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Transcription:

Millions Utah Population 2000-2012 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12

Millions Utah Population 2000-2012 3.0 2.9 M 2.5 2.2 M 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12

Rhode Island Vermont Ohio West Virginia Illinois Michigan Maine New Mexico Pennsylvania Missouri New Hampshire Mississippi Kentucky Wisconsin Connecticut Indiana Arkansas Iowa Alabama New Jersey Kansas New York Louisiana Oklahoma Minnesota Idaho Montana Nebraska Oregon Tennessee Massachusetts California South Carolina Maryland Washington North Carolina Georgia Arizona Delaware Virginia South Dakota Alaska Hawaii Nevada Utah Florida Colorado Wyoming Texas North Dakota Dist. of Columbia Population Growth State Comparisons 2011-2012 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% United States: 0.8% 0.0% -0.5%

Thousands Utah Employment 2000-2013 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0

Alaska Dist. of Columbia Alabama Hawaii Oklahoma Rhode Island Ohio Pennsylvania West Virginia Connecticut Virginia Arkansas Illinois Maine New Hampshire New Mexico Iowa Kentucky Kansas Missouri Nebraska Wyoming California New York Tennessee Montana Vermont Indiana Michigan Oregon Delaware Florida Maryland Massachusetts Mississippi North Carolina South Carolina Wisconsin Louisiana South Dakota Nevada Arizona New Jersey Georgia Washington Colorado Minnesota Texas Idaho Utah North Dakota Employment Growth State Comparisons 2012-2013 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% -0.5% -1.0% United States: 1.7% 2.7%

Utah Unemployment Rate 2000-2013 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 4.7% 2.0% 0.0%

North Dakota South Dakota Nebraska Hawaii Vermont Wyoming Utah Iowa New Hampshire Minnesota Montana Oklahoma Virginia Kansas Alabama West Virginia Texas Alaska Wisconsin Idaho New Mexico Colorado Florida Louisiana Maine Maryland Washington Massachusetts Missouri Delaware Ohio Arkansas New York Pennsylvania Connecticut Indiana Oregon South Carolina Arizona Kentucky Mississippi New Jersey Tennessee Dist. of Columbia Georgia North Carolina California Michigan Rhode Island Illinois Nevada Unemployment Rate State Comparisons August 2013 10.0% 8.0% United States: 7.3% 6.0% 4.0% 4.7% 2.0% 0.0%

Billions Utah Personal Income 2000-2012 $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12

Billions Utah Personal Income 2000-2012 $120 $100 $80 $90.6 B $98.8 B $60 $40 $20 $0 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12

Mississippi Idaho South Carolina West Virginia Utah Arkansas Kentucky New Mexico Alabama Arizona Georgia Indiana North Carolina Nevada Montana Michigan Tennessee Oregon Oklahoma Missouri Ohio Louisiana Maine Florida Wisconsin Texas Kansas Delaware Iowa Vermont Nebraska Pennsylvania South Dakota Hawaii Illinois California Rhode Island Colorado Washington Minnesota Alaska New Hampshire Virginia Wyoming North Dakota Maryland New York New Jersey Massachusetts Connecticut Dist. of Colombia Thousands Personal Income Per Capita State Comparisons 2012 $80 $70 $60 $50 $40 $30 $20 $10 $0 $34,601 United States: $42,693

Utah heads our list of the Best States for Business for a third straight year. Utah s economy has expanded 2.3% annually since 2006 fifth best in the U.S versus 0.5% for the nation as a whole.

Among the strongest economies in the United States The most diversified economy of its size in the United States Strong cluster development and commercialization of research, including via universities High rates of population growth, but more importantly, population retention

5.96M State of Utah Projected Population (2060) +3.20M State of Utah Projected Population Growth (2060)

$130.5B State of Utah Gross Domestic Product (2012) +3.4% State of Utah Gross Domestic Product Growth Rate (2012)

2,855,287 State of Utah Resident Population (2012)

1,292,000 State of Utah Employment Base (July 2012) +3.2% State of Utah Employment Growth Rate (July 2012)

$98.8B State of Utah Total Personal Income (2012)

Conflict is not Likely, it is Imminent

In a recent volley between Phoenix and Los Angeles, newspapers in those two arid cities pointed fingers at each other over who has the least sustainable water supply.

the Supreme Court ruled Thursday that thirsty Texas counties can t run a pipeline into Oklahoma for more drops to drink.

At issue is a 2012 order to eventually pump some 84,000 acre-feet of groundwater a year from four rural valleys in Lincoln and White Pine counties.

1 2 1 3 2 4 5 3 4 6 7

Water Shortage Impacts

The new estimate for municipal and industrial water demand was increased to 2,553,000 ac-ft. However, water planners estimated that local suppliers would still be able to meet this larger future demand and maintain a reliable supply surplus, if a variety of strategies were employed.

The new estimate for municipal and industrial water demand was increased to 2,553,000 ac-ft. However, water planners estimated that local suppliers would still be able to meet this larger future demand and maintain a reliable supply surplus, if a variety of strategies were employed.

Proposed Pipeline Projects in the West

Perception = Reality Uncertainty abounds - climate change, population shifts, reliability of existing resources The water manager s long view Strategies are not mutually exclusive, conservation + water resource development How much risk are you willing to accept?

