Separating Resilience and Success: Case Studies of Resilient Failure and Brittle Success

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RHCN Summer Meeting 4-5 June 2012 Separating Resilience and Success: Case Studies of Resilient Failure and Brittle Success Rollin J (Terry) Fairbanks Shawna J Perry Robert L Wears

rationale intellectual provenance the outcome problem in case analyses Apollo 13 resilient! Challenger not resilient! 2

separating resilience from outcome process less resilient more resilient outcome less successful more successful??? lots of examples lots of examples?? 3

while at sea: in ED: case 1- resilient failure 34 y/o sailor-pmh neg 3 day hx migratory pain & numbness 1 st while weightlifting 2 episodes symptomatic hypotension, resolved A&O x3 pectus exavatum deformity (genetic predisposition) severe hypotension, tachycardia allergic to shellfish (iodine) fluids, EKG, CXR, etc 4

5

case 1- resilient failure CV surgery called immediately NL course: get scan, if + call resident covering CV surgery no answer Including EM Attending direct to CV Attending call to OR desk: CV operating? turns out only one in town give message to surgeon: look at CXR while in OR (unique request) message back: pre-med, get CT; will meet patient in scanner when done extensive dissection from heart into legs bypass team assembled pt on table within 70 min of arrival procedure typically 7-8 hours unexpected arrest at hour 4 and expired 6

case 2 brittle success ED in northeast US (70k/year = 200/day) competition specialty boutique hospitals/urgent care centers lean intervention w/goals: waiting time throughput patient satisfaction major change: classic nurse triage model rapid assessment unit (RAU) 7

ED patient flow

re-engineered ED process

goals met! ED performance measures: pt satisfaction: 60 to 90 %ile waiting time decreased throughput increased staff reaction (8 months into project) always working just on the edge

case 2 brittle success organization view: goals met pt satisfaction waiting time throughput faster Staff view: stress levels constantly working on the edge feel like making snap judgments hoping for the best...trusting to luck increased interruptions from phone calls transferring patients to main ED periodic warnings not to put too much stock in the RAU judgments RAU contributions to misdiagnosis identified 11

case 2 brittle success 80 yo woman, vague left chest pain RAU rapid assessment do extensive workup CT for a triple rule out, serial cardiac enzymes, etc risks: dye load to 80-year-old kidneys, several hour ED stay. workup negative detailed history taken after: likely pre-herpetic neuralgia (no workup req d) 12

discussion what makes behaviour in case 1 resilient? respond (adaptively) calling the OR, suggesting to display the CXR CV surgeon willing to look at film while operating deviating from normal sequence anticipate surgeon s sense of false alarms from ED clinical deterioration imminent monitor learn CV not calling back new strategy for dealing with failure to respond 13

discussion what makes behaviour in case 2 brittle? reduced capacity for adaptive responses working at the margins no resources to call on loss of waiting room as a buffer increased workload on the main ED rapid arrival of many pts from RAU increased interruptions (phone calls) interruptions of limited value 14

goal tradeoffs case 1 tradeoff allergy / kidney safety for speed benefits of hierarchy in teaching environment bypassed for speed/risk of imminent death case 2 tradeoff improved basic peformance measures for decreased ability to respond shortest processing time first issue?mission of ED? 15

summary looking at resilience as a capability to anticipate, respond, monitor, learn existence proof: can separate resilience from success dilemma: if resilient without success why bother? success more likely withresilience than without... eg, diet, exercise => good health CAS actions control nothing, influence everything resilience NOT synonymous with success not just relabeling 16

contact information Shawna J Perry MD sjpmd1@gmail.com 904-613-8491 Robert L Wears, MD, MS, PhD wears@ufl.edu r.wears@imperial.ac.uk +1 904 244 4405 Rollin J (Terry) Fairbanks MD MS Terry.Fairbanks@MedicalHFE.org 202-244-9810 17