Subj: THREAT SUPPORT TO WEAPON AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SYSTEMS PLANNING AND ACQUISITION

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DE NAVY o ERATIONS IN RE LY ftefer TO OPNAVINST 3811.1D N2 OPNAV INSTRUCTION 3811.1D From: Chief of Naval Operations Subj: THREAT SUPPORT TO WEAPON AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SYSTEMS PLANNING AND ACQUISITION Ref: (a) DODD 5000.1, The Defense Acquisition System, of 12 May 03 (b) DODI 5000.2, Operation of the Defense Acquisition System, of 12 May 03 (c) CJCSI 3170.01F, Joint Capabilities Integration and (d) Development System CJCSI 3312.01, Joint Military Intelligence Requirements Certification (e) DODD 5200.39, Critical Program Information (CPI) Protection within the Department of Defense, of 10 Sep 97 (f) SECNAVINST 5000.2C, Implementation and Operation of the Defense Acquisition System and the Joint Capabilities Integration and D velopment System (g) DODD 8260.1, Data, Collection, Development, and Management in Support of Strategic Analysis, of 11 Jan 08 (h) DODI 8260.2, Implementation of Data Collection, Development, and Management for Strategic Analyses, 21 07 (i) VCNO Memorandum, Intelligence Support to Navy Programs 1 Sep 95 (NOTAL) (j) DODD 5000.59, Department of Defense Modeling and Simulation (M&S) Management, of 8 Aug 07 (k) DODI 5000.61, DOD Modeling and Simulation (M&S) Verification, Validation, and Accreditation (VV&A), of 13 May 03 (1) SECNAVINST 5200.38A, Department of the Navy (DON) Modeling and Simulation Management (m) SECNAVINST 5200.40, Department of the Navy Verification, Validation, and Accreditation (VV&A) of Models and Simulations (n) OPNAVINST 5200.34, NavY Modelin and S'm atic (M&) Management

1. Purpose. To issue mandatory procedures for Department of the Navy (DON) implementation of references (a) through (n) for intelligence threat support to U.S. Navy and Joint weapon and Info ation Technology (IT) systems planning and acquisition processes. 2. Cancellation. Office of the Chief of Naval Operations Instruction (OPNAVINST) 3811.1C. This 0 AVINST is a complete revision and should be read in its entir ty. 3. Background. Intelligence is key to understanding the potential current and future threat pose by foreign weapon and IT system capabilities, and must be integral to U.S. system development and acquisition decisions (r ferences (a) through (f}). The provision of threat support t weapon and IT systems selection and planning is vital to ensur the Navy and Joint forces remain capable of carrying out assigned missions. For weapon and IT systems to achieve their intended capabilities, consideration of the threat must be continual throughout the life cycle of each weapon and IT system. Threat considerations are inherent in all decisions from defining requirements and capabilities, through initial concept phases, planning, research, full-scale development, production, Test and Evaluation (T&E), deployment, and system upgrade. In concert with documentation and procedural requir ments of references (c) through (i), a close relationship between the intelligence and weapon and IT systems development cornrnun'ties is critical to ensure consideration of the threat throughout the weapon and IT syst s selection and planning proce 4. Applicability and Precedence. In ac ordance with reference (f), this instruction applies to all DON organizations and to all DON Acquisition Category (ACAT) programs, including: Naval Intelligence and Cryptologic ACAT progr s; IT programs; and Rapid DeploYment Capability Programs. eferences (a) through (h) and this instruction take precedence over any issuances conflicting with them, except for policy, direction, or guidance embodied in current statute, regulation, the Defense Federal Acquisition Regulation Supplement, and the Navy-Marine Corps Acquisition Regulation Supplement. 2

5. Policy a. Early consideration must be given to threat information in all weapon and/or IT system planning initiatives, Research, D velopment, Test and Evaluation (RDT&E), and acquisition activities. Navy requirements officers and project officials will ensure the capabilities of systems are specified sufficiently to counter/defeat projected foreign threats. Program Managers (PMs) must acquire, use nd remain cognizant of changes to the threat which could have co t, schedule, performance, or operational impact on th 'r systems or programs. b. For all weapon and/or IT system development and acquisition programs, specific planning will be included for obtaining, updating and using threat supp rt throughout the life cycle of the program. c. References (f) and (i) specify that the only threat data and threat assessments authorized to support Navy weapon development and acquisition programs are those produced or validated by the Office of Naval Intelligence (ONI), the Navy's intelligence production center. No threat support information will be used in weapon or IT systems acquisition documents, studies, or analysis that has not been p duced or specifically validated by or through ONI. d. Reference (f) specifies that the only threat data and threat assessments authorized to support United States Marine Corps (USMC) (non-aviation) weapon and IT development and acqui ition programs are tho produced or validated by th Marine Corps Intelligence Activity (MCIA), the Marine Corps's intelligence production center. No threat support information will be used in weapon or IT systems acquisition documents, studies, or analysis that has not been produced or specifically validated by or through MCIA. e. ONI- or MCIA-produced or ONI- or MCIA-validated threat products will be the basic threat documentation supporting all Navy and Marine Corps: (1) ACAT ID programs requiring a System Threat Assessment (STA) validated by the Defens Intelligence Agency (r ference ( ). 3