Renewable Internal Freshwater Supply Per Capita (in Cubic Meters) Latin America & Caribbean 22,364 North America 16,378 United States Europe & Central Asia World East Asia & Pacific Sub-Saharan Africa 9,044 7,922 6,123 4,617 4,422 South Asia Middle East & North Africa 1,217 596

Annual Freshwater Withdrawals (% of Internal Resources) Middle East & North Africa 133.3% South Asia 51.6% United States East Asia & Pacific North America World Europe & Central Asia Sub-Saharan Africa Latin America & Caribbean 17.0% 10.9% 9.3% 9.2% 7.7% 3.2% 2.0%

Water Productivity (in GDP Per Cubic Meter of Freshwater) Europe & Central Asia $32 United States North America $28 $28 World Latin America & Caribbean East Asia & Pacific $11 $14 $14 Middle East & North Africa Sub-Saharan Africa $8 $7 South Asia $2

Water Productivity Top 20 (in GDP Per Cubic Meter of Freshwater) $1,000 $900 $800 $700 $600 $500 $400 $300 $200 $100 $0 $938

Water Productivity (in GDP Per Cubic Meter of Freshwater*) $27 $28 $34 $14 $15 World Utah California U.S. Nevada *Withdrawals include saline sources in some cases

Billion Gallons Per Day Millions Water Use in the United States 1950-2005* 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Total Withdrawals Population 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 *Most current data available

Billion Gallons Per Day Millions Water Use in the United States 1950-2005* Public Supply Irrigation 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Thermoelectric Power Population Other 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 *Most current data available

Per Capita Water Use (in Gallons) 1950-2005* 1,194 1,463 1,506 1,600 1,797 1,941 1,873 1,638 1,601 1,494 1,448 1,363 *Most current data available

Dist. of Columbia Rhode Island Maine Oklahoma Massachusetts Georgia South Dakota Pennsylvania Minnesota New York Vermont New Jersey Washington Nevada Ohio Mississippi New Hampshire Florida Kentucky Arizona Connecticut Iowa Michigan Texas Illinois Delaware California Maryland Kansas Virginia Hawaii North Carolina Indiana Missouri Wisconsin Alaska New Mexico Tennessee South Carolina Oregon Utah North Dakota Alabama Louisiana West Virginia Colorado Arkansas Nebraska Wyoming Montana Idaho Per Capita Water Use (in Gallons) State Comparisons 2005* 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 United States: 1,363 2,008 *Most current data available

California Water Use By Category Other 3.8% Public Supply 15.3% Irrigation 53.3% Thermoelectric Power 27.6%

Nevada Water Use By Category Public Supply 28.4% Other 7.0% Irrigation 63.1% Thermoelectric Power 1.5%

Utah Water Use By Category Other 8.8% Thermoelectric Power 1.2% Public Supply 11.9% Irrigation 78.2%

Utah Water Use By Category Public Supply 11.9% Other 8.8% Irrigation 78.2% Thermoelectric Power 1.2%

Water Productivity (Excluding Irrigation) (in GDP Per Cubic Meter of Freshwater*) $92 $57 $70 $34 United States Average *Withdrawals include saline sources in some cases California Utah Nevada

5.7 MAF Total Water Withdrawals (All Purposes), State of Utah, 2005 (Latest Available From the USGS)

Utah Water Use (in Acre-Feet Per Year) Agricultural Municipal & Industrial Total Diverted 3,743,000 1,001,000 4,744,000 Consumed 2,706,000 410,000 3,116,000 Returned to the Environment 1,037,000 591,000 1,628,000

Water Resource Development Timeline 1948 Upper Colorado River Compact allocated Upper Basin water based on percentages (Utah received 23 percent). 1951 Jordan Valley Water Conservancy District became first customer for Central Utah Project, which provided funds necessary for construction to begin. 1963 Flaming Gorge and Glen Canyon Dams built, providing water storage for droughts and emergencies. 1982 Quail Creek Dam and Sand Hollow Reservoir become early examples of state funded water development projects. 1991 Bear River Development Act passed. 2006 Lake Powell Pipeline Development Act passed. 1941 The Utah Water Conservancy District Act was passed, allowing government entities to build reservoir projects and provide water supply protection. 1950 Weber Basin Water Conservancy District created, allowing Bureau of Reclamation to construct Weber Basin Project. 1956 Colorado River States Project passed, allowing for dams in Upper Basin of Colorado River and funding for Central Utah Project. 1964 Central Utah Water Conservancy District formed. 1992 Central Utah Project Completion Act approved, marking the end of federal funding for water development projects. Funding now provided by the state. 2012 The Legislative Task Force formed to focus on water development throughout the state.

$20 B Estimated Cost of Utah Water Infrastructure Projects

Water Projects $1 Billion + By Sponsor 1) Weber Basin WCD (Davis County) - $1.5 Billion 2) Weber Basin WCD (Weber County) - $1.5 Billion 3) Bear River Development - $1.5 Billion 4) Washington County WCD - $1.0 Billion 5) Lake Powell Pipeline - $1.0 Billion

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Millions Utah Water Infrastructure Projects Projected Annual Funding Needs $1,400 $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 Projected Funding Covered by State Funding Agencies $0

Conservation, Conservation, Conservation

The Goal: Reduce per capita water use by 25% by 2025

What Does Nearly $20 Billion in Water Projects Mean for the State of Utah?

One-Time Construction Impacts Preliminary Impacts Jobs: ±198,000 Wages: ±$8.4 Billion Output: ±$29.7 Billion

Economic Growth Potential Population: 3.2 Million Households: 1,030,000 GSP: $183 Billion Income: $107 Billion Business: 90,000

Water Resource Diversity

1,292,000 Total Utah Employees Currently Supported by Water Resource Stability

83,694 Total Utah Businesses Currently Supported by Water Resource Stability

Growth Interruption Mild (1% to 2%) = $1.3B to $2.6B Moderate (3% to 5%) =$3.9B to $6.5B Severe (6% to 10%) = $7.8B to $13.1B Annually

Water resources are an essential element of economic development and diversification. Ensuring water resources is critical to protecting the state s economy. A comprehensive, master-planned approach is necessary and appropriate.