Other Notes DOD S&T: Basic research cut by 9.0%; DARPA +3.7% USDA: small changes at ARS; AFRI discretionary +7.1%, with an additional $325 million mandatory NIST, NOAA Research Office, USGS all increased to varying degrees Zika supplemental: $1.8 billion for CDC, NIH, others 140% 130% 120% 110% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% USDA R&D Funding Since FY 2010 Estimated funding as a percent of FY 2010 levels, constant dollars ARS ERS NIFA [AFRI*] 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Request *Also contained within NIFA. Based on AAAS analyses of agency budget documents. R&D includes conduct of R&D and R&D facilities. 2016 AAAS Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 16

5% 0% -5% Federal Spending Since FY 2010 Percent change from FY10 levels, constant dollars, excluding new mandatory proposals in FY 2017 Base Discretionary Caps DOE Applied Programs* NSF -10% DOE Science -15% NIH -20% -25% NASA USDA R&D -30% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Request DOD S&T *Includes EERE, OE, Fossil, Nuclear; excludes ARPA-E (regular appropriations began in FY 2011). Based on AAAS analyses of historical OMB, agency, and appropriations data and the President's FY 2017 request. 2016 AAAS Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 18

R&D as a Share of GDP by Funder 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% Total Federal Industry Other Source: National Science Foundation, National Patterns of R&D Resources series. 2015 AAAS Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 19

Research as a Share of GDP by Funder 1.2% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% Total Research Federal Research Industry Research Other Source: National Science Foundation, National Patterns of R&D Resources series. 2015 AAAS Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 20

Trends in Federal R&D, FY 1976-2017 in billions of constant FY 2016 dollars, excluding mandatory proposals in FY 2017 $200 $180 Total R&D $160 $140 Defense $120 Nondefense $100 $80 ARRA Total $60 ARRA Defense $40 $20 ARRA Nondefense $0 Source: AAAS analyses of historical budget and agency data and the FY 2017 request. R&D includes conduct and facilities. AAAS Feb. 2016 Copyright 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 21