Operational Business Planning 2018-19 Trust Board 29 March 2018
Operational plan methodology Last year described a methodology for business planning Planning Approach Now Readiness Approach considered Care Group business planning based upon 2 levels: Level 1 Readiness Where focus needs to emphasise dealing with baseline issues. Service Appraisal Design Solution Level 2 Service appraisal/design Where focus shifts towards growth and development. Future 2
End of year 1 position National standards and targets Workforce Finance Estate/ Infrastructure Overall position Unscheduled Care priority priority priority In priority progress Women & Children's In priority priority In priority progress progress Unscheduled Care, Women & Children s and Support Services - level 1 - readiness Scheduled care level 2 - service appraisal/design Support Services complete complete priority priority priority Scheduled Care complete complete priority In progress complete 3
Unscheduled Care - baseline issues National standards and targets Workforce Finance Estate/ Infrastructure Overall position Unscheduled Care priority priority priority priority In progress Declining A&E performance Growing level of ambulance activity and management of ambulance handover Ongoing nursing recruitment difficulty reliance on agency staff. Insufficient Junior medical staffing 4
Unscheduled Care A&E performance (non-admitted care management) Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 SaTH Attendances 7,706 8,393 8,290 8,786 8,235 7,913 8,509 7,824 7,769 8,004 7,352 >4hr Breaches 827 1,192 1,092 1,311 1,219 1,046 1,514 1,195 1,564 1,742 1,487 Performance 89.3% 85.8% 86.8% 85.1% 85.2% 86.8% 82.2% 84.7% 79.9% 78.2% 79.8% The table demonstrates the nonadmitted trajectory for 2017/18. On average this contributes 78% of the overall A&E performance assessment. Focus placed upon 1 dominant area of breaches through improved management of patients in A&E. Key actions: Opening of CDU at PRH Streaming service at PRH Impact CDU Assumes we will reduce breaches by circa 8 per day improving non-admitted performance by 2.5% Streaming To gain a 1% improvement you would need to reduce breaches by 800 across the year, this is equivalent to 16 per week 5
Unscheduled Care A&E performance (admitted care management) Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 SaTH Attendances 2,236 2,339 2,268 2,328 2,224 2,220 2,255 2,262 2,262 2,334 2,111 >4hr Breaches 959 1,530 1,337 1,343 1,277 1,219 1,364 1,454 1,514 1,770 1,579 Performance 57.1% 34.6% 41.0% 42.3% 42.6% 45.1% 39.5% 35.7% 33.1% 24.2% 25.2% External support has highlighted a significant issue of stranded patients (consistent with 2017/18 Op plan). The table demonstrates the admitted trajectory for 2017/18. On average this contributes 22% of the overall A&E performance assessment. Typically 300+ patients have a length of stay of more than 7 days (stranded patients). 6
The reason stranded patients are relevant Stranded patients consistently throughout the year average 300 340 per day A&E performance for admitted care is compromised because we are seeking to push 71% of activity through 23% (101) of beds. Length of Stay Activity Beds 0-2 33.1% 2.3% 3-6 37.8% 20.4% Sub Total 70.9% 22.8% 7-10 12.5% 16.8% 11+ 16.6% 60.4% Sub Total 29.1% 77.2% 7
Admitted care solution (1) Action Patients Beds Total beds including Paediatrics 765 765 Winter period (35) (30) 730 735 SaTH2Home (10) (10) 92% (48) Escalation beds removed (64) (64) 608 661 A&E performance is to be achieved by ensuring 92% bed occupancy present level 97%. Bed occupancy improvement will be achieved by improved management of stranded patients not increasing beds. Stranded patient reduction (122) 8
Admitted care solution (2) Action Responsibility Patients Total Stranded patient reduction (122) SaTH internal processes SaTH (44) System pathway 1,2 & 3 System (46) Powys delays System (12) EMI beds System (4) Social Care complex discharges System (18) Avoidable admissions System (20) Total estimated Stranded Patient reduction (144) Independent advisors (IST & Alex Knight) identified opportunity to improve length of stay for 144 stranded patients. A reduction of 44 stranded patients are capable of being achieved through actions to be undertaken by SaTH, 100 stranded patients however, require system intervention. 9
Admitted care solution (3) Timelines for improvement Wards 8 and 21 are to be closed by the end of April (Winter) Internal stranded patient benefit to be realised by the end of June External stranded patient benefit to be realised by the end of June 10
Admitted care solution (4) How the position changes Temporary beds decline through removal of unnecessary escalation beds 30 beds introduced to respond to Winter pressure 122 stranded patients transferred to the period 0-7 days Admitted performance expected to be 85% based upon 92% bed occupancy Non admitted performance improves by 4.5% following implementation of CDU and improved streaming at PRH Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Admitted Performance 53.4% 32.1% 38.9% 85.0% 85.0% 85.0% 85.0% 85.0% 85.0% 85.0% 85.0% 85.0% Non Admitted Performance 88.0% 83.8% 84.6% 87.3% 87.3% 89.4% 83.9% 84.9% 79.6% 77.2% 81.2% 90.2% Consolidated Performance 80.4% 72.4% 75.0% 86.8% 86.8% 88.4% 84.1% 84.9% 80.8% 79.0% 82.0% 89.0% 11
Workforce solution (5) Nursing Reduction of 65-70 wte temporary RNs as a consequence of removed escalation capacity and targeted winter capacity Reduced temporary nurses due to solutions removing the requirement for temporary agency staff Medical Progressive improvement in junior medical capacity The proposed workforce plan below shows an investment of 20.34 wte junior medical staff at a cost of 894k in year 1 12
Scheduled Care baseline performance Scheduled Care National standards and targets complete Workforce complete Finance priority Estate/ Infrastructure In progress Overall position complete The graph shows the cancer performance over the last two years along with the forecast for 2018/19. This is inline with last year. The graph shows RTT performance over the last two years along with the forecast for 2018/19. This shows that the RTT will be recovered in quarter one. 13