OPNAVINST 3811.10 (2) ACAT IC, II, III and IV prog ams requiring system specific threat information. (While these programs do not require DIA threat certification, the in elligence used in the supporting composite threat assessment reflects official Department of Defense (000) and DON intelligence positions.) (3) Innovative Naval Programs, Future Naval capability and Advanced Concept Technology Demonstrator Programs will receive the same level of intelligence s pport as ACAT level programs. 6. Responsibilities a. DON Intelligence Component Commands (1) The Director of Naval Intelligence (OPNAV (N2)) is responsible to the Chief of Naval Operations for managing and resourcing all aspects of intelligence throughout the DON and has the responsibility for implementing procedures contained in reference (f) and this instruction. OPNAV N20 is responsible for the coordinating and ensuring Intelligence Certification of the acquisition program's Information Support Plan (ISP) is complete prior to submission to non-navy entities (Intelligence Requirements Certification Office, Joint Staff J2, DIA, etc.) (reference (d)). (2) The Commander, ONI, is responsible for threat production and related intelligence collection requirements as directed by references (f) and (i). (a) The Director, Directorate of Naval Analysis (ONI-2) is responsible for the developme t of threat support material and provision of those products and information to the requestor. 1. ani produces current and future, non-u.s., intelligence and threat forecast product, data, and force information, supporting references (a) through (h). 2. ani produces threat ata and composite threat assessments to support specific classes of platforms/weapons and/or IT development and acquisition programs. The threat assessments provide the basic threat documentation for all Navy or Navy-lead joint programs (this 4

includes support to Marine Corps aviation as required by reference (f». ani will update program threat assessments biannually or as required to ensure threat urrency for these assessments. 2. As required by refer ces (b) and (f), ani will produce or identify the appropriate Capstone System Threat Assessment (CSTA) or STA product(s) to support Navy or Navy-led Joint programs that fall within Defense A quisition Board (DAB) review authority. (3) The Commander, MCIA, as directed by reference (f), shall provide life-cycle threat assessment and intelligence support for USMC ACAT I, II, III, and IV rograms (nonaviation). MCIA shall provide to Comman "ng General, Marine Corps Systems Command, Marine Corps Direct Reporting Program Managers, and Director, Marine Corps Oper tional Test and Evaluation Activity (MCOTEA), with threat support based on the latest STA. b. DON Acquisition Component Command. Systems Commands (SYSCOMs), program executive officers, PMs, product directors, technology directors or initiative leads, and Research and Development (R&D) activities shall ensure the threat assessment and threat data used for Developmental T st and Evaluation (DT&E), and Operational Test and Evaluati n (OT&E) of a program is the correct and current assessment and data. Acquisition and R&D activities shall coordinate and maint in dialogue with ani or MCIA (as appropriate) to establish the proper intelligence r f p ra. if" lly, PM or pr je t 1 ad shall: (1) In conjunction with ani or MCIA, determine whether systems are intelligence-sensitive and r quire intelligence infrastructure or threat analysis. (2) Work with N20 to conduct, document and populate the intelligence, surveillance, and reconnai ance supportability and sustainability analysis as directed i references (a) through (f) and this instruction. The PM and N20 shall jointly determine the intelligence content, and include intelligence costs within life-cycle program costs" I telligence costs must 5

include intelligence infrastructure analysis, creation of intelligence content of the 15P, and support for operations and sustainment of an I5P. (3) Ensure the threat capabilities information in the Test and Evaluation Master Plan (TEMP) is prepared using the current CSTA/STA, if it exists, and other DIA- and/or ONI- or MCIA-approved threat information in support of fulfilling reference (f) requirements. c. DON Test and Evaluation (T&E) Co ands. T&E activities (Commander, Operational Test and Evaluati n Force (COMOPTEVFOR), OPNAV N091, and Director, MCOTEA) shall e sure the threat assessment and threat data used for DT&E, OT&E and live-fire T&E as directed by references (b), (f), and (j) of a program is the correct and current assessment and data. Necessary time and resources shall be planned and budgeted to ensure adequate testing is conducted to support decision akers and the users throughout the life cycle of the acquisition. d. DON Requirements Sponsors. Per references (a) through (c), Joint Capabilities Integration and Development System (JCIDS) analyses and documents must consider future adversarial threat capabilities and scientific and technical developments. OPNAV and other DON commands acting as requirements sponsors shall ensure JCIDS products utilize the most current and applicable threat assessment. The threat/operational environment section of the Initial Capabilities Document (ICD), the Capability Development Document (CDD) and the Capability Production Document (CPD) will be in accordance with reference (c). 7. Intelligence Threat Support to DON Req~irements, Acquisition and RDT&E Communities a. ONI or MCIA will: (1) Review all DON ICDs, CDDs and CPDs (and Joint ICDs, CDDs and CPDs which involve the DON) for N2 during the JCIDS document staffing process to ensure threat information meets DoD and Chief, Joint Chiefs of Staff (CJCS) r quirements. 6