Service Attractiveness Scheduled Care GE Matrix Care Group Service Strength High Medium Low High Protect Service Invest/develop to grow Concentrate effort on maintaining strength Invest to expand/improve Challenge for leadership Develop selectively on strengths Reinforce vulnerable areas Develop selectively Focus on limited strengths Seek areas for improvement Amend service offer if sustainability is challenged Medium Develop selectively Invest/develop in most attractive elements Increase efficiency and defend competition Select/manage for improvement Protect existing services Concentrate improvements in elements where efficiency is good and risks are low Limited expansion/reduce Seek ways to improve without high risk or minimise investment and amend service offer Low Protect and Refocus Manage for current service activity Concentrate on attractive elements Defend strengths Manage for improvement Protect most efficient elements Improve core areas with minimal investment? Core business Amend service offer and reduce costs Plan for service withdrawal As part of the business planning process each care group was asked to undertake an exercise to critically appraise each of their specialities in order to develop a strategy for each service. The GE/McKinsey model was used to model service strength and service attractiveness. 14
Scheduled Care baseline appraisal and areas of strategic focus The outcome of the speciality appraisal showed a number of specialities where the strategy would be to invest and grow in order to maximise opportunity. It also identified Private Patients as an area to develop selectively. MSK Strategy Repatriation of lost activity Increase market share Further activity growth from Welsh commissioners Oncology Strategy Technology developments Cancer App Investment at PRH Workforce plan to respond to growing demand Ophthalmology Strategy Completion of service reconfiguration Review cataract capacity Maximise contribution through sustainable workforce Private Patient Strategy Agree a strategy through the private patient task and finish group with associated service and pricing models 15
Scheduled Care further potential operational development areas Implementation Goal 1: Improved access to urgent and emergency care. Protecting the scheduled care bed base Implementation Goal 2: Reduce the time people stay in hospital. Stranded patients workstream Implementation Goal 3: Align our capacity to our patients needs and workforce availability. Further realignment of bed capacity and service realignment with unscheduled care Implementation Goal 4: To deliver consistently high quality and kind care within our available resources. Job planning 16
Women & Children s baseline issues Women & Children's National standards and targets Workforce Finance Estate/ Infrastructure Overall position In priority priority In priority progress progress Activity levels in neonatology, Gynaecology and Obstetrics are broadly consistent across the months. As expected paediatric activity is seasonal and increases during the winter months Challenges facing W&C 2m reduction in income namely attributable to obstetric activity (births and antenatal and postnatal bookings) Specialty comparing months 1-9 2016/2017 Each specialty has seen a drop in activity when comparing months 1-10 of last year to the same period this year. Gynae activity could be attributed to the escalation of USC into Gynae beds. The greatest % reduction in activity is in Obstetrics and Paediatrics. spells comparing months 1-9 2017/2018 Variance % shift What we know Decline nationally in the number of births Repatriation of SaTH activity to other providers Gynaecology 3293 3252-41 1.20% Neonatology 3474 3378-96 2.70% Obstetrics 4980 4750-230 4.60% Paediatrics 6775 6461-314 4.60% W&C total 18522 17841-681 3.60%
Support Services - baseline performance National standards and targets Workforce Finance Estate/ Infrastructure Support Services complete complete priority priority Overall position priority The graph shows DM01 performance over the last two years along with the forecast for 2018/19. This shows continued achievement of the target. 18
Support Services Radiology Radiology Income loss Failing equipment and replacement programme Increase in capacity Internal markets and business modelling SaTH SaTH Across both CT and MRI modalities SaTH is inline with its peers 19
Support Services Radiology SaTH SaTH is below the lower quartile with regards to the number of scanners/machines by modality in comparison to its peers. Age Years No Gross (original purchase value) % No % Gross 1-5 38 2,347,213 40% 25% 6-10 28 2,816,998 30% 31% 11-15 18 3,330,768 19% 36% Over 15 10 718,302 11% 8% Total 94 9,213,281 100% 100% Action Given that SaTH is inline with its peers on the activity by modality but within the lower quartile for the amount of equipment available, the data would suggest that SaTH requires a robust replacement programme as the machines are subject to a higher level of utilisation than others. Radiology equipment has a life span of circa 7 years and as you can see from the table on the left, circa 60% of our equipment is older than this. 20
Support Services Pathology National directive to align with the Black Country network Activity will transfer to the hub progressively over the next 5 years As the hub becomes established in the Black Country this will introduce operational challenges such as workforce Pharmacy Embed information system to support review of drug usage efficiency Roles and responsibilities of pharmacy support to the Trust Therapies Redefinition of roles and responsibilities within the Urgent care work streams Sustainable 7 day working model within available resources 21
Conclusion operational plan overview 22