(2) Review and approve the threa-related sections of the TEMP. ani or MCIA will compare the requirements for threat representations with available and projected assets and their capabilities and highlight major shortfalls in the ability to provide adequate characterization or acc rate representation of specific threats listed in the CSTA/STA (or other DIA- and/or DON-approved products) within the test environment. (3) ani or MCIA shall have repre entation on Test and Evaluation Master Plan Working Groups (TPWG) as the intelligence representative. b. Working Groups. Analyses of Alt ~natives (AoA), TPWG, Working Integrated Production Team, and Overarching Integrated Production Team will be supported by an ani or MCIA representative to the appropriate oversi t board and/or study team. ani threat data will be provided or all Navy studies. ani or MCIA will obtain DIA validation of threat material supporting DAB-level programs, as requir d by reference (b). (1) Analysis of Alternatives (AoA) (a) When requested or requir d (reference (h) and this instruction), ani or MCIA will assi t the PMs in obtaining Under Secretary of Defense for Policy (USD(P» and DIA approval of Defense Planning Scenario/Multi Servi e Force DeploYment (DPS/MSFD) threat scenarios and other threat data in the AoA to ensure that: 1. _0 scenario and th eat are valid t d and reference materials meet DoD and DON requirements. 2. Baseline scenarios u ed in the AoA will be 1n accordance with references (g) and (h), and should be based on the Strategic Planning Guidance DPS, less otherwise directed by USD(P). The AoA may consider excursions from the SPG DPS when they would contribute to the analysis. To the greatest extent possible, the AoA will use DPS/MSFD scenario products to support scenario needs. In ases where no appropriate MSFD scenarios exist, the AoA study team must work closely with ani or MCIA to develop other scenarios or excursions to meet analytical needs. 7

3. When requested or required, ani or MCIA will formally review and evaluate the threat a d scenario portions of DON-led and DON-interest AoAs. (2) Threat Integrated Produc Team (TIPT). Program offices or SYSCOMs formal I re est a threat assessment. ani or MCIA may assemble a dedicated TIPT to meet this request. If formed, the TIPT determines the nature and level of documentation and other required activiti s to ensure consistent, efficient cradle-to-grave threat support. ani or MCIA chairs the TIPT. (3) Threat Working Group (TWG). TWGs are working-level integrated product, \ membership as that of TIPTs, that are held as required to discuss threat issues and ensure consistent threat support to acqui ition programs throughout their lifecycle. c. Capstone System Threat As essment (CSTA) and System Threat Assessment (STA). As refe e e in ren s ), f) and this instruction, ONI-2, ani or MCIA Commander grants u.s. Navy or USMC approval of CSTA/STAs (for A AT IC and lower programs). CSTA/STA supplements follow the same review and approval procedures as CSTAs/STAs. d. When requested or required, ani or MCIA will review all documents/studies for N2 prior to milestone reviews, ensuring the threat information meets DoD and DON standards. e. All teat d / assessments rou t be maintained in a current and approved or alidated status throughout the acquisition process. ani shall serve as the authoritative DoD/DON source for data and assessments concerning foreign maritime forces (organizations, its, entities, systems, processes and behaviors). (1) As required by references (j) through (n), ani shall undertake the development, production, verification and validation of models and simulations of f reign threat weapon systems and tactics. (2) ani shall serve as the final DoD/DON validation authority for Model and Simulation (M&S) representations of foreign maritime forces. In this context, "M&S representations" 8

OPNAVINST 3811.10 refers to data and to models, both as static logicalmathematical depictions and as these perform dynamically in simulation execution and interaction with other M&S representations. (3) ani shall support the accreditation of models of foreign maritime forces in DoD/DON simulations. ani shall provide subject-matter expertise and auth ritative evaluation as required and requested by DoD/DON M&S de lopers. f. Liaison between the requesting organization and the ani or MCIA action officer is encouraged until satisfaction of the requirement. This dialogue is particularly useful when intelligence collection action is initiat d to fill information gaps or when alternative means of satisfa tion, e.g., modeling or simulation must be employed. The requ stor should submit changes, additions or deletions to previously submitted requirements as soon as they become known. g. Determination that threat support is not required for a weapon development program is the responsibility of the OPNAV requirements sponsor in coordination with the program office, ani or MCIA, and, in the case of ACAT ID programs, DIA. If the threat is determined not to be a factor, statement to that effect will be included in appropriate pr gram documentation, with a copy forwarded to COMOPTEVFOR. 8. Action a. Activities shall ensure that the olicies, proc d documentation, and reports as required by references (a) through (n), are followed. b. Activities shall review existing guidance and instructions and cancel or update to conform to references (a) through (n), and this instruction. c. Activities shall distribute this instruction to appropriate command personnel. 9

9. Records Management. All records created by this instruction, regardless of media, sh 11 be managed In accordance with Secretary of the Nd'~' Man! 213~ :c:~ COTHRON Director of Naval Intelligence Distribution; Electronic only, via Department of the Navy Issuances Web ~-: t t... 'cl~_ ~"'. ~. (~ -L ;-J.-:-,. (~ ~ d. :n ~ ~ site 10